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FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2024
Time: 13:30
Final 0-0
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Vs
26%
27%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours a Wolfsburg victory, with a 46% chance of the away side winning, 27% for a draw and 26% for a St. Pauli win. The average goal tally is 2.7, but the most likely total is two goals, with a 13% chance of a 1-1 scoreline. St. Pauli, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Wolfsburg, on the road, has a slightly lower scoring average of 1.43 but a stronger defence, conceding only 0.86 goals against similar teams. Recent form hints at a story: St. Pauli are coming off a defeat, while Wolfsburg are on a two-game winning run. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 86.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 80.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.0%, Over 1.5 at 76.7%, Over 3.5 cards at 71.1%, Under 3.5 at 71.0%, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.3%. The model predicts Wolfsburg win with the 1-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Wolfsburg, failed to deliver as the game finished 0-0, a draw that surprised many. The model had tipped an away win with a 46% chance, but that call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s most likely outcome, the 1-1 draw, which had a 13% probability. The model’s selection for Over 2.5 cards hit, with an 86.1% chance, while Under 25.5 fouls also succeeded at 80.7%. Under 11.5 corners missed despite an 80% probability, and Over 1.5 and Over 3.5 cards both failed, with 76.7% and 71.1% odds respectively. Under 3.5 hit at 71%, and Under 10.5 corners missed at 70.3%. The match saw St. Pauli’s recent form dip after a defeat, while Wolfsburg entered on a two-game winning streak.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC St. Pauli win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 36.7% · @ 2.61
Edge
-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.46
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg win✗ Miss
46.4%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.68
Edge
+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W21W02L01L13L00D30W03L12LH·VFL12/05A·SV 19/05A·WEH19/05H·1. 25/08A·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09H·FSV05/10A·BOR18/10← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.331.501.211.561.44
vs Stronger (3)1.330.670.000.002.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.471.581.671.561.301.60
vs Weaker (8)1.751.001.500.752.001.25
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W02L13L23L20W12L34L22D31W24LH·SV 04/05A·BAY12/05H·FSV18/05H·BAY25/08A·HOL31/08H·EIN14/09A·BAY22/09H·VFB28/09A·VFL05/10H·WER20/10
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.731.441.941.291.50
vs Stronger (8)1.122.251.501.750.752.75
vs Similar (17)1.351.761.302.401.430.86
vs Weaker (5)1.800.802.000.001.671.33
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.1%
@ 1.83-1.2%
Under 2.5
48.9%
@ 2.01+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.2%
0-0 ✓
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
VfL Wolfsburg goals →
01234
07.8%9.2%8.2%4.3%1.7%
16.3%13%9.4%4.9%2.0%
24.3%6.8%5.3%2.8%1.1%
31.6%2.6%2.0%1.1%0.4%
40.5%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = VfL Wolfsburg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Borussia Dortmund
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.53
RB Leipzig
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
FC Augsburg
1.26
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
Union Berlin
1.21
FC St. Pauli
0.94
1899 Hoffenheim
0.94
1. FC Heidenheim
0.92
Holstein Kiel
0.74
VfL Bochum
0.68
SV Elversberg
0.50
FC St. Pauli is 0.32 points worse than VfL Wolfsburg in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Bayer Leverkusen
2.12
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
Werder Bremen
1.59
RB Leipzig
1.56
SV Elversberg
1.50
Holstein Kiel
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.14
Union Berlin
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.03
VfL Bochum
0.94
FC St. Pauli
0.82
FC St. Pauli is 0.82 goals worse than VfL Wolfsburg in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.65).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
FC St. Pauli
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
Bayer Leverkusen
1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.35
RB Leipzig
1.41
Union Berlin
1.47
FC Augsburg
1.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.50
VfB Stuttgart
1.56
SC Freiburg
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.68
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.86
SV Elversberg
2.00
VfL Bochum
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
2.00
Holstein Kiel
2.35
FC St. Pauli is 0.38 goals better than VfL Wolfsburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
68%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
Borussia Dortmund
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
SV Elversberg
55%
RB Leipzig
52%
FSV Mainz 05
50%
Werder Bremen
50%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
50%
SC Freiburg
49%
1899 Hoffenheim
49%
VfL Wolfsburg
46%
VfL Bochum
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Holstein Kiel
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
43%
Union Berlin
40%
FC St. Pauli is 2.1 percentage points worse than VfL Wolfsburg in terms of average possession (44% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

For 4.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

160172224317745428888438464149616167A·BORH·FSVA·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNIH·1. A·WEHA·SV H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

701233321341323212123363745332A·BORH·FSVA·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNIH·1. A·WEHA·SV H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 8.8 · Total 18.4

⚠️ Fouls

2807812161876810121110915656511215282514222124111113A·BORH·FSVA·SC H·RB A·FC A·UNIH·1. A·WEHA·SV H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

For 3.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 7.7

🚩 Corners

1304467132654711713492813489884411H·WERA·VFLH·VFBA·BAYH·EINA·HOLH·BAYH·FSVA·BAYH·SV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

110212153641274232323338103115523H·WERA·VFLH·VFBA·BAYH·EINA·HOLH·BAYH·FSVA·BAYH·SV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

3101591211201014671814171211131587111324233020253123281524H·WERA·VFLH·VFBA·BAYH·EINA·HOLH·BAYH·FSVA·BAYH·SV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.09.33.53.73.220.320.919.7
vs Stronger (3)6.04.07.04.03.04.518.014.020.0
vs Similar (38)8.58.68.53.43.83.121.121.920.1
vs Weaker (9)12.611.813.53.33.23.518.218.518.0
% over line43%48%38%48%60%36%36%33%38%
% under line57%52%62%52%40%64%64%67%62%
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.89.74.34.24.524.826.223.2
vs Stronger (12)8.38.48.24.44.84.022.226.218.2
vs Similar (31)8.98.49.44.54.15.125.626.424.8
vs Weaker (7)12.612.013.03.43.33.525.425.525.3
% over line39%29%50%58%62%54%71%86%55%
% under line61%71%50%42%38%46%29%14%45%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.3
Borussia Dortmund
10.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.5
SV Elversberg
10.4
VfL Bochum
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
Bayer Leverkusen
10.2
RB Leipzig
10.1
FC Augsburg
10.1
1. FC Heidenheim
10.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.9
Union Berlin
9.9
FSV Mainz 05
9.9
VfB Stuttgart
9.8
VfL Wolfsburg
9.4
SC Freiburg
9.4
Werder Bremen
9.3
Bayern München
9.1
FC St. Pauli
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FSV Mainz 05
5.1
Werder Bremen
4.8
VfL Wolfsburg
4.8
RB Leipzig
4.8
Union Berlin
4.5
VfL Bochum
4.5
Holstein Kiel
4.5
1899 Hoffenheim
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.4
FC Augsburg
4.4
FC St. Pauli
4.2
Bayer Leverkusen
4.2
1. FC Heidenheim
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.0
SC Freiburg
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.8
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
Bayern München
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
26.6
VfL Bochum
24.9
FC Augsburg
24.8
VfL Wolfsburg
24.1
1. FC Heidenheim
23.3
Werder Bremen
23.3
Union Berlin
22.9
Holstein Kiel
22.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
22.3
RB Leipzig
22.3
SV Elversberg
22.2
1899 Hoffenheim
22.1
SC Freiburg
21.7
VfB Stuttgart
21.1
FC St. Pauli
20.7
Borussia Dortmund
20.0
Bayer Leverkusen
19.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.5
Bayern München
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.6%
Under 9.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
48.8%
Under 21.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L00D01L00D00D20W02L01LH·VFL12/05A·SV 19/05A·WEH19/05H·1. 25/08A·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09H·FSV05/10A·BOR18/10← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.370.790.210.880.50
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (19)0.950.371.110.330.800.40
vs Weaker (8)0.620.380.250.001.000.75
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L11D01L20W01L32W11D20W11DH·SV 04/05A·BAY12/05H·FSV18/05H·BAY25/08A·HOL31/08H·EIN14/09A·BAY22/09H·VFB28/09A·VFL05/10H·WER20/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.690.750.930.86
vs Stronger (8)0.621.250.501.000.751.50
vs Similar (17)0.760.710.600.801.000.57
vs Weaker (5)1.200.401.500.001.000.67
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W20W02L00D13L00D10W01L11DH·VFL12/05A·SV 19/05A·WEH19/05H·1. 25/08A·UNI30/08A·FC 15/09H·RB 22/09A·SC 28/09H·FSV05/10A·BOR18/10← 2. BundesligaBundesliga →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.711.000.690.94
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (19)0.531.210.561.220.501.20
vs Weaker (8)1.120.621.250.751.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D02L22D00D11D02L11D11D13LH·SV 04/05A·BAY12/05H·FSV18/05H·BAY25/08A·HOL31/08H·EIN14/09A·BAY22/09H·VFB28/09A·VFL05/10H·WER20/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.751.190.360.64
vs Stronger (8)0.501.001.000.750.001.25
vs Similar (17)0.591.060.701.600.430.29
vs Weaker (5)0.600.400.500.000.670.67
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards86.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.576.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards71.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.571.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Guilavogui22%
Johannes Eggestein14%
Elias Saad11%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Lars Ritzka9%
Siebe Van Der Heyden8%
Danel Sinani7%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Andreas Albers7%
Manolis Saliakas6%
Eric Smith6%
Adam Dźwigała6%
Noah Weißhaupt5%
Jackson Irvine0%
Connor Metcalfe0%
David Nemeth0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Philipp Treu0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Guilavogui26%
Siebe Van Der Heyden23%
Eric Smith21%
Karol Mets17%
Manolis Saliakas16%
James Sands14%
Abdoulie Ceesay14%
David Nemeth12%
Adam Dźwigała12%
Danel Sinani11%
Johannes Eggestein10%
Jackson Irvine10%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan9%
Scott Banks8%
Carlo Boukhalfa7%
Robert Wagner7%
Philipp Treu6%
Elias Saad5%
Lars Ritzka4%
Nikola Vasilj3%
Hauke Wahl3%
Andreas Albers0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johannes Eggestein17%
Jackson Irvine16%
Morgan Guilavogui15%
Elias Saad11%
Philipp Treu9%
David Nemeth4%
Danel Sinani4%
Manolis Saliakas3%
Eric Smith3%
Oladapo Afolayan3%
Connor Metcalfe0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Scott Banks0%
Carlo Boukhalfa0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elias Saad21%
Morgan Guilavogui19%
Jackson Irvine16%
Connor Metcalfe9%
Oladapo Afolayan6%
Lars Ritzka4%
Danel Sinani4%
Carlo Boukhalfa4%
Johannes Eggestein3%
Philipp Treu3%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Manolis Saliakas0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Karol Mets0%
James Sands0%
Scott Banks0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Robert Wagner0%
Abdoulie Ceesay0%
VfL Wolfsburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonas Wind26%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura24%
Tiago Tomás17%
Mattias Svanberg13%
Sebastiaan Bornauw12%
Ridle Baku11%
Lukas Nmecha10%
Maximilian Arnold10%
Joakim Mæhle10%
Denis Vavro9%
Lovro Majer9%
Patrick Wimmer9%
Andreas Skov Olsen8%
Yannick Gerhardt6%
Kevin Behrens5%
Bence Dárdai4%
Kilian Fischer3%
Marius Müller0%
Kamil Grabara0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Salih Özcan0%
Jakub Kamiński0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Aster Vranckx0%
Konstantinos Koulierakis0%
David Odogu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cedric Zesiger50%
Maximilian Arnold30%
Mattias Svanberg22%
Tiago Tomás19%
Joakim Mæhle19%
Sebastiaan Bornauw19%
Mohamed El Amine Amoura18%
Kilian Fischer17%
Yannick Gerhardt15%
Denis Vavro12%
Patrick Wimmer12%
Konstantinos Koulierakis12%
Ridle Baku11%
Kevin Behrens11%
Lovro Majer9%
Salih Özcan8%
Jakub Kamiński8%
Aster Vranckx7%
Kamil Grabara6%
Jonas Wind6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Bence Dárdai4%
Marius Müller0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
David Odogu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed El Amine Amoura24%
Maximilian Arnold20%
Joakim Mæhle13%
Patrick Wimmer12%
Jakub Kamiński12%
Jonas Wind11%
Ridle Baku11%
Lovro Majer9%
Andreas Skov Olsen8%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Konstantinos Koulierakis6%
Mattias Svanberg4%
Bence Dárdai4%
Yannick Gerhardt3%
Tiago Tomás3%
Marius Müller0%
Denis Vavro0%
Kamil Grabara0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Lukas Nmecha0%
Salih Özcan0%
Kevin Behrens0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Aster Vranckx0%
Kilian Fischer0%
David Odogu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed El Amine Amoura24%
Lovro Majer18%
Patrick Wimmer12%
Tiago Tomás11%
Konstantinos Koulierakis9%
Jonas Wind9%
Ridle Baku6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Mattias Svanberg4%
Maximilian Arnold3%
Denis Vavro3%
Marius Müller0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Kamil Grabara0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Salih Özcan0%
Kevin Behrens0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Jakub Kamiński0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Aster Vranckx0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Bence Dárdai0%
David Odogu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
SE (27)
€52m
FSP (27)
€46m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
VB (24)
€19m
FC St. Pauli's squad is €108m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€46m vs €154m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
1FH (11)
€15m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
VB (9)
€6m
FC St. Pauli's attack is €47m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€10m vs €56m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
FSP (8)
€15m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
VB (4)
€5m
SE (3)
€4m
FC St. Pauli's midfield is €16m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€15m vs €32m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
SE (12)
€14m
1FH (11)
€12m
VB (11)
€8m
FC St. Pauli's defence is €45m less valuable than VfL Wolfsburg's (€21m vs €66m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FSP wins
0
Draws
0
VW wins

Head-to-head

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg · H/A from FSP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/24ABorussia Dortmund Vs FSP2-1
05/10/24HFSP Vs FSV Mainz 050-3
28/09/24ASC Freiburg Vs FSP0-3
22/09/24HFSP Vs RB Leipzig0-0
15/09/24AFC Augsburg Vs FSP3-1
30/08/24AUnion Berlin Vs FSP1-0
25/08/24HFSP Vs 1. FC Heidenheim0-2
19/05/24AWehen Vs FSP1-2
19/05/24ASV Wehen Vs FSP1-2
12/05/24HFSP Vs VfL Osnabrück3-1

VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24HVW Vs Werder Bremen2-4
05/10/24AVfL Bochum Vs VW1-3
28/09/24HVW Vs VfB Stuttgart2-2
22/09/24ABayer Leverkusen Vs VW4-3
14/09/24HVW Vs Eintracht Frankfurt1-2
31/08/24AHolstein Kiel Vs VW0-2
25/08/24HVW Vs Bayern München2-3
18/05/24HVW Vs FSV Mainz 051-3
12/05/24ABayern München Vs VW2-0
04/05/24HVW Vs SV Darmstadt 983-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.76
HomeWWLDL1.80
AwayWLLWL1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%48%52%
AVG goals2.882.603.16
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %58%48%68%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.681.601.76
Conceded1.201.001.40
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners9.149.009.29
Cards4.124.383.86
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.10
HomeLLLDL1.19
AwayWLWLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals3.143.123.17
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %64%73%54%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.381.541.21
Conceded1.761.581.96
BTTS62%73%50%
Clean Sheet18%23%12%
Corners9.208.769.65
Cards5.295.145.45

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3482
74%
2.4
9932+67
3.9
91%
76%
59%
9.1
38%
3.6
53%
19.2
26%
1076
5541873362.90.9
68%
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3469
56%
2.0
7243+29
3.4
82%
62%
53%
9.8
56%
4.0
55%
20.4
35%
499
246911622.11.3
59%
3Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
50%
1.8
6846+22
3.4
88%
65%
50%
10.0
59%
3.4
41%
19.6
38%
323
17478722.01.4
50%
4Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3457
50%
1.7
7151+20
3.6
94%
71%
50%
9.6
50%
4.5
64%
20.2
41%
529
1701462142.11.5
59%
5SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3455
47%
1.6
4953-4
3.0
74%
68%
47%
8.2
29%
3.5
41%
19.4
29%
243
96361101.41.6
49%
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053452
41%
1.5
5543+12
2.9
88%
53%
32%
9.9
56%
4.9
71%
22.3
50%
175
4980471.61.3
50%
7RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3451
38%
1.5
5348+5
3.0
71%
56%
44%
10.2
53%
4.4
71%
21.2
50%
506
2121091851.61.4
52%
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen3451
41%
1.5
5457-3
3.3
76%
65%
47%
9.5
53%
4.9
71%
22.3
59%
119
5028411.61.7
50%
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3450
41%
1.5
6453+11
3.4
82%
71%
53%
10.0
65%
5.5
79%
23.1
56%
430
193921451.91.6
58%
10Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3445
38%
1.3
5557-2
3.3
85%
62%
38%
9.9
53%
3.3
52%
19.9
41%
129
5822491.61.7
50%
11VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3443
32%
1.3
5654+2
3.2
74%
59%
50%
10.1
59%
4.5
58%
21.4
50%
154
5632661.61.6
46%
12FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
32%
1.3
3551-16
2.5
74%
53%
32%
9.6
53%
4.1
55%
21.4
53%
161
6423741.01.5
44%
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3441
29%
1.2
3650-14
2.5
74%
50%
18%
9.4
50%
4.0
55%
21.9
41%
123
4626501.11.5
40%
141. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3633
25%
0.9
4167-26
3.0
78%
58%
39%
8.9
42%
4.3
66%
23.1
58%
33
157121.11.9
43%
15FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3432
24%
0.9
2841-13
2.0
68%
29%
12%
8.9
35%
4.0
55%
21.2
41%
46
1015210.81.2
44%
161899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3432
21%
0.9
4668-22
3.4
85%
59%
53%
10.2
65%
4.0
50%
22.8
56%
309
111105921.42.0
49%
17Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3425
18%
0.7
4980-31
3.8
94%
76%
56%
10.1
50%
4.6
68%
22.9
62%
34
127161.42.4
44%
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3423
15%
0.7
3268-36
2.9
76%
47%
38%
10.3
62%
3.7
52%
22.6
53%
19
6580.92.0
45%
19SV ElversbergSV Elversberg21
0%
0.5
34-1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.5
0%
2.5
50%
21.0
50%
52
334141.52.0
55%
Germany: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches