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FCI Levadia II vs Elva Result & Analysis

Date: 24/10/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
FCI Levadia II
FCI Levadia II
Vs
53%
24%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elva
Elva
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

FCI Levadia II win✗ Miss
53.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elva win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L14L04L21W21W10W01L43W15L23LH·TAL18/08A·FLO21/08A·LAA24/08H·PAI31/08A·FC 15/09H·TAR19/09A·VII23/09H·LAA28/09A·PAI07/10H·FC 20/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.732.002.001.471.472.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.702.072.081.461.362.64
vs Weaker (3)2.001.331.501.503.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Elva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElvaElva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L31W00D21W31W43W02L01L01L30WA·VII17/08H·PAI20/08A·TAR24/08H·LAA31/08H·JK 15/09A·PAI19/09A·FLO22/09H·TAR28/09H·FC 06/10A·JK 20/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.831.601.531.272.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.431.831.601.531.272.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FCI Levadia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
FCI Levadia II goals ↓
Elva goals →
01234
05.0%4.0%3.1%1.3%0.4%
17.0%11%6.1%2.5%0.8%
27.8%9.7%6.0%2.5%0.8%
35.1%6.4%4.0%1.6%0.5%
42.5%3.1%2.0%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCI Levadia II goals (down), columns = Elva goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laagri
2.17
Viimsi
2.08
Flora II
1.83
Tartu Welco
1.67
FC Tallinn
1.47
Elva
1.24
FCI Levadia II
1.22
Tallinna Kalev II
1.17
Paide II
0.69
JK Tabasalu
0.44
Legion
0.00
FCI Levadia II is 0.01 points worse than Elva in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.24).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Laagri
3.06
Flora II
2.67
Viimsi
2.08
Tallinna Kalev II
2.00
Tartu Welco
1.94
FC Tallinn
1.86
FCI Levadia II
1.67
Elva
1.47
Paide II
1.31
JK Tabasalu
0.97
Legion
0.00
FCI Levadia II is 0.19 goals better than Elva in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laagri
1.17
Viimsi
1.17
Tartu Welco
1.22
FC Tallinn
1.50
Flora II
1.53
Elva
1.63
FCI Levadia II
1.97
Tallinna Kalev II
2.42
JK Tabasalu
2.81
Paide II
3.36
Legion
4.50
FCI Levadia II is 0.34 goals worse than Elva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.63).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L03L01L01L00D00D00D20W14L22DH·TAL18/08A·FLO21/08A·LAA24/08H·PAI31/08A·FC 15/09H·TAR19/09A·VII23/09H·LAA28/09A·PAI07/10H·FC 20/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.001.270.530.671.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.931.071.310.540.571.57
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.000.502.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElvaElva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D00D10W13L00D01L01L10WA·VII17/08H·PAI20/08A·TAR24/08H·LAA31/08H·JK 15/09A·PAI19/09A·FLO22/09H·TAR28/09H·FC 06/10A·JK 20/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.600.730.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.900.600.730.531.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FCI Levadia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCI Levadia II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D03L20W21W10W01L23L01L01LH·TAL18/08A·FLO21/08A·LAA24/08H·PAI31/08A·FC 15/09H·TAR19/09A·VII23/09H·LAA28/09A·PAI07/10H·FC 20/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.730.930.801.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.781.000.770.920.791.07
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.501.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Elva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElvaElva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W00D21W21W30W02L00D00D20WA·VII17/08H·PAI20/08A·TAR24/08H·LAA31/08H·JK 15/09A·PAI19/09A·FLO22/09H·TAR28/09H·FC 06/10A·JK 20/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.931.000.800.731.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.870.931.000.800.731.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FCI Levadia II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCI Levadia II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCI Levadia II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (25)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAA (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FLI wins
1
Draws
2
ELV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FCI Levadia II vs Elva · H/A from FLI
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/24AElva Vs FLI2-0
15/06/24AElva Vs FLI2-3
17/03/24HFLI Vs Elva3-0
24/09/23AElva Vs FLI0-0
22/07/23HFLI Vs Elva3-0
04/06/23AElva Vs FLI1-2
13/03/23HFLI Vs Elva5-1
13/11/22AElva Vs FLI3-1

FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24HFLI Vs FC Tallinn2-3
07/10/24APaide II Vs FLI5-1
28/09/24HFLI Vs Laagri4-3
23/09/24AViimsi Vs FLI1-0
19/09/24HFLI Vs Tartu Welco1-0
15/09/24AFC Tallinn Vs FLI1-2
31/08/24HFLI Vs Paide II2-1
24/08/24ALaagri Vs FLI4-0
21/08/24AFlora II Vs FLI4-1
18/08/24HFLI Vs Tallinna Kalev II0-3

ElvaElva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24AJK Tabasalu Vs ELV0-3
06/10/24HELV Vs FC Tallinn0-1
28/09/24HELV Vs Tartu Welco0-1
22/09/24AFlora II Vs ELV2-0
19/09/24APaide II Vs ELV3-4
15/09/24HELV Vs JK Tabasalu3-1
31/08/24HELV Vs Laagri2-1
24/08/24ATartu Welco Vs ELV0-0
20/08/24HELV Vs Paide II3-1
17/08/24AViimsi Vs ELV2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FCI Levadia II
FCI Levadia II
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.34
HomeLWWWL1.56
AwayLLWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals3.183.003.36
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %70%76%64%
Over 3.5 %40%32%48%
Scored1.541.761.32
Conceded1.641.242.04
BTTS56%48%64%
Clean Sheet28%40%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Elva
Elva
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.22
HomeWWWLL1.36
AwayLDWLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals3.082.963.20
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored1.261.401.12
Conceded1.821.562.08
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaagriLaagri3678
61%
2.2
11042+68
4.2
89%
69%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.2
-
2ViimsiViimsi3675
61%
2.1
7542+33
3.2
78%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.2
-
3Flora IIFlora II3666
56%
1.8
9655+41
4.2
97%
72%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
4Tartu WelcoTartu Welco3660
44%
1.7
7044+26
3.2
78%
56%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.2
-
5FC TallinnFC Tallinn3653
42%
1.5
6754+13
3.4
83%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
6ElvaElva3847
32%
1.2
5662-6
3.1
79%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
7FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3644
36%
1.2
6071-11
3.6
89%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
8Tallinna Kalev IITallinna Kalev II3642
31%
1.2
7287-15
4.4
94%
86%
72%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.4
-
9Paide IIPaide II3625
19%
0.7
47121-74
4.7
89%
86%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.33.4
-
10JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu3616
11%
0.4
35101-66
3.8
86%
78%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.8
-
11LegionLegion20
0%
0.0
09-9
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.5
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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