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Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 3-1
Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC
Vs
57%
24%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest
Hungary: Magyar Kupa
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferencvarosi TC win✓ Hit
56.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest win✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W33D22D10W40W11D31W20W20W70WA·FEH23/02A·GYO27/02H·GYO02/03A·DEB09/03H·KEC16/03A·DIO30/03H·UJP02/04H·UJP06/04A·ZAL12/04H·NYI20/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.302.541.081.471.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.862.003.001.331.002.50
vs Weaker (23)1.961.092.401.001.621.15
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MTK BudapestMTK Budapest

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W20W51W11D30W12L42W11D12L11DH·DIO21/02A·IVÁ26/02A·UJP01/03A·ZAL08/03H·NYI16/03A·GYO29/03H·FEH03/04A·PUS06/04H·PAK11/04A·FEH20/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.332.231.381.471.29
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.851.372.331.251.471.47
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
6.6%
3-1 ✓
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
Ferencvarosi TC goals ↓
MTK Budapest goals →
01234
06.6%4.6%2.8%1.0%0.2%
19.4%12%5.3%1.8%0.5%
29.8%9.9%5.0%1.7%0.4%
36.2%6.2%3.1%1.1%0.3%
42.9%2.9%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferencvarosi TC goals (down), columns = MTK Budapest goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paks
2.67
ESMTK
2.50
Karcag SE
2.40
Iváncsa
2.40
MTK Budapest
2.40
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.40
Pécsi MFC
2.33
Gyori ETO FC
2.33
Kaposvar
2.33
Ferencvarosi TC
2.33
Budaörs
2.33
Érdi VSE
2.33
Nagykanizsai ULE
2.33
Pápai Perutz
2.33
III. Kerületi TUE
2.33
Gödöllő
2.25
Fehérvár FC
2.25
Ujpest
2.25
Mezőörs
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
Haladás VSE
2.00
Sárvári
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
Testvériség
2.00
Zalaszentgrót
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
SC Sopron
2.00
Soroksar
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
2.00
BKV Előre
2.00
1908 SZAC
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Hartai
2.00
Füzesabony
2.00
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
2.00
FC Hatvan
2.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Eger
2.00
DEAC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
2.00
Csornai SE
2.00
MTE 1904
1.75
Kisvarda FC
1.75
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.75
Tarpa
1.75
Nagyatádi
1.50
Tiszaújváros
1.50
Cigand SE
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Mezőmegyer
1.50
MVSC
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
Csep-Gól
1.50
Vép
1.50
Kecskeméti TE
1.50
Tatabánya
1.50
Abda
1.50
Veszprém
1.50
Szekszárd
1.50
Pátka
1.50
Szeged 2011
1.50
Bakonycsernye
1.50
BVSC
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Koroncó
1.50
KSE Csesztreg
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Tiszaföldvár
1.50
Jászfényszarui
1.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
1.50
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.50
Tiszasziget
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
1.50
Monostorpályi
1.50
Mátészalka
1.50
Majosi
1.50
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Gyirmot SE
1.33
Monori Se
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Bonyhád Völgység
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Nagyecsed RSE
1.00
Ajka
1.00
Marcali VFC
1.00
Balatonalmádi
0.67
Diosgyori VTK
0.50
Ercsi Kinizsi
0.50
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Szentlőrinc SE
0.50
Kalocsai
0.00
Nyírbátori
0.00
Gesztely
0.00
Szakonyfalu
0.00
Füzesgyarmati
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Úrkút
0.00
OMTK-Ule
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Rábatótfalu
0.00
Vitnyéd
0.00
Tihany
0.00
Inter 04
0.00
Vizslás
0.00
Bácsa
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Nagybajomi AC
0.00
Lőrinci
0.00
Maklár
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Szajol
0.00
REAC
0.00
Lábatlan
0.00
Kunbaja
0.00
Hajdúnánás
0.00
Böde
0.00
Gyulai Termál
0.00
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Baktalórántháza
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
Tállya
0.00
Somogysárd
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Nyíradony
0.00
Duna SK
0.00
Lajosmizse
0.00
Hidasnémeti
0.00
Söpte
0.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Cegledi VSE
0.00
Diósjenő
0.00
Teskánd
0.00
Törökszentmiklós
0.00
Héhalom
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Kakasd
0.00
Bicskei
0.00
Himesháza
0.00
Hajdúsámsoni
0.00
Biatorbágy
0.00
Győrszentiván
0.00
Sándorfalva
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Fadd
0.00
Sárospataki TC
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Bábolna
0.00
Unione
0.00
Péti
0.00
Sárbogárd
0.00
Csakvar
0.00
Pilisi LK
0.00
Bóly
0.00
Gyomaendrőd
0.00
Algyő SK
0.00
BSK Alsózsolca
0.00
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.07 points worse than MTK Budapest in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mezőörs
8.00
Tiszakecske FC
6.33
Tiszafuredi VSE
6.25
Szekszárd
6.00
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
4.67
Pécsi MFC
4.33
Csornai SE
4.33
SC Sopron
4.20
Tiszaújváros
4.00
Gyori ETO FC
4.00
Kaposvar
4.00
Iváncsa
4.00
Vép
3.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
3.50
Majosi
3.50
Puskas Academy
3.33
MTE 1904
3.25
Karcag SE
3.20
MVSC
3.00
Jánoshalmi
3.00
Csep-Gól
3.00
Zalaszentgrót
3.00
Hartai
3.00
Pátka
3.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
3.00
Pápai Perutz
3.00
Koroncó
3.00
Budapest Honved
3.00
BKV Előre
2.67
1908 SZAC
2.67
FC Hatvan
2.67
Mezőmegyer
2.50
Ferencvarosi TC
2.50
Soroksar
2.50
Paks
2.50
Ujpest
2.50
Ajka
2.50
KSE Csesztreg
2.50
Jászfényszarui
2.50
Monostorpályi
2.50
Mátészalka
2.50
MTK Budapest
2.40
Haladás VSE
2.33
Putnok VSE
2.33
Budaörs
2.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.20
Nagyatádi
2.00
Úrkút
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
Tihany
2.00
Inter 04
2.00
Nagybajomi AC
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
Fehérvár FC
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tatabánya
2.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
2.00
Nyíradony
2.00
Lajosmizse
2.00
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Teskánd
2.00
Ercsi Kinizsi
2.00
Marcali VFC
2.00
Győrszentiván
2.00
Sándorfalva
2.00
Tiszaföldvár
2.00
III. Kerületi TUE
2.00
Szentlőrinc SE
2.00
Debreceni VSC
2.00
Martfűi LSE
2.00
Gödöllő
1.75
ESMTK
1.75
Kisvarda FC
1.75
Tarpa
1.75
Érdi VSE
1.67
Kelen
1.67
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Eger
1.67
DEAC
1.67
Cigand SE
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Diosgyori VTK
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Tiszasziget
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Füzesabony
1.33
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
OMTK-Ule
1.00
Maklár
1.00
Gyulai Termál
1.00
Somogysárd
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
1.00
Cegledi VSE
1.00
Diósjenő
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Bicskei
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Monori Se
1.00
Hajdúsámsoni
1.00
Bakonycsernye
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Fadd
1.00
Sárospataki TC
1.00
Bábolna
1.00
Unione
1.00
Péti
1.00
Sárbogárd
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Pilisi LK
1.00
Bóly
1.00
BSK Alsózsolca
1.00
Sárvári
0.67
Testvériség
0.67
Abda
0.50
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
Kalocsai
0.00
Nyírbátori
0.00
Gesztely
0.00
Szakonyfalu
0.00
Füzesgyarmati
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Rábatótfalu
0.00
Vitnyéd
0.00
Vizslás
0.00
Bácsa
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Balatonalmádi
0.00
Lőrinci
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Szajol
