FC Thun’s recent slump, highlighted by a 0-7 loss to Lech Poznan, clashes with Servette FC’s rebound after a win, setting the stage for a match where the model favours an away victory. The probability split is 30% for a home win, 21% for a draw and 49% for an away win, making the latter the most likely outcome. The expected total of 4.2 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most probable total being 6 or more, a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-2 for Servette, carrying an 7.8% probability. FC Thun, playing at home against a similarly strong side, averages 2.38 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Servette, on the road, averages 1.92 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.6% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.3% with a 3% edge, Under 7.5 at 93.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.7%, Over 1.5 at 92.6% with a 12% edge, Over 19.5 fouls at 90.3%, and Away over 0.5 goals at 90.3% with an 11% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Thun win
30.8%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.76
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.85
Dafabet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.77
Draw
22.8%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.63
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.79
Unibet
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.62
Servette FC win
46.4%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.31
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Betano
2.32
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Thun
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.97
2.43
1.86
1.81
2.06
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.92
2.12
2.23
1.92
1.62
2.31
vs Weaker (3)
3.67
0.67
5.00
1.00
3.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.47
2.00
1.33
1.67
1.60
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
2.50
4.00
4.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.69
1.35
1.62
1.00
1.77
1.69
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
2.00
5.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
89.4%
@ 1.15+8.3%
Under 1.5
10.6%
@ 4.92-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Under
Pinnacle
5.36
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71.7%
@ 1.51+10.2%
Under 2.5
28.3%
@ 2.42-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
10Bet
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
10Bet
2.50
888Sport
2.45
Unibet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
50.9%
@ 2.30+10.1%
Under 3.5
49.1%
@ 1.58-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Pinnacle
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Both teams to score
Yes
71.5%
@ 1.45+7.4%
No
28.5%
@ 2.57-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
888Sport
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
No
1xBet
2.63
10Bet
2.60
William Hil
2.60
888Sport
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.1%@ 6.94+2.7%
1-2
8.5%@ 8.69+3.4%
2-2
7.1%@ 10.21+2.7%
2-1
6.9%@ 9.57+2.2%
1-3
5.8%@ 14.71+2.8%
0-2
5.1%@ 13.18+1.7%
2-3
4.9%@ 18.11+2.4%
0-1
4.2%@ 10.96+0.1%
FC Thun goals ↓
Servette FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
4.2%
5.1%
3.5%
1.8%
1
3.2%
9.1%
8.5%
5.8%
3.0%
2
3.4%
6.9%
7.1%
4.9%
2.5%
3
1.9%
3.8%
3.9%
2.7%
1.4%
4
0.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.1%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Thun goals (down), columns = Servette FC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
FC Thun is 0.60 points better than Servette FC in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
FC Thun is 1.00 goals better than Servette FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
FC Thun is 1.60 goals worse than Servette FC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.80 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
FC Thun is 7.0 percentage points worse than Servette FC in terms of average possession (46% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Thun
For 4.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 12.2 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Servette FC
For 6.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Thun
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.9
4.6
4.6
4.7
28.0
28.4
27.6
vs Stronger (1)
16.0
-
16.0
7.0
-
7.0
29.0
-
29.0
vs Similar (42)
10.1
10.5
9.7
4.7
4.8
4.6
28.1
28.1
28.1
vs Weaker (7)
10.0
10.3
9.7
3.7
3.2
4.3
26.8
30.3
23.3
% over line
55%
61%
50%
74%
71%
77%
91%
91%
92%
% under line
45%
39%
50%
26%
29%
23%
9%
9%
8%
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.1
10.9
4.3
4.2
4.4
23.8
24.1
23.5
vs Stronger (6)
11.5
9.3
13.7
5.0
5.3
4.7
21.5
21.7
21.3
vs Similar (40)
10.5
10.3
10.7
4.3
4.3
4.3
24.2
25.0
23.4
vs Weaker (4)
8.8
9.0
8.5
3.5
2.0
5.0
23.8
19.5
28.0
% over line
63%
62%
64%
68%
65%
71%
70%
71%
68%
% under line
37%
38%
36%
32%
35%
29%
30%
29%
32%
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Zurich
10.7
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
FC Vaduz
9.9
FC Sion
9.6
BSC Young Boys
9.4
FC Lugano
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Vaduz
5.0
FC Thun
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Luzern
4.7
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.1
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.6
FC Basel 1893
26.5
FC Lugano
25.3
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.7
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.7
Servette FC
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.6%
@ 1.50+1.7%
Under 9.5
37.4%
@ 2.33-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.33
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Thun or Draw
