Ferencváros is the clear favourite, with a 61% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 15% for a Újpest victory. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, and the most likely total is 2 goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 12% probability. Ferencváros, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.12 conceded, while Újpest, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages no goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Home +2 handicap (95.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.1%), Under 5.5 (94.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (88.4%) and Under 4.5 (86.9%). Ferencváros’ recent four-game winning streak and a 2-1 win over Puskás Academy set a positive tone, while Újpest’s win over Vasas keeps them hopeful, but the odds favour a Ferencváros victory.
Results analysis
Ferencvárosi TC continued their four-game winning streak, beating Újpest 3-1 to secure the predicted home win. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, with a 61% probability. The final score matched the expected 2-goal outcome, though the actual tally was higher. Every suggested pick from the model hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.4% chance) finished 4-goals, Under 6.5 (98.1%) 4-goals, Under 5.5 (94.7%) 4-goals, Under 4.5 (86.9%) 4-goals, Home under 3.5 goals (88.4%) 3-goals, Home +2 handicap (95.2%) 3-goals, Away under 3.5 goals (99.0%) 1-goal, and Away under 2.5 goals (95.1%) 1-goal. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, confirming its strong forecast.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ferencvarosi TC win✓ Hit
60.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ujpest win✗ Miss
14.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ferencvarosi TC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.43
1.92
1.15
1.41
1.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.67
1.78
2.20
1.20
1.00
2.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.62
1.29
1.75
1.12
1.54
1.38
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.30
1.07
1.21
1.38
1.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.38
1.15
1.31
1.62
1.46
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
3-1 ✓
6.0%
0-1
4.6%
Ferencvarosi TC goals ↓
Ujpest goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
4.6%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.3%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.4%
6.0%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
4
3.4%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferencvarosi TC goals (down), columns = Ujpest goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paks
2.67
ESMTK
2.50
MTK Budapest
2.40
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.40
Karcag SE
2.40
Iváncsa
2.40
Ferencvarosi TC
2.33
Gyori ETO FC
2.33
Nagykanizsai ULE
2.33
Pécsi MFC
2.33
Érdi VSE
2.33
Budaörs
2.33
III. Kerületi TUE
2.33
Pápai Perutz
2.33
Kaposvar
2.33
Ujpest
2.25
Fehérvár FC
2.25
Gödöllő
2.25
Puskas Academy
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
2.00
Soroksar
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
SC Sopron
2.00
Zalaszentgrót
2.00
DEAC
2.00
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
2.00
Eger
2.00
FC Hatvan
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
Sárvári
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Testvériség
2.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
2.00
Füzesabony
2.00
BKV Előre
2.00
Haladás VSE
2.00
Mezőörs
2.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
2.00
Hartai
2.00
Csornai SE
2.00
1908 SZAC
2.00
Kisvarda FC
1.75
MTE 1904
1.75
Tarpa
1.75
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.75
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.50
BVSC
1.50
Kecskeméti TE
1.50
Szeged 2011
1.50
Tatabánya
1.50
Veszprém
1.50
Nagyatádi
1.50
KSE Csesztreg
1.50
Vép
1.50
Jászfényszarui
1.50
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Tiszaújváros
1.50
Monostorpályi
1.50
Koroncó
1.50
Cigand SE
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Majosi
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Mátészalka
1.50
Bakonycsernye
1.50
Szekszárd
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
1.50
Tiszasziget
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
Csep-Gól
1.50
Abda
1.50
Mezőmegyer
1.50
MVSC
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Tiszaföldvár
1.50
Pátka
1.50
Gyirmot SE
1.33
Monori Se
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
Vasas
1.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Ajka
1.00
Bonyhád Völgység
1.00
Nagyecsed RSE
1.00
Marcali VFC
1.00
Balatonalmádi
0.67
Diosgyori VTK
0.50
Szentlőrinc SE
0.50
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Ercsi Kinizsi
0.50
Csakvar
0.00
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Teskánd
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Sándorfalva
0.00
Kakasd
0.00
Bóly
0.00
Lábatlan
0.00
Héhalom
0.00
Duna SK
0.00
Somogysárd
0.00
Unione
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
Tihany
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Gyulai Termál
0.00
Bicskei
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Szajol
0.00
REAC
0.00
Pilisi LK
0.00
Sárbogárd
0.00
Algyő SK
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Nyírbátori
0.00
Biatorbágy
0.00
Gesztely
0.00
Tállya
0.00
Úrkút
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Maklár
0.00
Hidasnémeti
0.00
Baktalórántháza
0.00
Füzesgyarmati
0.00
Lőrinci
0.00
BSK Alsózsolca
0.00
Hajdúnánás
0.00
Szakonyfalu
0.00
Sárospataki TC
0.00
Vizslás
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Bácsa
0.00
Nyíradony
0.00
Bábolna
0.00
Péti
0.00
Böde
0.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
0.00
Győrszentiván
0.00
Rábatótfalu
0.00
Vitnyéd
0.00
Fadd
0.00
Nagybajomi AC
0.00
Hajdúsámsoni
0.00
OMTK-Ule
0.00
Törökszentmiklós
0.00
Diósjenő
0.00
Söpte
0.00
Gyomaendrőd
0.00
Cegledi VSE
0.00
Kunbaja
0.00
Kalocsai
0.00
Lajosmizse
0.00
Himesháza
0.00
Inter 04
0.00
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.08 points better than Ujpest in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Mezőörs
8.00
Tiszakecske FC
6.33
Tiszafuredi VSE
6.25
Szekszárd
6.00
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
4.67
Pécsi MFC
4.33
Csornai SE
4.33
SC Sopron
4.20
Gyori ETO FC
4.00
Iváncsa
4.00
Tiszaújváros
4.00
Kaposvar
4.00
Vép
3.50
Majosi
3.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
3.50
Puskas Academy
3.33
MTE 1904
3.25
Karcag SE
3.20
Budapest Honved
3.00
Zalaszentgrót
3.00
Pápai Perutz
3.00
Koroncó
3.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
3.00
Hartai
3.00
Jánoshalmi
3.00
Csep-Gól
3.00
MVSC
3.00
Pátka
3.00
FC Hatvan
2.67
BKV Előre
2.67
1908 SZAC
2.67
Ferencvarosi TC
2.50
Paks
2.50
Ujpest
2.50
Ajka
2.50
Soroksar
2.50
KSE Csesztreg
2.50
Jászfényszarui
2.50
Monostorpályi
2.50
Mátészalka
2.50
Mezőmegyer
2.50
MTK Budapest
2.40
Budaörs
2.33
Putnok VSE
2.33
Haladás VSE
2.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.20
Debreceni VSC
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Fehérvár FC
2.00
Szentlőrinc SE
2.00
Tatabánya
2.00
Dorogi FC
2.00
Nagyatádi
2.00
Teskánd
2.00
Sándorfalva
2.00
Ercsi Kinizsi
2.00
Hódmezővásárhely
2.00
III. Kerületi TUE
2.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
2.00
Tihany
2.00
Martfűi LSE
2.00
Úrkút
2.00
Marcali VFC
2.00
Nyíradony
2.00
Győrszentiván
2.00
Tiszaföldvár
2.00
Nagybajomi AC
2.00
Lajosmizse
2.00
Inter 04
2.00
Kisvarda FC
1.75
Gödöllő
1.75
Tarpa
1.75
ESMTK
1.75
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Érdi VSE
1.67
DEAC
1.67
Eger
1.67
Kelen
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.50
Balatonfüredi
1.50
Cigand SE
1.50
Újfehértó
1.50
Móri SE
1.50
Mohácsi TE
1.50
Tiszasziget
1.50
Karancslapujtő
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Füzesabony
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.25
Vasas
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Bóly
1.00
Somogysárd
1.00
Monori Se
1.00
Unione
1.00
Gyulai Termál
1.00
Bicskei
1.00
Pilisi LK
1.00
Sárbogárd
1.00
Maklár
1.00
BSK Alsózsolca
1.00
Sárospataki TC
1.00
Bábolna
1.00
Péti
1.00
Bakonycsernye
1.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
1.00
Fadd
1.00
Hajdúsámsoni
1.00
OMTK-Ule
1.00
Diósjenő
1.00
Cegledi VSE
1.00
Sárvári
0.67
Testvériség
0.67
PTE-PEAC
0.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
Abda
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.00
Budafoki LC
0.00
Siofok
0.00
Balatonalmádi
0.00
Gárdony
0.00
Komárom
0.00
Kakasd
0.00
Lábatlan
0.00
Héhalom
0.00
Duna SK
0.00
Gyöngyös
0.00
Zalalövő
0.00
Király SZE
0.00
Sárisápi Bányász
0.00
Sényő Carnifex
0.00
Pénzügyőr
0.00
Nyergesújfalu
0.00
Szajol
0.00
REAC
0.00
Algyő SK
0.00
Dunaföldvár
0.00
Nyírbátori
0.00
Biatorbágy
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Gesztely
0.00
Tállya
0.00
Nagyecsed RSE
0.00
Szegedi VSE
0.00
Hidasnémeti
0.00
Baktalórántháza
0.00
Füzesgyarmati
0.00
Lőrinci
0.00
Hajdúnánás
0.00
Szakonyfalu
0.00
Vizslás
0.00
Dabas
0.00
Bácsa
0.00
Böde
0.00
Rábatótfalu
0.00
Vitnyéd
0.00
Törökszentmiklós
0.00
Söpte
0.00
Gyomaendrőd
0.00
Kunbaja
0.00
Kalocsai
0.00
Himesháza
0.00
Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest are level in goals scored per game (both 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zalaszentgrót
0.00
Bonyhád Völgység
0.00
Nagyecsed RSE
0.00
Kisvarda FC
0.25
Érdi VSE
0.33
III. Kerületi TUE
0.33
Karcag SE
0.40
Paks
0.50
Debreceni VSC
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Kecskeméti TE
0.50
Soroksar
0.50
Balatonfüredi
0.50
Cigand SE
0.50
Salgótarjáni BTC
0.50
Dorogi FC
0.60
DEAC
0.67
Sárvári
0.67
Testvériség
0.67
Füzesabony
0.67
Ujpest
0.75
ESMTK
0.75
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.80
Puskas Academy
1.00
MTK Budapest
1.00
Vasas
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.00
Iváncsa
1.00
Veszprém
1.00
Gárdony
1.00
Komárom
1.00
Kakasd
1.00
PTE-PEAC
1.00
Hódmezővásárhely
1.00
Mezőörs
1.00
Tiszafuredi VSE
1.00
Zalalövő
1.00
Tiszaújváros
1.00
Király SZE
1.00
Sárisápi Bányász
1.00
Kaposvar
1.00
Pénzügyőr
1.00
Szolnoki MAV FC
1.00
Mátészalka
1.00
Algyő SK
1.00
Hajdúnánás
1.00
Szekszárd
1.00
1908 SZAC
1.00
Tiszasziget
1.00
Abda
1.00
Tiszaföldvár
1.00
Söpte
1.00
Ferencvarosi TC
1.17
SC Sopron
1.20
Fehérvár FC
1.25
Gödöllő
1.25
Gyirmot SE
1.33
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.33
Pécsi MFC
1.33
Balatonalmádi
1.33
Monori Se
1.33
FC Hatvan
1.33
Pápai Perutz
1.33
Nyiregyhaza
1.50
Tatabánya
1.50
Nagyatádi
1.50
Vép
1.50
Tarpa
1.50
Martfűi LSE
1.50
Jánoshalmi
1.50
Gyori ETO FC
1.67
Budaörs
1.67
BKV Előre
1.67
Csornai SE
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
2.00
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Szeged 2011
2.00
MTE 1904
2.00
KSE Csesztreg
2.00
Jászfényszarui
2.00
Eger
2.00
Putnok VSE
2.00
Kelen
2.00
Gyöngyös
2.00
Monostorpályi
2.00
Koroncó
2.00
Sényő Carnifex
2.00
Újfehértó
2.00
Gyulai Termál
2.00
Majosi
2.00
REAC
2.00
Sárbogárd
2.00
Dunaföldvár
2.00
Biatorbágy
2.00
Szegedi VSE
2.00
Marcali VFC
2.00
Lőrinci
2.00
Dabas
2.00
Péti
2.00
MVSC
2.00
Hajdúsámsoni
2.00
Kalocsai
2.00
Hartai
2.33
Ajka
2.50
Szentlőrinc SE
2.50
Móri SE
2.50
Mohácsi TE
2.50
Dunaharaszti MTK
2.50
Csep-Gól
2.50
Karancslapujtő
2.50
Dunaújváros-Pálhalma
2.67
Budapest Honved
3.00
Csakvar
3.00
Budafoki LC
3.00
Siofok
3.00
Haladás VSE
3.00
Unione
3.00
Tihany
3.00
Bicskei
3.00
Nyergesújfalu
3.00
Pilisi LK
3.00
Tállya
3.00
Maklár
3.00
Nyíradony
3.00
Vitnyéd
3.00
Mezőmegyer
3.00
Nagybajomi AC
3.00
Fémalk-Dunavarsány
3.33
Kozarmisleny FC
4.00
Bekescsaba 1912
4.00
Sándorfalva
4.00
Bóly
4.00
Héhalom
4.00
Szajol
4.00
Nyírbátori
4.00
Úrkút
4.00
Vizslás
4.00
Bácsa
4.00
Győrszentiván
4.00
OMTK-Ule
4.00
Diósjenő
4.00
Cegledi VSE
4.00
Kunbaja
4.00
Lajosmizse
4.00
Inter 04
4.00
Ercsi Kinizsi
4.50
Bakonycsernye
4.50
Lábatlan
5.00
Gesztely
5.00
Baktalórántháza
5.00
Sárospataki TC
5.00
Gyógyfürdő Harkányi
5.00
Törökszentmiklós
5.00
Pátka
5.50
Füzesgyarmati
6.00
Böde
6.00
Rábatótfalu
6.00
Gyomaendrőd
7.00
BSK Alsózsolca
8.00
Teskánd
9.00
Somogysárd
9.00
Fadd
11.00
Himesháza
12.00
Duna SK
15.00
Bábolna
16.00
Hidasnémeti
19.00
Szakonyfalu
22.00
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.42 goals worse than Ujpest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.75).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ferencvarosi TC or Draw✓ Hit
85.1%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Ferencvarosi TC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC or Ujpest✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Ferencvarosi TC + Ujpest
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ujpest✗ Miss
39.2%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Draw + Ujpest
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.2%
Under
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.2%
Under
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.6%
Under
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ferencvarosi TC, so a minus line means Ferencvarosi TC give that many goals of a start and Ujpest receive them. At -1, Ferencvarosi TC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ferencvarosi TC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Ujpest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.57
0.21
0.88
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.38
0.62
0.23
1.08
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ferencvarosi TC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
1.00
0.69
0.76
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.00
0.80
0.80
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (21)
0.86
0.57
1.12
0.62
0.69
0.54
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
1.00
0.54
1.08
0.54
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ferencvarosi TC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga34%
Gábor Szalai25%
Aleksandar Pešić21%
Matheus Saldanha21%
Kady Borges14%
Lenny Joseph14%
Adama Malouda Traoré14%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane12%
Raul Gustavo11%
Tosin Kehinde11%
Zsombor Gruber9%
Kristoffer Zachariassen9%
Mohammad Abu Fani8%
Philippe Rommens8%
Ibrahim Cissé8%
Stefan Gartenmann6%
Habib Maïga6%
Alex Tóth5%
Cebrail Makreckis3%
Naby Keïta0%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Endre Botka0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Aleksandar Ćirković0%
Júlio Romão0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Endre Botka33%
Gábor Szalai33%
Barnabás Varga28%
Aleksandar Ćirković25%
Júlio Romão22%
Cebrail Makreckis21%
Mohammad Abu Fani19%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane15%
Eldar Ćivić15%
Kady Borges14%
Lenny Joseph14%
Stefan Gartenmann12%
Cristian Ramírez10%
Matheus Saldanha10%
Zsombor Gruber9%
Kristoffer Zachariassen9%
Philippe Rommens8%
Ibrahim Cissé8%
Habib Maïga6%
Adama Malouda Traoré6%
Raul Gustavo5%
Alex Tóth5%
Aleksandar Pešić4%
Naby Keïta0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Tóth26%
Kady Borges19%
Mohammad Abu Fani14%
Cebrail Makreckis12%
Tosin Kehinde11%
Cristian Ramírez10%
Barnabás Varga9%
Zsombor Gruber9%
Eldar Ćivić8%
Matheus Saldanha7%
Adama Malouda Traoré6%
Ibrahim Cissé5%
Aleksandar Pešić4%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane4%
Habib Maïga3%
Kristoffer Zachariassen3%
Naby Keïta0%
Raul Gustavo0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Lenny Joseph0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Endre Botka0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Philippe Rommens0%
Aleksandar Ćirković0%
Júlio Romão0%
Gábor Szalai0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Barnabás Varga44%
Lenny Joseph29%
Kady Borges19%
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane15%
Adama Malouda Traoré14%
Matheus Saldanha14%
Aleksandar Pešić8%
Mohammad Abu Fani6%
Alex Tóth5%
Ibrahim Cissé5%
Cristian Ramírez3%
Kristoffer Zachariassen3%
Naby Keïta0%
Raul Gustavo0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Habib Maïga0%
Virgil Misidjan0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Ádám Varga0%
Endre Botka0%
Dávid Gróf0%
Philippe Rommens0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Aleksandar Ćirković0%
Cebrail Makreckis0%
Júlio Romão0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Gábor Szalai0%
Isaac Pappoe0%
Norbert Kaján0%
Ujpest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matija Ljujić35%
Fran Brodić33%
Giorgi Beridze20%
Mamoudou Karamoko13%
Mátyás Tajti12%
Márk Mucsányi12%
Barnabás Bese11%
Tom Lacoux10%
Damian Rasak8%
Adrián Dénes8%
Krisztofer Horváth5%
João Nunes4%
Attila Fiola0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Bence Gergényi0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
George Ganea0%
Milan Tučić0%
André Duarte0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Nimród Baranyai0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Bálint Geiger0%
Márk Dékei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Attila Fiola50%
Bence Gergényi35%
Krisztián Tamás25%
George Ganea25%
Nimród Baranyai25%
Tom Lacoux24%
Vincent Onovo22%
João Nunes21%
Matija Ljujić20%
Dominik Kaczvinszki20%
André Duarte18%
Barnabás Bese17%
Fran Brodić17%
Adrián Dénes15%
Márk Mucsányi12%
Bálint Geiger12%
Krisztofer Horváth10%
Daviti Kobouri9%
Mamoudou Karamoko7%
Mátyás Tajti6%
Riccardo Piscitelli4%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Giorgi Beridze0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Damian Rasak0%
Milan Tučić0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Márk Dékei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bálint Geiger24%
Fran Brodić21%
Krisztofer Horváth20%
Barnabás Bese17%
Márk Mucsányi12%
Daviti Kobouri9%
Damian Rasak8%
João Nunes8%
Mamoudou Karamoko7%
Matija Ljujić5%
Tom Lacoux5%
Bence Gergényi4%
Attila Fiola0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Giorgi Beridze0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Mátyás Tajti0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
George Ganea0%
Milan Tučić0%
André Duarte0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Nimród Baranyai0%
Adrián Dénes0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Márk Dékei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fran Brodić29%
Krisztofer Horváth15%
Matija Ljujić15%
Mátyás Tajti6%
Tom Lacoux5%
André Duarte5%
João Nunes4%
Attila Fiola0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Barnabás Bese0%
Mamoudou Karamoko0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Bence Gergényi0%
Giorgi Beridze0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Damian Rasak0%
George Ganea0%
Milan Tučić0%
Márk Mucsányi0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Nimród Baranyai0%
Adrián Dénes0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Bálint Geiger0%
Márk Dékei0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Ferencvarosi TC's squad is €26m more valuable than Ujpest's (€40m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Ferencvarosi TC's attack is €18m more valuable than Ujpest's (€24m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Ferencvarosi TC's midfield is €4m more valuable than Ujpest's (€8m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Ferencvarosi TC's defence is €3m more valuable than Ujpest's (€9m vs €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →