This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
2.30
1.27
2.33
0.73
2.27
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
3.00
0.80
3.80
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (17)
1.12
2.06
1.25
1.62
1.00
2.44
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.33
2.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.8%
Under 1.5
12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.1%
@ 1.36-0.3%
Under 2.5
30.9%
@ 3.09+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.7%
Under 3.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
5.3%
Feyenoord goals ↓
Sparta Rotterdam goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
2.0%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
6.7%
7.7%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
9.7%
9.2%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
3
8.5%
8.0%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
4
5.6%
5.3%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Feyenoord goals (down), columns = Sparta Rotterdam goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AZ Alkmaar
2.24
Ajax
2.24
Feyenoord
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.88
Willem II
1.69
Utrecht
1.64
Vitesse
1.58
Heracles
1.38
Groningen
1.35
Sparta Rotterdam
1.27
Heerenveen
1.27
Emmen
1.23
VVV Venlo
1.08
Twente
1.04
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Fortuna Sittard
1.00
Den Haag
0.73
Waalwijk
0.58
Feyenoord is 0.73 points better than Sparta Rotterdam in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
2.72
AZ Alkmaar
2.16
PSV Eindhoven
2.08
Utrecht
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Vitesse
1.73
Sparta Rotterdam
1.58
Heerenveen
1.58
Heracles
1.54
Willem II
1.42
PEC Zwolle
1.42
Twente
1.31
Emmen
1.23
Fortuna Sittard
1.12
Groningen
1.04
Waalwijk
1.04
Den Haag
0.96
VVV Venlo
0.92
Feyenoord is 0.42 goals better than Sparta Rotterdam in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AZ Alkmaar
0.68
Ajax
0.92
Groningen
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.08
Heracles
1.31
Willem II
1.31
Vitesse
1.35
Utrecht
1.36
Feyenoord
1.40
Heerenveen
1.58
Emmen
1.73
Sparta Rotterdam
1.73
Twente
1.77
VVV Venlo
1.96
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Den Haag
2.08
PEC Zwolle
2.12
Waalwijk
2.31
Feyenoord is 0.33 goals better than Sparta Rotterdam in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.73).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Feyenoord
For 6.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 0.7 · Total 1.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 9.6 · Total 18.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Rotterdam
For 4.1 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 9.4 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feyenoord
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.0
11.2
2.4
1.8
3.1
20.7
21.2
20.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
12.2
10.4
15.3
3.1
2.8
3.7
24.9
27.8
20.0
vs Weaker (42)
10.9
11.2
10.7
2.3
1.6
3.0
20.0
19.5
20.4
% over line
68%
76%
60%
32%
24%
40%
38%
44%
32%
% under line
32%
24%
40%
68%
76%
60%
62%
56%
68%
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.9
12.1
11.7
2.0
2.3
1.7
25.0
24.9
25.1
vs Stronger (14)
12.8
13.2
12.4
1.4
1.9
0.9
23.8
21.4
26.2
vs Similar (31)
11.8
11.7
11.9
2.3
2.7
1.9
24.8
25.6
24.0
vs Weaker (5)
10.0
11.0
9.0
1.8
1.3
2.5
29.0
30.5
27.5
% over line
74%
76%
71%
26%
40%
12%
71%
71%
71%
% under line
26%
24%
29%
74%
60%
88%
29%
29%
29%
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sparta Rotterdam
11.9
Den Haag
11.5
Fortuna Sittard
11.3
AZ Alkmaar
11.2
Feyenoord
11.1
Ajax
10.8
PEC Zwolle
10.8
Heracles
10.8
PSV Eindhoven
10.7
Vitesse
10.7
Utrecht
10.5
Emmen
10.1
VVV Venlo
10.1
Twente
9.9
Willem II
9.8
Heerenveen
9.6
Groningen
9.5
Waalwijk
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Waalwijk
5.0
Twente
3.9
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
Vitesse
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Groningen
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Emmen
3.3
Willem II
3.3
Ajax
3.3
AZ Alkmaar
3.3
Heracles
3.2
VVV Venlo
3.2
Utrecht
3.1
Sparta Rotterdam
2.9
Den Haag
2.9
Heerenveen
2.8
Feyenoord
2.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Twente
25.7
Sparta Rotterdam
25.0
Waalwijk
24.0
Emmen
23.9
Heracles
23.6
Fortuna Sittard
23.6
Heerenveen
23.4
Willem II
23.4
Vitesse
23.2
VVV Venlo
23.0
Utrecht
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Groningen
22.4
Ajax
22.2
AZ Alkmaar
22.1
Den Haag
21.9
PSV Eindhoven
21.8
Feyenoord
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.6%
Under 9.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
47.3%
Under 21.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Feyenoord
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
1.00
0.40
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.71
0.33
0.83
0.25
0.58
0.42
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.60
1.07
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.10
0.40
1.60
0.40
0.60
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.75
0.75
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Feyenoord
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.67
1.40
0.53
1.27
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.50
1.67
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (24)
1.42
0.71
1.33
0.58
1.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.47
0.67
1.27
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.90
0.40
2.20
0.00
1.60
vs Similar (17)
0.53
1.35
0.50
0.88
0.56
1.78
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
2.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Feyenoord) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Feyenoord over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feyenoord over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
72.4%
1.26
-
-
-
-
-
-2.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Feyenoord · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayase Ueda75%
Luciano Valente50%
Gjivai Zechiël50%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Vanhoutte25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Ayase Ueda0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Gjivai Zechiël0%
Gaoussou Diarra0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oussama Targhalline33%
Ayase Ueda25%
Anis Hadj Moussa25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Gaoussou Diarra25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Luciano Valente0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayase Ueda75%
Anis Hadj Moussa50%
Gaoussou Diarra50%
Luciano Valente25%
Gjivai Zechiël25%
Charles Vanhoutte0%
Tsuyoshi Watanabe0%
Jeremiah St Juste0%
Mika Mármol0%
Tjark Ernst0%
Oussama Targhalline0%
Nacho Ferri0%
Givairo Read0%
Thijs Kraaijeveld0%
Shaqueel van Persie0%
Sparta Rotterdam · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Zonneveld50%
Marvin Young50%
Nökkvi Þórisson33%
Nick Verschuren25%
Robin van Cruijsen25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Mitchell Van Bergen0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Casper Terho0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Joel Ideho0%
Julian Baas0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Ayoni Santos0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jens Toornstra33%
Mitchell Van Bergen25%
Bas Kuipers25%
Casper Terho25%
Lushendry Edward Martes25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Nökkvi Þórisson0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Joel Ideho0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Marvin Young0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Ayoni Santos0%
Robin van Cruijsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bas Kuipers50%
Shunsuke Mito50%
Nökkvi Þórisson33%
Joel Ideho33%
Mitchell Van Bergen25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Casper Terho0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Marvin Young0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Ayoni Santos0%
Robin van Cruijsen0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nökkvi Þórisson67%
Ayoni Santos33%
Robin van Cruijsen25%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Mitchell Van Bergen0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Bas Kuipers0%
Casper Terho0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Joel Ideho0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Marvin Young0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
WI (24)
€13m
HER (28)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
EMM (21)
€5m
VV (19)
€4m
Feyenoord's squad is €201m more valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€229m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
PZ (8)
€8m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
Feyenoord's attack is €79m more valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€93m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EMM (7)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
VV (3)
€0m
Feyenoord's midfield is €42m more valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€43m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
FS (10)
€7m
WI (12)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
Feyenoord's defence is €81m more valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€93m vs €12m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
Utrecht
Vitesse
Heracles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Emmen
VVV Venlo
Twente
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Waalwijk