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FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Stats

Date: 30/01/2027
Time: 12:30
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Vs
34%
29%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC St. Pauli win
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel win
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D05L11D02L12L12L13L11D22D12LA·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04H·FSV03/05A·RB 09/05H·VFL16/05H·SPV09/08A·HOL14/08H·1. 30/08← Bundesliga2. Bundesliga →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.770.871.670.801.87
vs Stronger (11)0.822.270.801.800.832.67
vs Similar (19)0.841.470.901.600.781.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W30W10W20W13L12L22D22D02LH·PRE05/04A·FOR10/04H·1. 17/04A·HER25/04H·EIN02/05H·1. 09/05A·DYN17/05A·SV 08/08H·FC 14/08A·1. 30/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.571.331.131.332.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.391.611.431.211.362.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
Holstein Kiel goals →
01234
08.2%8.3%6.5%2.9%1.0%
17.9%14%8.4%3.8%1.3%
25.9%8.0%5.5%2.5%0.8%
32.6%3.5%2.4%1.1%0.4%
40.8%1.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = Holstein Kiel goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
FC St. Pauli is 0.38 points better than Holstein Kiel in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
FC St. Pauli is 0.32 goals better than Holstein Kiel in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hertha BSC
1.29
Hannover 96
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
FC St. Pauli is 0.15 goals better than Holstein Kiel in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

For 5.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

170455592895377668534279101117814121379H·1. A·HOLH·SPVH·VFLA·RB H·FSVA·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

7034331232311411237615241533H·1. A·HOLH·SPVH·VFLA·RB H·FSVA·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 8.0 · Total 16.6

⚠️ Fouls

3309131914456995108676297810223391514181381618H·1. A·HOLH·SPVH·VFLA·RB H·FSVA·1. H·1. H·BAYA·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

For 5.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1603355489310645355371136101212169851014A·1. H·FC A·SV A·DYNH·1. H·EINA·HERH·1. A·FORH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

90453332322232442142339655458366A·1. H·FC A·SV A·DYNH·1. H·EINA·HERH·1. A·FORH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.7

