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FC Stăuceni vs Saxan Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Vs
33%
26%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Saxan
Saxan
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Stăuceni win✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Saxan win✗ Miss
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W21W40W11D10W13L01L21W30W31WH·OLI08/11A·VIC22/11A·FCM30/11H·ISK07/12A·VIC08/03A·SAX15/03A·DAC28/03H·FĂL04/04A·FLO12/04H·VIC18/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.141.482.781.561.671.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.331.751.501.001.20
vs Weaker (12)2.751.583.601.602.141.57
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 – goals for & against
190-1921W20W21W190W190W31W20W22D30W30WH·GAG23/11H·VUL30/11A·SPE07/12H·FLO08/03H·FLO08/03H·FC 15/03H·VIC28/03H·DAC05/04A·FĂL11/04A·FLO18/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
6.2
Avg scored
5.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.070.973.720.782.081.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.571.501.001.002.33
vs Weaker (23)3.610.784.360.712.440.89
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
FC Stăuceni goals ↓
Saxan goals →
01234
05.8%6.6%6.2%3.4%1.4%
15.7%12%8.9%4.8%1.9%
24.8%7.8%6.4%3.4%1.4%
32.3%3.7%3.0%1.6%0.7%
40.8%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Stăuceni goals (down), columns = Saxan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saxan
2.46
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.33
Speranis Nisporeni
2.25
Zimbru
1.88
Milsami Orhei
1.75
FC Stăuceni
1.73
Dacia-Buiucani
1.62
Petrocub
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Victoria Bardar
1.25
CSF Bălți
1.17
Făleşti
0.75
Spartanii Selemet
0.67
Floreşti
0.04
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
FC Stăuceni is 0.73 points worse than Saxan in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 2.46).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saxan
3.69
Milsami Orhei
2.29
Zimbru
2.25
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.08
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
2.00
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.92
Petrocub
1.67
FC Stăuceni
1.55
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Făleşti
1.17
CSF Bălți
1.12
Olimp Comrat
1.00
FCM Ungheni
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Floreşti
0.12
FC Stăuceni is 2.15 goals worse than Saxan in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 3.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.50
Saxan
0.62
Dacia-Buiucani
0.92
Zimbru
1.04
Petrocub
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Speranis Nisporeni
1.25
FC Stăuceni
1.36
CSF Bălți
1.38
Victoria Bardar
1.92
Spartanii Selemet
2.29
Făleşti
2.67
Olimp Comrat
3.00
Iskra
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Floreşti
4.60
FC Stăuceni is 0.75 goals worse than Saxan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 0.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W31W10W00D11D00D00D20WA·FCM18/10A·ISK26/10A·SPE02/11H·OLI08/11A·VIC22/11A·FCM30/11H·ISK07/12A·DAC28/03A·FLO12/04H·VIC18/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.732.001.330.560.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.201.500.500.670.00
vs Weaker (10)1.201.002.251.750.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaxanSaxan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
90-910W20W01L00D00D90W20W00D10W10WA·SPE25/10H·FĂL02/11A·SHE08/11H·VUL30/11A·SPE07/12H·FLO08/03H·VIC28/03H·DAC05/04A·FĂL11/04A·FLO18/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.540.940.500.670.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.431.000.670.330.251.50
vs Weaker (21)0.950.381.000.540.880.12
Clean sheet %64% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L02L10W30W11D40W00D01L30W11DA·FCM18/10A·ISK26/10A·SPE02/11H·OLI08/11A·VIC22/11A·FCM30/11H·ISK07/12A·DAC28/03A·FLO12/04H·VIC18/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.531.330.171.220.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.800.500.500.331.00
vs Weaker (10)1.700.401.750.001.670.67
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaxanSaxan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1001L20W10W20W21W100W00D22D20W20WA·SPE25/10H·FĂL02/11A·SHE08/11H·VUL30/11A·SPE07/12H·FLO08/03H·VIC28/03H·DAC05/04A·FĂL11/04A·FLO18/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.501.620.441.330.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.570.330.671.000.50
vs Weaker (21)1.760.481.920.381.500.62
Clean sheet %61% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
FS wins
0
Draws
1
SAX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Stăuceni vs Saxan · H/A from FS
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25ASaxan Vs FS3-1

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25HFS Vs Victoria Bardar3-1
12/04/25AFloreşti Vs FS0-3
04/04/25HFS Vs Făleşti2-1
28/03/25ADacia-Buiucani Vs FS1-0
15/03/25ASaxan Vs FS3-1
08/03/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FS0-1
07/12/24HFS Vs Iskra1-1
30/11/24AFCM Ungheni Vs FS0-4
22/11/24AVictoria Bardar Vs FS1-2
08/11/24HFS Vs Olimp Comrat6-1

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25AFloreşti Vs SAX0-3
11/04/25AFăleşti Vs SAX0-3
05/04/25HSAX Vs Dacia-Buiucani2-2
28/03/25HSAX Vs Victoria Bardar2-0
15/03/25HSAX Vs FC Stăuceni3-1
08/03/25HSAX Vs Floreşti19-0
08/03/25HSAX Vs Floreşti19-0
07/12/24ASperanis Nisporeni Vs SAX1-2
30/11/24HSAX Vs Vulturii Cutezători2-0
23/11/24HSAX Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.81
HomeLWDWW2.11
AwayWWLLW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%67%50%
AVG goals3.624.333.08
Over 1.5 %86%100%75%
Over 2.5 %67%78%58%
Over 3.5 %48%56%42%
Scored2.142.781.67
Conceded1.481.561.42
BTTS57%78%42%
Clean Sheet29%11%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Saxan
Saxan
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.04
HomeWWWWD1.89
AwayDDWWW2.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%56%65%
AVG goals3.884.003.74
Over 1.5 %86%81%91%
Over 2.5 %62%56%70%
Over 3.5 %40%41%39%
Scored2.883.192.52
Conceded1.000.811.22
BTTS50%37%65%
Clean Sheet40%48%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2456
67%
2.3
5012+38
2.6
67%
46%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.5
-
2ZimbruZimbru2445
58%
1.9
5425+29
3.3
79%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.21.0
-
3Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2442
50%
1.8
5526+29
3.4
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.31.1
-
4Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2439
46%
1.6
4622+24
2.8
71%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.90.9
-
5PetrocubPetrocub2437
42%
1.5
4026+14
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.1
-
6SaxanSaxan1332
77%
2.5
488+40
4.3
100%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.70.6
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2428
29%
1.2
2733-6
2.5
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.4
-
8FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1119
55%
1.7
1715+2
2.9
73%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
9Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2416
12%
0.7
2155-34
3.2
75%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
10Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1215
42%
1.2
2423+1
3.9
92%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.9
-
11Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni49
75%
2.2
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
12FăleştiFăleşti129
25%
0.8
1432-18
3.8
92%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.7
-
13IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
36-3
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.53.0
-
14FloreştiFloreşti251
0%
0.0
3115-112
4.7
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.14.6
-
15Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
17Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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