53.6%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.59
Edge
-5.5%
31%
23%
46%
covers FC Thun + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
FC Thun or Servette FC
77.2%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.26
Edge
+2.6%
31%
23%
46%
covers FC Thun + Servette FC
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Draw or Servette FC
69.2%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.42
Edge
+2.9%
31%
23%
46%
covers Draw + Servette FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Thun over/under 0.5
Over
81.0%
@ 1.20+4.0%
Under
19.0%
@ 4.02-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.23
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
888Sport
4.00
10Bet
4.00
FC Thun over/under 1.5
Over
49.4%
@ 2.06+4.1%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.71-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
888Sport
1.70
FC Thun over/under 2.5
Over
23.2%
@ 4.31+1.7%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.18-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.25
888Sport
4.20
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
FC Thun over/under 3.5
Over
8.7%
@ 10.39-0.4%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.05+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
11.00
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Servette FC over/under 0.5
Over
87.2%
@ 1.18+7.8%
Under
12.8%
@ 4.54-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.80
888Sport
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
Servette FC over/under 1.5
Over
60.9%
@ 1.86+10.6%
Under
39.1%
@ 1.88-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
888Sport
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Servette FC over/under 2.5
Over
33.8%
@ 3.68+8.6%
Under
66.2%
@ 1.24-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Betano
3.70
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Unibet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Servette FC over/under 3.5
Over
15.3%
@ 8.48+4.3%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.05-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
888Sport
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Thun, so a minus line means FC Thun give that many goals of a start and Servette FC receive them. At -1, FC Thun must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Thun win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Thun)
FC Thun -2
6.2%
@ 8.62-3.7%
Draw -2
9.2%
@ 6.10-4.7%
Servette FC +2
84.6%
@ 1.11+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
5.20
Away
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (FC Thun)
FC Thun -1
15.4%
@ 5.10-2.1%
Draw -1
15.4%
@ 4.53-4.3%
Servette FC +1
69.2%
@ 1.42+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.30
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Away
10Bet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Handicap +1 (FC Thun)
FC Thun +1
53.6%
@ 1.57-3.5%
Draw +1
19.2%
@ 4.20-2.2%
Servette FC -1
27.2%
@ 4.17+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Away
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.85
Handicap +2 (FC Thun)
FC Thun +2
72.8%
@ 1.18-2.6%
Draw +2
14.1%
@ 6.50+0.5%
Servette FC -2
13.1%
@ 8.10+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Marathonbet
7.00
Unibet
6.00
Away
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
7.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Thun
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
1.00
0.93
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
1.04
0.92
0.92
0.62
1.15
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
1.13
0.67
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.69
0.92
0.46
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
3.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.25+1.2%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 3.52-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Under
William Hil
3.80
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.0%
@ 2.19-0.5%
Under 1.5
58.0%
@ 1.62+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Unibet
2.12
Under
William Hil
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 4.85-2.0%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.14+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
William Hil
4.50
Under
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.5%
@ 1.88+4.3%
Under
46.5%
@ 1.82-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Unibet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
FC Thun over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.0%
@ 5.53+1.2%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.11-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
Betano
5.40
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
FC Thun over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.7%
@ 13.25-3.4%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Servette FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.6%
@ 1.76-2.0%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.96+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Unibet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Servette FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.1%
@ 4.96-4.5%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.14+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
Betano
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Servette FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
@ 11.88-5.5%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Thun
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.03
1.43
0.93
1.06
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.15
1.08
1.31
1.00
1.00
1.15
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
