This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.57
1.53
1.80
1.47
1.33
vs Stronger (21)
1.33
1.43
1.44
1.67
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.89
1.67
2.00
2.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.72-3.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1 ✓
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
VfL Osnabrück goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.6%
4.7%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.8%
13%
7.2%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.2%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.9%
4.7%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = VfL Osnabrück goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Bochum
1.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.88
Holstein Kiel
1.82
Hamburger SV
1.71
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.53
SV Darmstadt 98
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.50
FC St. Pauli
1.38
SC Paderborn 07
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
1. FC Nürnberg
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Regensburg
1.12
SV Sandhausen
1.00
VfL Osnabrück
0.97
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.91
Wurzburger Kickers
0.74
FC St. Pauli is 0.41 points better than VfL Osnabrück in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.03
VfL Bochum
1.94
SV Darmstadt 98
1.85
Holstein Kiel
1.68
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.62
Hannover 96
1.56
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
FC St. Pauli
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Wurzburger Kickers
1.09
Regensburg
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.03
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.88
FC St. Pauli is 0.47 goals better than VfL Osnabrück in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Holstein Kiel
1.03
VfL Bochum
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Hamburger SV
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
Regensburg
1.47
Hannover 96
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Erzgebirge Aue
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.65
VfL Osnabrück
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.74
SV Sandhausen
1.76
Wurzburger Kickers
2.03
FC St. Pauli is 0.06 goals better than VfL Osnabrück in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC St. Pauli
For 4.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Osnabrück
For 4.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC St. Pauli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.1
10.7
3.9
3.9
3.9
25.3
24.9
25.6
vs Stronger (2)
10.5
8.0
13.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
22.5
17.0
28.0
vs Similar (32)
10.5
10.6
10.4
3.9
4.0
3.9
25.1
25.2
24.9
vs Weaker (16)
10.3
9.6
11.3
4.0
3.9
4.1
26.1
25.3
27.0
% over line
56%
54%
58%
56%
54%
58%
76%
71%
81%
% under line
44%
46%
42%
44%
46%
42%
24%
29%
19%
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
9.7
8.7
10.8
5.0
5.0
5.1
27.0
28.3
25.7
vs Stronger (28)
10.6
9.1
12.1
5.1
4.9
5.2
26.7
27.9
25.4
vs Similar (14)
7.9
7.9
8.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
27.6
29.0
26.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
43%
52%
86%
86%
86%
88%
90%
86%
% under line
52%
57%
48%
14%
14%
14%
12%
10%
14%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SV Sandhausen
11.7
SC Paderborn 07
11.4
Regensburg
11.1
SV Darmstadt 98
10.9
Hamburger SV
10.7
Karlsruher SC
10.5
FC St. Pauli
10.4
Holstein Kiel
10.4
VfL Bochum
10.4
1. FC Nürnberg
10.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.4
1. FC Heidenheim
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
VfL Osnabrück
9.7
Hannover 96
9.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.2
Erzgebirge Aue
9.0
Wurzburger Kickers
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wurzburger Kickers
5.2
Erzgebirge Aue
5.1
VfL Osnabrück
5.0
SV Sandhausen
4.9
Karlsruher SC
4.8
VfL Bochum
4.5
Regensburg
4.5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.4
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.3
Holstein Kiel
4.1
Hannover 96
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.9
Hamburger SV
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wurzburger Kickers
29.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
29.0
Regensburg
28.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
27.9
VfL Osnabrück
27.0
SV Sandhausen
27.0
Karlsruher SC
26.8
VfL Bochum
26.2
Erzgebirge Aue
25.9
SV Darmstadt 98
25.5
FC St. Pauli
25.3
Hannover 96
24.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.6
1. FC Nürnberg
24.5
Holstein Kiel
23.7
1. FC Heidenheim
23.6
Hamburger SV
23.6
SC Paderborn 07
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.7%
Under 9.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
81.6%
Under 21.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.86
0.36
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.74
0.50
0.50
0.27
0.91
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.90
1.60
0.20
0.60
1.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.80
0.93
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (21)
0.57
0.76
0.78
0.67
0.42
0.83
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.22
0.83
1.33
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.64
0.64
0.62
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.58
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.64
1.27
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.70
0.80
0.60
0.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VfL Osnabrück
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.73
0.87
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (21)
0.76
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.83
0.42
vs Similar (9)
1.11
0.67
0.83
0.67
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC St. Pauli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taichi Hara25%
Martijn Kaars25%
Marcus Mathisen25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Mathisen50%
Arkadiusz Pyrka50%
Ricky-Jade Jones33%
Joel Chima Fujita33%
David Nemeth25%
Mathias Rasmussen25%
Tomoya Ando25%
Branimir Hrgota0%
Eric Smith0%
Taichi Hara0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Ben Voll0%
Louis Oppie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Branimir Hrgota25%
Taichi Hara25%
Arkadiusz Pyrka25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Martijn Kaars0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martijn Kaars75%
Branimir Hrgota25%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Mathias Rasmussen0%
Taichi Hara0%
Marcus Mathisen0%
Ben Voll0%
Ricky-Jade Jones0%
Joel Chima Fujita0%
Arkadiusz Pyrka0%
Louis Oppie0%
Tomoya Ando0%
VfL Osnabrück · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robin Meißner50%
N. Wiemann25%
Ismail Badjie25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismail Badjie50%
P. Kammerbauer25%
N. Wiemann25%
F. Wagner25%
Konrad Faber25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
J. Müller0%
Robin Meißner0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konrad Faber25%
L. Münst25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Robin Meißner0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Ismail Badjie0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robin Meißner25%
Ismail Badjie25%
B. Riesselmann25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
SD9 (28)
€24m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
VO (25)
€10m
FD (26)
€10m
WK (27)
€4m
EA (18)
€2m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €36m more valuable than VfL Osnabrück's (€46m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (11)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
EB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
SGF (6)
€4m
FD (8)
€3m
WK (8)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's attack is €5m more valuable than VfL Osnabrück's (€10m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (5)
€34m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
KS (6)
€4m
VO (7)
€3m
FD (5)
€2m
WK (9)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €13m more valuable than VfL Osnabrück's (€15m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
WK (10)
€2m
EA (8)
€1m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €18m more valuable than VfL Osnabrück's (€21m vs €3m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
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VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Paderborn 07
1. FC Nürnberg
Erzgebirge Aue
Hannover 96
SV Sandhausen
Eintracht Braunschweig
Wurzburger Kickers