Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest Result & Analysis

Ferencvarosi TC are the clear favourites, with the model rating a 64% chance of a home win, 23% for a draw and 13% for Ujpest to triumph. The prediction favours a 2-0 victory, the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with a 25% probability that the match will finish with exactly two goals. Ferencvarosi’s home form is strong against weaker opponents, scoring an average of 1.89 goals and conceding 1.11, while Ujpest’s away record against stronger teams is poor, netting only 0.33 goals and conceding 2.0. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (91.5%), Over 2.5 cards (83.6%), Over 21.5 fouls (82.9%), Over 1.5 (77.2%), Under 11.5 corners (71.2%), Over 23.5 fouls (70.6%) and Under 3.5 (70.0%). Ferencvarosi’s recent four-game winning streak and a 2-1 win over Puskas Academy reinforce the home side’s advantage, while Ujpest’s recent win over Vasas offers little to offset their weaker away form.

The match saw Ferencvarosi TC extend a four-game winning run at home, while Ujpest returned from a win on the road. The model’s pick of a home win at 64% probability proved correct, as the final score was 2-0, confirming the favoured result. The most likely scoreline of 2-0 also matched the model’s expectation. Every suggested selection hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 91.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 82.9%, Over 1.5 at 77.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 71.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 70.6%, and Under 3.5 at 70.0%. The model’s predictions were spot on, delivering a clean sweep of hits.