3.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Servette FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Servette FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
0.87
0.67
1.13
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.65
0.69
0.54
1.15
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.9%
Under 0.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.9%
Under 1.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
28.8%
Under 2.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.9%
Under
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Servette FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Under 7.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-1.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.3%
1.05
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
-
-
+0.4%
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
89.4%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
+8.3%
Away over 0.5 goals
87.2%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+7.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.14
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+4.5%
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
84.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-4.3%
Away +2 handicap
84.6%
1.11
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+8.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.14
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+2.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.8%
1.07
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Betano
1.09
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.07
-4.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.0%
1.11
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-1.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.0%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
+4.0%
Home or Away
77.2%
1.26
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
76.8%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-1.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.25
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
+1.2%
Over 8.5 corners
74.0%
1.30
Unibet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
Home +2 handicap
72.8%
1.18
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
-2.6%
Over 2.5
71.7%
1.51
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
10Bet
1.50
888Sport
1.50
+10.2%
BTTS Yes
71.5%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
888Sport
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
+7.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Thun
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brighton Labeau50%
Furkan Dursun33%
Layton Stewart25%
Marc Gutbub25%
Nicolas Bürgy17%
N. Maier17%
N. Reichmuth17%
J. Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
N. Steffen0%
F. Fehr0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
N. Zoukit0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
S. Lengen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
F. Fehr50%
Nicolas Bürgy33%
Furkan Dursun33%
N. Zoukit20%
Justin Roth17%
N. Steffen17%
N. Reichmuth17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
S. Lengen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Gutbub50%
Furkan Dursun33%
Dorian Derbaci33%
F. Fehr25%
F. Saiz20%
N. Zoukit20%
Lucien Dähler20%
Nicolas Bürgy17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
N. Steffen0%
N. Reichmuth0%
Michael Heule0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
S. Lengen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Furkan Dursun33%
S. Lengen33%
N. Reichmuth17%
Brighton Labeau0%
J. Bamert0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Justin Roth0%
Layton Stewart0%
N. Maier0%
N. Steffen0%
F. Fehr0%
F. Saiz0%
Michael Heule0%
N. Zoukit0%
Lucien Dähler0%
Valmir Matoshi0%
Dorian Derbaci0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Servette FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathis Lambourde33%
S. Mráz20%
M. Stevanović20%
T. Ouattara20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Pedro Naressi0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Florian Ayé0%
D. Douline0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Timothé Cognat0%
M. Burch0%
L. Njoh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pedro Naressi60%
Timothé Cognat40%
D. Douline25%
S. Mráz20%
Quentin Maceiras20%
M. Burch20%
L. Njoh20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Houboulang Mendes0%
Florian Ayé0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Steve Rouiller0%
M. Stevanović0%
Mathis Lambourde0%
T. Ouattara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Timothé Cognat40%
Houboulang Mendes20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Pedro Naressi0%
Florian Ayé0%
D. Douline0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
S. Mráz0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Steve Rouiller0%
M. Stevanović0%
M. Burch0%
L. Njoh0%
Mathis Lambourde0%
T. Ouattara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathis Lambourde67%
S. Mráz40%
T. Ouattara40%
Florian Ayé33%
Houboulang Mendes20%
M. Stevanović20%
E. Gertmonas0%
Pedro Naressi0%
D. Douline0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Quentin Maceiras0%
Steve Rouiller0%
Timothé Cognat0%
M. Burch0%
L. Njoh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Thun's squad is €4m less valuable than Servette FC's (€17m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Thun's attack is €2m less valuable than Servette FC's (€4m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Thun's midfield is €1m less valuable than Servette FC's (€5m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Thun and Servette FC have a similar defence value (both €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz