FC Vaduz are returning to the pitch after a 2-4 loss to BSC Young Boys, a defeat that has left the team looking to rebound, while Grasshoppers come off a 1-2 loss to Servette FC after two straight defeats, a slump that may fuel their desire for a turnaround. The model sees an away win as the most likely outcome, with a 38% chance for Grasshoppers, a 37% chance for FC Vaduz and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected total of goals is 3.3, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.2% probability. FC Vaduz, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, whereas Grasshoppers, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include: Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2% (edge 4%), Under 7.598.1% (edge 2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals96.7% (edge 6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals95.9% (edge 5%), Under 6.595.2% (edge 3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals93.5% (edge 6%), Away under 1.5 HT goals92.7% (edge 9%), and Home under 3.5 goals91.8% (edge 6%).
Results analysis
The upset came early: the pre-match favourite, Grasshoppers, were tipped to win with a 38% probability, but FC Vaduz overturned expectations with a 5-2 victory, extending their recent win streak. The model’s call was wrong. The match delivered a 5-2 scoreline, a clear home win. The model’s selections performed largely as predicted: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.5%. However, Under 6.5 missed at 95.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals missed at 93.6%, Away under 1.5 HT goals missed at 92.3%, and Home under 3.5 goals missed at 92.0%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Vaduz win✓ Hit
36.4%
Avg Implied 44.9% · @ 2.08
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.17
Dafabet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
SBO
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.72
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Grasshoppers win✗ Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.11
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.20
Bet365
3.20
Betano
3.20
Unibet
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Vaduz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.50
2.07
1.50
1.75
1.50
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
2.50
2.00
2.00
1.50
2.75
vs Similar (24)
1.96
1.25
2.08
1.42
1.83
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.83
1.00
1.93
1.27
1.73
vs Stronger (15)
1.40
1.73
1.12
1.88
1.71
1.57
vs Similar (15)
0.87
1.93
0.86
2.00
0.88
1.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
@ 1.14+2.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
@ 5.17-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
@ 1.49+0.7%
Under 2.5
36.8%
@ 2.49-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
Bet365
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.1%
@ 2.21-1.4%
Under 3.5
58.9%
@ 1.63+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.25
BetVictor
2.21
Under
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
@ 1.44+1.2%
No
34.3%
@ 2.60-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
No
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.60
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 7.33+5.0%
1-2
8.4%@ 10.48+4.1%
2-1
8.2%@ 8.32+2.7%
2-2
6.8%@ 10.28+2.4%
0-1
5.3%@ 13.42+2.0%
0-2
5.2%@ 18.62+2.8%
1-0
5.2%@ 10.83+1.0%
2-0
5.0%@ 12.20+1.2%
FC Vaduz goals ↓
Grasshoppers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
5.3%
5.2%
2.9%
1.2%
1
5.2%
11%
8.4%
4.6%
1.9%
2
5.0%
8.2%
6.8%
3.7%
1.5%
3
2.7%
4.4%
3.6%
2.0%
0.8%
4
1.1%
1.8%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Vaduz goals (down), columns = Grasshoppers goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
FC Vaduz is 0.30 points worse than Grasshoppers in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz is 0.77 goals better than Grasshoppers in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
FC Vaduz is 0.27 goals worse than Grasshoppers in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
FC Vaduz is 7.9 percentage points better than Grasshoppers in terms of average possession (53% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Vaduz
For 4.7 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grasshoppers
For 4.7 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Vaduz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.0
10.0
0.7
0.5
0.8
23.0
24.3
22.2
vs Stronger (11)
10.2
10.0
10.2
2.5
2.2
2.8
21.7
20.5
22.2
vs Similar (39)
9.5
10.0
9.0
0.2
0.1
0.2
27.0
32.0
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
67%
60%
10%
4%
15%
75%
67%
80%
% under line
38%
33%
40%
90%
96%
85%
25%
33%
20%
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.4
5.2
5.1
5.2
25.1
24.7
25.5
vs Stronger (22)
9.3
9.5
9.0
5.7
5.5
5.8
25.9
25.6
26.2
vs Similar (28)
10.1
10.4
9.8
4.8
4.8
4.7
24.5
23.9
24.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
43%
48%
74%
75%
73%
75%
78%
72%
% under line
54%
57%
52%
26%
25%
27%
25%
22%
28%
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
FC ST. Gallen
10.5
Servette FC
10.3
FC Thun
10.3
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Vaduz
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.7
BSC Young Boys
9.5
FC Sion
9.5
FC Lugano
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.0
FC Zurich
5.0
FC Thun
5.0
FC Vaduz
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Lugano
4.6
Servette FC
4.6
FC Luzern
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.3
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.6
FC Sion
26.5
FC Basel 1893
26.4
FC Lugano
25.2
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.6
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
24.0
Servette FC
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.2%
@ 1.87+6.3%
Under 9.5
43.8%
@ 1.86-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.98
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.5%
Under 21.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Vaduz or Draw✓ Hit
61.6%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.33
Edge
-8.5%
36%
25%
38%
covers FC Vaduz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
FC Vaduz or Grasshoppers✓ Hit
74.8%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.4%
36%
25%
38%
covers FC Vaduz + Grasshoppers
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Draw or Grasshoppers✗ Miss
63.6%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.71
Edge
+8.8%
36%
25%
38%
covers Draw + Grasshoppers
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
SBO
1.71
Bet365
1.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.9%
@ 1.13-2.0%
Under
20.1%
@ 5.16+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.00
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.7%
@ 1.72-6.6%
Under
52.3%
@ 2.05+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Under
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.05
Unibet
2.04
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.8%
@ 3.23-6.9%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.31+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.49
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Under
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
FC Vaduz over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.0%
@ 6.70-5.9%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.08+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.70
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.9%
@ 1.24+5.7%
Under
19.1%
@ 3.75-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.92
Betano
3.85
10Bet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.2%
@ 2.18+6.3%
Under
50.8%
@ 1.64-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Under
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.0%
@ 4.76+3.5%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.16-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Grasshoppers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 10.67-0.2%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.03+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Vaduz, so a minus line means FC Vaduz give that many goals of a start and Grasshoppers receive them. At -1, FC Vaduz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Vaduz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Vaduz)Actual: FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz -2
7.4%
@ 6.88-5.6%
Draw -2
11.1%
@ 5.79-4.4%
Grasshoppers +2
81.5%
@ 1.25+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Away
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (FC Vaduz)Actual: FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz -1
18.5%
@ 3.45-7.3%
Draw -1
17.9%
@ 3.99-4.4%
Grasshoppers +1
63.6%
@ 1.72+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
10Bet
3.90
Away
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.70
Handicap +1 (FC Vaduz)Actual: FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz +1
61.6%
@ 1.33-5.7%
Draw +1
18.4%
@ 4.97+0.5%
Grasshoppers -1
19.9%
@ 6.06+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
6.00
Superbet
5.70
Handicap +2 (FC Vaduz)Actual: FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz +2
80.1%
@ 1.09-4.4%
Draw +2
11.7%
@ 9.75+2.3%
Grasshoppers -2
8.2%
@ 15.00+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Vaduz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.73
1.29
0.71
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.33
1.50
1.00
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.58
1.25
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.47
0.87
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
0.67
0.62
0.75
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (15)
0.47
1.07
0.29
1.00
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.24-6.4%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 3.66+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.2%
@ 2.17-10.8%
Under 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.64+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 4.75-7.3%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.16+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.6%
@ 1.67-9.1%
Under
53.4%
@ 2.10+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Unibet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.07
Unibet
2.07
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.0%
@ 4.18-9.1%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.18+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.25
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 10.50-5.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.2%
@ 1.96-11.1%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.77+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.75
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.7%
@ 5.71-8.4%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.10+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
Betano
5.80
Superbet
5.80
1xBet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 16.58-4.6%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Vaduz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.79
0.79
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.67
0.83
0.75
1.08
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grasshoppers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grasshoppers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.97
0.53
1.07
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (15)
0.67
1.07
0.50
1.12
0.86
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.87
0.57
1.00
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.7%
@ 1.14-0.9%
Under 0.5
19.3%
@ 5.07+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.4%
@ 1.72-6.8%
Under 1.5
52.6%
@ 2.04+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.18
Unibet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 3.17-10.9%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.32+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.15
1xBet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.0%
@ 1.46-3.7%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.56+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.45
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.3%
@ 3.15-6.0%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.31+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
6.4%
@ 7.80-5.4%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.05+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
8.40
1xBet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Grasshoppers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 1.64-11.1%
Under
54.6%
@ 2.13+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Grasshoppers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 4.11-10.9%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.19+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Grasshoppers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 10.33-6.4%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.02
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+8.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
92.0%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
91.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.8%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.19
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.18
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+9.1%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.7%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+10.0%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.32
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
+10.9%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
80.9%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.9%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.2%
1.31
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
77.0%
1.25
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
77.0%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.31
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+6.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.8%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Vaduz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Monsberger33%
Julian Stark33%
Juan Cabrera33%
Lutfi Dalipi33%
D. Schwizer25%
Miloš Cocić17%
L. Schaffran0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
D. Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
D. Kasper0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Simani60%
Dejan Đokić50%
M. Monsberger33%
Julian Stark33%
Juan Cabrera33%
M. Sawadogo20%
Liridon Berisha17%
Nicolas Hasler17%
Luca Mack17%
Lutfi Dalipi17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
N. Lang0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
Mattia Walker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lutfi Dalipi67%
Dejan Sorgić33%
Nicolas Hasler33%
M. Monsberger17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
M. Hammerich0%
D. Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
Juan Cabrera0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Monsberger50%
Juan Cabrera33%
D. Simani20%
Lutfi Dalipi17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Grasshoppers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amir Abrashi40%
Luke Plange25%
N. Muci20%
S. Bengondo20%
A. Diaby0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Justin Hammel0%
H. Imourane0%
S. Stroscio0%
Samuel Marques0%
Tim Meyer0%
Alieu Conateh0%
Luka Mikulic0%
Samuel Krasniqi0%
Nico Rissi0%
Denis Sahin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Muci40%
S. Stroscio40%
Justin Hammel25%
H. Imourane25%
Tim Meyer25%
Samuel Krasniqi25%
Luka Mikulic20%
S. Bengondo20%
Nico Rissi20%
Amir Abrashi0%
A. Diaby0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Luke Plange0%
Samuel Marques0%
Alieu Conateh0%
Denis Sahin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Denis Sahin33%
Samuel Krasniqi25%
Amir Abrashi20%
N. Muci20%
S. Stroscio20%
A. Diaby0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Justin Hammel0%
Luke Plange0%
H. Imourane0%
Samuel Marques0%
Tim Meyer0%
Alieu Conateh0%
Luka Mikulic0%
S. Bengondo0%
Nico Rissi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Krasniqi25%
Amir Abrashi20%
N. Muci20%
A. Diaby0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Justin Hammel0%
Luke Plange0%
H. Imourane0%
S. Stroscio0%
Samuel Marques0%
Tim Meyer0%
Alieu Conateh0%
Luka Mikulic0%
S. Bengondo0%
Nico Rissi0%
Denis Sahin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Vaduz's squad is €10m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€6m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Vaduz's attack is €2m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Vaduz's midfield is €2m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Vaduz's defence is €6m less valuable than Grasshoppers's (€2m vs €7m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Servette FC