FCI Levadia II vs Elva Result & Analysis

FCI Levadia II host Elva in the Estonia Esiliiga A, with Elva's recent unbeaten run in their last 5 matches a notable storyline. Both teams have been consistent scorers, with FCI Levadia II averaging 1.88 goals at home and Elva averaging 1.67 away from home against similar opponents. However, the home side has also conceded 2.38 goals on average, while Elva has conceded 2.11 on the road. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.7 goals and a most likely score of 1-1, which holds a 9.3% probability.

The model favours an away win, with a 40% probability, ahead of a draw at 23% and a home win at 37%. Elva's away form against similar opponents suggests they can take advantage of FCI Levadia II's defensive vulnerability. The model's selection for over 1.5 goals has a 89.2% probability, with a 2% edge, while BTTS Yes and over 2.5 goals are also expected to hit, with 71.9% and 71.5% probabilities respectively. The home win percentage is 37%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 40%.

A stunning upset unfolded in Estonia: Elva's draw against FCI Levadia II extended their unbeaten run to six matches. The pre-match favourite, FCI Levadia II, failed to deliver, despite being the model's selection with a 37% chance of winning. The model's call was wrong, as Elva's 40% probability of winning proved correct. The model's selection, an away win, came to fruition, albeit in a 2-2 draw. The model's suggested picks also proved accurate, with Over 1.5, BTTS Yes, and Over 2.5 all hitting, with probabilities of 89.2%, 71.9%, and 71.5% respectively.