This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.13
0.87
1.40
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
-
-
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (26)
1.12
1.08
0.85
0.92
1.38
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.00
3.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
FC ST. Gallen goals ↓
FC Luzern goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
3.9%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
1
6.5%
11%
6.3%
2.7%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.9%
6.3%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.4%
3.1%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC ST. Gallen goals (down), columns = FC Luzern goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Basel 1893
1.92
Servette FC
1.66
BSC Young Boys
1.61
FC Aarau
1.50
FC Lugano
1.42
FC Zurich
1.39
Lausanne
1.39
FC ST. Gallen
1.37
FC Luzern
1.37
FC Sion
1.16
FC Winterthur
1.05
Grasshoppers
1.05
Yverdon Sport
1.03
FC ST. Gallen and FC Luzern are level in average points per game (both 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Basel 1893
2.39
FC Luzern
1.74
Servette FC
1.68
Lausanne
1.63
BSC Young Boys
1.58
FC Zurich
1.47
FC Lugano
1.45
FC ST. Gallen
1.37
FC Sion
1.24
Grasshoppers
1.18
FC Winterthur
1.13
Yverdon Sport
1.05
FC Aarau
0.50
FC ST. Gallen is 0.37 goals worse than FC Luzern in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Basel 1893
1.13
BSC Young Boys
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.35
FC ST. Gallen
1.39
Lausanne
1.42
Servette FC
1.45
FC Zurich
1.50
FC Sion
1.50
FC Lugano
1.53
FC Luzern
1.68
FC Winterthur
1.79
Yverdon Sport
1.79
FC Aarau
2.00
FC ST. Gallen is 0.29 goals better than FC Luzern in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.68).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
60%
FC Zurich
55%
FC Basel 1893
54%
BSC Young Boys
52%
FC ST. Gallen
50%
Servette FC
50%
Lausanne
48%
FC Luzern
48%
FC Sion
47%
Grasshoppers
46%
FC Winterthur
45%
Yverdon Sport
44%
FC ST. Gallen is 2.3 percentage points better than FC Luzern in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC ST. Gallen
For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Luzern
For 5.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC ST. Gallen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.8
11.1
5.2
4.8
5.6
24.8
24.2
25.4
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
14.0
12.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
31.5
26.0
37.0
vs Similar (36)
10.9
10.6
11.2
5.2
4.8
5.6
24.4
24.2
24.7
vs Weaker (12)
10.8
10.8
10.7
5.2
4.7
5.8
24.9
24.0
25.8
% over line
70%
76%
64%
68%
64%
72%
72%
72%
72%
% under line
30%
24%
36%
32%
36%
28%
28%
28%
28%
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.3
5.0
5.4
4.6
24.3
24.4
24.1
vs Stronger (3)
14.7
16.0
14.0
4.7
7.0
3.5
27.0
28.0
26.5
vs Similar (43)
10.3
10.6
10.0
4.9
5.2
4.6
23.9
24.4
23.3
vs Weaker (4)
8.8
7.5
10.0
6.2
7.0
5.5
26.5
23.0
30.0
% over line
58%
56%
60%
72%
76%
68%
72%
68%
76%
% under line
42%
44%
40%
28%
24%
32%
28%
32%
24%
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.9
BSC Young Boys
10.8
Yverdon Sport
10.5
FC Sion
10.5
FC Luzern
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.3
Servette FC
10.1
Lausanne
10.0
FC Winterthur
9.6
Grasshoppers
9.6
FC Zurich
9.3
FC Lugano
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Sion
5.7
FC Basel 1893
5.5
FC ST. Gallen
5.4
FC Winterthur
5.3
Lausanne
5.2
FC Lugano
5.2
FC Luzern
5.0
Yverdon Sport
4.8
FC Zurich
4.7
BSC Young Boys
4.5
Grasshoppers
4.4
Servette FC
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Yverdon Sport
26.2
FC Basel 1893
25.0
FC ST. Gallen
24.8
BSC Young Boys
24.6
Lausanne
24.3
FC Luzern
24.3
FC Zurich
24.1
Grasshoppers
23.7
FC Winterthur
23.6
FC Sion
23.2
FC Lugano
22.9
Servette FC
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.4%
Under 9.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.0%
Under 3.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.1%
Under 21.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC ST. Gallen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.53
0.93
0.60
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.73
1.18
0.82
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.27
0.53
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.31
0.50
0.15
0.62
0.46
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC ST. Gallen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.87
0.67
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.82
0.91
0.73
0.55
0.91
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Luzern) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Luzern
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.87
0.33
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.58
0.69
0.31
0.92
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
2.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC ST. Gallen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC ST. Gallen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Luzern over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC ST. Gallen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Willem Geubbels38%
Isaac Schmidt22%
Chadrac Akolo19%
Lukas Görtler19%
Lukas Daschner19%
Felix Mambimbi14%
Christian Witzig13%
Moustapha Cissé13%
Jovan Milošević11%
Albert Vallci8%
Jean-Pierre Nsame8%
Kevin Csoboth8%
Yannick Noah7%
Bastien Toma7%
Hugo Vandermersch6%
Corsin Konietzke5%
Abdoulaye Diaby4%
Jozo Stanić3%
Mihailo Stevanović3%
Konrad Faber3%
Lawrence Ati0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Chima Okoroji0%
Jordi Quintillà0%
Victor Ruiz0%
Betim Fazliji0%
Cyrill May0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jozo Stanić41%
Lukas Görtler41%
Albert Vallci31%
Yannick Noah29%
Lukas Daschner25%
Jordi Quintillà22%
Abdoulaye Diaby22%
Stephan Ambrosius21%
Betim Fazliji20%
Chima Okoroji19%
Hugo Vandermersch17%
Victor Ruiz15%
Christian Witzig15%
Mihailo Stevanović11%
Felix Mambimbi8%
Lawrence Ati8%
Jean-Pierre Nsame8%
Willem Geubbels8%
Kevin Csoboth8%
Bastien Toma7%
Konrad Faber5%
Chadrac Akolo5%
Corsin Konietzke5%
Moustapha Cissé3%
Isaac Schmidt0%
Jovan Milošević0%
Cyrill May0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isaac Schmidt22%
Christian Witzig22%
Chadrac Akolo17%
Bastien Toma16%
Jean-Pierre Nsame15%
Felix Mambimbi14%
Jordi Quintillà11%
Hugo Vandermersch11%
Lukas Görtler11%
Chima Okoroji7%
Moustapha Cissé6%
Willem Geubbels5%
Kevin Csoboth5%
Corsin Konietzke5%
Albert Vallci3%
Mihailo Stevanović3%
Lawrence Ati0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Lukas Daschner0%
Jozo Stanić0%
Victor Ruiz0%
Betim Fazliji0%
Abdoulaye Diaby0%
Konrad Faber0%
Jovan Milošević0%
Yannick Noah0%
Cyrill May0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willem Geubbels32%
Chadrac Akolo17%
Lukas Görtler16%
Jean-Pierre Nsame15%
Lukas Daschner12%
Moustapha Cissé10%
Christian Witzig9%
Felix Mambimbi8%
Hugo Vandermersch6%
Corsin Konietzke5%
Bastien Toma4%
Abdoulaye Diaby4%
Mihailo Stevanović3%
Albert Vallci0%
Lawrence Ati0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Jozo Stanić0%
Chima Okoroji0%
Kevin Csoboth0%
Jordi Quintillà0%
Victor Ruiz0%
Betim Fazliji0%
Konrad Faber0%
Isaac Schmidt0%
Jovan Milošević0%
Yannick Noah0%
Cyrill May0%
FC Luzern
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donat Rrudhani27%
Adrian Grbić23%
Thibault Klidje22%
Luca Jaquez16%
Levin Winkler14%
Sinan Karweina14%
Lars Villiger13%
Kevin Spadanuda11%
Pius Dorn8%
Aleksandar Stanković8%
Stefan Knežević6%
Nicky Beloko5%
Bung Meng Freimann5%
Jakub Kadák4%
Severin Ottiger3%
Tyron Owusu3%
Andrejs Cigaņiks3%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismajl Beka100%
Stefan Knežević36%
Nicky Beloko20%
Jesper Lofgren20%
Donat Rrudhani20%
Andrejs Cigaņiks17%
Pius Dorn16%
Severin Ottiger13%
Jakub Kadák13%
Levin Winkler11%
Bung Meng Freimann10%
Adrian Grbić10%
Aleksandar Stanković8%
Lars Villiger8%
Tyron Owusu6%
Kevin Spadanuda6%
Pascal Loretz5%
Luca Jaquez5%
Sinan Karweina5%
Dario Ulrich0%
Thibault Klidje0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bung Hua Freimann33%
Donat Rrudhani20%
Pius Dorn19%
Lars Villiger13%
Andrejs Cigaņiks11%
Kevin Spadanuda11%
Levin Winkler11%
Severin Ottiger10%
Sinan Karweina9%
Jakub Kadák9%
Thibault Klidje8%
Aleksandar Stanković5%
Nicky Beloko5%
Adrian Grbić3%
Tyron Owusu3%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Luca Jaquez0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Bung Meng Freimann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thibault Klidje38%
Adrian Grbić16%
Sinan Karweina14%
Donat Rrudhani10%
Kevin Spadanuda6%
Aleksandar Stanković5%
Luca Jaquez5%
Lars Villiger5%
Andrejs Cigaņiks3%
Pius Dorn0%
Nicky Beloko0%
Jesper Lofgren0%
Stefan Knežević0%
Ismajl Beka0%
Dario Ulrich0%
Jakub Kadák0%
Tyron Owusu0%
Pascal Loretz0%
Severin Ottiger0%
Ruben Dantas0%
Levin Winkler0%
Bung Meng Freimann0%
Bung Hua Freimann0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
FC ST. Gallen's squad is €6m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€32m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
FC ST. Gallen's attack is €3m less valuable than FC Luzern's (€12m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
FC ST. Gallen's midfield is €4m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€6m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
FC ST. Gallen's defence is €6m more valuable than FC Luzern's (€14m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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FC Basel 1893
Servette FC
BSC Young Boys
FC Lugano
Lausanne
FC Zurich
FC Sion
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
Yverdon Sport
FC Aarau