⚠️ Fouls

330171414191615171413111312156991313151231333131242521182627A·1. H·FC A·SV A·DYNH·1. H·EINA·HERH·1. A·FORH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.49.72.43.01.818.618.418.8
vs Stronger (13)9.59.09.92.73.22.318.418.218.6
vs Similar (34)10.411.19.62.42.91.918.818.619.0
vs Weaker (3)---0.0-0.0---
% over line60%56%65%30%42%19%23%28%18%
% under line40%44%35%70%58%81%77%72%82%
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.69.74.13.25.128.127.228.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (46)10.010.49.64.23.25.227.827.228.4
vs Weaker (4)12.514.011.03.83.04.531.527.036.0
% over line57%53%61%60%54%67%91%88%94%
% under line43%47%39%40%46%33%9%12%6%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Energie Cottbus
13.7
VfL Wolfsburg
11.7
VfL Osnabrück
10.9
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.5
Hannover 96
10.5
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
FC St. Pauli
9.6
1. FC Nürnberg
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
VfL Bochum
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.8
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
VfL Wolfsburg
3.6
Energie Cottbus
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Holstein Kiel
26.5
Energie Cottbus
26.3
Hannover 96
26.2
Arminia Bielefeld
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.4
VfL Osnabrück
25.2
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.3
Hertha BSC
24.1
1. FC Magdeburg
23.7
SV Darmstadt 98
23.6
Karlsruher SC
23.2
Dynamo Dresden
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.0
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
1. FC Heidenheim
20.5
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.0%
Under 3.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.4%
Under 21.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC St. Pauli or Draw
63.6%
Avg Implied -
34%
29%
37%
covers FC St. Pauli + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli or Holstein Kiel
70.6%
Avg Implied -
34%
29%
37%
covers FC St. Pauli + Holstein Kiel
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Holstein Kiel
65.9%
Avg Implied -
34%
29%
37%
covers Draw + Holstein Kiel
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5
Over
71.0%
Under
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5
Over
72.3%
Under
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5
Over
36.8%
Under
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 3.5
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC St. Pauli, so a minus line means FC St. Pauli give that many goals of a start and Holstein Kiel receive them. At -1, FC St. Pauli must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC St. Pauli win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC St. Pauli)
FC St. Pauli -2
5.1%
Draw -2
10.1%
Holstein Kiel +2
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FC St. Pauli)
FC St. Pauli -1
15.2%
Draw -1
18.9%
Holstein Kiel +1
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FC St. Pauli)
FC St. Pauli +1
63.6%
Draw +1
19.7%
Holstein Kiel -1
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FC St. Pauli)
FC St. Pauli +2
83.3%
Draw +2
10.9%
Holstein Kiel -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L02L01L01L00D20W01LA·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04H·FSV03/05A·RB 09/05H·VFL16/05H·SPV09/08A·HOL14/08H·1. 30/08← Bundesliga2. Bundesliga →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.200.530.470.73
vs Stronger (11)0.270.730.400.200.171.17
vs Similar (19)0.370.580.100.700.670.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D30W00D10W02L02L20W02L00DH·PRE05/04A·FOR10/04H·1. 17/04A·HER25/04H·EIN02/05H·1. 09/05A·DYN17/05A·SV 08/08H·FC 14/08A·1. 30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.530.600.670.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.610.820.570.640.641.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L11D01L10W11D12L11D02L11DA·UNI05/04H·BAY11/04H·1. 17/04A·1. 25/04H·FSV03/05A·RB 09/05H·VFL16/05H·SPV09/08A·HOL14/08H·1. 30/08← Bundesliga2. Bundesliga →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.130.671.130.331.13
vs Stronger (11)0.551.550.401.600.671.50
vs Similar (19)0.470.890.800.900.110.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D10W10W11D10W02L20W02LH·PRE05/04A·FOR10/04H·1. 17/04A·HER25/04H·EIN02/05H·1. 09/05A·DYN17/05A·SV 08/08H·FC 14/08A·1. 30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.800.530.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.790.790.860.570.711.00
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.8%-------
Under 5.595.7%-------
Under 4.588.8%-------
Over 2.5 cards88.4%-------
Home under 2.5 goals87.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals86.1%-------
Away +2 handicap84.8%-------
Home +2 handicap83.3%-------
Over 19.5 fouls81.1%-------
Over 1.575.6%-------
Over 3.5 cards75.0%-------
Under 3.572.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals72.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.0%-------
Home or Away70.6%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taichi Hara25%
Martijn Kaars25%
Marcus Mathisen25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Mathisen50%
Arkadiusz Pyrka50%
Ricky-Jade Jones33%
Joel Chima Fujita33%
David Nemeth25%
Mathias Rasmussen25%
Tomoya Ando25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
Eric Smith0%
Taichi Hara0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Ben Voll0%
Louis Oppie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Branimir Hrgota25%
Taichi Hara25%
Arkadiusz Pyrka25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martijn Kaars75%
Branimir Hrgota25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Taichi Hara0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
Holstein Kiel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Phil Harres75%
Guillermo Balzi50%
Jonas Therkelsen25%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasper Davidsen75%
Ivan Nekić50%
Jonas Therkelsen50%
Hiroki Sekine50%
Timon Weiner33%
Leon Parduzi33%
Jonas Meffert25%
Guillermo Balzi25%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Phil Harres0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Phil Harres50%
Adrián Kaprálik50%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Guillermo Balzi0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phil Harres75%
Guillermo Balzi25%
Ivan Nekić0%
Timon Weiner0%
Jonas Meffert0%
David Zec0%
Faride Alidou0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Leon Parduzi0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €12m more valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€46m vs €34m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
FC St. Pauli's attack is €2m less valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€10m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €9m more valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€15m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €6m more valuable than Holstein Kiel's (€21m vs €16m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FSP wins
2
Draws
1
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel · H/A from FSP
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP2-2
12/04/25AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP1-2
29/11/24HFSP Vs Holstein Kiel3-1
23/02/24AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP3-4
17/09/23HFSP Vs Holstein Kiel5-1
19/05/23AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP3-4
08/11/22HFSP Vs Holstein Kiel0-0
17/12/21AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP3-0

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HFSP Vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern1-2
14/08/26AHolstein Kiel Vs FSP2-2
09/08/26HFSP Vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1
16/05/26HFSP Vs VfL Wolfsburg1-3
09/05/26ARB Leipzig Vs FSP2-1
03/05/26HFSP Vs FSV Mainz 051-2
25/04/26A1. FC Heidenheim Vs FSP2-0
17/04/26HFSP Vs 1. FC Köln1-1
11/04/26HFSP Vs Bayern München0-5
05/04/26AUnion Berlin Vs FSP1-1

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26A1. FC Magdeburg Vs HK2-0
14/08/26HHK Vs FC St. Pauli2-2
08/08/26ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs HK2-2
17/05/26ADynamo Dresden Vs HK2-1
09/05/26HHK Vs 1. FC Magdeburg1-3
02/05/26HHK Vs Eintracht Braunschweig2-0
25/04/26AHertha BSC Vs HK0-1
17/04/26HHK Vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern3-0
10/04/26AFortuna Düsseldorf Vs HK1-2
05/04/26HHK Vs Preußen Münster0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL0.78
HomeDLLDL0.88
AwayLDLLD0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%19%12%
AVG goals2.502.462.54
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %20%15%25%
Scored0.860.850.88
Conceded1.641.621.67
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet14%12%17%
Corners9.6210.129.08
Cards3.694.043.33
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.10
HomeDWWLD1.12
AwayWWLDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.882.792.96
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.281.331.23
Conceded1.601.461.73
BTTS64%58%69%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners10.0810.469.73
Cards5.404.835.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
11. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg39
100%
3.0
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
9.7
67%
3.0
33%
20.3
33%
40
1413123.71.0
49%
2Hertha BSCHertha BSC39
100%
3.0
104+6
4.7
67%
67%
67%
10.7
33%
5.7
100%
28.0
100%
25
83133.31.3
49%
3VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg37
67%
2.3
62+4
2.7
33%
33%
33%
14.3
100%
1.7
0%
24.0
67%
154
5632662.00.7
-
41. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim36
67%
2.0
1010+0
6.7
100%
100%
100%
11.0
67%
4.3
67%
18.3
33%
33
157123.33.3
-
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg36
67%
2.0
66+0
4.0
100%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
5.7
67%
25.3
67%
21
10472.02.0
54%
61. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern35
33%
1.7
21+1
1.0
33%
33%
0%
11.7
67%
4.7
67%
26.7
100%
28
125110.70.3
48%
7SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth34
33%
1.3
78-1
5.0
100%
67%
67%
11.7
67%
3.3
67%
20.0
67%
19
4592.32.7
48%
8Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC34
33%
1.3
46-2
3.3
67%
67%
33%
15.0
100%
3.3
33%
28.3
100%
31
164121.32.0
48%
9Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig33
33%
1.0
97+2
5.3
67%
67%
67%
12.7
100%
5.7
100%
23.0
67%
21
7593.02.3
44%
10Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
100%
100%
33%
13.3
100%
3.0
33%
25.7
67%
18
7471.72.0
52%
11VfL BochumVfL Bochum33
33%
1.0
12-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
8.3
33%
6.3
100%
27.3
100%
19
6580.30.7
46%
12Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus33
33%
1.0
68-2
4.7
100%
100%
67%
13.7
67%
3.3
67%
26.3
100%
11
4252.02.7
-
13Hannover 96Hannover 9633
33%
1.0
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
11.7
67%
3.0
33%
20.0
33%
33
1011120.71.3
56%
14VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück33
33%
1.0
47-3
3.7
67%
67%
33%
10.0
67%
4.0
33%
21.0
67%
10
5331.32.3
-
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
67%
67%
33%
12.3
100%
4.3
67%
18.3
33%
19
6481.32.7
50%
16FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli32
0%
0.7
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
10.0
67%
4.7
67%
21.3
67%
46
1015211.31.7
-
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel32
0%
0.7
46-2
3.3
100%
67%
67%
9.3
67%
6.7
100%
31.7
100%
34
127161.32.0
52%
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9831
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
12.3
100%
4.7
100%
25.0
67%
24
9680.71.3
51%
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →

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