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Ferizaj vs 2 Korriku Prediction & Stats

Date: 26/09/2026
Time: 14:30
Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Vs
74%
16%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
2 Korriku
2 Korriku
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Ferizaj are clear favorites, with the model rating a 73% chance of a home win, 17% for a draw and 10% for 2 Korriku to triumph. The most likely result is a Ferizaj victory, and the single scoreline the model sees as most probable is 2-0, with a 10.3% probability. The expected total goals hover at 3.5, with the most likely total of three goals carrying a 22% chance.

Ferizaj’s home form shows an average of 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against similarly-matched opponents, while 2 Korriku, on the road, averages 1.67 scored and 2.44 conceded. The venue advantage for Ferizaj, coupled with 2 Korriku’s recent five-game winning streak, underpins the high win probability for the hosts.

The model’s selections are diverse: Away under 3.5 goals 98.7%, Under 7.5 97.4%, Home +2 handicap 96.8%, Away under 2.5 goals 93.8%, Under 6.5 93.5%, Home over 0.5 goals 92.6%, Home or Draw 90.1%, and Home +1 handicap 90.1%. These picks reflect the expectation that Ferizaj will control the game, while the low-scoring nature of the encounter keeps the under-goal selections highly probable.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferizaj win
74.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku win
9.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L11D11D33D23L23L12L11D01LA·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05H·LLA31/05A·LIR16/08A·RIL22/08H·TRE28/08← SuperligaLiga E Pare →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.471.211.141.121.75
vs Stronger (6)0.831.831.001.000.752.25
vs Similar (24)1.251.381.251.171.251.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

2 Korriku2 Korriku

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W00D03L02L74W30W30W20W10W12LH·KEK11/04A·VUS19/04H·FER25/04H·TRE03/05A·IST09/05H·PRI16/05A·TRE23/05A·KF 16/08H·TEF22/08A·SUH29/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.571.871.001.332.13
vs Stronger (2)0.504.00--0.504.00
vs Similar (21)1.761.521.830.831.672.44
vs Weaker (7)1.431.002.001.671.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.2%
Under 2.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
46.7%
Under 3.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.7%
No
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.4%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
5.3%
Ferizaj goals ↓
2 Korriku goals →
01234
03.7%1.9%1.1%0.3%0.1%
17.2%7.5%3.0%0.9%0.2%
210%9.1%4.0%1.2%0.3%
39.2%8.0%3.5%1.0%0.2%
46.1%5.3%2.3%0.7%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ferizaj goals (down), columns = 2 Korriku goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Ferizaj is 0.24 points better than 2 Korriku in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Ferizaj is 0.13 goals worse than 2 Korriku in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Ferizaj is 0.48 goals better than 2 Korriku in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ferizaj or Draw
90.7%
Avg Implied -
74%
16%
9%
covers Ferizaj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj or 2 Korriku
83.7%
Avg Implied -
74%
16%
9%
covers Ferizaj + 2 Korriku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or 2 Korriku
25.6%
Avg Implied -
74%
16%
9%
covers Draw + 2 Korriku
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5
Over
92.9%
Under
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5
Over
74.1%
Under
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5
Over
49.3%
Under
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 3.5
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5
Over
58.2%
Under
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ferizaj, so a minus line means Ferizaj give that many goals of a start and 2 Korriku receive them. At -1, Ferizaj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ferizaj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ferizaj)
Ferizaj -2
32.9%
Draw -2
21.1%
2 Korriku +2
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ferizaj)
Ferizaj -1
53.9%
Draw -1
20.5%
2 Korriku +1
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ferizaj)
Ferizaj +1
90.7%
Draw +1
6.3%
2 Korriku -1
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ferizaj)
Ferizaj +2
97.0%
Draw +2
2.3%
2 Korriku -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D10W11D01L12L11D10W00DA·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05H·LLA31/05A·LIR16/08A·RIL22/08H·TRE28/08← SuperligaLiga E Pare →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.570.360.500.81
vs Stronger (6)0.670.831.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.540.500.330.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

2 Korriku2 Korriku

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D00D01L41W00D00D10W10W11DH·KEK11/04A·VUS19/04H·FER25/04H·TRE03/05A·IST09/05H·PRI16/05A·TRE23/05A·KF 16/08H·TEF22/08A·SUH29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.400.930.200.730.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.950.411.000.080.900.80
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.670.670.500.25
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FerizajFerizaj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D11D01L22D22D11D01L01L01LA·BAL26/04H·DUK30/04A·GJI03/05H·MAL10/05A·PRI17/05A·DRE24/05H·LLA31/05A·LIR16/08A·RIL22/08H·TRE28/08← SuperligaLiga E Pare →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.640.790.620.94
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.000.500.251.25
vs Similar (24)0.750.830.750.830.750.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (2 Korriku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

2 Korriku2 Korriku

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D03L01L33D30W30W10W00D01LH·KEK11/04A·VUS19/04H·FER25/04H·TRE03/05A·IST09/05H·PRI16/05A·TRE23/05A·KF 16/08H·TEF22/08A·SUH29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.100.930.800.601.40
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (22)0.771.140.830.750.701.60
vs Weaker (7)0.860.571.331.000.500.25
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferizaj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ferizaj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ferizaj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
2 Korriku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals98.8%-------
Under 7.597.3%-------
Home +2 handicap97.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.2%-------
Under 6.593.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals92.9%-------
Home or Draw90.7%-------
Home +1 handicap90.7%-------
Over 1.587.3%-------
Under 5.585.6%-------
Home or Away83.7%-------
Away under 1.5 goals78.3%-------
Home win74.4%-------
Home over 1.5 goals74.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals72.6%-------
Under 4.572.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FER wins
0
Draws
0
2K wins

Head-to-head

Ferizaj vs 2 Korriku · H/A from FER
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FerizajFerizaj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HFER Vs Trepça'890-1
22/08/26ARilindja 1974 Vs FER1-1
16/08/26ALiria Prizren Vs FER2-1
31/05/26HFER Vs Llapi2-3
24/05/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs FER3-2
17/05/26APrishtina Vs FER3-3
10/05/26HFER Vs Malisheva1-1
03/05/26AGjilani Vs FER1-1
30/04/26HFER Vs Dukagjini1-2
26/04/26ABallkani Vs FER3-0

2 Korriku2 Korriku

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ASuhareka Vs 2K2-1
22/08/26H2K Vs Tefik Canga1-0
16/08/26AKF Lepenci Vs 2K0-2
23/05/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs 2K0-3
16/05/26H2K Vs Prizreni3-0
09/05/26AIstogu Vs 2K4-7
03/05/26H2K Vs Trepça'890-2
25/04/26H2K Vs Feronikeli0-3
19/04/26AVushtrria Vs 2K0-0
11/04/26H2K Vs KEK-u2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ferizaj
Ferizaj
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.10
HomeDLDLL1.38
AwayDDLLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%42%15%
AVG goals2.562.582.54
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.121.251.00
Conceded1.441.331.54
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet18%25%12%
Corners---
Cards---
2 Korriku
2 Korriku
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.22
HomeWLLWW1.78
AwayDWWWL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%56%16%
AVG goals3.302.783.79
Over 1.5 %89%89%89%
Over 2.5 %65%61%68%
Over 3.5 %32%17%47%
Scored1.511.611.42
Conceded1.781.172.37
BTTS49%39%58%
Clean Sheet30%39%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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