This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.63
1.20
1.67
1.40
1.60
vs Stronger (25)
1.20
1.80
1.31
1.85
1.08
1.75
vs Similar (5)
1.80
0.80
0.50
0.50
2.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.55-12.4%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 2.39+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
FC St. Pauli goals ↓
Wehen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
5.3%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
1
12%
12%
4.9%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.7%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
6.4%
5.6%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.8%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC St. Pauli goals (down), columns = Wehen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Holstein Kiel
2.06
FC St. Pauli
2.03
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83
Hamburger SV
1.72
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Hannover 96
1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
Hertha BSC
1.33
FC Schalke 04
1.31
SV Elversberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
1. FC Nürnberg
1.22
1. FC Magdeburg
1.17
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.11
Hansa Rostock
0.94
Wehen
0.94
SV Wehen
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.86
FC St. Pauli is 1.09 points better than Wehen in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.08
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Hertha BSC
1.94
Karlsruher SC
1.94
Holstein Kiel
1.92
Hamburger SV
1.89
FC St. Pauli
1.81
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.53
SV Elversberg
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.14
SV Wehen
1.08
Wehen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.89
FC St. Pauli is 0.75 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC St. Pauli
1.06
Holstein Kiel
1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
Hannover 96
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.25
Karlsruher SC
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
Wehen
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.50
SV Wehen
1.50
Jahn Regensburg
1.50
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
Hansa Rostock
1.64
FC Schalke 04
1.69
Hertha BSC
1.75
SV Elversberg
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg
1.83
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.86
VfL Osnabrück
1.97
FC St. Pauli is 0.42 goals better than Wehen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
61%
FC St. Pauli
57%
Hamburger SV
57%
SC Paderborn 07
54%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
52%
Karlsruher SC
51%
Hannover 96
51%
FC Schalke 04
50%
SV Elversberg
48%
Hertha BSC
47%
SV Wehen
46%
VfL Osnabrück
46%
1. FC Nürnberg
46%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
Hansa Rostock
43%
Eintracht Braunschweig
42%
Jahn Regensburg
32%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC St. Pauli
For 5.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 12.7 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
For 5.3 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC St. Pauli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.1
8.3
1.6
1.8
1.4
21.2
20.7
21.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
8.9
9.8
7.8
1.5
1.9
1.1
21.1
21.6
20.5
vs Weaker (12)
8.0
4.0
9.3
1.8
1.2
2.1
21.5
13.0
24.3
% over line
39%
56%
22%
24%
32%
16%
39%
33%
44%
% under line
61%
44%
78%
76%
68%
84%
61%
67%
56%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.4
4.7
4.3
5.1
24.0
23.8
24.2
vs Stronger (40)
10.8
10.4
11.2
4.5
4.2
5.0
23.2
23.1
23.4
vs Similar (10)
9.1
10.8
7.4
5.2
4.8
5.6
27.0
26.8
27.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
70%
64%
76%
68%
64%
72%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
30%
36%
24%
32%
36%
28%
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Nürnberg
11.4
Hamburger SV
11.4
SV Wehen
10.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.9
Holstein Kiel
10.6
Wehen
10.4
Hertha BSC
10.4
VfL Osnabrück
10.4
Hansa Rostock
10.3
SC Paderborn 07
10.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.2
Hannover 96
10.1
FC Schalke 04
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
Karlsruher SC
10.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.9
SV Elversberg
9.8
FC St. Pauli
9.3
1. FC Magdeburg
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
5.1
SV Wehen
5.1
Hamburger SV
4.9
1. FC Nürnberg
4.8
Wehen
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Hansa Rostock
4.5
Holstein Kiel
4.5
SC Paderborn 07
4.4
FC Schalke 04
4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.3
Hannover 96
4.2
VfL Osnabrück
4.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.1
Karlsruher SC
4.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.0
Hertha BSC
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
27.2
VfL Osnabrück
26.3
1. FC Magdeburg
25.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.8
Eintracht Braunschweig
25.4
Hertha BSC
24.9
Hansa Rostock
24.4
Hannover 96
24.2
Wehen
24.0
SV Elversberg
23.8
1. FC Nürnberg
23.7
FC Schalke 04
23.7
SV Wehen
23.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.1
Holstein Kiel
22.4
SC Paderborn 07
22.3
Hamburger SV
22.2
FC St. Pauli
21.8
Karlsruher SC
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.1%
Under 9.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.8%
Under 3.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.6%
Under 21.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
0.69
0.44
1.21
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.43
0.67
0.58
0.82
0.27
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
0.14
0.75
0.00
2.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.53
0.80
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (25)
0.60
0.72
0.62
0.85
0.58
0.58
vs Similar (5)
1.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
2.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC St. Pauli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
0.94
0.25
1.00
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.13
0.57
1.08
0.25
1.18
0.91
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.43
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.67
0.87
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (25)
0.60
1.08
0.69
1.00
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC St. Pauli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC St. Pauli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC St. Pauli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC St. Pauli
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcel Hartel47%
Johannes Eggestein29%
Oladapo Afolayan23%
Jackson Irvine23%
Elias Saad17%
Danel Sinani14%
Connor Metcalfe10%
Lars Ritzka7%
Manolis Saliakas7%
Andreas Albers6%
Carlo Boukhalfa6%
Etienne Amenyido5%
Eric Smith4%
Philipp Treu4%
David Nemeth0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Maurides0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Simon Zoller0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Karol Mets0%
Scott Banks0%
Aljoscha Kemlein0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jackson Irvine31%
Danel Sinani29%
David Nemeth29%
Eric Smith28%
Scott Banks25%
Connor Metcalfe21%
Elias Saad21%
Manolis Saliakas20%
Adam Dźwigała19%
Oladapo Afolayan13%
Aljoscha Kemlein12%
Hauke Wahl9%
Johannes Eggestein7%
Lars Ritzka7%
Carlo Boukhalfa6%
Etienne Amenyido5%
Philipp Treu4%
Karol Mets3%
Nikola Vasilj3%
Maurides0%
Andreas Albers0%
Marcel Hartel0%
Simon Zoller0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcel Hartel34%
Jackson Irvine31%
Scott Banks25%
Connor Metcalfe17%
Eric Smith12%
Johannes Eggestein11%
Etienne Amenyido11%
Oladapo Afolayan10%
Philipp Treu8%
Manolis Saliakas7%
Aljoscha Kemlein6%
Lars Ritzka3%
Elias Saad3%
Danel Sinani0%
David Nemeth0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Maurides0%
Andreas Albers0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Simon Zoller0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Karol Mets0%
Carlo Boukhalfa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcel Hartel44%
Jackson Irvine31%
Elias Saad24%
Johannes Eggestein21%
Oladapo Afolayan17%
Connor Metcalfe10%
Andreas Albers6%
Manolis Saliakas3%
Danel Sinani0%
David Nemeth0%
Eric Smith0%
Nikola Vasilj0%
Maurides0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Simon Zoller0%
Etienne Amenyido0%
Adam Dźwigała0%
Karol Mets0%
Lars Ritzka0%
Scott Banks0%
Carlo Boukhalfa0%
Philipp Treu0%
Aljoscha Kemlein0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
Jahn Regensburg