The contest between Fehérvár FC and Diosgyori VTK is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 39% for Fehérvár, 30% for a draw and 31% for Diosgyori. The expected total of goals sits at 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% chance. Fehérvár, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Diosgyori, on the road, averages 1.08 scored and 1.85 conceded. Suggested picks from the model include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Under 5.5 (96.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Under 4.5 (90.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.6%) and Home +2 handicap (87.2%). Each of these selections carries its own probability, with no overlap with the match-result percentages.
Results analysis
After a rough run of three defeats, Fehérvár FC snapped the losing streak with a 2-1 home win over Diosgyori VTK, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would come out on top. The match finished 2-1, exactly the result the model favoured, and the favoured outcome was correct. The model had given a 39% chance to a home win, a 30% draw and 31% for an away win. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%, Under 6.5 at 98.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.2%, Under 5.5 at 96.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.6%, Under 4.5 at 90.0%, Away under 2.5 goals at 89.6%, and Home +2 handicap at 87.2%. The final score matched the model’s most likely total of two goals, and the selections largely performed as expected.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Fehérvár FC win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK win✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Fehérvár FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.17
1.46
0.69
0.82
1.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.75
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.12
1.40
0.50
0.93
1.53
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Diosgyori VTK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.50
1.60
1.20
1.13
1.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.54
1.69
1.23
1.08
1.85
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fehérvár FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1 ✓
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
Fehérvár FC goals ↓
Diosgyori VTK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.6%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.5%
8.4%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.3%
3.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fehérvár FC goals (down), columns = Diosgyori VTK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paks
2.67
ESMTK
2.50
MTK Budapest
2.40
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.40
Karcag SE
2.40
Iváncsa
2.40
Ferencvarosi TC
2.33
Gyori ETO FC
2.33
Nagykanizsai ULE
2.33
Pécsi MFC
2.33
Érdi VSE
2.33
Budaörs
2.33
III. Kerületi TUE
2.33
Pápai Perutz
2.33
Kaposvar
2.33
Ujpest
2.25
Fehérvár FC
2.25
Gödöllő
2.25
Puskas Academy
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
2.00
Soroksar
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
SC Sopron
2.00
Zalaszentgrót
2.00
DEAC
2.00
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
2.00
Eger
2.00
FC Hatvan
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
Sárvári
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Testvériség
2.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
2.00
Füzesabony
2.00
BKV Előre
2.00
Haladás VSE
2.00
Mezőörs
2.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
2.00
Hartai
2.00
Csornai SE
2.00
1908 SZAC
2.00
Kisvarda FC
1.75
MTE 1904
1.75
Tarpa
1.75
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.75
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.50
BVSC
1.50
Kecskeméti TE
1.50
Szeged 2011
1.50
Tatabánya
1.50
Veszprém
1.50
Nagyatádi
1.50
KSE Csesztreg
1.50
Vép
1.50
Jászfényszarui
1.50
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Tiszaújváros
1.50
Monostorpályi
1.50
Koroncó
1.50
Cigand SE
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Majosi
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Mátészalka
1.50
Bakonycsernye
1.50
Szekszárd
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
1.50
Tiszasziget
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
Csep-Gól
1.50
Abda
1.50
Mezőmegyer
1.50
MVSC
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Tiszaföldvár
1.50
Pátka
1.50
Gyirmot SE
1.33
Monori Se
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
Vasas
1.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Ajka
1.00
Bonyhád Völgység
1.00
Nagyecsed RSE
1.00
Marcali VFC
1.00
Balatonalmádi
0.67
Diosgyori VTK
0.50
Szentlőrinc SE
0.50
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Ercsi Kinizsi
0.50
Csakvar
0.00
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Teskánd
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Sándorfalva
0.00
Kakasd
0.00
Bóly
0.00
Lábatlan
0.00
Héhalom
0.00
Duna SK
0.00
Somogysárd
0.00
Unione
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
Tihany
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Gyulai Termál
0.00
Bicskei
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Szajol
0.00
REAC
0.00
Pilisi LK
0.00
Sárbogárd
0.00
Algyő SK
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Nyírbátori
0.00
Biatorbágy
0.00
Gesztely
0.00
Tállya
0.00
Úrkút
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Maklár
0.00
Hidasnémeti
0.00
Baktalórántháza
0.00
Füzesgyarmati
0.00
Lőrinci
0.00
BSK Alsózsolca
0.00
Hajdúnánás
0.00
Szakonyfalu
0.00
Sárospataki TC
0.00
Vizslás
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Bácsa
0.00
Nyíradony
0.00
Bábolna
0.00
Péti
0.00
Böde
0.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
0.00
Győrszentiván
0.00
Rábatótfalu
0.00
Vitnyéd
0.00
Fadd
0.00
Nagybajomi AC
0.00
Hajdúsámsoni
0.00
OMTK-Ule
0.00
Törökszentmiklós
0.00
Diósjenő
0.00
Söpte
0.00
Gyomaendrőd
0.00
Cegledi VSE
0.00
Kunbaja
0.00
Kalocsai
0.00
Lajosmizse
0.00
Himesháza
0.00
Inter 04
0.00
Fehérvár FC is 1.75 points better than Diosgyori VTK in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Mezőörs
8.00
Tiszakecske FC
6.33
Tiszafuredi VSE
6.25
Szekszárd
6.00
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
4.67
Pécsi MFC
4.33
Csornai SE
4.33
SC Sopron
4.20
Gyori ETO FC
4.00
Iváncsa
4.00
Tiszaújváros
4.00
Kaposvar
4.00
Vép
3.50
Majosi
3.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
3.50
Puskas Academy
3.33
MTE 1904
3.25
Karcag SE
3.20
Budapest Honved
3.00
Zalaszentgrót
3.00
Pápai Perutz
3.00
Koroncó
3.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
3.00
Hartai
3.00
Jánoshalmi
3.00
Csep-Gól
3.00
MVSC
3.00
Pátka
3.00
FC Hatvan
2.67
BKV Előre
2.67
1908 SZAC
2.67
Ferencvarosi TC
2.50
Paks
2.50
Ujpest
2.50
Ajka
2.50
Soroksar
2.50
KSE Csesztreg
2.50
Jászfényszarui
2.50
Monostorpályi
2.50
Mátészalka
2.50
Mezőmegyer
2.50
MTK Budapest
2.40
Budaörs
2.33
Putnok VSE
2.33
Haladás VSE
2.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.20
Debreceni VSC
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Fehérvár FC
2.00
Szentlőrinc SE
2.00
Tatabánya
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
Nagyatádi
2.00
Teskánd
2.00
Sándorfalva
2.00
Ercsi Kinizsi
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
III. Kerületi TUE
2.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
2.00
Tihany
2.00
Martfűi LSE
2.00
Úrkút
2.00
Marcali VFC
2.00
Nyíradony
2.00
Győrszentiván
2.00
Tiszaföldvár
2.00
Nagybajomi AC
2.00
Lajosmizse
2.00
Inter 04
2.00
Kisvarda FC
1.75
Gödöllő
1.75
Tarpa
1.75
ESMTK
1.75
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Érdi VSE
1.67
DEAC
1.67
Eger
1.67
Kelen
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.50
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Cigand SE
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Tiszasziget
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Füzesabony
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
Vasas
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Bóly
1.00
Somogysárd
1.00
Monori Se
1.00
Unione
1.00
Gyulai Termál
1.00
Bicskei
1.00
Pilisi LK
1.00
Sárbogárd
1.00
Maklár
1.00
BSK Alsózsolca
1.00
Sárospataki TC
1.00
Bábolna
1.00
Péti
1.00
Bakonycsernye
1.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
1.00
Fadd
1.00
Hajdúsámsoni
1.00
OMTK-Ule
1.00
Diósjenő
1.00
Cegledi VSE
1.00
Sárvári
0.67
Testvériség
0.67
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
Abda
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Balatonalmádi
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Kakasd
0.00
Lábatlan
0.00
Héhalom
0.00
Duna SK
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Szajol
0.00
REAC
0.00
Algyő SK
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Nyírbátori
0.00
Biatorbágy
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Gesztely
0.00
Tállya
0.00
Nagyecsed RSE
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Hidasnémeti
0.00
Baktalórántháza
0.00
Füzesgyarmati
0.00
Lőrinci
0.00
Hajdúnánás
0.00
Szakonyfalu
0.00
Vizslás
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Bácsa
0.00
Böde
0.00
Rábatótfalu
0.00
Vitnyéd
0.00
Törökszentmiklós
0.00
Söpte
0.00
Gyomaendrőd
0.00
Kunbaja
0.00
Kalocsai
0.00
Himesháza
0.00
Fehérvár FC is 0.50 goals better than Diosgyori VTK in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zalaszentgrót
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Nagyecsed RSE
0.00
Kisvarda FC
0.25
Érdi VSE
0.33
III. Kerületi TUE
0.33
Karcag SE
0.40
Paks
0.50
Debreceni VSC
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Kecskeméti TE
0.50
Soroksar
0.50
Balatonfüredi
0.50
Cigand SE
0.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
Dorogi FC
0.60
DEAC
0.67
Sárvári
0.67
Testvériség
0.67
Füzesabony
0.67
Ujpest
0.75
ESMTK
0.75
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.80
Puskas Academy
1.00
MTK Budapest
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.00
Iváncsa
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Gárdony
1.00
Komárom
1.00
Kakasd
1.00
PTE-PEAC
1.00
Hódmezővásárhely
1.00
Mezőörs
1.00
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.00
Zalalövő
1.00
Tiszaújváros
1.00
Király SZE
1.00
Sárisápi Bányász
1.00
Kaposvar
1.00
Pénzügyőr
1.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
1.00
Mátészalka
1.00
Algyő SK
1.00
Hajdúnánás
1.00
Szekszárd
1.00
1908 SZAC
1.00
Tiszasziget
1.00
Abda
1.00
Tiszaföldvár
1.00
Söpte
1.00
Ferencvarosi TC
1.17
SC Sopron
1.20
Fehérvár FC
1.25
Gödöllő
1.25
Gyirmot SE
1.33
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Pécsi MFC
1.33
Balatonalmádi
1.33
Monori Se
1.33
FC Hatvan
1.33
Pápai Perutz
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.50
Tatabánya
1.50
Nagyatádi
1.50
Vép
1.50
Tarpa
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
Gyori ETO FC
1.67
Budaörs
1.67
BKV Előre
1.67
Csornai SE
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Szeged 2011
2.00
MTE 1904
2.00
KSE Csesztreg
2.00
Jászfényszarui
2.00
Eger
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Gyöngyös
2.00
Monostorpályi
2.00
Koroncó
2.00
Sényő Carnifex
2.00
Újfehértó
2.00
Gyulai Termál
2.00
Majosi
2.00
REAC
2.00
Sárbogárd
2.00
Dunaföldvár
2.00
Biatorbágy
2.00
Szegedi VSE
2.00
Marcali VFC
2.00
Lőrinci
2.00
Dabas
2.00
Péti
2.00
MVSC
2.00
Hajdúsámsoni
2.00
Kalocsai
2.00
Hartai
2.33
Ajka
2.50
Szentlőrinc SE
2.50
Móri SE
2.50
Mohácsi TE
2.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
2.50
Csep-Gól
2.50
Karancslapujtő
2.50
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
2.67
Budapest Honved
3.00
Csakvar
3.00
Budafoki LC
3.00
Siofok
3.00
Haladás VSE
3.00
Unione
3.00
Tihany
3.00
Bicskei
3.00
Nyergesújfalu
3.00
Pilisi LK
3.00
Tállya
3.00
Maklár
3.00
Nyíradony
3.00
Vitnyéd
3.00
Mezőmegyer
3.00
Nagybajomi AC
3.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
3.33
Kozarmisleny FC
4.00
Bekescsaba 1912
4.00
Sándorfalva
4.00
Bóly
4.00
Héhalom
4.00
Szajol
4.00
Nyírbátori
4.00
Úrkút
4.00
Vizslás
4.00
Bácsa
4.00
Győrszentiván
4.00
OMTK-Ule
4.00
Diósjenő
4.00
Cegledi VSE
4.00
Kunbaja
4.00
Lajosmizse
4.00
Inter 04
4.00
Ercsi Kinizsi
4.50
Bakonycsernye
4.50
Lábatlan
5.00
Gesztely
5.00
Baktalórántháza
5.00
Sárospataki TC
5.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
5.00
Törökszentmiklós
5.00
Pátka
5.50
Füzesgyarmati
6.00
Böde
6.00
Rábatótfalu
6.00
Gyomaendrőd
7.00
BSK Alsózsolca
8.00
Teskánd
9.00
Somogysárd
9.00
Fadd
11.00
Himesháza
12.00
Duna SK
15.00
Bábolna
16.00
Hidasnémeti
19.00
Szakonyfalu
22.00
Fehérvár FC is 0.75 goals better than Diosgyori VTK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fehérvár FC or Draw✓ Hit
69.3%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
31%
covers Fehérvár FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC or Diosgyori VTK✓ Hit
70.1%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
31%
covers Fehérvár FC + Diosgyori VTK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Diosgyori VTK✗ Miss
60.5%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
31%
covers Draw + Diosgyori VTK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fehérvár FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.9%
Under
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.5%
Under
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.0%
Under
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fehérvár FC, so a minus line means Fehérvár FC give that many goals of a start and Diosgyori VTK receive them. At -1, Fehérvár FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fehérvár FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fehérvár FC)Actual: Diosgyori VTK
Fehérvár FC -2
6.5%
Draw -2
11.9%
Diosgyori VTK +2
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fehérvár FC)Actual: Draw
Fehérvár FC -1
18.5%
Draw -1
21.0%
Diosgyori VTK +1
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fehérvár FC)Actual: Fehérvár FC
Fehérvár FC +1
69.3%
Draw +1
17.9%
Diosgyori VTK -1
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fehérvár FC)Actual: Fehérvár FC
Fehérvár FC +2
87.2%
Draw +2
8.8%
Diosgyori VTK -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fehérvár FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.69
0.23
0.47
0.65
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.44
0.80
0.10
0.53
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Diosgyori VTK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.69
0.62
0.54
0.38
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Fehérvár FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fehérvár FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fehérvár FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.77
0.46
0.35
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.68
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.87
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Diosgyori VTK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Diosgyori VTK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.07
0.67
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.85
1.08
0.69
0.69
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Fehérvár FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fehérvár FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fehérvár FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Diosgyori VTK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fehérvár FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Šaponjić30%
Bálint Szabó24%
Patrik Kovács22%
Lirim Kastrati20%
Nejc Gradišar19%
Bence Babos17%
Tobias Christensen11%
Mátyás Katona10%
Zsolt Kalmár8%
Nicolás Stefanelli8%
Áron Csongvai6%
Filip Holender4%
Nikola Serafimov4%
Bogdan Melnyk4%
Csaba Spandler4%
Ivan Milićević0%
Bence Bedi0%
Balázs Tóth0%
András Huszti0%
Gergely Nagy0%
Szabolcs Schön0%
Kasper Larsen0%
Simeon Petrov0%
Aleksandre Kalandadze0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Márió Simut0%
Milán Pető0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šaponjić60%
Márió Simut40%
András Huszti38%
Szabolcs Schön33%
Kasper Larsen33%
Nikola Serafimov30%
Áron Csongvai28%
Bence Bedi25%
Aleksandre Kalandadze25%
Bogdan Melnyk23%
Lirim Kastrati20%
Csaba Spandler19%
Gergely Nagy17%
Filip Holender13%
Bálint Szabó12%
Mátyás Katona10%
Simeon Petrov9%
Ivan Milićević9%
Zsolt Kalmár8%
Nejc Gradišar6%
Milán Pető4%
Nicolás Stefanelli4%
Balázs Tóth0%
Tobias Christensen0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Bence Babos0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Milićević17%
Nejc Gradišar12%
Tobias Christensen11%
Áron Csongvai11%
Filip Holender9%
Nicolás Stefanelli8%
Mátyás Katona7%
Bálint Szabó6%
Márió Simut5%
Bence Bedi4%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Balázs Tóth0%
András Huszti0%
Csaba Spandler0%
Gergely Nagy0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Szabolcs Schön0%
Ivan Šaponjić0%
Kasper Larsen0%
Zsolt Kalmár0%
Simeon Petrov0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Aleksandre Kalandadze0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Bence Babos0%
Milán Pető0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Szabolcs Schön33%
Tobias Christensen33%
Nejc Gradišar12%
Áron Csongvai11%
Patrik Kovács11%
Ivan Šaponjić10%
Nicolás Stefanelli8%
Mátyás Katona7%
Mátyás Kovács5%
Filip Holender4%
Bence Bedi4%
Milán Pető4%
Bálint Szabó0%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Ivan Milićević0%
Balázs Tóth0%
András Huszti0%
Csaba Spandler0%
Gergely Nagy0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Kasper Larsen0%
Zsolt Kalmár0%
Simeon Petrov0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Aleksandre Kalandadze0%
Gergő Ominger0%
Martin Dala0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Márió Simut0%
Bence Babos0%
Diosgyori VTK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elton Acolatse24%
Marko Rakonjac22%
Kevin Kállai20%
Csaba Szatmári15%
Alen Skribek14%
Bence Szakos14%
Bright Edomwonyi13%
Gábor Jurek12%
Marcell Huszár12%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš10%
Franchu9%
Dániel Gera8%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski7%
Bence Bárdos7%
Ágoston Bényei6%
Vladislav Klimovich5%
Siniša Saničanin5%
Karlo Sentić0%
Marco Lund0%
Christ Junior Tiehi0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Gergő Holdampf0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Moha0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Artem Odintsov0%
Bence Komlósi0%
Péter Benkő0%
Zétény Varga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dániel Gera33%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski27%
Bright Edomwonyi26%
Marco Lund25%
Bence Komlósi25%
Gergő Holdampf24%
Kevin Kállai20%
Marko Rakonjac17%
Zétény Varga17%
Elton Acolatse14%
Karlo Sentić14%
Moha14%
Siniša Saničanin14%
Bence Bárdos13%
Alex Vallejo13%
Ágoston Bényei12%
Gábor Jurek12%
Csaba Szatmári8%
Artem Odintsov7%
Vladislav Klimovich5%
Franchu0%
Christ Junior Tiehi0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Alen Skribek0%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Péter Benkő0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Bence Szakos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gábor Jurek31%
Elton Acolatse19%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš19%
Franchu9%
Bright Edomwonyi9%
Ágoston Bényei6%
Vladislav Klimovich5%
Gergő Holdampf5%
Siniša Saničanin5%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Marco Lund0%
Christ Junior Tiehi0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Alen Skribek0%
Csaba Szatmári0%
Dániel Gera0%
Bence Bárdos0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Moha0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Artem Odintsov0%
Bence Komlósi0%
Péter Benkő0%
Zétény Varga0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Bence Szakos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elton Acolatse19%
Alen Skribek14%
Moha14%
Marko Rakonjac9%
Dániel Gera8%
Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski7%
Gábor Jurek6%
Franchu0%
Bright Edomwonyi0%
Vladislav Klimovich0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Marco Lund0%
Christ Junior Tiehi0%
Argyris Kampetsis0%
Csaba Szatmári0%
Bence Bárdos0%
Gergő Holdampf0%
Siniša Saničanin0%
Alex Vallejo0%
Rudi Požeg Vancaš0%
Ágoston Bényei0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Kállai0%
Artem Odintsov0%
Bence Komlósi0%
Péter Benkő0%
Zétény Varga0%
Marcell Huszár0%
Bence Szakos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Fehérvár FC and Diosgyori VTK have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Fehérvár FC and Diosgyori VTK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Fehérvár FC and Diosgyori VTK have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Fehérvár FC and Diosgyori VTK have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Hungary: NB I 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →