FC Zurich’s recent win over Lausanne gives them a brief lift, yet the odds still favour a BSC Young Boys victory at home. The model picks an away win with a 57% probability, while a home win sits at 22% and a draw at 21%. The expected total goals is 3.7, with the most likely total being three, though the single most probable scoreline is 1-2 for the Young Boys, a 9.2% chance. Zurich’s home form shows they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against stronger opponents, whereas Young Boys, playing away against a weaker side, average 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. The model’s selections include a 98.2% chance of Home under 2.5 HT goals, 96.5% for Home under 2.5 2H goals, 95.8% for Under 7.5, 94.3% for Away under 2.5 HT goals, 92.5% for Home under 3.5 goals, 90.7% for Over 19.5 fouls, 90.5% for Under 6.5, and 89.7% for Away over 0.5 goals, with edges noted where provided.
Results analysis
The win for BSC Young Boys extends their unbeaten run, while FC Zurich’s recent form has slipped after a defeat. The model’s favourite, an away win at 58%, proved correct as the final score was 2-4 in favour of the visitors. The model’s selections performed strongly: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5%, Under 7.5 at 95.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 93.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 91.1%, and Under 6.5 at 90.5%. All picks were settled and each hit, underscoring the model’s accuracy in this match.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Zurich win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 19.0% · @ 4.91
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
5.60
Pinnacle
5.02
Dafabet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betano
5.00
Draw✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied 19.3% · @ 4.82
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.13
Dafabet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
BSC Young Boys win✓ Hit
58.4%
Avg Implied 61.7% · @ 1.51
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
William Hil
1.53
Dafabet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Zurich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.97
1.36
1.64
1.12
2.25
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.20
1.96
1.17
1.75
1.23
2.15
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.33
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BSC Young Boys
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.2
Avg scored
3.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
1.77
2.29
1.59
2.23
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
2.00
1.83
1.38
1.50
2.50
2.10
vs Weaker (12)
2.67
1.67
3.11
1.67
1.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.2%
@ 1.06+2.0%
Under 1.5
9.8%
@ 7.93-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Under
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.10
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Betfair
8.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.5%
@ 1.24-1.3%
Under 2.5
26.5%
@ 3.69+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.92
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.70
Betano
3.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.2%
@ 1.66-3.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
@ 2.15+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
SBO
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.8%
@ 1.34+0.9%
No
30.2%
@ 2.97-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.35
No
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.0%@ 8.67+3.7%
1-1
8.2%@ 10.78+3.9%
1-3
7.2%@ 9.86+2.5%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.50+2.4%
0-2
6.3%@ 12.03+2.5%
2-1
5.3%@ 15.43+2.3%
2-3
5.1%@ 13.15+1.6%
0-3
5.0%@ 13.79+1.7%
FC Zurich goals ↓
BSC Young Boys goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
4.5%
6.3%
5.0%
3.0%
1
2.4%
8.2%
9.0%
7.2%
4.3%
2
2.2%
5.3%
6.4%
5.1%
3.1%
3
1.1%
2.5%
3.0%
2.4%
1.5%
4
0.4%
0.9%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Zurich goals (down), columns = BSC Young Boys goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
FC Zurich is 1.33 points worse than BSC Young Boys in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
FC Zurich is 2.33 goals worse than BSC Young Boys in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 3.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
FC Zurich is 0.83 goals worse than BSC Young Boys in terms of goals conceded per game (2.67 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
FC Zurich is 4.7 percentage points worse than BSC Young Boys in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Zurich
For 4.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
BSC Young Boys
For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Zurich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.5
11.0
5.0
5.4
4.6
27.6
26.5
28.7
vs Stronger (4)
12.5
10.0
13.3
2.2
2.0
2.3
24.0
25.0
23.7
vs Similar (41)
10.7
10.8
10.6
5.2
5.7
4.7
28.2
26.4
29.9
vs Weaker (5)
10.2
9.0
12.0
5.6
4.7
7.0
26.2
27.7
24.0
% over line
64%
67%
62%
74%
83%
65%
84%
79%
88%
% under line
36%
33%
38%
26%
17%
35%
16%
21%
12%
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BSC Young Boys
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.1
4.0
3.8
4.2
24.0
23.1
24.9
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
3.0
-
3.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (30)
9.5
9.6
9.5
4.4
4.5
4.3
24.3
23.9
24.7
vs Weaker (19)
9.6
10.2
8.8
3.4
2.8
4.1
23.5
22.1
25.5
% over line
58%
69%
46%
56%
54%
58%
60%
50%
71%
% under line
42%
31%
54%
44%
46%
42%
40%
50%
29%
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.6
FC ST. Gallen
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.3
FC Thun
10.2
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Vaduz
10.0
Grasshoppers
9.8
BSC Young Boys
9.5
FC Sion
9.4
FC Lugano
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.0
FC Zurich
5.0
FC Thun
5.0
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Vaduz
4.8
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Luzern
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.4
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.6
FC Sion
26.5
FC Basel 1893
26.4
FC Lugano
25.4
Grasshoppers
25.1
Lausanne
24.6
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
BSC Young Boys
24.0
Servette FC
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.2%
@ 1.82+4.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
@ 1.90-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Under
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.9%
@ 1.37+5.6%
Under 3.5
28.1%
@ 2.70-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Under
Superbet
2.70
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
81.6%
Under 21.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Zurich or Draw✗ Miss
46.8%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.47
Edge
+8.9%
21%
21%
58%
covers FC Zurich + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.47
FC Zurich or BSC Young Boys✓ Hit
78.5%
Avg Implied 81.2% · @ 1.15
Edge
-2.7%
21%
21%
58%
covers FC Zurich + BSC Young Boys
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Draw or BSC Young Boys✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied 80.9% · @ 1.16
Edge
-6.2%
21%
21%
58%
covers Draw + BSC Young Boys
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.0%
@ 1.26+5.2%
Under
21.0%
@ 3.55-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.85
BetVictor
3.70
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.60
Unibet
3.50
FC Zurich over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.3%
@ 2.27+5.3%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.58-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
FC Zurich over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.7%
@ 5.03+2.2%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.14-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
FC Zurich over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 12.08-0.5%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.8%
@ 1.04-0.5%
Under
10.2%
@ 9.63+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Under
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.40
Betano
8.25
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
66.5%
@ 1.29-5.4%
Under
33.5%
@ 3.31+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Under
BetVictor
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Pinnacle
3.44
Superbet
3.40
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
39.9%
@ 1.93-8.4%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.80+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
BSC Young Boys over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
19.7%
@ 3.38-7.9%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.28+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.66
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.32
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Zurich, so a minus line means FC Zurich give that many goals of a start and BSC Young Boys receive them. At -1, FC Zurich must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Zurich win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Zurich)Actual: BSC Young Boys
FC Zurich -2
4.5%
@ 21.67+0.3%
Draw -2
7.5%
@ 13.67+0.7%
BSC Young Boys +2
88.0%
@ 1.04-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
23.00
Betfair
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
12.00
Away
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Handicap -1 (FC Zurich)Actual: BSC Young Boys
FC Zurich -1
12.0%
@ 9.34+2.3%
Draw -1
13.3%
@ 7.09+0.6%
BSC Young Boys +1
74.6%
@ 1.17-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap +1 (FC Zurich)Actual: BSC Young Boys
FC Zurich +1
46.8%
@ 2.46+10.5%
Draw +1
19.8%
@ 4.06-2.2%
BSC Young Boys -1
33.3%
@ 2.15-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Betfair
2.40
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
Unibet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Handicap +2 (FC Zurich)Actual: Draw
FC Zurich +2
66.7%
@ 1.60+11.0%
Draw +2
16.0%
@ 4.59-3.5%
BSC Young Boys -2
17.3%
@ 3.60-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Superbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Unibet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Zurich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.57
0.64
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.67
0.69
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BSC Young Boys
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.88
0.71
0.77
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.83
0.75
0.62
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.75
1.00
0.78
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.15-4.7%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 4.86+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.0%
@ 1.77-12.7%
Under 1.5
60.0%
@ 1.97+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Unibet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
SBO
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.6%
@ 3.43-10.4%
Under 2.5
83.4%
@ 1.27+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Superbet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.3%
@ 2.01-4.0%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.73+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 6.05-3.8%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 18.25-3.8%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.6%
@ 1.38-12.7%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.85+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.95
Superbet
2.92
10Bet
2.88
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.80
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
21.6%
@ 2.76-12.1%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.41+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
Marathonbet
2.76
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Betano
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 6.47-7.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.08+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Zurich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.20
0.79
1.00
0.50
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
-
-
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
1.16
0.67
1.08
0.54
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BSC Young Boys
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.97
1.41
0.88
1.46
1.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.17
1.00
0.62
0.88
1.60
1.10
vs Weaker (12)
1.83
0.92
2.11
0.89
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Zurich) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.9%
@ 1.08-5.9%
Under 0.5
19.1%
@ 7.12+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.80
Betano
7.20
Superbet
7.10
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.2%
@ 1.45-8.8%
Under 1.5
44.8%
@ 2.58+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.82
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
William Hil
2.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
27.0%
@ 2.38-12.1%
Under 2.5
73.0%
@ 1.53+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.43
William Hil
2.40
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Under
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
William Hil
1.50
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Zurich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.9%
@ 1.70-5.6%
Under
51.1%
@ 2.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
FC Zurich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 4.38-5.2%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.17+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
FC Zurich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 11.83-4.5%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.6%
@ 1.23-11.9%
Under
36.4%
@ 3.79+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
Under
10Bet
3.95
Betano
3.90
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.60
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
27.5%
@ 2.09-16.9%
Under
72.5%
@ 1.67+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 4.39-12.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.18+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
95.8%
1.02
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
93.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.1%
1.18
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
+12.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
90.5%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.2%
1.06
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
89.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.0%
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.4%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+10.4%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
80.9%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
80.3%
1.28
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
79.3%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.0%
1.26
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
78.4%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
+12.1%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
74.6%
1.16
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-6.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
74.6%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
73.5%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.0%
1.53
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
William Hil
1.50
+12.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
72.5%
1.67
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
+16.9%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.9%
1.37
Superbet
1.37
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Zurich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
V. Berisha33%
L. Kamberi33%
Umeh Emmanuel33%
M. Reichmuth20%
Bledian Krasniqi17%
P. Keny17%
Mohamed Bangoura17%
Alexander Hack0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
K. Spadanuda0%
Livano Comenencia0%
Selmin Hodza0%
N. Volken0%
L. Schodler0%
S. Walker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Berisha67%
Livano Comenencia50%
Alexander Hack40%
Selmin Hodza40%
K. Spadanuda33%
N. Volken33%
S. Walker25%
P. Keny17%
L. Kamberi17%
Umeh Emmanuel17%
L. Schodler17%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
M. Reichmuth0%
Mohamed Bangoura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
V. Berisha33%
M. Reichmuth20%
Selmin Hodza20%
P. Keny17%
Umeh Emmanuel17%
L. Schodler17%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
Alexander Hack0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
L. Kamberi0%
K. Spadanuda0%
Livano Comenencia0%
N. Volken0%
Mohamed Bangoura0%
S. Walker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
P. Keny17%
Bledian Krasniqi0%
V. Berisha0%
Alexander Hack0%
H. Lindner0%
Ilan Sauter0%
L. Kamberi0%
K. Spadanuda0%
Livano Comenencia0%
M. Reichmuth0%
Selmin Hodza0%
Umeh Emmanuel0%
N. Volken0%
Mohamed Bangoura0%
L. Schodler0%
S. Walker0%
BSC Young Boys
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joël Monteiro60%
S. Essende50%
A. Sanches50%
Cedric Zesiger33%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Lewin Blum33%
A. Virginius33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
E. Fernandes20%
Armin Gigović17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Edin Etoski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewin Blum50%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Joël Monteiro20%
Stefan Bukinac20%
S. Essende17%
Armin Gigović17%
A. Sanches17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Kaly Sene67%
S. Essende50%
Lewin Blum50%
Stefan Bukinac40%
Kastriot Imeri33%
A. Sanches33%
E. Fernandes20%
Joël Monteiro20%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
Christian Fassnacht0%
S. Lauper0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Armin Gigović0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Essende83%
Joël Monteiro60%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Jaouen Hadjam33%
A. Sanches33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Armin Gigović17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
M. Keller0%
Lewin Blum0%
I. Schmidt0%
A. Virginius0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
D. Pech0%
Edin Etoski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Zurich's squad is €52m less valuable than BSC Young Boys's (€15m vs €66m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Zurich's attack is €9m less valuable than BSC Young Boys's (€6m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Zurich's midfield is €16m less valuable than BSC Young Boys's (€3m vs €18m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Zurich's defence is €27m less valuable than BSC Young Boys's (€6m vs €33m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Lausanne
Servette FC
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz