FC Vaduz’s recent win over Grasshoppers fuels optimism, while Lausanne’s two-straight defeats hint at a fragile start. The model favours a home win, assigning 41% to FC Vaduz, 24% to a draw and 36% to Lausanne. The expected total is 3.6 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.8% probability. FC Vaduz, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages two goals scored and two conceded, whereas Lausanne, on the road to a weaker side, averages 1.67 scored and two conceded.
The model’s suggested selections include: Away under 2.5 HT goals98.3% (edge 6%); Under 7.597.0% (edge 1%); Away under 2.5 2H goals95.8% (edge 6%); Under 6.592.8%; Home under 2.5 2H goals92.1% (edge 3%); Home under 2.5 HT goals91.2%; Away under 3.5 goals90.2%; and Away under 1.5 HT goals89.9% (edge 9%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Vaduz win
40.1%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.42
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.48
Pinnacle
2.47
William Hil
2.45
Dafabet
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Draw
24.5%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.66
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Dafabet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Lausanne win
35.4%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.57
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.67
Dafabet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.64
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Vaduz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.57
2.21
1.50
1.75
1.62
vs Stronger (7)
1.57
2.43
2.00
2.00
1.40
2.60
vs Similar (23)
2.09
1.30
2.25
1.42
1.91
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.80
1.33
1.87
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.91
1.40
2.20
0.83
1.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.71
1.25
1.50
1.67
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.4%
@ 1.13+3.7%
Under 1.5
13.6%
@ 5.38-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.64
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.35
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.2%
@ 1.47+2.7%
Under 2.5
33.8%
@ 2.55-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
1.48
Bet365
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.61
BetVictor
2.60
Bet365
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.4%
@ 2.17+1.2%
Under 3.5
55.6%
@ 1.65-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.18
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Both teams to score
Yes
67.8%
@ 1.40+1.9%
No
32.2%
@ 2.71-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
No
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.80
1xBet
2.77
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.72
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%@ 7.18+4.3%
2-1
8.5%@ 9.02+3.5%
1-2
7.9%@ 9.24+3.0%
2-2
7.0%@ 10.04+2.5%
2-0
5.1%@ 14.52+2.0%
3-1
5.0%@ 15.08+2.0%
1-0
4.9%@ 11.88+1.1%
0-2
4.5%@ 15.48+1.6%
FC Vaduz goals ↓
Lausanne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
4.5%
4.5%
2.5%
1.0%
1
4.9%
11%
7.9%
4.3%
1.8%
2
5.1%
8.5%
7.0%
3.8%
1.6%
3
3.0%
5.0%
4.1%
2.2%
0.9%
4
1.3%
2.2%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Vaduz goals (down), columns = Lausanne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
FC Vaduz is 0.50 points worse than Lausanne in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz is 1.17 goals better than Lausanne in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
FC Vaduz is 1.50 goals worse than Lausanne in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
FC Vaduz is 2.0 percentage points better than Lausanne in terms of average possession (53% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Vaduz
For 4.6 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lausanne
For 4.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Vaduz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.0
9.5
0.9
0.7
1.2
23.3
24.0
22.8
vs Stronger (11)
9.7
10.0
9.6
3.4
2.8
3.7
22.3
20.5
23.0
vs Similar (39)
11.0
12.0
9.0
0.3
0.2
0.3
25.7
27.5
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
75%
50%
12%
4%
19%
80%
75%
83%
% under line
40%
25%
50%
88%
96%
81%
20%
25%
17%
This opponent (Lausanne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.3
10.9
5.1
4.6
5.5
24.7
24.0
25.3
vs Stronger (2)
12.5
13.0
12.0
5.0
3.0
7.0
28.5
26.0
31.0
vs Similar (40)
10.6
10.5
10.6
5.0
4.6
5.3
24.5
23.6
25.3
vs Weaker (8)
10.4
8.5
12.2
5.6
5.0
6.2
24.4
25.2
23.5
% over line
66%
58%
73%
80%
67%
92%
76%
71%
81%
% under line
34%
42%
27%
20%
33%
8%
24%
29%
19%
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Zurich
10.7
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
FC Vaduz
9.9
FC Sion
9.6
BSC Young Boys
9.4
FC Lugano
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Vaduz
5.0
FC Thun
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Luzern
4.7
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.1
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.6
FC Basel 1893
26.5
FC Lugano
25.3
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.7
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.7
Servette FC
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
65.9%
@ 1.87+16.3%
Under 9.5
34.1%
@ 1.84-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.92
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.4%
Under 21.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Vaduz or Draw
64.6%
Avg Implied 63.9% · @ 1.46
Edge
+0.7%
40%
24%
35%
covers FC Vaduz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
FC Vaduz or Lausanne
75.5%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
+0.9%
40%
24%
35%
covers FC Vaduz + Lausanne
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Lausanne
59.9%
Avg Implied 61.5% · @ 1.52
Edge
-1.6%
40%
24%
35%
covers Draw + Lausanne
