FC Sion’s recent slump of three straight defeats has left them looking for a turnaround, while FC Thun, after a win, are eager to maintain momentum. The model favours a home win, assigning a 48% chance, with a draw at 25% and an away win at 27%. The expected goal total is 3.2, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.2% probability. Sion’s home form shows they average 1.91 goals scored and concede only 0.64 against similar opposition, whereas Thun’s away form sees them score 1.62 and concede 2.31 to comparable teams. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6%, Under 6.5 goals at 95.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 93.5%. The model’s edge on the Under 7.5 selection, with a 3% advantage over market odds, reflects the defensive solidity of both sides and the low probability of a high-scoring affair.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Sion win
48.0%
Avg Implied 55.7% · @ 1.67
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Dafabet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
10Bet
1.68
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.13
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.33
Dafabet
4.30
Bet365
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
FC Thun win
27.3%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.31
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.50
Dafabet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.35
1xBet
4.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Sion
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.27
2.00
0.94
2.00
1.64
vs Stronger (5)
2.60
3.40
2.50
2.50
2.67
4.00
vs Similar (22)
1.86
0.82
1.91
0.64
1.82
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.97
2.43
1.86
1.81
2.06
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.92
2.12
2.23
1.92
1.62
2.31
vs Weaker (3)
3.67
0.67
5.00
1.00
3.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
@ 1.10+0.1%
Under 1.5
16.1%
@ 5.74-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
Unibet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.1%
@ 1.41-3.9%
Under 2.5
37.9%
@ 2.72+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.8%
@ 2.03-6.1%
Under 3.5
60.2%
@ 1.73+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Both teams to score
Yes
63.6%
@ 1.43-1.1%
No
36.4%
@ 2.61+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
No
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.60
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 8.26+5.8%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.91+3.7%
2-0
6.9%@ 10.28+2.6%
1-2
6.9%@ 12.89+3.4%
1-0
6.5%@ 10.58+2.2%
2-2
6.4%@ 10.94+2.3%
3-1
5.8%@ 10.61+1.6%
0-0
5.1%@ 18.19+2.6%
FC Sion goals ↓
FC Thun goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.5%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.5%
11%
6.9%
3.1%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.3%
5.8%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Sion goals (down), columns = FC Thun goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
FC Sion is 0.40 points better than FC Thun in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
FC Sion is 0.40 goals better than FC Thun in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
FC Sion is 1.00 goals better than FC Thun in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 2.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
FC Sion is 11.0 percentage points better than FC Thun in terms of average possession (57% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Sion
For 5.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Thun
For 4.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.4
4.5
4.6
4.3
26.6
27.3
25.8
vs Stronger (7)
9.6
9.0
10.0
3.4
4.0
3.0
23.4
25.7
21.8
vs Similar (38)
9.4
9.8
9.1
4.6
4.5
4.8
27.4
28.1
26.7
vs Weaker (5)
11.0
10.7
11.5
4.8
6.3
2.5
24.6
23.7
26.0
% over line
52%
54%
50%
68%
69%
67%
80%
77%
83%
% under line
48%
46%
50%
32%
31%
33%
20%
23%
17%
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.9
4.6
4.6
4.7
28.0
28.4
27.6
vs Stronger (1)
16.0
-
16.0
7.0
-
7.0
29.0
-
29.0
vs Similar (41)
10.1
10.5
9.7
4.9
4.8
4.9
28.1
28.1
28.1
vs Weaker (8)
10.0
10.3
9.7
3.2
3.2
3.2
26.8
30.3
23.3
% over line
55%
61%
50%
74%
71%
77%
91%
91%
92%
% under line
45%
39%
50%
26%
29%
23%
9%
9%
8%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Zurich
10.7
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
FC Vaduz
9.9
FC Sion
9.6
BSC Young Boys
9.4
FC Lugano
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Vaduz
5.0
FC Thun
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Luzern
4.7
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.1
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.6
FC Basel 1893
26.5
FC Lugano
25.3
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.7
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.7
Servette FC
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.7%
@ 1.81+7.6%
Under 9.5
41.3%
@ 1.89-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.68
Under
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.8%
Under 3.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.8%
Under 21.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Sion or Draw
72.7%
Avg Implied 78.1% · @ 1.20
Edge
-5.4%
48%
25%
27%
covers FC Sion + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
FC Sion or FC Thun
75.3%
Avg Implied 77.9% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.6%
48%
25%
27%
covers FC Sion + FC Thun
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw or FC Thun
52.0%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.13
Edge
+8.0%
48%
25%
27%
covers Draw + FC Thun
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Sion over/under 0.5
Over
84.2%
@ 1.08-2.4%
Under
15.8%
@ 6.94+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.20
FC Sion over/under 1.5
Over
55.1%
@ 1.48-7.8%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.51+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
FC Sion over/under 2.5
Over
28.2%
@ 2.50-9.2%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.49+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
FC Sion over/under 3.5
Over
11.6%
@ 4.84-7.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.15+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Unibet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
FC Thun over/under 0.5
Over
74.3%
@ 1.29+2.7%
Under
25.7%
@ 3.26-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.25
Betano
3.25
10Bet
3.25
FC Thun over/under 1.5
Over
39.4%
@ 2.45+1.4%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.50-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.49
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
FC Thun over/under 2.5
Over
15.6%
@ 5.84-0.3%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.10+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
FC Thun over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
@ 13.62-2.1%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Sion, so a minus line means FC Sion give that many goals of a start and FC Thun receive them. At -1, FC Sion must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Sion win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Sion)
FC Sion -2
12.4%
@ 4.87-6.0%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 4.91-3.4%
FC Thun +2
72.8%
@ 1.42+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.38
Handicap -1 (FC Sion)
FC Sion -1
27.2%
@ 2.59-7.1%
Draw -1
20.7%
@ 3.82-2.6%
FC Thun +1
52.0%
@ 2.11+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Betfair
2.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.05
Handicap +1 (FC Sion)
FC Sion +1
72.7%
@ 1.19-2.8%
Draw +1
15.0%
@ 6.25+0.7%
FC Thun -1
12.3%
@ 8.82+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Marathonbet
6.65
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.60
Away
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
9.10
Bet365
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Handicap +2 (FC Sion)
FC Sion +2
87.7%
@ 1.05-0.9%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 13.00+0.8%
FC Thun -2
4.3%
@ 22.00+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.75
0.50
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
1.50
0.00
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.59
0.73
0.45
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
1.00
0.93
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
1.04
0.92
0.92
0.62
1.15
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.21-4.0%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 3.97+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.8%
@ 2.03-8.0%
Under 1.5
62.2%
@ 1.71+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Under
William Hil
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 4.35-7.3%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.18+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.1%
@ 1.53-0.6%
Under
39.9%
@ 2.36+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Unibet
2.33
Betano
2.32
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.7%
@ 3.50-8.7%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.25+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.56
Betano
3.55
10Bet
3.50
1xBet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
@ 8.88-6.6%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
FC Thun over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.2%
@ 2.10-5.8%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.65+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.10
Unibet
2.06
1xBet
2.04
Under
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
FC Thun over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.8%
@ 6.85-3.7%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.07+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
FC Thun over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 19.25-2.4%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.53
1.25
0.44
1.29
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.20
1.00
2.50
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.23
0.23
1.18
0.18
1.27
0.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
1.67
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.03
1.43
0.93
1.06
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.15
1.08
1.31
1.00
1.00
1.15
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
3.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.9%
@ 1.11-3.9%
Under 0.5
20.1%
@ 5.76+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Betano
5.60
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.8%
@ 1.62-9.5%
Under 1.5
52.2%
@ 2.18+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.65
Unibet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Unibet
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.3%
@ 2.94-12.4%
Under 2.5
80.7%
@ 1.37+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.94
Betano
2.80
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.0%
@ 1.33-7.4%
Under
38.0%
@ 3.02+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.5%
@ 2.58-13.4%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.45+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.61
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.0%
@ 5.95-9.5%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.10+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
FC Thun over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.3%
@ 1.76-1.5%
Under
48.7%
@ 1.96+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.76
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Under
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.89
FC Thun over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.3%
@ 4.78-4.1%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.15+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
FC Thun over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.3%
@ 11.50-4.9%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+6.6%
Under 6.5
95.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+9.5%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+3.7%
Under 5.5
89.4%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+4.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
88.4%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+7.5%
Home +2 handicap
87.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
-
-0.9%
Over 2.5 cards
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.0%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+7.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+4.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
84.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
+0.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
84.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-2.4%
Over 1.5
83.9%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+0.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.3%
1.25
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+8.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
+12.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.11
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-3.9%
Under 4.5
78.0%
1.28
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.26
+5.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.45
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
-
+13.4%
Home or Away
75.3%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-2.6%
Over 23.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
74.3%
1.29
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+2.7%
Over 3.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
72.8%
1.42
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.38
+9.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.21
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-4.0%
Home or Draw
72.7%
1.20
Betano
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
-5.4%
Home +1 handicap
72.7%
1.19
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-2.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
71.8%
1.49
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
+9.2%
Over 8.5 corners
70.7%
1.48
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.43
-
-
-
+7.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Winsley Boteli Mokango80%
Ylyas Chouaref25%
F. Surdez22%
Baltazar Costa20%
D. Rrudhani20%
Théo Berdayes20%
J. Kronig10%
R. Nivokazi10%
Josias Lukembila10%
A. Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
B. Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
N. Sow0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
F. Sylla0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Sow30%
Numa Lavanchy20%
Baltazar Costa20%
Ali Kabacalman20%
Nias Hefti17%
J. Kronig10%
R. Nivokazi10%
D. Rrudhani10%
A. Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
B. Kololli0%
Ylyas Chouaref0%
Josias Lukembila0%
F. Surdez0%
Théo Berdayes0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Winsley Boteli Mokango0%
F. Sylla0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
F. Surdez33%
Ylyas Chouaref25%
Baltazar Costa20%
Josias Lukembila20%
Winsley Boteli Mokango20%
Marquinhos Cipriano14%
F. Sylla12%
Ali Kabacalman10%
R. Nivokazi10%
D. Rrudhani10%
A. Racioppi0%
J. Kronig0%
B. Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
N. Sow0%
Théo Berdayes0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Winsley Boteli Mokango70%
R. Nivokazi20%
D. Rrudhani20%
Ylyas Chouaref12%
F. Surdez11%
Baltazar Costa10%
Théo Berdayes10%
A. Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
J. Kronig0%
B. Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
N. Sow0%
Josias Lukembila0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
F. Sylla0%
FC Thun
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brighton Labeau50%
Furkan Dursun33%
Layton Stewart25%
Marc Gutbub25%
Nicolas Bürgy17%
N. Maier17%
N. Reichmuth17%
J. Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
N. Steffen0%
F. Fehr0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
N. Zoukit0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
S. Lengen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Fehr50%
Nicolas Bürgy33%
Furkan Dursun33%
N. Zoukit20%
Justin Roth17%
N. Steffen17%
N. Reichmuth17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
S. Lengen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Gutbub50%
Furkan Dursun33%
Dorian Derbaci33%
F. Fehr25%
F. Saiz20%
N. Zoukit20%
Lucien Dähler20%
Nicolas Bürgy17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
N. Steffen0%
N. Reichmuth0%
Michael Heule0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
S. Lengen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Furkan Dursun33%
S. Lengen33%
N. Reichmuth17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
N. Steffen0%
F. Fehr0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
N. Zoukit0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Sion's squad is €13m more valuable than FC Thun's (€30m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Sion's attack is €11m more valuable than FC Thun's (€15m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Sion and FC Thun have a similar midfield value (both €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Sion's defence is €2m more valuable than FC Thun's (€9m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Servette FC
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz