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FCM Ungheni vs Sporting Trestieni Result & Analysis

Date: 15/04/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-3
FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Vs
53%
23%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sporting Trestieni
Sporting Trestieni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FCM Ungheni win✗ Miss
52.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni win✓ Hit
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D02L60W14L32W02L01L04L04L30WH·SHE08/10A·FLO14/10H·SUC21/10A·FĂL29/10H·SPO04/11H·FĂL13/11H·SUC11/03A·SHE18/03H·OLI01/04A·REA07/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.641.711.571.431.712.00
vs Stronger (12)1.831.831.671.672.002.00
vs Similar (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Trestieni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L24L04L61W23L06L21W12L61W21WA·FLO07/10H·FĂL15/10A·SHE22/10H·SUC28/10A·FCM04/11A·SUC13/11H·OLI11/03A·REA17/03H·SPE31/03H·VĂS07/04
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.292.751.621.003.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.501.831.501.501.502.50
vs Weaker (8)2.382.624.001.750.753.50
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.0%
Under 2.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.1%
No
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
1-0
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
FCM Ungheni goals ↓
Sporting Trestieni goals →
01234
03.9%3.3%2.9%1.4%0.5%
15.4%9.7%6.2%2.9%1.0%
26.7%9.3%6.5%3.0%1.1%
34.7%6.5%4.6%2.1%0.7%
42.5%3.4%2.4%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCM Ungheni goals (down), columns = Sporting Trestieni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartanii Selemet
2.40
Victoria
2.40
Floreşti
2.10
Sheriff II
2.00
Făleşti
1.90
Sporting Trestieni
1.53
Văsieni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.35
FCM Ungheni
1.12
Real Succes
0.82
Olimp Comrat
0.76
Sucleia
0.76
FCM Ungheni is 0.41 points worse than Sporting Trestieni in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Victoria
4.10
Sheriff II
3.06
Spartanii Selemet
2.50
Sporting Trestieni
2.29
Făleşti
2.20
Văsieni
1.82
Floreşti
1.50
FCM Ungheni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.41
Real Succes
1.29
Olimp Comrat
1.24
Sucleia
1.12
FCM Ungheni is 0.82 goals worse than Sporting Trestieni in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 2.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff II
0.65
Floreşti
0.80
Victoria
0.90
Spartanii Selemet
1.10
Făleşti
1.60
Speranța Drochia
1.65
FCM Ungheni
1.94
Sporting Trestieni
1.94
Văsieni
2.24
Olimp Comrat
2.41
Real Succes
2.94
Sucleia
3.41
FCM Ungheni and Sporting Trestieni are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Trestieni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Trestieni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Trestieni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
FU wins
0
Draws
0
ST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FCM Ungheni vs Sporting Trestieni · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/22HFU Vs Sporting Trestieni3-2
30/09/22ASporting Trestieni Vs FU2-4

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/23AReal Succes Vs FU0-3
01/04/23HFU Vs Olimp Comrat0-4
18/03/23ASheriff II Vs FU4-0
11/03/23HFU Vs Sucleia0-1
13/11/22HFU Vs Făleşti0-2
04/11/22HFU Vs Sporting Trestieni3-2
29/10/22AFăleşti Vs FU4-1
21/10/22HFU Vs Sucleia6-0
14/10/22AFloreşti Vs FU2-0
08/10/22HFU Vs Sheriff II1-1

Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/23HST Vs Văsieni2-1
31/03/23HST Vs Speranța Drochia6-1
17/03/23AReal Succes Vs ST2-1
11/03/23HST Vs Olimp Comrat2-1
13/11/22ASucleia Vs ST6-0
04/11/22AFCM Ungheni Vs ST3-2
28/10/22HST Vs Sucleia6-1
22/10/22ASheriff II Vs ST4-0
15/10/22HST Vs Făleşti2-4
07/10/22AFloreşti Vs ST3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.36
HomeWWLLL1.43
AwayWLLLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%43%43%
AVG goals3.363.003.71
Over 1.5 %86%71%100%
Over 2.5 %64%43%86%
Over 3.5 %43%43%43%
Scored1.641.571.71
Conceded1.711.432.00
BTTS36%29%43%
Clean Sheet29%29%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Sporting Trestieni
Sporting Trestieni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.36
HomeLWWWW2.00
AwayLLLLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%62%17%
AVG goals4.294.384.17
Over 1.5 %93%88%100%
Over 2.5 %93%88%100%
Over 3.5 %57%50%67%
Scored2.002.751.00
Conceded2.291.623.17
BTTS71%88%50%
Clean Sheet7%12%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff IISheriff II1734
59%
2.0
5211+41
3.7
82%
65%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.10.6
-
2Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni1726
47%
1.5
3933+6
4.2
94%
88%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.9
-
3VăsieniVăsieni1725
47%
1.5
3138-7
4.1
94%
88%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
4VictoriaVictoria1024
80%
2.4
419+32
5.0
90%
80%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.10.9
-
5Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1024
80%
2.4
2511+14
3.6
100%
90%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.1
-
6Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia1723
41%
1.4
2428-4
3.1
82%
76%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1021
70%
2.1
158+7
2.3
60%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
8FăleştiFăleşti1019
60%
1.9
2216+6
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
9FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni1719
35%
1.1
2533-8
3.4
82%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
10Real SuccesReal Succes1714
24%
0.8
2250-28
4.2
94%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
11Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat1713
18%
0.8
2141-20
3.6
94%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12SucleiaSucleia1713
24%
0.8
1958-39
4.5
88%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.4
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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