PythiaFootballBETA
FC Voluntari is coming off a defeat to Dinamo Bucuresti, losing 0-4, and will look to bounce back against Uta Arad. The model predicts a home win, with a 52% chance of FC Voluntari taking the three points. The draw is a 27% possibility, while Uta Arad's away win is the least likely outcome at 21%. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely total number of goals being 2.
The model's most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.9%. FC Voluntari has been scoring an average of 2.25 goals at home, conceding just 0.88. Uta Arad, on the other hand, has been scoring 1.2 goals away from home, but conceding 1.1.
The model suggests selecting Over 1.5, with a 74.6% chance of success and an 8% edge. This selection is expected to hit. Under 3.5 is also a model selection, with a 73.4% chance of success. The home win percentage is 52%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 21%.
The win for FC Voluntari extends their recent form storyline, which saw them coming off a defeat. The final score was 1-0, resulting in a home win. The model correctly picked the home team to win, with a pre-match probability of 52%. The model's selection was the home win.
The model's suggestion of Over 1.5 hit 74.6% of the probability, but ultimately missed. Conversely, Under 3.5 hit 73.4% of its probability and was correct.
FC Voluntari| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.77 | 1.03 | 2.07 | 0.93 | 1.47 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 5.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.88 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.93 | 1.73 | 1.09 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 1.50 | 0.25 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
Uta Arad| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.75 | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.14 | 1.86 | 1.50 | 1.75 | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.52 | 0.96 | 1.83 | 0.83 | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Uta Arad goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11% | 13% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
FC VoluntariUta AradFC Voluntari| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.8 | 8.0 | 9.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 25.3 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 10.0 | - | 10.0 | 2.0 | - | 2.0 | 22.0 | - | 22.0 |
| vs Similar (45) | 8.5 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 24.5 | 22.0 | 27.0 |
| vs Weaker (4) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 60% | 50% | 67% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| % under line | 40% | 50% | 33% | 96% | 96% | 96% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Uta Arad| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 23.8 | 24.0 | 23.5 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 8.3 | 5.8 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 22.7 | 24.5 | 21.5 |
| vs Similar (39) | 10.1 | 10.4 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 24.1 | 23.9 | 24.2 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 48% | 50% | 45% | 64% | 54% | 75% | 67% | 67% | 68% |
| % under line | 52% | 50% | 55% | 36% | 46% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 32% |
FC Voluntari| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.43 | 0.93 | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.76 | 0.40 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 0.75 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 73% (+44pp vs league) | |||||
Uta Arad| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.57 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.25 | 0.45 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
FC Voluntari| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 0.60 | 1.13 | 0.53 | 0.93 | 0.67 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.12 | 0.60 | 1.14 | 0.50 | 1.09 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 0.75 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
Uta Arad| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.63 | 1.12 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.71 | 1.14 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.96 | 0.48 | 1.17 | 0.58 | 0.73 | 0.36 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 86.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 79.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.9% | 1.26 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.23 | 1.22 | +2.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.40 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.40 | +8.1% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 73.4% | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -4.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/24 | A | 4-3 | |
| 17/02/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 30/09/23 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/04/23 | H | 1-1 | |
| 13/11/22 | A | 1-1 | |
| 30/07/22 | H | 3-0 |
FC Voluntari| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 | A | 5-0 | |
| 17/07/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 01/06/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 12/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 06/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 30/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-0 |
Uta Arad| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 4-0 | |
| 18/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 20/03/26 | A | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Dinamo Bucuresti | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 2.8 | 67% | 50% | 33% | 8.3 | 17% | 5.3 | 50% | 22.7 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 54% |
| 2 |  FCSB | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 11.3 | 67% | 4.7 | 83% | 25.8 | 100% | 34 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 58% |
| 3 |  Rapid | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 1.7 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 12.0 | 67% | 5.7 | 50% | 22.7 | 50% | 25 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 51% |
| 4 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 3.5 | 83% | 67% | 67% | 8.0 | 17% | 5.0 | 83% | 20.8 | 33% | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 60% |
| 5 |  Arges Pitesti | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.4 | 40% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 | 60% | 5.8 | 60% | 25.0 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 43% |
| 6 |  Corvinul Hunedoara | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 1.7 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 8.2 | 33% | 4.6 | 60% | 25.0 | 67% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 46% |
| 7 |  Farul Constanta | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 33% | 8.0 | 33% | 4.7 | 83% | 21.5 | 33% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 48% |
| 8 |  Universitatea Cluj | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 80% | 0% | 8.6 | 20% | 5.6 | 80% | 24.2 | 60% | 19 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 54% |
| 9 |  Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2.0 | 50% | 33% | 17% | 8.2 | 17% | 6.3 | 67% | 25.5 | 83% | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 45% |
| 10 |  Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 6 | 7 | 17% | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 1.0 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 10.7 | 50% | 4.3 | 67% | 23.0 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 50% |
| 11 |  CFR 1907 Cluj | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 40% | 10.4 | 60% | 2.2 | 20% | 20.2 | 40% | 40 | 18 | 5 | 17 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 55% |
| 12 |  Oţelul | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | 8.4 | 40% | 4.8 | 60% | 26.4 | 80% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 53% |
| 13 | FC Voluntari | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 3.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 7.0 | 17% | 4.2 | 60% | 21.0 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 40% |
| 14 |  FC Botosani | 5 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 11.0 | 40% | 7.5 | 100% | 24.4 | 80% | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 49% |
| 15 | Uta Arad | 6 | 3 | 0% | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 33% | 8.7 | 50% | 5.0 | 100% | 28.7 | 83% | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 48% |
| 16 |  Csikszereda | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 7.0 | 20% | 5.5 | 100% | 27.8 | 100% | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 45% |