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FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 2-1
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Vs
58%
23%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FH hafnarfjordur’s recent 1-1 draw against IA Akranes leaves them looking solid at home, while Keflavik’s 2-game winning streak, highlighted by a 1-0 win over IBV Vestmannaeyjar, fuels their confidence on the road. The model predicts a home win with a 60 % chance, a draw 22 %, and an away win 18 %. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 scoreline, carrying a 10.1 % probability, and the expected total goals is 3.3, with a 22 % chance that the match will finish with exactly three goals. FH’s home form shows they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded against similar-strength opponents, whereas Keflavik averages 1.83 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 % (edge 8 %), Under 7.5 at 98.1 % (edge 8 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8 % (edge 9 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3 % (edge 8 %), Away under 3.5 goals at 97.2 % (edge 8 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.6 % (edge 10 %), Under 6.5 at 95.0 % (edge 8 %), and Home +2 handicap at 92.8 %.

Results analysis

FH hafnarfjordur’s victory over Keflavik, 2-1, extended their recent win and confirmed the model’s favourite, which had a 58% probability of a home win. The prediction was correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.3%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.2%, and Home +2 handicap hit at 92.1%. The most likely score of 1-1, 2-1 or 2-0 all fell within the model’s 3-goal range, with the 2-1 result matching the second most probable outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FH hafnarfjordur win✓ Hit
57.8%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.25
Edge
+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.41
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Bet365
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.72
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
Dafabet
3.80
Betano
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Keflavik win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.59
Edge
-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.64
1xBet
2.64

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L42W05L20W00D00D11D10W24L11DA·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05H·VAL12/07H·BRE20/07A·FRA26/07H·KR 05/08A·KA 09/08H·VIK16/08A·IA 23/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.601.791.291.751.88
vs Stronger (12)1.501.831.331.331.672.33
vs Similar (17)2.001.412.121.251.891.56
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-543W00D11D12L52W15L30W01L20W10WH·FRA06/03A·GRI06/04H·FRA06/07A·BRE13/07H·IA 20/07A·VIK24/07H·KA 05/08A·STJ09/08A·THO15/08H·IBV23/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.401.673.131.471.671.87
vs Stronger (2)1.003.50--1.003.50
vs Similar (25)2.321.602.851.461.751.75
vs Weaker (3)4.001.005.001.502.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.5%
@ 1.09+0.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
@ 5.76-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.29
Superbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
@ 1.36-4.1%
Under 2.5
36.8%
@ 2.79+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.90
10Bet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
Betano
2.82
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.0%
@ 1.91-7.5%
Under 3.5
59.0%
@ 1.80+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
SBO
1.94
Under
SBO
1.90
Betfair
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.2%
@ 1.34-7.2%
No
38.8%
@ 2.90+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
No
1xBet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%@ 7.97+4.6%
2-1 ✓
9.8%@ 8.97+4.8%
2-0
8.4%@ 15.20+5.5%
1-0
7.1%@ 13.74+3.8%
3-1
6.9%@ 13.96+3.6%
3-0
5.9%@ 23.43+4.0%
2-2
5.7%@ 9.71+1.0%
1-2
5.5%@ 9.71+0.8%
FH hafnarfjordur goals ↓
Keflavik goals →
01234
04.8%3.5%2.6%1.0%0.3%
17.1%10%5.5%2.1%0.6%
28.4%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.6%
35.9%6.9%4.0%1.5%0.4%
43.1%3.6%2.1%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FH hafnarfjordur goals (down), columns = Keflavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.18 points better than Keflavik in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.54 goals worse than Keflavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.57 goals better than Keflavik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FH hafnarfjordur or Draw✓ Hit
80.4%
Avg Implied 64.9% · @ 1.42
Edge
+15.5%
58%
23%
20%
covers FH hafnarfjordur + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
FH hafnarfjordur or Keflavik✓ Hit
77.4%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.21
Edge
+1.2%
58%
23%
20%
covers FH hafnarfjordur + Keflavik
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Draw or Keflavik✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.56
Edge
-16.7%
58%
23%
20%
covers Draw + Keflavik
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.55

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.7%
@ 1.12+5.8%
Under
12.3%
@ 5.06-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Betano
5.10
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
61.9%
@ 1.66+6.6%
Under
38.1%
@ 2.06-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Betfair
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.9%
@ 3.02+4.5%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.31-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.28
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.14
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Under
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 6.22+1.2%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.08-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Keflavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.16-10.0%
Under
31.3%
@ 4.30+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Superbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Keflavik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.4%
@ 1.81-18.3%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.86+18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Keflavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 3.49-15.1%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.25+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Under
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Keflavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 7.78-8.8%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.05+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FH hafnarfjordur, so a minus line means FH hafnarfjordur give that many goals of a start and Keflavik receive them. At -1, FH hafnarfjordur must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FH hafnarfjordur win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur -2
18.2%
@ 7.57+6.4%
Draw -2
17.8%
@ 6.42+3.9%
Keflavik +2
64.0%
@ 1.20-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Draw
Marathonbet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap -1 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: Draw
FH hafnarfjordur -1
36.0%
@ 3.71+12.5%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 4.25+1.3%
Keflavik +1
42.2%
@ 1.56-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.96
10Bet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.25
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.55
Away
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.50
Handicap +1 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur +1
80.4%
@ 1.40+18.9%
Draw +1
11.7%
@ 4.55-7.2%
Keflavik -1
7.9%
@ 4.38-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.36
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
3.85
Away
Marathonbet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.95
Handicap +2 (FH hafnarfjordur)Actual: FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur +2
92.1%
@ 1.13+13.6%
Draw +2
5.5%
@ 7.55-6.3%
Keflavik -2
2.4%
@ 9.10-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Marathonbet
7.60
Bet365
7.50
Away
Marathonbet
9.20
Bet365
9.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W03L00D00D00D01L00D12L10WA·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05H·VAL12/07H·BRE20/07A·FRA26/07H·KR 05/08A·KA 09/08H·VIK16/08A·IA 23/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.770.500.640.810.88
vs Stronger (12)0.420.920.330.670.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.820.650.620.621.000.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D10W20W02L30W00D10W10WH·FRA06/03A·GRI06/04H·FRA06/07A·BRE13/07H·IA 20/07A·VIK24/07H·KA 05/08A·STJ09/08A·THO15/08H·IBV23/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.831.330.730.670.93
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (25)1.000.881.310.770.671.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.20-8.3%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 4.07+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
William Hil
4.40
BetVictor
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.7%
@ 1.97-16.6%
Under 1.5
69.3%
@ 1.76+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
SBO
1.86
Pinnacle
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 4.02-10.1%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.20+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Under
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.5%
@ 1.66-9.7%
Under
53.5%
@ 2.13+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.05
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 4.15-9.4%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.19+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
Betano
4.10
1xBet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 9.00-7.6%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.03+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.2%
@ 1.75-11.9%
Under
58.8%
@ 1.98+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 4.65-9.5%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.15+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
Betano
4.55
1xBet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 9.50-8.5%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.03+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W02L20W00D00D10W10W12L01LA·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05H·VAL12/07H·BRE20/07A·FRA26/07H·KR 05/08A·KA 09/08H·VIK16/08A·IA 23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.831.290.640.941.00
vs Stronger (12)1.080.921.000.671.171.17
vs Similar (17)1.180.761.500.620.890.89
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D11D02L32W13L00D01L10W00DH·FRA06/03A·GRI06/04H·FRA06/07A·BRE13/07H·IA 20/07A·VIK24/07H·KA 05/08A·STJ09/08A·THO15/08H·IBV23/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.831.800.731.000.93
vs Stronger (2)0.502.50--0.502.50
vs Similar (25)1.320.721.540.691.080.75
vs Weaker (3)2.670.673.501.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.11-8.0%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 5.91+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.75
Betano
5.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 1.58-14.2%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 2.24+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.4%
@ 2.70-15.8%
Under 2.5
81.6%
@ 1.41+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.73
Superbet
2.72
William Hil
2.70
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.39

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.6%
@ 1.43-9.0%
Under
44.4%
@ 2.61+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.57
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 3.01-10.4%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.33+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
2.92
1xBet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 7.05-8.8%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.06+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.5%
@ 1.50-13.9%
Under
52.5%
@ 2.40+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 3.34-12.3%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.28+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 8.20-8.5%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.04+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.7%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+8.5%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.2%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+6.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.4%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+7.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.3%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
---+8.5%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+8.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.8%1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
---+8.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.595.2%1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
--+6.7%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap92.1%1.13
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
---+13.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.7%1.15
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
--+9.5%✓ Hit
Under 5.588.8%1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+7.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.8%1.25
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+15.1%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals87.7%1.12
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
+5.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.1%1.19
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
--+9.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.1%1.20
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
+10.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.7%1.28
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
--+12.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.584.5%1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+0.5%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals84.0%1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-1.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals81.6%1.41
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.39
+15.8%✓ Hit
Home or Draw80.4%1.42
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
+15.5%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap80.4%1.40
Marathonbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.36
--+18.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.7%1.33
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
--+10.4%✓ Hit
Home or Away77.4%1.21
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
+1.2%✓ Hit
Under 4.577.1%1.32
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.35
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+7.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals76.3%1.11
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-8.0%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur and Keflavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
FH wins
0
Draws
2
KEF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik · H/A from FH
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/24HFH Vs Keflavik1-4
31/07/23AKeflavik Vs FH2-3
08/05/23HFH Vs Keflavik2-1
15/10/22AKeflavik Vs FH2-3
22/08/22HFH Vs Keflavik3-0
22/05/22AKeflavik Vs FH2-1

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26AIA Akranes Vs FH1-1
16/08/26HFH Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-4
09/08/26AKA Akureyri Vs FH0-1
05/08/26HFH Vs KR Reykjavik1-1
26/07/26AFram Reykjavik Vs FH0-0
20/07/26HFH Vs Breidablik0-0
12/07/26HFH Vs Valur Reykjavik2-0
14/05/26AFylkir Vs FH5-0
04/04/26AThor Akureyri Vs FH2-4
03/03/26ALeiknir R. Vs FH2-1

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26HKEF Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0
15/08/26AThor Akureyri Vs KEF0-2
09/08/26AStjarnan Vs KEF1-0
05/08/26HKEF Vs KA Akureyri3-0
24/07/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KEF5-1
20/07/26HKEF Vs IA Akranes5-2
13/07/26ABreidablik Vs KEF2-1
06/07/26HKEF Vs Fram Reykjavik1-1
06/04/26AGrindavik Vs KEF0-0
06/03/26HKEF Vs Fram Reykjavik4-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.10
HomeDWDDL1.32
AwayWLDWD0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals3.282.953.54
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %56%41%68%
Over 3.5 %42%36%46%
Scored1.601.641.57
Conceded1.681.321.96
BTTS56%55%57%
Clean Sheet26%36%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.76
HomeWDWWW2.11
AwayDLLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%64%41%
AVG goals3.924.073.73
Over 1.5 %84%79%91%
Over 2.5 %72%71%73%
Over 3.5 %54%54%55%
Scored2.342.751.82
Conceded1.581.321.91
BTTS58%54%64%
Clean Sheet28%36%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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