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FCM Ungheni vs Sucleia Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 6-0
FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Vs
66%
18%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sucleia
Sucleia
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FCM Ungheni win✓ Hit
66.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sucleia win✗ Miss
15.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W30W42W11D02LA·SHE27/08H·FLO03/09A·SUC09/09A·SPO30/09H·SHE08/10A·FLO14/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.171.000.502.001.50
vs Stronger (4)2.251.251.001.002.671.33
vs Similar (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sucleia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SucleiaSucleia

Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1113L011L03L13L12L05LH·FĂL26/08A·SHE02/09H·FCM09/09A·FLO30/09A·FĂL08/10H·SHE15/10
Avg total
5.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
4.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.504.500.333.670.675.33
vs Stronger (2)0.008.000.005.000.0011.00
vs Similar (2)1.002.501.003.001.002.00
vs Weaker (2)0.503.000.003.001.003.00
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%116%220%320%415%520%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.8%
Under 1.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.8%
Under 2.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.8%
Under 3.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
FCM Ungheni goals ↓
Sucleia goals →
01234
02.7%1.9%1.6%0.7%0.2%
14.7%7.4%4.3%1.8%0.6%
27.0%8.9%5.6%2.4%0.7%
36.2%7.8%4.9%2.1%0.7%
44.1%5.2%3.3%1.4%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FCM Ungheni goals (down), columns = Sucleia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartanii Selemet
2.40
Victoria
2.40
Floreşti
2.10
Sheriff II
2.00
Făleşti
1.90
Sporting Trestieni
1.53
Văsieni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.35
FCM Ungheni
1.12
Real Succes
0.82
Olimp Comrat
0.76
Sucleia
0.76
FCM Ungheni is 0.35 points better than Sucleia in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 0.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Victoria
4.10
Sheriff II
3.06
Spartanii Selemet
2.50
Sporting Trestieni
2.29
Făleşti
2.20
Văsieni
1.82
Floreşti
1.50
FCM Ungheni
1.47
Speranța Drochia
1.41
Real Succes
1.29
Olimp Comrat
1.24
Sucleia
1.12
FCM Ungheni is 0.35 goals better than Sucleia in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff II
0.65
Floreşti
0.80
Victoria
0.90
Spartanii Selemet
1.10
Făleşti
1.60
Speranța Drochia
1.65
FCM Ungheni
1.94
Sporting Trestieni
1.94
Văsieni
2.24
Olimp Comrat
2.41
Real Succes
2.94
Sucleia
3.41
FCM Ungheni is 1.47 goals better than Sucleia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 3.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sucleia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SucleiaSucleia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sucleia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sucleia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sucleia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sucleia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SucleiaSucleia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sucleia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sucleia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sucleia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.574.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
FU wins
0
Draws
0
SUC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FCM Ungheni vs Sucleia · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/22ASucleia Vs FU0-3

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/22AFloreşti Vs FU2-0
08/10/22HFU Vs Sheriff II1-1
30/09/22ASporting Trestieni Vs FU2-4
09/09/22ASucleia Vs FU0-3
03/09/22HFU Vs Floreşti1-0
27/08/22ASheriff II Vs FU2-1

SucleiaSucleia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22HSUC Vs Sheriff II0-5
08/10/22AFăleşti Vs SUC2-1
30/09/22AFloreşti Vs SUC3-1
09/09/22HSUC Vs FCM Ungheni0-3
02/09/22ASheriff II Vs SUC11-0
26/08/22HSUC Vs Făleşti1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.67
HomeWD2.00
AwayLWWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.831.503.50
Over 1.5 %83%50%100%
Over 2.5 %50%0%75%
Over 3.5 %17%0%25%
Scored1.671.002.00
Conceded1.170.501.50
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet33%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Sucleia
Sucleia
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.00
HomeLLL0.00
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals5.004.006.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %67%67%67%
Scored0.500.330.67
Conceded4.503.675.33
BTTS50%33%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff IISheriff II1734
59%
2.0
5211+41
3.7
82%
65%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.10.6
-
2Sporting TrestieniSporting Trestieni1726
47%
1.5
3933+6
4.2
94%
88%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.9
-
3VăsieniVăsieni1725
47%
1.5
3138-7
4.1
94%
88%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
4VictoriaVictoria1024
80%
2.4
419+32
5.0
90%
80%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.10.9
-
5Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1024
80%
2.4
2511+14
3.6
100%
90%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.1
-
6Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia1723
41%
1.4
2428-4
3.1
82%
76%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1021
70%
2.1
158+7
2.3
60%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
8FăleştiFăleşti1019
60%
1.9
2216+6
3.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
9FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni1719
35%
1.1
2533-8
3.4
82%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
10Real SuccesReal Succes1714
24%
0.8
2250-28
4.2
94%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
11Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat1713
18%
0.8
2141-20
3.6
94%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12SucleiaSucleia1713
24%
0.8
1958-39
4.5
88%
82%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.4
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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