0.00
REAC
0.00
Lábatlan
0.00
Kunbaja
0.00
Hajdúnánás
0.00
Böde
0.00
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Baktalórántháza
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
Tállya
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Duna SK
0.00
Hidasnémeti
0.00
Söpte
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Törökszentmiklós
0.00
Héhalom
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Kakasd
0.00
Nagyecsed RSE
0.00
Himesháza
0.00
Biatorbágy
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Gyomaendrőd
0.00
Algyő SK
0.00
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.10 goals better than MTK Budapest in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 2.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zalaszentgrót
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Nagyecsed RSE
0.00
Kisvarda FC
0.25
Érdi VSE
0.33
III. Kerületi TUE
0.33
Karcag SE
0.40
Cigand SE
0.50
Kecskeméti TE
0.50
Soroksar
0.50
Paks
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
Balatonfüredi
0.50
Debreceni VSC
0.50
Dorogi FC
0.60
Sárvári
0.67
Testvériség
0.67
Füzesabony
0.67
DEAC
0.67
ESMTK
0.75
Ujpest
0.75
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.80
Tiszaújváros
1.00
Sárisápi Bányász
1.00
Mezőörs
1.00
Komárom
1.00
Hódmezővásárhely
1.00
Kaposvar
1.00
Hajdúnánás
1.00
Zalalövő
1.00
Király SZE
1.00
Abda
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Szekszárd
1.00
Söpte
1.00
1908 SZAC
1.00
Gárdony
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.00
Iváncsa
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Pénzügyőr
1.00
MTK Budapest
1.00
Kakasd
1.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
1.00
Puskas Academy
1.00
PTE-PEAC
1.00
Tiszaföldvár
1.00
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.00
Tiszasziget
1.00
Mátészalka
1.00
Algyő SK
1.00
Ferencvarosi TC
1.17
SC Sopron
1.20
Gödöllő
1.25
Fehérvár FC
1.25
Pécsi MFC
1.33
Balatonalmádi
1.33
Gyirmot SE
1.33
FC Hatvan
1.33
Monori Se
1.33
Pápai Perutz
1.33
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Nagyatádi
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
Vép
1.50
Tatabánya
1.50
Tarpa
1.50
Nyiregyhaza
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Gyori ETO FC
1.67
Budaörs
1.67
BKV Előre
1.67
Csornai SE
1.67
Kalocsai
2.00
Szegedi VSE
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
MTE 1904
2.00
MVSC
2.00
Lőrinci
2.00
REAC
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
Gyulai Termál
2.00
Diosgyori VTK
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Dabas
2.00
Gyöngyös
2.00
Szeged 2011
2.00
Hajdúsámsoni
2.00
Biatorbágy
2.00
Marcali VFC
2.00
Koroncó
2.00
KSE Csesztreg
2.00
Dunaföldvár
2.00
Eger
2.00
Jászfényszarui
2.00
Sényő Carnifex
2.00
Újfehértó
2.00
Péti
2.00
Sárbogárd
2.00
Monostorpályi
2.00
Majosi
2.00
Hartai
2.33
Mohácsi TE
2.50
Csep-Gól
2.50
Ajka
2.50
Móri SE
2.50
Karancslapujtő
2.50
Szentlőrinc SE
2.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
2.50
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
2.67
Nyergesújfalu
3.00
Mezőmegyer
3.00
Vitnyéd
3.00
Tihany
3.00
Nagybajomi AC
3.00
Haladás VSE
3.00
Maklár
3.00
Budafoki LC
3.00
Tállya
3.00
Siofok
3.00
Nyíradony
3.00
Bicskei
3.00
Budapest Honved
3.00
Unione
3.00
Csakvar
3.00
Pilisi LK
3.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
3.33
Nyírbátori
4.00
Úrkút
4.00
OMTK-Ule
4.00
Inter 04
4.00
Vizslás
4.00
Bácsa
4.00
Bekescsaba 1912
4.00
Szajol
4.00
Kunbaja
4.00
Kozarmisleny FC
4.00
Lajosmizse
4.00
Cegledi VSE
4.00
Diósjenő
4.00
Héhalom
4.00
Győrszentiván
4.00
Sándorfalva
4.00
Bóly
4.00
Ercsi Kinizsi
4.50
Bakonycsernye
4.50
Gesztely
5.00
Lábatlan
5.00
Baktalórántháza
5.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
5.00
Törökszentmiklós
5.00
Sárospataki TC
5.00
Pátka
5.50
Füzesgyarmati
6.00
Rábatótfalu
6.00
Böde
6.00
Gyomaendrőd
7.00
BSK Alsózsolca
8.00
Somogysárd
9.00
Teskánd
9.00
Fadd
11.00
Himesháza
12.00
Duna SK
15.00
Bábolna
16.00
Hidasnémeti
19.00
Szakonyfalu
22.00
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.17 goals worse than MTK Budapest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ferencvarosi TC or Draw✓ Hit
81.1%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Ferencvarosi TC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC or MTK Budapest✓ Hit
75.6%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Ferencvarosi TC + MTK Budapest
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or MTK Budapest✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Draw + MTK Budapest
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.7%
Under
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.1%
Under
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
29.1%
Under
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
Under
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ferencvarosi TC, so a minus line means Ferencvarosi TC give that many goals of a start and MTK Budapest receive them. At -1, Ferencvarosi TC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ferencvarosi TC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ferencvarosi TC)Actual: Draw
Ferencvarosi TC -2
16.0%
Draw -2
17.7%
MTK Budapest +2
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ferencvarosi TC)Actual: Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC -1
33.7%
Draw -1
23.0%
MTK Budapest +1
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ferencvarosi TC)Actual: Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC +1
81.1%
Draw +1
11.8%
MTK Budapest -1
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ferencvarosi TC)Actual: Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC +2
93.0%
Draw +2
5.1%
MTK Budapest -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W01L10W20W11D20W20W00D30WA·FEH23/02A·GYO27/02H·GYO02/03A·DEB09/03H·KEC16/03A·DIO30/03H·UJP02/04H·UJP06/04A·ZAL12/04H·NYI20/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.310.380.650.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.862.000.330.001.25
vs Weaker (23)0.960.571.100.400.850.69
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MTK BudapestMTK Budapest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W01L00D01L01L11D01L00DH·DIO21/02A·IVÁ26/02A·UJP01/03A·ZAL08/03H·NYI16/03A·GYO29/03H·FEH03/04A·PUS06/04H·PAK11/04A·FEH20/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.690.770.760.71
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.740.670.670.670.80
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L21W00D20W00D11D00D20W40WA·FEH23/02A·GYO27/02H·GYO02/03A·DEB09/03H·KEC16/03A·DIO30/03H·UJP02/04H·UJP06/04A·ZAL12/04H·NYI20/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.230.690.820.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.001.141.001.001.001.25
vs Weaker (23)1.000.521.300.600.770.46
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MTK BudapestMTK Budapest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W41W10W30W11D41W00D11D11DH·DIO21/02A·IVÁ26/02A·UJP01/03A·ZAL08/03H·NYI16/03A·GYO29/03H·FEH03/04A·PUS06/04H·PAK11/04A·FEH20/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.601.540.620.710.59
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.190.631.670.580.800.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap93.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals87.8%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals84.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.583.4%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw81.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap81.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls80.2%--------
Over 1.579.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.8%--------
Over 2.5 cards76.8%--------
Home or Away75.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals73.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.6%--------
Home under 2.5 goals70.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ferencvarosi TC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga34%
Gábor Szalai25%
Aleksandar Pešić21%
Matheus Saldanha21%
Kady Borges14%
Lenny Joseph14%
Adama Malouda Traoré14%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane12%
Raul Gustavo11%
Tosin Kehinde11%
Zsombor Gruber9%
Kristoffer Zachariassen9%
Mohammad Abu Fani8%
Philippe Rommens8%
Ibrahim Cissé8%
Stefan Gartenmann6%
Habib Maïga6%
Alex Tóth5%
Cebrail Makreckis3%
Naby Keïta0%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Endre Botka0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Aleksandar Ćirković0%
Júlio Romão0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Endre Botka33%
Gábor Szalai33%
Barnabás Varga28%
Aleksandar Ćirković25%
Júlio Romão22%
Cebrail Makreckis21%
Mohammad Abu Fani19%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane15%
Eldar Ćivić15%
Kady Borges14%
Lenny Joseph14%
Stefan Gartenmann12%
Cristian Ramírez10%
Matheus Saldanha10%
Zsombor Gruber9%
Kristoffer Zachariassen9%
Philippe Rommens8%
Ibrahim Cissé8%
Habib Maïga6%
Adama Malouda Traoré6%
Raul Gustavo5%
Alex Tóth5%
Aleksandar Pešić4%
Naby Keïta0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Tóth26%
Kady Borges19%
Mohammad Abu Fani14%
Cebrail Makreckis12%
Tosin Kehinde11%
Cristian Ramírez10%
Barnabás Varga9%
Zsombor Gruber9%
Eldar Ćivić8%
Matheus Saldanha7%
Adama Malouda Traoré6%
Ibrahim Cissé5%
Aleksandar Pešić4%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane4%
Habib Maïga3%
Kristoffer Zachariassen3%
Naby Keïta0%
Raul Gustavo0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Lenny Joseph0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Endre Botka0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Philippe Rommens0%
Aleksandar Ćirković0%
Júlio Romão0%
Gábor Szalai0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Barnabás Varga44%
Lenny Joseph29%
Kady Borges19%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane15%
Adama Malouda Traoré14%
Matheus Saldanha14%
Aleksandar Pešić8%
Mohammad Abu Fani6%
Alex Tóth5%
Ibrahim Cissé5%
Cristian Ramírez3%
Kristoffer Zachariassen3%
Naby Keïta0%
Raul Gustavo0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Habib Maïga0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Endre Botka0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Philippe Rommens0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Aleksandar Ćirković0%
Cebrail Makreckis0%
Júlio Romão0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Gábor Szalai0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marin Jurina40%
Zsombor Gruber25%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Benedek Varju18%
Róbert Polievka17%
Viktor Hei12%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Krisztián Németh6%
Bence Végh5%
Tamás Kádár5%
Patrik Kovács5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dávid Bobál40%
Mihály Kata33%
Márk Kosznovszky30%
Tamás Kádár29%
Zsombor Nagy25%
Patrik Kovács24%
Benedek Varju24%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Nemanja Antonov20%
Viktor Hei18%
Marin Jurina12%
Krisztián Németh12%
Ádin Molnár10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Zoltán Stieber7%
Bence Végh5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Patrik Demjén0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár23%
Artúr Horváth18%
Viktor Hei18%
Rajmund Molnár14%
Zoltán Stieber13%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Nemanja Antonov10%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
Ádin Molnár10%
Tamás Kádár10%
Patrik Kovács5%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Krisztián Németh0%
Marin Jurina0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rajmund Molnár32%
Marin Jurina28%
István Bognár18%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Róbert Polievka11%
Krisztián Németh6%
Tamás Kádár0%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Viktor Hei0%
Márk Kosznovszky0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Ferencvarosi TC's squad is €29m more valuable than MTK Budapest's (€40m vs €11m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Ferencvarosi TC's attack is €21m more valuable than MTK Budapest's (€24m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Ferencvarosi TC's midfield is €4m more valuable than MTK Budapest's (€8m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Ferencvarosi TC's defence is €4m more valuable than MTK Budapest's (€9m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
FT wins
1
Draws
0
MB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ferencvarosi TC vs MTK Budapest · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
02/02/25HFT Vs MTK Budapest0-0
20/09/24AMTK Budapest Vs FT1-3
28/04/24AMTK Budapest Vs FT1-2
06/02/24HFT Vs MTK Budapest5-1
30/09/23AMTK Budapest Vs FT1-6

Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25HFT Vs Nyiregyhaza7-0
12/04/25AZalaegerszegi TE Vs FT0-2
06/04/25HFT Vs Ujpest2-0
02/04/25HFT Vs Ujpest3-1
30/03/25ADiosgyori VTK Vs FT1-1
16/03/25HFT Vs Kecskeméti TE4-0
09/03/25ADebreceni VSC Vs FT0-1
02/03/25HFT Vs Gyori ETO FC2-2
27/02/25AGyori ETO FC Vs FT3-3
23/02/25AFehérvár FC Vs FT1-3

MTK BudapestMTK Budapest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25AFehérvár FC Vs MB1-1
11/04/25HMB Vs Paks1-2
06/04/25APuskas Academy Vs MB1-1
03/04/25HMB Vs Fehérvár FC4-2
29/03/25AGyori ETO FC Vs MB2-1
16/03/25HMB Vs Nyiregyhaza3-0
08/03/25AZalaegerszegi TE Vs MB1-1
01/03/25AUjpest Vs MB1-5
26/02/25AIváncsa Vs MB0-2
21/02/25HMB Vs Diosgyori VTK4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC
Hungary: Magyar Kupa
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.86
HomeDWWWW2.25
AwayWDWDW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%67%42%
AVG goals2.862.922.81
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %34%38%31%
Scored1.782.171.42
Conceded1.080.751.38
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet46%58%35%
Corners9.078.749.38
Cards4.703.845.48
MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest
Hungary: Magyar Kupa
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.54
HomeLWWWL1.67
AwayWDLDD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals3.263.333.19
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %64%75%54%
Over 3.5 %40%46%35%
Scored1.701.961.46
Conceded1.561.381.73
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners8.817.729.84
Cards3.893.614.16

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC3369
61%
2.1
6431+33
2.9
73%
48%
36%
9.5
44%
4.9
77%
25.9
85%
40
24891.90.9
62%
2Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy3366
61%
2.0
5838+20
2.9
82%
58%
24%
9.0
38%
4.7
69%
27.2
85%
11
5241.81.2
50%
3PaksPaks3357
48%
1.7
6547+18
3.4
91%
64%
45%
10.3
50%
4.3
64%
28.0
92%
8
3242.01.4
48%
4Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3353
42%
1.6
4937+12
2.6
79%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.51.1
-
5MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3346
39%
1.4
5347+6
3.0
82%
61%
39%
9.0
48%
4.3
56%
23.6
64%
11
2451.61.4
55%
6Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3344
33%
1.3
4351-8
2.8
76%
48%
30%
10.5
62%
4.7
64%
24.9
69%
3
1111.31.5
47%
7UjpestUjpest3341
27%
1.2
3844-6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
9.8
50%
5.0
69%
25.9
73%
14
5351.21.3
51%
8NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3336
27%
1.1
3152-21
2.5
70%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3130.91.6
-
9Debreceni VSCDebreceni VSC3334
27%
1.0
5259-7
3.4
79%
70%
45%
10.0
50%
6.1
88%
28.6
88%
9
2241.61.8
50%
10Zalaegerszegi TEZalaegerszegi TE3334
21%
1.0
3542-7
2.3
73%
42%
18%
9.7
52%
5.0
68%
26.3
70%
5
2121.11.3
44%
11Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3331
24%
0.9
3452-18
2.6
70%
45%
30%
9.3
35%
4.8
62%
27.2
81%
2
1011.01.6
46%
12Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3325
12%
0.8
3153-22
2.5
67%
52%
33%
8.3
30%
4.5
62%
23.4
63%
3
1010.91.6
47%
Hungary: NB I 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →

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