Ferizaj vs Mitrovica Prediction & Stats

Ferizaj is the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 73% chance of a home win, 19% for a draw and 8% for a Mitrovica victory. The prediction favours a 2-0 result, the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability, and expects about 2.8 goals overall, with a 24% chance that exactly two goals will be scored. Ferizaj’s home form shows they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against similarly matched opposition, while Mitrovica, on the road, averages only 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections echo the home advantage: Away under 3.5 goals 99.6%, Under 7.5 99.1%, Home +2 handicap 97.9%, Away under 2.5 goals 97.5%, Under 6.5 97.4%, Under 5.5 93.1%, Home or Draw 92.0%, and Home +1 handicap 92.0%. Ferizaj’s recent loss to Trepça'89 and Mitrovica’s draw with KF Lepenci add context, but the data still points to a comfortable home victory.