Ferencvárosi TC are the clear favourites, the model rating them 64% to win, 21% for a draw and 14% for a Ujpest victory. The high probability stems from Ferencváros’ strong home form - they average 1.9 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against weaker opponents - versus Ujpest’s poor away record, conceding 3.0 goals and scoring none against stronger teams. The predicted outcome is a home win, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 at 10.5%. The average expected total is 3.1 goals, yet the model sees the most probable total at 2 goals, a 23% chance. Suggested picks include an Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.3%, Under 7.5 at 98.6% with a 2% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 96.1% with a 4% edge, Home +2 handicap at 95.0%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.6% with a 4% edge, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.2% with a 5% edge. Ferencváros’ recent four-game winning streak and a 2-1 win over Puskas Academy underscore their momentum, while Ujpest’s recent win against Vasas offers a brief bright spot but insufficient to overturn the home advantage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ferencvarosi TC win
64.4%
Avg Implied 67.1% · @ 1.36
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Dafabet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Draw
21.3%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.77
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.09
Dafabet
5.00
Betano
4.90
Betfair
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Ujpest win
14.3%
Avg Implied 13.8% · @ 6.65
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.00
Pinnacle
6.95
Dafabet
6.80
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ferencvarosi TC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.90
1.92
0.54
1.94
1.18
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.12
2.50
0.50
1.00
1.75
vs Weaker (22)
2.00
0.82
1.67
0.56
2.23
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.83
1.73
1.60
1.53
2.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
3.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.78
1.70
1.92
1.38
1.64
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.5%
@ 1.13+0.8%
Under 1.5
17.5%
@ 5.05-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.08
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
Betano
4.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.48-2.8%
Under 2.5
40.0%
@ 2.49+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.56
Bet365
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.43
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.6%
@ 2.23-4.2%
Under 3.5
62.4%
@ 1.60+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.22
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Both teams to score
Yes
54.9%
@ 1.68-0.1%
No
45.1%
@ 2.06+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.75
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
No
William Hil
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.5%@ 7.23+4.5%
1-1
10.0%@ 8.66+5.0%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.53+4.1%
1-0
8.8%@ 8.06+3.4%
3-0
7.6%@ 9.06+2.8%
3-1
7.1%@ 9.54+2.6%
0-0
5.4%@ 15.46+2.6%
2-2
4.6%@ 14.11+1.6%
Ferencvarosi TC goals ↓
Ujpest goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
3.3%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
1
8.8%
10%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.6%
1.5%
0.3%
3
7.6%
7.1%
3.4%
1.1%
0.2%
4
4.1%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferencvarosi TC goals (down), columns = Ujpest goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.33 points better than Ujpest in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.57 goals worse than Ujpest in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Ferencvarosi TC is 0.67 goals better than Ujpest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Ferencvarosi TC is 6.5 percentage points better than Ujpest in terms of average possession (58% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ferencvarosi TC
For 5.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ujpest
For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 15.8 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ferencvarosi TC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.4
9.1
3.5
3.0
4.0
27.2
25.8
28.4
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
-
11.0
9.0
-
9.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (13)
9.8
11.0
8.4
4.5
5.0
4.0
25.6
24.2
27.4
vs Weaker (36)
9.6
10.1
9.1
3.0
2.2
3.8
28.0
26.6
29.1
% over line
51%
65%
40%
48%
44%
52%
89%
88%
90%
% under line
49%
35%
60%
52%
56%
48%
11%
12%
10%
This opponent (Ujpest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.9
8.8
3.5
3.6
3.4
25.9
25.8
26.0
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
9.5
10.5
4.6
6.5
3.3
23.0
21.5
24.5
vs Similar (45)
9.2
9.9
8.6
3.4
3.3
3.5
26.2
26.3
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
56%
44%
50%
48%
52%
78%
78%
78%
% under line
50%
44%
56%
50%
52%
48%
22%
22%
22%
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Gyori ETO FC
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.9
MTK Budapest
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Budapest Honved
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Ferencvarosi TC
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Puskas Academy
27.7
Ujpest
26.2
Gyori ETO FC
24.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.4%
@ 1.57-6.9%
Under 9.5
48.6%
@ 2.20+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.57
Under
Unibet
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.3%
Under 21.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ferencvarosi TC or Draw
85.7%
Avg Implied 85.8% · @ 1.08
Edge
-0.1%
64%
21%
14%
covers Ferencvarosi TC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Ferencvarosi TC or Ujpest
78.7%
Avg Implied 81.1% · @ 1.15
Edge
-2.4%
64%
21%
14%
covers Ferencvarosi TC + Ujpest
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Draw or Ujpest
35.6%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.81
Edge
+2.5%
64%
21%
14%
covers Draw + Ujpest
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.00
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5
Over
88.5%
@ 1.06+0.2%
Under
11.5%
@ 8.03-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Under
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.20
Betfair
8.00
Betano
6.90
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5
Over
63.7%
@ 1.38-3.4%
Under
36.3%
@ 2.80+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.97
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.80
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5
Over
36.8%
@ 2.22-4.9%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.59+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 3.5
Over
17.4%
@ 4.07-5.3%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.19+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.40
1xBet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Unibet
1.13
Ujpest over/under 0.5
Over
61.0%
@ 1.55+1.2%
Under
39.0%
@ 2.30-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Under
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Ujpest over/under 1.5
Over
24.2%
@ 3.59-1.5%
Under
75.8%
@ 1.24+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.78
Unibet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Ujpest over/under 2.5
Over
7.0%
@ 9.54-2.9%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.04+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.40
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Ujpest over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
@ 20.75-3.1%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ferencvarosi TC, so a minus line means Ferencvarosi TC give that many goals of a start and Ujpest receive them. At -1, Ferencvarosi TC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ferencvarosi TC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ferencvarosi TC)
Ferencvarosi TC -2
22.1%
@ 3.46-3.9%
Draw -2
19.7%
@ 4.22-1.6%
Ujpest +2
58.2%
@ 1.70+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.28
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
3.90
Away
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Unibet
1.65
Handicap -1 (Ferencvarosi TC)
Ferencvarosi TC -1
41.8%
@ 2.02-2.3%
Draw -1
22.6%
@ 3.71-1.3%
Ujpest +1
35.6%
@ 2.77+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Unibet
3.45
Away
Marathonbet
2.80
Betfair
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Handicap +1 (Ferencvarosi TC)
Ferencvarosi TC +1
85.7%
@ 1.11+2.2%
Draw +1
9.3%
@ 9.00-1.0%
Ujpest -1
5.0%
@ 15.00-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
Handicap +2 (Ferencvarosi TC)
Ferencvarosi TC +2
95.0%
@ 1.02+1.8%
Draw +2
3.7%
@ 21.00-0.8%
Ujpest -2
1.3%
@ 41.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ferencvarosi TC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.43
0.77
0.31
1.12
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.62
1.25
0.00
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.36
0.56
0.44
1.23
0.31
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.73
0.53
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.63
0.85
0.38
0.64
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.1%
@ 1.23-0.5%
Under 0.5
25.9%
@ 3.62+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.6%
@ 2.18-4.1%
Under 1.5
61.4%
@ 1.62+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.17
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 4.61-4.4%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.16+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
62.0%
@ 1.46-1.9%
Under
38.0%
@ 2.58+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.75
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.50
Unibet
2.45
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
24.7%
@ 3.11-4.9%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.31+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.18
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.1%
@ 7.75-4.8%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.05+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Ujpest over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.9%
@ 2.69-2.5%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.41+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Unibet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Ujpest over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.0%
@ 9.48-3.8%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.70
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Ujpest over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ferencvarosi TC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.47
1.15
0.23
0.82
0.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.05
0.45
1.11
0.11
1.00
0.69
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.07
1.00
1.07
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.07
1.08
1.00
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.9%
@ 1.13-1.1%
Under 0.5
19.1%
@ 5.14+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
William Hil
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.1%
@ 1.71-4.3%
Under 1.5
49.9%
@ 2.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Under
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
William Hil
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.9%
@ 3.15-6.6%
Under 2.5
77.1%
@ 1.32+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
68.8%
@ 1.29-2.9%
Under
31.2%
@ 3.27+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.20
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.1%
@ 2.33-8.5%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.53+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 5.17-6.5%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.13+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
Ujpest over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.1%
@ 2.19-2.1%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.60+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.21
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.56
Ujpest over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.9%
@ 7.13-4.0%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.06+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.20
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Ujpest over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
@ 12.00-5.7%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Under 6.5
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+3.4%
Home +2 handicap
95.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+4.0%
Under 5.5
90.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+4.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+6.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
88.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+0.2%
Home or Draw
85.7%
1.08
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-0.1%
Home +1 handicap
85.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.12
+4.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
82.6%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Unibet
1.13
+5.3%
Over 1.5
82.5%
1.13
Unibet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
+0.8%
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.13
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-1.1%
Under 4.5
79.7%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+4.5%
Home or Away
78.7%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
-2.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
+6.6%
Away under 1.5 goals
75.8%
1.24
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
+1.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.3%
1.31
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+4.9%
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.1%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-0.5%
Over 23.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
1.50
Unibet
1.50
-
-
-
-
+11.1%
Under 5.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ferencvarosi TC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Krisztián Lisztes67%
K. Zachariassen33%
M. Gómez25%
M. Corbu25%
Yusuf Bamidele25%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
Cadu0%
Z. Varga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Corbu50%
K. Zachariassen33%
C. O'Dowda33%
Cadu33%
Krisztián Lisztes33%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
Yusuf Bamidele0%
Z. Varga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cadu67%
Yusuf Bamidele25%
K. Zachariassen0%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
M. Corbu0%
Krisztián Lisztes0%
Z. Varga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yusuf Bamidele50%
Krisztián Lisztes33%
Z. Varga33%
M. Corbu25%
K. Zachariassen0%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
Cadu0%
Ujpest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Etienne Amenyido75%
A. Matko75%
G. Vlijter50%
Krisztofer Horváth25%
Arne Maier0%
P. Szappanos0%
João Nunes0%
M. Ljujić0%
P. Stronati0%
János Bodnár0%
Noah Fenyő0%
Ábel György Krajcsovics0%
M. Máté0%
Ferenc Ujváry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Máté25%
Arne Maier0%
Etienne Amenyido0%
Krisztofer Horváth0%
P. Szappanos0%
João Nunes0%
M. Ljujić0%
P. Stronati0%
A. Matko0%
G. Vlijter0%
János Bodnár0%
Noah Fenyő0%
Ábel György Krajcsovics0%
Ferenc Ujváry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Etienne Amenyido50%
Krisztofer Horváth25%
A. Matko25%
G. Vlijter25%
Arne Maier0%
P. Szappanos0%
João Nunes0%
M. Ljujić0%
P. Stronati0%
János Bodnár0%
Noah Fenyő0%
Ábel György Krajcsovics0%
M. Máté0%
Ferenc Ujváry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Krisztofer Horváth75%
A. Matko50%
Etienne Amenyido25%
Arne Maier0%
P. Szappanos0%
João Nunes0%
M. Ljujić0%
P. Stronati0%
G. Vlijter0%
János Bodnár0%
Noah Fenyő0%
Ábel György Krajcsovics0%
M. Máté0%
Ferenc Ujváry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Ferencvarosi TC's squad is €26m more valuable than Ujpest's (€40m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Ferencvarosi TC's attack is €18m more valuable than Ujpest's (€24m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Ferencvarosi TC's midfield is €4m more valuable than Ujpest's (€8m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Ferencvarosi TC's defence is €3m more valuable than Ujpest's (€9m vs €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Gyori ETO FC
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE