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FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 1-2
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Vs
26%
28%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC St. Pauli win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.70
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.22
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.55
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L21W10W00D02L12L11D05L11D02LA·BAY14/02H·WER22/02A·18928/02H·EIN08/03A·BOR13/03H·SC 22/03A·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.670.861.640.691.69
vs Stronger (12)0.752.250.831.830.672.67
vs Similar (18)0.781.280.881.500.701.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W20W21W21W20W01L04L11D34LA·SIG12/03A·WER15/03H·SIG19/03H·EIN22/03A·18904/04H·STR09/04H·SC 12/04A·STR16/04A·BOR19/04H·BAY25/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.301.600.930.931.67
vs Stronger (5)1.602.403.004.001.252.00
vs Similar (25)1.201.081.500.710.821.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 2.10+3.7%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.69-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.9%
1-2 ✓
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
FSV Mainz 05 goals →
01234
08.6%9.9%8.4%4.2%1.6%
16.9%13%9.2%4.6%1.8%
24.4%6.7%5.1%2.5%1.0%
31.6%2.4%1.8%0.9%0.4%
40.4%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = FSV Mainz 05 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
FC St. Pauli is 0.41 points worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average points per game (0.76 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
FC St. Pauli is 0.44 goals worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
FC St. Pauli is 0.21 goals worse than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
FC St. Pauli is 0.4 percentage points better than FSV Mainz 05 in terms of average possession (44% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

For 3.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

130668534273222653101538121379541113611A·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNIH·SC A·BORH·EINA·189H·WERA·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

80141123112121212611533233381A·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNIH·SC A·BORH·EINA·189H·WERA·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 7.9 · Total 16.1

⚠️ Fouls

21067629781096791387136101171381618151621201618A·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNIH·SC A·BORH·EINA·189H·WERA·BAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

For 4.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

130446456484375351492186910121086133H·BAYA·BORA·STRH·SC H·STRA·189H·EINH·SIGA·WERA·SIG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

1001225551322142126121137104453832H·BAYA·BORA·STRH·SC H·STRA·189H·EINH·SIGA·WERA·SIG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

290141081212111013161051112514157713924202323261617291422H·BAYA·BORA·STRH·SC H·STRA·189H·EINH·SIGA·WERA·SIG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.49.23.63.83.420.320.320.4
vs Stronger (21)8.78.29.23.54.02.920.120.519.6
vs Similar (29)9.710.49.23.63.53.720.520.120.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%44%52%44%44%44%36%36%36%
% under line52%56%48%56%56%56%64%64%64%
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.49.04.64.34.922.223.021.3
vs Stronger (10)8.58.88.24.44.84.023.126.419.8
vs Similar (40)9.49.69.24.64.15.121.922.221.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%50%42%64%62%67%54%58%50%
% under line54%50%58%36%38%33%46%42%50%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Wolfsburg
11.3
RB Leipzig
10.5
1. FC Köln
10.3
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
SC Paderborn 07
10.1
Hamburger SV
9.9
VfB Stuttgart
9.8
FC Augsburg
9.8
Bayern München
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.5
Union Berlin
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.3
Werder Bremen
9.3
FC St. Pauli
9.3
Borussia Dortmund
9.2
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
1. FC Heidenheim
9.1
SC Freiburg
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.3
Werder Bremen
4.7
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
FSV Mainz 05
4.6
1. FC Köln
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.4
FC Augsburg
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
Union Berlin
4.0
Bayern München
4.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
1899 Hoffenheim
3.9
SC Freiburg
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.8
VfL Wolfsburg
3.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.7
FC St. Pauli
3.7
RB Leipzig
3.5
Borussia Dortmund
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SC Paderborn 07
24.6
Hamburger SV
24.0
SC Freiburg
22.8
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.5
FSV Mainz 05
22.2
FC Augsburg
22.0
Union Berlin
21.9
Borussia Dortmund
21.7
1. FC Heidenheim
21.5
Werder Bremen
21.0
1. FC Köln
20.8
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
FC St. Pauli
20.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.0
RB Leipzig
20.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.7
Bayer Leverkusen
19.6
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.8%
Under 9.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.6%
Under 3.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
29.6%
Under 21.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D01L10W10W01L00D01LA·BAY14/02H·WER22/02A·18928/02H·EIN08/03A·BOR13/03H·SC 22/03A·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.360.430.380.75
vs Stronger (12)0.330.750.500.330.171.17
vs Similar (18)0.390.500.250.500.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D11D11D20W00D02L01L30WA·SIG12/03A·WER15/03H·SIG19/03H·EIN22/03A·18904/04H·STR09/04H·SC 12/04A·STR16/04A·BOR19/04H·BAY25/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.730.270.470.80
vs Stronger (5)1.001.003.000.000.501.25
vs Similar (25)0.520.440.570.290.450.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L21W00D00D01L02L01L04L11D01LA·BAY14/02H·WER22/02A·18928/02H·EIN08/03A·BOR13/03H·SC 22/03A·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.070.501.210.310.94
vs Stronger (12)0.421.500.331.500.501.50
vs Similar (18)0.390.780.621.000.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FSV Mainz 05) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W20W10W10W00D01L02L10W04LA·SIG12/03A·WER15/03H·SIG19/03H·EIN22/03A·18904/04H·STR09/04H·SC 12/04A·STR16/04A·BOR19/04H·BAY25/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.870.670.470.87
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.004.000.750.75
vs Similar (25)0.680.640.930.430.360.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FSV Mainz 05 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls91.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards75.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ricky-Jade Jones20%
Andreas Hountondji17%
Danel Sinani15%
Abdoulie Ceesay12%
Mathias Pereira Lage9%
Martijn Kaars9%
Hauke Wahl9%
Louis Oppie7%
Eric Smith7%
Adam Dźwigała5%
Manolis Saliakas5%
Karol Mets4%
James Sands4%
Joel Chima Fujita3%
Jackson Irvine0%
Connor Metcalfe0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Oladapo Afolayan0%
Taichi Hara0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Tomoya Ando0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adam Dźwigała26%
Tomoya Ando25%
Abdoulie Ceesay21%
Manolis Saliakas20%
Joel Chima Fujita19%
James Sands18%
Karol Mets15%
Eric Smith13%
Mathias Pereira Lage12%
Danel Sinani12%
Arkadiusz Pyrka11%
Oladapo Afolayan11%
Ricky-Jade Jones10%
Andreas Hountondji9%
Jackson Irvine8%
Connor Metcalfe7%
Martijn Kaars6%
Lars Ritzka4%
Hauke Wahl3%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Taichi Hara0%
Louis Oppie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manolis Saliakas15%
Danel Sinani9%
Joel Chima Fujita8%
Connor Metcalfe7%
Eric Smith7%
Mathias Pereira Lage6%
Martijn Kaars6%
Tomoya Ando6%
Adam Dźwigała5%
Jackson Irvine4%
Hauke Wahl3%
Arkadiusz Pyrka3%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Oladapo Afolayan0%
Taichi Hara0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Louis Oppie0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danel Sinani15%
Ricky-Jade Jones10%
Mathias Pereira Lage9%
Andreas Hountondji9%
Martijn Kaars6%
Abdoulie Ceesay4%
Louis Oppie4%
Connor Metcalfe4%
Joel Chima Fujita3%
Jackson Irvine0%
Eric Smith0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Oladapo Afolayan0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Manolis Saliakas0%
Taichi Hara0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Tomoya Ando0%
FSV Mainz 05
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nadiem Amiri46%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Phillip Tietz17%
Jae-sung Lee15%
Stefan Bell13%
Silas11%
Stefan Posch10%
Benedict Hollerbach10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Nelson Weiper6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
Dominik Kohr5%
Danny da Costa4%
Kacper Potulski4%
Kaishu Sano4%
Phillipp Mwene3%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
William Bøving0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Nikolas Veratschnig0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kohr36%
Stefan Posch30%
Stefan Bell26%
Nadiem Amiri26%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen24%
Anthony Caci23%
Robin Zentner22%
Nikolas Veratschnig21%
Ben Justus Bobzien20%
Sheraldo Becker14%
Phillip Tietz13%
Kacper Potulski13%
Silvan Widmer12%
Silas11%
Daniel Batz11%
Sota Kawasaki11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Phillipp Mwene10%
Paul Nebel9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Danny da Costa7%
Lennard Maloney6%
William Bøving6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Nelson Weiper3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Benedict Hollerbach0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach14%
Paul Nebel11%
Jae-sung Lee10%
Danny da Costa9%
Phillip Tietz9%
Nadiem Amiri9%
Anthony Caci8%
Kaishu Sano6%
Sota Kawasaki6%
William Bøving6%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Silvan Widmer2%
Stefan Posch0%
Dominik Kohr0%
Silas0%
Arnaud Nordin0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Armindo Sieb0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Nelson Weiper0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phillip Tietz39%
Sheraldo Becker21%
Benedict Hollerbach19%
Nadiem Amiri17%
Nelson Weiper9%
Silvan Widmer8%
Armindo Sieb6%
Arnaud Nordin5%
Jae-sung Lee5%
Phillipp Mwene5%
Stefan Posch5%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen5%
Stefan Bell4%
Nikolas Veratschnig3%
Kaishu Sano2%
Dominik Kohr0%
Danny da Costa0%
Silas0%
Anthony Caci0%
Lennard Maloney0%
Maxim Leitsch0%
Robin Zentner0%
Daniel Batz0%
Lasse Riess0%
Sota Kawasaki0%
William Bøving0%
Paul Nebel0%
Fabio Moreno Fell0%
Ben Justus Bobzien0%
Kacper Potulski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €129m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€46m vs €175m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
FC St. Pauli's attack is €39m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€10m vs €49m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €64m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€15m vs €80m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €26m less valuable than FSV Mainz 05's (€21m vs €47m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
FSP wins
1
Draws
2
FM0 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 · H/A from FSP
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/25AFSV Mainz 05 Vs FSP0-0
22/02/25AFSV Mainz 05 Vs FSP2-0
05/10/24HFSP Vs FSV Mainz 050-3

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FSP2-0
17/04/26HFSP Vs 1. FC Köln1-1
11/04/26HFSP Vs Bayern München0-5
05/04/26AUnion Berlin Vs FSP1-1
22/03/26HFSP Vs SC Freiburg1-2
13/03/26ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs FSP2-0
08/03/26HFSP Vs Eintracht Frankfurt0-0
28/02/26A1899 Hoffenheim Vs FSP0-1
22/02/26HFSP Vs Werder Bremen2-1
14/02/26ABayer Leverkusen Vs FSP4-0

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HFM0 Vs Bayern München3-4
19/04/26ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs FM01-1
16/04/26AStrasbourg Vs FM04-0
12/04/26HFM0 Vs SC Freiburg0-1
09/04/26HFM0 Vs Strasbourg2-0
04/04/26A1899 Hoffenheim Vs FM01-2
22/03/26HFM0 Vs Eintracht Frankfurt2-1
19/03/26HFM0 Vs Sigma Olomouc2-0
15/03/26AWerder Bremen Vs FM00-2
12/03/26ASigma Olomouc Vs FM00-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL0.88
HomeWDLLD1.04
AwayLWLDL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%24%16%
AVG goals2.342.322.36
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored0.840.880.80
Conceded1.501.441.56
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners9.289.369.20
Cards3.653.923.40
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.28
HomeWWWLL1.50
AwayDWWLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals2.722.652.79
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.301.501.08
Conceded1.421.151.71
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet18%23%12%
Corners9.209.428.96
Cards4.564.274.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches