This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.53
1.50
1.19
1.14
1.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.38
1.43
1.21
1.17
1.58
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
4.9%
FC ST. Gallen goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
4.1%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
1
6.6%
11%
6.5%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.3%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.7%
6.2%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.3%
3.0%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC ST. Gallen goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BSC Young Boys
2.03
FC Lugano
1.71
Servette FC
1.68
FC Zurich
1.58
FC ST. Gallen
1.50
FC Winterthur
1.29
FC Basel 1893
1.29
FC Luzern
1.29
Yverdon Sport
1.24
Lausanne
1.18
Grasshoppers
1.05
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.76
FC Thun
0.50
FC ST. Gallen is 0.21 points better than FC Luzern in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
2.00
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Winterthur
1.58
FC ST. Gallen
1.58
Servette FC
1.55
FC Zurich
1.39
Yverdon Sport
1.32
Lausanne
1.26
FC Luzern
1.24
FC Basel 1893
1.18
Grasshoppers
1.10
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.05
FC Thun
1.00
FC ST. Gallen is 0.34 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
BSC Young Boys
0.89
FC Zurich
1.08
Servette FC
1.13
Grasshoppers
1.27
FC Lugano
1.34
FC ST. Gallen
1.34
FC Basel 1893
1.37
FC Luzern
1.39
Lausanne
1.39
FC Thun
1.50
FC Winterthur
1.87
Yverdon Sport
1.87
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.03
FC ST. Gallen is 0.05 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
BSC Young Boys
56%
FC Lugano
56%
FC Basel 1893
51%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
51%
FC Zurich
50%
FC Luzern
49%
FC ST. Gallen
49%
Servette FC
49%
Lausanne
49%
FC Winterthur
48%
Yverdon Sport
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen is 0.2 percentage points worse than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC ST. Gallen
For 5.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 5.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC ST. Gallen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.0
11.5
5.5
5.6
5.4
24.4
23.4
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
11.1
10.9
11.3
5.2
5.7
4.8
23.9
23.2
24.5
vs Weaker (14)
11.5
11.1
12.0
6.2
5.4
7.3
25.6
23.6
28.3
% over line
76%
80%
72%
76%
76%
76%
76%
76%
76%
% under line
24%
20%
28%
24%
24%
24%
24%
24%
24%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.2
10.4
5.2
5.8
4.6
25.2
26.4
24.1
vs Stronger (4)
14.5
15.0
14.0
4.5
6.5
2.5
26.5
29.5
23.5
vs Similar (41)
10.0
9.7
10.2
5.2
5.7
4.6
24.9
26.0
23.7
vs Weaker (5)
10.2
11.5
9.3
6.2
6.0
6.3
27.0
27.0
27.0
% over line
54%
56%
52%
70%
80%
60%
80%
80%
80%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
30%
20%
40%
20%
20%
20%
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
11.2
Yverdon Sport
11.1
BSC Young Boys
10.9
FC Luzern
10.3
Servette FC
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.2
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Winterthur
9.9
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
9.4
Lausanne
9.4
FC Zurich
9.4
FC Lugano
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.6
FC Winterthur
5.6
FC Basel 1893
5.6
FC Lugano
5.6
FC Luzern
5.3
Lausanne
5.2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
5.1
FC Zurich
5.0
Yverdon Sport
5.0
Grasshoppers
4.5
Servette FC
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Yverdon Sport
26.4
FC Basel 1893
25.5
FC Luzern
25.2
FC Winterthur
24.9
FC Zurich
24.7
FC ST. Gallen
24.4
Lausanne
24.4
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
24.3
Grasshoppers
24.2
Servette FC
23.8
BSC Young Boys
23.4
FC Lugano
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.4%
Under 9.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.7%
Under 3.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.4%
Under 21.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC ST. Gallen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.27
0.47
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.55
1.00
0.50
0.10
0.60
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.60
1.80
0.40
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.69
0.50
0.43
0.36
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.38
0.64
0.57
0.33
0.17
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC ST. Gallen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
1.00
0.73
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
1.00
0.80
0.20
0.70
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.70
1.00
0.60
1.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.10
0.81
0.69
0.71
1.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
1.00
0.79
0.64
0.83
1.42
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC ST. Gallen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chadrac Akolo32%
Jovan Milošević27%
Willem Geubbels22%
Christian Witzig15%
Albert Vallci14%
Mihailo Stevanović13%
Fabian Schubert12%
Albin Krasniqi11%
Mattia Zanotti9%
Lukas Görtler9%
Betim Fazliji8%
Victor Ruiz8%
Bastien Toma7%
Jordi Quintillà6%
Isaac Schmidt6%
Nikolaj Möller5%
Julian Von Moos4%
Felix Mambimbi0%
Lawrence Ati0%
Jozo Stanić0%
Chima Okoroji0%
Richard van der Venne0%
Gregory Karlen0%
Patrick Sutter0%
Abdoulaye Diaby0%
Corsin Konietzke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mattia Zanotti35%
Richard van der Venne33%
Corsin Konietzke33%
Lukas Görtler30%
Christian Witzig27%
Jozo Stanić26%
Albert Vallci25%
Fabian Schubert25%
Betim Fazliji25%
Jordi Quintillà23%
Julian Von Moos22%
Abdoulaye Diaby21%
Gregory Karlen13%
Isaac Schmidt12%
Nikolaj Möller11%
Jovan Milošević9%
Felix Mambimbi8%
Chadrac Akolo8%
Victor Ruiz8%
Patrick Sutter8%
Bastien Toma7%
Chima Okoroji7%
Lawrence Ati5%
Mihailo Stevanović3%
Willem Geubbels3%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Witzig21%
Jordi Quintillà16%
Julian Von Moos13%
Willem Geubbels12%
Mattia Zanotti12%
Chadrac Akolo11%
Jovan Milošević9%
Victor Ruiz8%
Gregory Karlen7%
Nikolaj Möller5%
Lukas Görtler4%
Fabian Schubert4%
Bastien Toma4%
Chima Okoroji4%
Mihailo Stevanović3%
Felix Mambimbi0%
Albert Vallci0%
Lawrence Ati0%
Jozo Stanić0%
Richard van der Venne0%
Patrick Sutter0%
Betim Fazliji0%
Abdoulaye Diaby0%
Isaac Schmidt0%
Corsin Konietzke0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chadrac Akolo35%
Christian Witzig30%
Willem Geubbels22%
Jovan Milošević9%
Lukas Görtler9%
Albert Vallci8%
Betim Fazliji8%
Bastien Toma7%
Nikolaj Möller5%
Jozo Stanić4%
Fabian Schubert4%
Abdoulaye Diaby4%
Jordi Quintillà3%
Felix Mambimbi0%
Lawrence Ati0%
Chima Okoroji0%
Richard van der Venne0%
Julian Von Moos0%
Gregory Karlen0%
Victor Ruiz0%
Patrick Sutter0%
Isaac Schmidt0%
Mihailo Stevanović0%
Mattia Zanotti0%
Corsin Konietzke0%
Albin Krasniqi0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Grbić29%
Thibault Klidje18%
Sofyan Chader18%
Kemal Ademi16%
Jakub Kadák16%
Marco Burch14%
Lars Villiger13%
Ardon Jashari13%
Max Meyer12%
Asumah Abubakar12%
Pius Dorn11%
Teddy Okou9%
Leny Meyer8%
Ismajl Beka7%
Severin Ottiger5%
Denis Simani4%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Nicolas Haas0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Kevin Spadanuda0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Levin Winkler0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Burch43%
Martin Frýdek32%
Ismajl Beka29%
Nicky Medja Beloko26%
Denis Simani25%
Leny Meyer23%
Nicolas Haas23%
Jakub Kadák22%
Kemal Ademi21%
Mauricio Willimann20%
Pius Dorn18%
Thibault Klidje18%
Ardon Jashari18%
Luca Jaquez16%
Adrian Grbić14%
Max Meyer12%
Kevin Spadanuda12%
Dario Ulrich11%
Severin Ottiger11%
Lars Villiger8%
Levin Winkler7%
Teddy Okou6%
Jesper Lofgren5%
Pascal Loretz2%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Sofyan Chader0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Frýdek16%
Pius Dorn16%
Adrian Grbić14%
Asumah Abubakar12%
Ardon Jashari10%
Thibault Klidje9%
Lars Villiger8%
Max Meyer8%
Teddy Okou6%
Kevin Spadanuda6%
Severin Ottiger5%
Kemal Ademi5%
Nicolas Haas5%
Sofyan Chader5%
Dario Ulrich4%
Nicky Medja Beloko0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Denis Simani0%
Jakub Kadák0%
Marco Burch0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Grbić36%
Sofyan Chader23%
Max Meyer18%
Teddy Okou12%
Pius Dorn11%
Kemal Ademi11%
Thibault Klidje9%
Ardon Jashari8%
Ismajl Beka7%
Nicky Medja Beloko6%
Jakub Kadák6%
Lars Villiger3%
Nicolas Haas0%
Asumah Abubakar0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Denis Simani0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Kevin Spadanuda0%
Marco Burch0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Mauricio Willimann0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Leny Meyer0%
Levin Winkler0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
FC ST. Gallen's squad is €6m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€32m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FC ST. Gallen's attack is €3m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€12m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
FC ST. Gallen's midfield is €4m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€6m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
FC ST. Gallen's defence is €6m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€14m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →