This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.60
2.25
1.38
1.43
1.86
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.71
1.25
1.25
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (21)
2.05
1.62
2.45
1.45
1.60
1.80
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
FF Jaro goals ↓
SJK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
6.7%
6.5%
3.6%
1.5%
1
5.5%
12%
9.0%
5.0%
2.1%
2
4.6%
7.6%
6.3%
3.5%
1.4%
3
2.2%
3.6%
2.9%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.8%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FF Jaro goals (down), columns = SJK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
FF Jaro is 0.58 points worse than SJK in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.84).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
FF Jaro is 0.89 goals worse than SJK in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 2.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
FF Jaro is 0.04 goals worse than SJK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
FF Jaro is 0.7 percentage points worse than SJK in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FF Jaro
For 3.8 · Against 8.7 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 18.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
For 7.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FF Jaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.5
14.7
10.3
0.5
0.5
0.6
18.3
20.7
16.0
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
-
13.0
0.8
0.0
1.0
11.0
-
11.0
vs Similar (40)
12.4
14.7
9.0
0.6
0.5
0.7
19.8
20.7
18.5
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
67%
100%
33%
8%
8%
8%
33%
33%
33%
% under line
33%
0%
67%
92%
92%
92%
67%
67%
67%
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.7
10.0
0.4
0.6
0.2
19.5
19.7
19.0
vs Stronger (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
10.5
10.7
10.0
0.6
0.8
0.3
19.5
19.7
19.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
67%
100%
6%
8%
4%
25%
33%
0%
% under line
25%
33%
0%
94%
92%
96%
75%
67%
100%
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
13.4
FF Jaro
12.5
Kooteepee
11.4
Haka
10.8
SJK
10.6
Mariehamn
10.5
Ilves
10.4
AC Oulu
10.3
KuPS
10.1
VPS
10.1
Inter Turku
9.9
HJK Helsinki
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gnistan
5.3
AC Oulu
4.7
Kooteepee
4.7
FF Jaro
4.5
Inter Turku
4.4
Haka
4.4
Mariehamn
4.4
KuPS
4.3
SJK
4.1
Ilves
3.9
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ilves
24.7
Inter Turku
24.3
Mariehamn
24.0
KuPS
23.7
SJK
23.6
HJK Helsinki
22.7
AC Oulu
22.5
Kooteepee
22.5
Gnistan
22.2
VPS
22.2
Haka
22.0
FF Jaro
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
79.8%
Under 9.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.8%
Under 3.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.2%
Under 21.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.71
0.29
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.65
0.77
0.31
0.69
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.12
0.44
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.57
1.18
0.45
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FF Jaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
1.00
0.93
0.94
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
0.00
3.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.54
1.08
0.77
0.77
0.31
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.97
1.12
0.94
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.86
0.75
0.75
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.05
1.27
1.00
1.00
1.10
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FF Jaro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FF Jaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FF Jaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 8.5 corners
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FF Jaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kerfala Cissoko50%
Severi Kähkönen25%
Albin Björkskog25%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Michael Ogungbaro12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Sami Sipola33%
Erik Gunnarsson20%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi Kähkönen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Albin Björkskog12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guillermo Sotelo33%
Kerfala Cissoko12%
Sergei Eremenko12%
Severi Kähkönen12%
Jim Myrevik12%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Adam Vidjeskog0%
Johan Brunell0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
Albin Björkskog0%
Rudi Vikstrom0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergei Eremenko25%
Adam Vidjeskog14%
Albin Björkskog12%
Rudi Vikstrom12%
Guillermo Sotelo0%
Robin Polley0%
Miguel Santos0%
Kerfala Cissoko0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Filip Valenčič0%
Johan Brunell0%
Severi Kähkönen0%
Jim Myrevik0%
Joni Remesaho0%
Michael Ogungbaro0%
Erik Gunnarsson0%
Sami Sipola0%
Aron Bjonbäck0%
SJK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasper Paananen57%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko43%
Jeremiah Streng38%
Olatoundji Tessilimi27%
Rasmus Karjalainen25%
Lauri Laine11%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi10%
Armaan Wilson9%
Markus Arsalo8%
Valentín Gasc8%
Alenis Vargas8%
Ayo Obileye0%
Elias Mastokangas0%
Roope Paunio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Kelvin Pires0%
Babacar Fati0%
Oskari Väistö0%
Salim Giabo Yussif0%
Prosper Padera0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi40%
Salim Giabo Yussif38%
Babacar Fati25%
Olatoundji Tessilimi18%
Armaan Wilson18%
Roope Paunio17%
Markus Arsalo15%
Valentín Gasc15%
Elias Mastokangas11%
Ayo Obileye10%
Kelvin Pires10%
Alenis Vargas8%
Jeremiah Streng0%
Rasmus Karjalainen0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Lauri Laine0%
Kasper Paananen0%
Oskari Väistö0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Prosper Padera0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeremiah Streng31%
Prosper Padera20%
Babacar Fati17%
Markus Arsalo15%
Kasper Paananen14%
Elias Mastokangas11%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi10%
Olatoundji Tessilimi9%
Rasmus Karjalainen8%
Valentín Gasc8%
Salim Giabo Yussif8%
Alenis Vargas8%
Ayo Obileye0%
Roope Paunio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Kelvin Pires0%
Lauri Laine0%
Oskari Väistö0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Armaan Wilson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jeremiah Streng38%
Kasper Paananen36%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko14%
Olatoundji Tessilimi9%
Rasmus Karjalainen8%
Markus Arsalo8%
Alenis Vargas8%
Ayo Obileye0%
Elias Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
Roope Paunio0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Murilo0%
Kelvin Pires0%
Babacar Fati0%
Valentín Gasc0%
Lauri Laine0%
Oskari Väistö0%
Armaan Wilson0%
Salim Giabo Yussif0%
Prosper Padera0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
FF Jaro's squad is €2m less valuable than SJK's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
FF Jaro and SJK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
FF Jaro and SJK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
FF Jaro and SJK have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
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KuPS
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
Kooteepee
Haka
Turku PS