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5
Over
82.8%
@ 1.17+3.5%
Under
17.2%
@ 4.47-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5
Over
52.5%
@ 1.85+2.2%
Under
47.5%
@ 1.87-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Unibet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5
Over
25.9%
@ 3.66+0.5%
Under
74.1%
@ 1.25-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.75
1xBet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.65
Under
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
FC Vaduz over/under 3.5
Over
10.2%
@ 8.50-0.7%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.05+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Lausanne over/under 0.5
Over
80.8%
@ 1.18+2.0%
Under
19.2%
@ 4.36-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.30
Lausanne over/under 1.5
Over
49.1%
@ 1.92+0.5%
Under
50.9%
@ 1.81-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Lausanne over/under 2.5
Over
22.9%
@ 3.87-1.1%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.22+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
Under
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Lausanne over/under 3.5
Over
8.6%
@ 9.08-1.7%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
9.10
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Vaduz, so a minus line means FC Vaduz give that many goals of a start and Lausanne receive them. At -1, FC Vaduz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Vaduz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Vaduz)
FC Vaduz -2
9.3%
@ 9.23-0.5%
Draw -2
12.3%
@ 6.93-0.7%
Lausanne +2
78.5%
@ 1.16+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
9.20
Unibet
9.00
Draw
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.40
Away
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap -1 (FC Vaduz)
FC Vaduz -1
21.5%
@ 4.42+1.1%
Draw -1
18.5%
@ 4.45-1.7%
Lausanne +1
59.9%
@ 1.52+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Handicap +1 (FC Vaduz)
FC Vaduz +1
64.6%
@ 1.46+3.2%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 4.51-2.5%
Lausanne -1
18.1%
@ 4.75-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.20
Away
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Unibet
4.50
Handicap +2 (FC Vaduz)
FC Vaduz +2
81.9%
@ 1.15+5.9%
Draw +2
10.8%
@ 6.37-2.9%
Lausanne -2
7.4%
@ 8.45-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.35
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Vaduz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.36
0.79
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.14
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (23)
1.09
0.65
1.33
0.75
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.73
0.60
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.59
0.90
0.60
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.23+2.1%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 3.74-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 2.13-3.2%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.66+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Unibet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 4.69-3.9%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.16+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.9%
@ 1.76-0.9%
Under
48.1%
@ 1.97+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.8%
@ 4.72-0.9%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.15+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
Betano
4.70
1xBet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.6%
@ 11.75+0.6%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.02-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Lausanne over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.8%
@ 1.80-5.7%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.91+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.83
Unibet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.87
Lausanne over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.5%
@ 4.99-8.0%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.14+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
Betano
5.10
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Lausanne over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 12.00-6.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Vaduz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.86
0.71
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.29
0.50
1.00
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.65
0.92
0.67
1.09
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lausanne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lausanne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.60
1.27
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.45
1.32
0.50
1.60
0.42
1.08
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
0.75
0.75
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vaduz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.8%
@ 1.13+1.3%
Under 0.5
16.2%
@ 5.34-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Betano
5.30
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.0%
@ 1.68-0.7%
Under 1.5
45.0%
@ 2.10+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.1%
@ 3.08-4.1%
Under 2.5
73.9%
@ 1.33+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.38
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Vaduz over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.4%
@ 1.52+0.0%
Under
38.6%
@ 2.41-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.40
10Bet
2.38
FC Vaduz over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.0%
@ 3.43-2.0%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.26+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
FC Vaduz over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.2%
@ 8.67-2.6%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.04+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Lausanne over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.1%
@ 1.55-8.8%
Under
48.9%
@ 2.32+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.33
10Bet
2.25
Lausanne over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.4%
@ 3.63-9.0%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.24+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Lausanne over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
@ 9.42-6.0%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.0%
Under 7.5
97.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.0%
Under 6.5
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-
+1.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
91.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+1.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
-0.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
89.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+0.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.14
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+8.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.9%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+0.7%
Over 1.5
86.4%
1.13
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+3.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.14
+3.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+1.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.24
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+9.0%
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
82.8%
1.17
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+3.5%
Home +2 handicap
81.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+5.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.2%
1.15
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+0.9%
Away over 0.5 goals
80.8%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+2.0%
Away +2 handicap
78.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+1.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.3%
1.23
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+2.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
77.1%
1.22
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+1.1%
Over 8.5 corners
76.8%
1.45
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Unibet
1.33
-
+13.0%
Home or Away
75.5%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+0.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.26
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+2.0%
Under 4.5
74.3%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-0.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
74.1%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-0.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.9%
1.33
Betano
1.38
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
+4.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Vaduz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Monsberger33%
Julian Stark33%
Juan Cabrera33%
Lutfi Dalipi33%
D. Schwizer25%
Miloš Cocić17%
L. Schaffran0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
D. Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
D. Kasper0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Simani60%
Dejan Đokić50%
M. Monsberger33%
Julian Stark33%
Juan Cabrera33%
M. Sawadogo20%
Liridon Berisha17%
Nicolas Hasler17%
Luca Mack17%
Lutfi Dalipi17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
N. Lang0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
Mattia Walker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lutfi Dalipi67%
Dejan Sorgić33%
Nicolas Hasler33%
M. Monsberger17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
M. Hammerich0%
D. Simani0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
Juan Cabrera0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Monsberger50%
Juan Cabrera33%
D. Simani20%
Lutfi Dalipi17%
L. Schaffran0%
D. Schwizer0%
Dejan Sorgić0%
M. Hammerich0%
Liridon Berisha0%
Nicolas Hasler0%
Luca Mack0%
N. Lang0%
Dejan Đokić0%
Mischa Eberhard0%
Julian Stark0%
Miloš Cocić0%
D. Kasper0%
M. Sawadogo0%
Mattia Walker0%
Lausanne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
F. Mollet33%
Enzo Molebe33%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
N. Butler-Oyedeji17%
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Olivier Custodio0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
K. Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
S. Koné0%
S. Traore0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Custodio50%
K. Sow50%
M. Poaty33%
F. Mollet33%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes33%
Theo Bergvall25%
N. Butler-Oyedeji17%
B. Soppy17%
S. Koné17%
Omar Janneh17%
Kevin Mouanga0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
S. Traore0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Traore25%
K. Sow17%
S. Koné17%
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
F. Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
N. Butler-Oyedeji0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
Theo Bergvall0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omar Janneh17%
M. Poaty0%
Kevin Mouanga0%
F. Mollet0%
Olivier Custodio0%
N. Butler-Oyedeji0%
B. Soppy0%
Jamie Roche0%
Alban Ajdini0%
M. Mastil0%
K. Sow0%
Theo Bergvall0%
S. Koné0%
S. Traore0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Ibrahim Bah Mendes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Vaduz's squad is €21m less valuable than Lausanne's (€6m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Vaduz's attack is €7m less valuable than Lausanne's (€2m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Vaduz's midfield is €3m less valuable than Lausanne's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Vaduz's defence is €11m less valuable than Lausanne's (€2m vs €13m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC Zurich
Servette FC
Grasshoppers