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Fgura United vs St. Andrews Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Fgura United
Fgura United
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
St. Andrews
St. Andrews
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fgura United win✓ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews win✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D31W11D21W11D01L01L21W20W24LH·MAR29/01A·MAR05/02H·MTA12/02A·MQA25/02H·SAN04/03A·VIT11/03H·ATT31/03A·QRE05/04H·ST.16/04A·LIJ23/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.041.391.861.072.211.71
vs Stronger (27)2.071.301.920.852.211.71
vs Similar (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W11D13L21W20W00D13L02L22DH·MTA29/01A·MQA05/02H·SAN11/02A·VIT26/02H·ATT04/03A·QRE12/03H·SWI31/03H·LIJ10/04A·FGU16/04H·MAR22/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.321.431.401.601.231.23
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.151.551.181.821.111.22
vs Weaker (7)2.000.862.001.002.000.67
Clean sheet %32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.2%
2-0 ✓
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
Fgura United goals ↓
St. Andrews goals →
01234
08.2%6.9%4.7%1.8%0.5%
19.2%13%7.1%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.1%5.3%2.1%0.6%
33.9%4.5%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fgura United goals (down), columns = St. Andrews goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Melita
2.36
Zabbar St. Patrick
2.04
Marsa
1.60
Swieqi United
1.58
Fgura United
1.54
Pietà Hotspurs
1.52
Senglea Athletic
1.40
Zurrieq
1.40
Lija Athletic
1.33
Tarxien Rainbows
1.29
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.24
Zebbug Rangers
1.21
Zejtun Corinthians
1.12
St. Andrews
1.12
Attard
0.75
Msida St. Joseph
0.33
Fgura United is 0.42 points better than St. Andrews in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Melita
2.24
Marsa
1.76
Fgura United
1.62
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.52
Zebbug Rangers
1.50
Swieqi United
1.42
Pietà Hotspurs
1.40
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.32
Lija Athletic
1.29
Tarxien Rainbows
1.25
St. Andrews
1.16
Senglea Athletic
1.12
Zurrieq
1.08
Zejtun Corinthians
0.96
Attard
0.92
Msida St. Joseph
0.67
Fgura United is 0.47 goals better than St. Andrews in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zabbar St. Patrick
0.80
Tarxien Rainbows
0.92
Swieqi United
0.96
Melita
0.96
Zejtun Corinthians
1.00
Senglea Athletic
1.08
Marsa
1.20
Pietà Hotspurs
1.24
Fgura United
1.33
St. Andrews
1.40
Zebbug Rangers
1.42
Zurrieq
1.44
Luqa St. Andrew's
1.60
Lija Athletic
1.83
Attard
1.92
Msida St. Joseph
2.21
Fgura United is 0.07 goals better than St. Andrews in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D10W01L01L01L11D20W12LA·ST.03/12A·SLI13/12H·MAR18/12H·ZEJ07/01H·MAR29/01A·MAR05/02H·MTA12/02A·MQA25/02H·ST.16/04A·LIJ23/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.840.790.400.701.330.89
vs Stronger (18)0.830.780.330.671.330.89
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D01L10W11D10W00D02L01LH·MAR07/01H·MTA29/01A·MQA05/02H·SAN11/02A·VIT26/02H·ATT04/03A·QRE12/03H·SWI31/03A·FGU16/04H·MAR22/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.880.500.930.550.82
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.350.940.301.100.430.71
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.000.501.000.67
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L00D31W10W30W10W10W00D12LA·ST.03/12A·SLI13/12H·MAR18/12H·ZEJ07/01H·MAR29/01A·MAR05/02H·MTA12/02A·MQA25/02H·ST.16/04A·LIJ23/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.160.581.100.501.220.67
vs Stronger (18)1.220.441.220.221.220.67
vs Similar (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Andrews) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D11D10W10W03L10W10W00D00D21WH·MAR07/01H·MTA29/01A·MQA05/02H·SAN11/02A·VIT26/02H·ATT04/03A·QRE12/03H·SWI31/03A·FGU16/04H·MAR22/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.840.560.930.570.730.55
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.650.900.600.710.71
vs Weaker (7)1.000.291.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %56% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Fgura United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fgura United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fgura United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Andrews over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (24)
€4m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (6)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZSP (12)
€2m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FU wins
0
Draws
1
SA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fgura United vs St. Andrews · H/A from FU
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23HFU Vs St. Andrews2-0
03/12/22ASt. Andrews Vs FU3-2

Fgura UnitedFgura United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/23ALija Athletic Vs FU4-2
16/04/23HFU Vs St. Andrews2-0
05/04/23AQrendi Vs FU1-2
31/03/23HFU Vs Attard0-1
11/03/23AVittoriosa Stars Vs FU1-0
04/03/23HFU Vs San Gwann1-1
25/02/23AMqabba Vs FU1-2
12/02/23HFU Vs Mtarfa1-1
05/02/23AMarsa Vs FU1-3
29/01/23HFU Vs Marsaskala1-1

St. AndrewsSt. Andrews

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23HSA Vs Marsaskala2-2
16/04/23AFgura United Vs SA2-0
10/04/23HSA Vs Lija Athletic1-3
31/03/23HSA Vs Swieqi United0-0
12/03/23AQrendi Vs SA0-2
04/03/23HSA Vs Attard2-1
26/02/23AVittoriosa Stars Vs SA3-1
11/02/23HSA Vs San Gwann1-1
05/02/23AMqabba Vs SA0-1
29/01/23HSA Vs Mtarfa2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fgura United
Fgura United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.46
HomeDDDLW1.50
AwayWWLWL1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%36%43%
AVG goals3.432.933.93
Over 1.5 %86%79%93%
Over 2.5 %61%43%79%
Over 3.5 %46%43%50%
Scored2.041.862.21
Conceded1.391.071.71
BTTS68%57%79%
Clean Sheet25%36%14%
Corners---
Cards---
St. Andrews
St. Andrews
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.43
HomeDWDLD1.33
AwayWWLWL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%33%46%
AVG goals2.753.002.46
Over 1.5 %82%93%69%
Over 2.5 %46%60%31%
Over 3.5 %32%40%23%
Scored1.321.401.23
Conceded1.431.601.23
BTTS46%67%23%
Clean Sheet32%13%54%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MelitaMelita2559
72%
2.4
5624+32
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
2Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick2551
60%
2.0
3820+18
2.3
60%
36%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
3MarsaMarsa2540
44%
1.6
4430+14
3.0
76%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
4Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2438
42%
1.6
3423+11
2.4
62%
42%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2538
44%
1.5
3531+4
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6Fgura UnitedFgura United2437
42%
1.5
3932+7
3.0
71%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
7Senglea AthleticSenglea Athletic2535
36%
1.4
2827+1
2.2
60%
32%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8ZurrieqZurrieq2535
40%
1.4
2736-9
2.5
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
9Lija AthleticLija Athletic2432
38%
1.3
3144-13
3.1
83%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
10Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2431
29%
1.3
3022+8
2.2
46%
38%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.20.9
-
11Luqa St. AndrewLuqa St. Andrew's2531
32%
1.2
3340-7
2.9
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
12Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2429
33%
1.2
3634+2
2.9
79%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
13St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2528
28%
1.1
2935-6
2.6
68%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
14Zejtun CorinthiansZejtun Corinthians2427
25%
1.1
2324-1
2.0
54%
25%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15AttardAttard2418
17%
0.8
2246-24
2.8
83%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
16Msida St. JosephMsida St. Joseph248
8%
0.3
1653-37
2.9
75%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Malta: Challenge League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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