FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026

Time: 09:30

Final 0-2

FC Tallinn

46%

26%

28%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Nõmme Kalju II

Estonia: Esiliiga A

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

The model favours a home win, with a 46% chance, followed by a 26% draw and a 28% away win. Expecting an average of 3.1 goals, the most likely total is two goals, a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.8% chance. FC Tallinn, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.18 goals scored and concedes 2.36. Nõmme Kalju II, on the road to a similar opponent, averages 1.14 scored and 1.57 conceded. Recent form shows FC Tallinn coming off a defeat, while Nõmme Kalju II has endured five straight losses. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (96.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.2%), and Away under 1.5 HT goals (91.6%).

Results analysis

FC Tallinn’s recent slump, highlighted by two straight defeats, made the home side an unlikely victor, yet the model’s favourite was a home win at 46%. The match finished 0-2 in favour of Nõmme Kalju II, proving the model’s call wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7%, Under 6.5 at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0%, and Under 5.5 at 91.3%. The upset underscored the unpredictability of the league, with Nõmme Kalju II extending their run after a win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Tallinn win✗ Miss

45.8%

Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 1.96

Edge

-0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

2.02

Dafabet

1.99

Unibet

1.98

1xBet

1.97

Bet365

1.91

Draw✗ Miss

25.8%

Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.05

Edge

+3.5%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

4.40

Bet365

4.20

Betfair

4.00

Dafabet

4.00

Superbet

4.00

Nõmme Kalju II win✓ Hit

28.3%

Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.85

Edge

-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.00

Superbet

2.90

Dafabet

2.85

1xBet

2.83

Bet365

2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.3

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.90	2.03	1.73	1.67	2.07	2.40
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	1.00	-	-	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (25)	1.80	2.12	1.31	1.85	2.33	2.42
vs Weaker (4)	3.00	1.75	4.50	0.50	1.50	3.00
Clean sheet %	17% (-7pp vs league)

This opponent (Nõmme Kalju II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme Kalju II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.8

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

3.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.47	2.20	1.50	2.44	1.43	1.93
vs Stronger (12)	1.25	2.75	1.33	3.00	1.17	2.50
vs Similar (16)	1.25	1.94	1.33	2.22	1.14	1.57
vs Weaker (2)	4.50	1.00	4.00	1.00	5.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	17% (-7pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

81.6%

@ 1.06-6.2%

Under 1.5

18.4%

@ 7.63+6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.06

1xBet

1.06

Superbet

1.05

Under

Betfair

8.50

1xBet

8.00

Superbet

6.40

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

58.4%

@ 1.25-15.0%

Under 2.5

41.6%

@ 3.43+15.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.28

1xBet

1.27

Superbet

1.26

Betfair

1.22

Unibet

1.21

Under

Betfair

3.80

Bet365

3.50

1xBet

3.40

Unibet

3.25

Superbet

3.20

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

36.0%

@ 1.67-19.0%

Under 3.5

64.0%

@ 2.04+19.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.71

Superbet

1.71

Betfair

1.65

Unibet

1.61

Under

Betfair

2.20

1xBet

2.00

Superbet

2.00

Unibet

1.94

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

61.1%

@ 1.28-11.9%

38.9%

@ 3.45+11.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

1xBet

1.29

Superbet

1.29

Betfair

1.25

Betfair

3.70

1xBet

3.34

Superbet

3.30

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.0%@ 9.67+7.7%

2-1

9.3%@ 9.00+4.7%

1-0

7.2%@ 15.67+4.5%

1-2

7.2%@ 10.67+3.2%

2-0

7.1%@ 14.33+4.2%

2-2

6.1%@ 9.67+1.8%

0-0

5.9%@ 33.67+4.7%

3-1

5.3%@ 11.67+1.8%

FC Tallinn goals ↓

	Nõmme Kalju II goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	5.3%	4.2%	1.8%	0.6%
1	7.2%	12%	7.2%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.1%	9.3%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.1%	5.3%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.7%	2.3%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Tallinn goals (down), columns = Nõmme Kalju II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Maardu

2.00

Elva

2.00

FCI Levadia II

1.78

Tallinna Kalev

1.62

Viimsi

1.60

Tartu Welco

1.50

Flora II

1.27

FC Tallinn

1.22

Nõmme United II

0.89

Nõmme Kalju II

0.50

FC Tallinn is 0.72 points better than Nõmme Kalju II in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 0.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Tartu Welco

2.62

Viimsi

2.30

Maardu

2.22

FCI Levadia II

2.11

Flora II

1.82

Tallinna Kalev

1.62

Elva

1.56

Nõmme United II

1.00

Nõmme Kalju II

0.90

FC Tallinn

0.89

FC Tallinn is 0.01 goals worse than Nõmme Kalju II in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 0.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Elva

0.78

FC Tallinn

1.22

Flora II

1.36

Viimsi

1.40

Tallinna Kalev

1.75

Nõmme United II

1.78

Tartu Welco

1.88

Maardu

2.00

FCI Levadia II

2.11

Nõmme Kalju II

2.70

FC Tallinn is 1.48 goals better than Nõmme Kalju II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 2.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

FC Tallinn or Draw✗ Miss

71.7%

Avg Implied 68.4% · @ 1.33

Edge

+3.3%

46%

26%

28%

covers FC Tallinn + Draw

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.38

Superbet

1.34

Betfair

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Unibet

1.29

FC Tallinn or Nõmme Kalju II✓ Hit

74.2%

Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.17

Edge

-3.7%

46%

26%

28%

covers FC Tallinn + Nõmme Kalju II

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

1.19

Bet365

1.17

1xBet

1.17

Betfair

1.17

Unibet

1.16

Draw or Nõmme Kalju II✓ Hit

54.2%

Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.70

Edge

+0.4%

46%

26%

28%

covers Draw + Nõmme Kalju II

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.76

Bet365

1.73

Betfair

1.73

Superbet

1.68

Unibet

1.58

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

FC Tallinn over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

82.0%

@ 1.06-3.6%

Under

18.0%

@ 6.33+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.07

Superbet

1.06

Under

1xBet

6.90

Superbet

5.75

FC Tallinn over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

51.2%

@ 1.47-10.9%

Under

48.8%

@ 2.40+10.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.48

Superbet

1.48

Unibet

1.45

Under

1xBet

2.46

Superbet

2.40

Unibet

2.35

FC Tallinn over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

24.7%

@ 2.47-12.2%

Under

75.3%

@ 1.44+12.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.50

Superbet

2.47

Unibet

2.43

Under

1xBet

1.47

Superbet

1.44

Unibet

1.42

FC Tallinn over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

9.6%

Under

90.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.1%

@ 1.14-7.4%

Under

26.9%

@ 4.70+7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.14

Superbet

1.13

Under

1xBet

5.00

Superbet

4.40

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

37.8%

@ 1.74-14.8%

Under

62.2%

@ 1.93+14.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.78

1xBet

1.75

Unibet

1.68

Under

1xBet

1.96

Superbet

1.92

Unibet

1.91

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

14.6%

@ 3.27-13.2%

Under

85.4%

@ 1.26+13.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.30

Superbet

3.25

Under

1xBet

1.27

Superbet

1.25

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.5%

Under

95.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FC Tallinn, so a minus line means FC Tallinn give that many goals of a start and Nõmme Kalju II receive them. At -1, FC Tallinn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Tallinn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (FC Tallinn)Actual: Nõmme Kalju II

FC Tallinn -2

10.8%

Draw -2

14.2%

Nõmme Kalju II +2

75.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap -1 (FC Tallinn)Actual: Nõmme Kalju II

FC Tallinn -1

25.0%

@ 3.04-2.7%

Draw -1

20.8%

@ 3.94-0.6%

Nõmme Kalju II +1

54.2%

@ 1.66+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

3.20

Unibet

2.88

Draw

Betfair

4.33

Unibet

3.55

Away

Betfair

1.73

Unibet

1.58

Handicap +1 (FC Tallinn)Actual: Nõmme Kalju II

FC Tallinn +1

71.7%

@ 1.30+10.2%

Draw +1

15.7%

@ 4.10-3.8%

Nõmme Kalju II -1

12.7%

@ 4.20-6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Unibet

1.30

Draw

Unibet

4.10

Away

Unibet

4.20

Handicap +2 (FC Tallinn)Actual: Draw

FC Tallinn +2

87.3%

Draw +2

8.3%

Nõmme Kalju II -2

4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	1.03	0.47	1.00	0.93	1.07
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	1.00	-	-	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (25)	0.64	1.12	0.31	1.08	1.00	1.17
vs Weaker (4)	1.25	0.50	1.50	0.50	1.00	0.50
Clean sheet %	37% (+13pp vs league)

This opponent (Nõmme Kalju II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme Kalju II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.77	0.81	0.75	0.93	0.79
vs Stronger (12)	0.67	1.17	0.50	0.83	0.83	1.50
vs Similar (16)	0.75	0.56	0.89	0.78	0.57	0.29
vs Weaker (2)	3.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	4.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	50% (+27pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

70.3%

@ 1.14-10.3%

Under 0.5

29.7%

@ 4.75+10.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.14

Superbet

1.14

1xBet

1.14

Under

1xBet

5.00

Betfair

5.00

Superbet

4.25

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

34.2%

@ 1.75-18.4%

Under 1.5

65.8%

@ 1.94+18.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.80

1xBet

1.73

Betfair

1.73

Unibet

1.73

Under

Betfair

2.00

1xBet

2.00

Superbet

1.90

Unibet

1.87

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

12.7%

@ 3.27-15.4%

Under 2.5

87.3%

@ 1.27+15.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

3.30

Betfair

3.25

1xBet

3.25

Under

Betfair

1.29

1xBet

1.29

Superbet

1.24

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

FC Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

48.1%

@ 1.52-12.1%

Under

51.9%

@ 2.31+12.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.53

Superbet

1.52

Under

Superbet

2.32

1xBet

2.29

FC Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

18.1%

@ 3.40-8.9%

Under

81.9%

@ 1.26+8.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.40

Under

1xBet

1.26

FC Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.2%

@ 8.45-6.8%

Under

95.8%

@ 1.04+6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.45

Under

1xBet

1.04

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

36.3%

@ 1.73-17.3%

Under

63.7%

@ 2.00+17.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.73

Superbet

1.72

Under

Superbet

2.00

1xBet

1.99

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

8.8%

@ 4.40-12.1%

Under

91.2%

@ 1.16+12.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.40

Under

1xBet

1.16

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.3%

@ 10.00-7.0%

Under

97.7%

@ 1.02+7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Under

1xBet

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.20	1.00	1.27	0.67	1.13	1.33
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	0.00	-	-	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (25)	1.16	1.00	1.00	0.77	1.33	1.25
vs Weaker (4)	1.75	1.25	3.00	0.00	0.50	2.50
Clean sheet %	43% (+20pp vs league)

This opponent (Nõmme Kalju II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme Kalju II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.0

Avg conceded

1.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	1.43	0.69	1.69	0.50	1.14
vs Stronger (12)	0.58	1.58	0.83	2.17	0.33	1.00
vs Similar (16)	0.50	1.38	0.44	1.44	0.57	1.29
vs Weaker (2)	1.50	1.00	2.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	23% (+0pp vs league)

This opponent (FC Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

79.0%

@ 1.06-8.3%

Under 0.5

21.0%

@ 7.30+8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.06

Under

1xBet

7.30

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

44.2%

@ 1.46-18.9%

Under 1.5

55.8%

@ 2.48+18.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.46

1xBet

1.45

Under

1xBet

2.55

Superbet

2.42

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

21.6%

@ 2.38-17.1%

Under 2.5

78.4%

@ 1.50+17.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.42

1xBet

2.33

Under

1xBet

1.53

Superbet

1.47

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

FC Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

61.3%

@ 1.36-5.3%

Under

38.7%

@ 2.72+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.37

1xBet

1.36

Under

1xBet

2.74

Superbet

2.70

FC Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

23.4%

@ 2.62-11.3%

Under

76.6%

@ 1.39+11.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.62

1xBet

2.62

Under

Superbet

1.39

1xBet

1.39

FC Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

7.0%

@ 6.15-8.1%

Under

93.0%

@ 1.09+8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.15

Under

1xBet

1.09

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

41.4%

@ 1.50-19.7%

Under

58.6%

@ 2.35+19.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.50

Superbet

1.49

Under

Superbet

2.37

1xBet

2.33

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

14.0%

@ 3.30-13.8%

Under

86.0%

@ 1.27+13.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.30

Under

1xBet

1.27

Nõmme Kalju II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.8%

@ 7.85-10.0%

Under

98.2%

@ 1.05+10.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.85

Under

1xBet

1.05

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	98.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	98.2%	1.05	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	-	+10.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.7%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	96.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	95.8%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	95.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	93.0%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.1%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	91.3%	1.19	Betfair 1.22	1xBet 1.19	Superbet 1.16	-	-	+13.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	91.2%	1.16	1xBet 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	90.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	87.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals	87.3%	1.27	Betfair 1.29	1xBet 1.29	Superbet 1.24	-	-	+15.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	86.0%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+13.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	85.4%	1.26	1xBet 1.27	Superbet 1.25	-	-	-	+13.2%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	82.0%	1.06	1xBet 1.07	Superbet 1.06	-	-	-	-3.6%	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals	81.9%	1.26	1xBet 1.26	-	-	-	-	+8.9%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	81.6%	1.06	Betfair 1.06	1xBet 1.06	Superbet 1.05	-	-	-6.2%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	81.0%	1.44	Betfair 1.50	1xBet 1.47	Superbet 1.42	Unibet 1.38	-	+17.5%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	79.0%	1.06	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	-	-8.3%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	78.4%	1.50	1xBet 1.53	Superbet 1.47	-	-	-	+17.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	76.6%	1.39	Superbet 1.39	1xBet 1.39	-	-	-	+11.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	75.3%	1.44	1xBet 1.47	Superbet 1.44	Unibet 1.42	-	-	+12.2%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	75.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home or Away	74.2%	1.17	Superbet 1.19	Bet365 1.17	1xBet 1.17	Betfair 1.17	Unibet 1.16	-3.7%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	73.1%	1.14	1xBet 1.14	Superbet 1.13	-	-	-	-7.4%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	71.7%	1.33	1xBet 1.38	Superbet 1.34	Betfair 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Unibet 1.29	+3.3%	✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap	71.7%	1.30	Unibet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.2%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals	70.3%	1.14	Betfair 1.14	Superbet 1.14	1xBet 1.14	-	-	-10.3%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

TK (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

TK (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

TK (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

TK (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings

FT wins

Draws

NKI wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II · H/A from FT

Date	H/A	Game	Score
27/09/25	H	FT Vs Nõmme Kalju II	2-1
09/08/25	A	Nõmme Kalju II Vs FT	1-0
03/06/25	H	FT Vs Nõmme Kalju II	7-0
20/04/25	A	Nõmme Kalju II Vs FT	2-4

FC Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	A	FCI Levadia II Vs FT	2-1
20/08/26	H	FT Vs Nõmme United II	1-1
15/08/26	A	Maardu Vs FT	1-0
08/08/26	A	Tallinna Kalev Vs FT	1-1
01/08/26	H	FT Vs Flora II	1-0
28/07/26	H	FT Vs Tallinna FC Zapoos	4-1
18/07/26	A	Tartu Welco Vs FT	0-2
11/07/26	H	FT Vs Elva	0-3
22/11/25	H	FT Vs Phoenix	0-0
15/11/25	A	Phoenix Vs FT	2-2

Nõmme Kalju II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	H	NKI Vs Tartu Welco	2-4
20/08/26	H	NKI Vs Tallinna Kalev	0-3
17/08/26	A	Nõmme United II Vs NKI	2-0
10/08/26	A	Flora II Vs NKI	3-0
01/08/26	H	NKI Vs Maardu	1-4
25/07/26	H	NKI Vs Flora II	0-5
18/07/26	H	NKI Vs FCI Levadia II	0-2
11/07/26	A	Viimsi Vs NKI	2-2
05/07/26	H	NKI Vs Elva	2-2
09/11/25	A	Viimsi Vs NKI	4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Tallinn

Estonia: Esiliiga A

Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDLDL	1.18
Home	DLWWD	1.20
Away	DWDLL	1.16

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	32%	32%
AVG goals	3.74	3.40	4.08
Over 1.5 %	88%	88%	88%
Over 2.5 %	64%	60%	68%
Over 3.5 %	48%	40%	56%
Scored	1.78	1.68	1.88
Conceded	1.96	1.72	2.20
BTTS	60%	64%	56%
Clean Sheet	18%	20%	16%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Nõmme Kalju II

Estonia: Esiliiga A

Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLLL	1.04
Home	LLLLL	1.04
Away	LLDLL	1.05

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	29%	29%	29%
AVG goals	3.76	3.92	3.57
Over 1.5 %	89%	92%	86%
Over 2.5 %	78%	79%	76%
Over 3.5 %	51%	58%	43%
Scored	1.40	1.50	1.29
Conceded	2.36	2.42	2.29
BTTS	53%	54%	52%
Clean Sheet	16%	12%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Elva	9	18	56%	2.0	14	7	+7	2.3	56%	56%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	0.8	-
2	Maardu	9	18	67%	2.0	20	18	+2	4.2	78%	78%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	2.0	-
3	Viimsi	10	16	50%	1.6	23	14	+9	3.7	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.4	-
4	FCI Levadia II	9	16	56%	1.8	19	19	+0	4.2	100%	89%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.1	2.1	-
5	Flora II	11	14	36%	1.3	20	15	+5	3.2	82%	73%	45%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.4	-
6	Tallinna Kalev	8	13	50%	1.6	13	14	-1	3.4	88%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.8	-
7	Tartu Welco	8	12	50%	1.5	21	15	+6	4.5	100%	88%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	1.9	-
8	FC Tallinn	9	11	33%	1.2	8	11	-3	2.1	78%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.2	-
9	Nõmme United II	9	8	22%	0.9	9	16	-7	2.8	89%	56%	22%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.8	-
10	Nõmme Kalju II	10	5	10%	0.5	9	27	-18	3.6	100%	70%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	2.7	-

Estonia: Esiliiga A 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

← all matches

FC Tallinn vs Nõmme Kalju II Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC Tallinn

Nõmme Kalju II

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC Tallinn

Nõmme Kalju II

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC Tallinn

Nõmme Kalju II

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

FC Tallinn

Nõmme Kalju II

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature