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FH hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2026
Time: 19:15
Final 1-1
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Vs
50%
24%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FH hafnarfjordur is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with a recent 1-0 win over KA Akureyri. KR Reykjavik, also unbeaten in their last 5, drew 1-1 with FH hafnarfjordur in their last encounter. The model predicts a home win for FH hafnarfjordur, with a 50% probability of this outcome, 24% chance of a draw, and 26% chance of a KR Reykjavik victory. The expected total number of goals is 3.3, indicating a high-scoring match. The most likely total number of goals is 3, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 10.6% of the time. FH hafnarfjordur has averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.93 conceded at home, while KR Reykjavik has averaged 1.91 goals scored and 2.45 conceded away from home against similar opponents. The model's selections include Over 1.5, with an 85.3% probability of hitting, and the model's selection of Over 1.5 has an 85.3% probability of hitting. The home win percentage is 50%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 26%.

Results analysis

The draw between FH hafnarfjordur and KR Reykjavik has extended FH's unbeaten run in their last 5 matches, with a win in their previous encounter. However, the model's selection, a Home win, was wrong, as KR came close to securing a victory. The model's call was incorrect. KR's impressive away form, unbeaten in their last 5, was not enough to secure a win. The model's selection had a pre-match probability of 50%. The model also suggested an Over 1.5 total goals, which hit, with a probability of 85.3%, and most likely scores of 1-1, 2-1, and 2-0.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FH hafnarfjordur win✗ Miss
50.3%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.24
Edge
+22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.39
Pinnacle
3.36
Dafabet
3.25
Draw✓ Hit
23.9%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.25
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.67
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Betfair
4.40
10Bet
4.40
KR Reykjavik win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.79
Edge
-24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.81

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-734L70W00D01L12L42W05L20W00D00DH·FRA25/10A·THR06/02H·IBV12/02A·BRE19/02A·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05H·VAL12/07H·BRE20/07A·FRA26/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.501.710.931.882.00
vs Stronger (12)1.501.501.330.671.672.33
vs Similar (17)2.061.472.001.122.111.78
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W33D01L51W40W44D42W12L52W50WH·GRI07/02H·IR 14/02A·VIK19/02H·NJA28/02A·STJ14/03A·FYL21/03H·VAL06/04A·STJ13/05H·IBV12/07H·STJ19/07
Avg total
5.3
Avg scored
3.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.332.002.801.871.872.13
vs Stronger (3)0.673.670.007.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)2.521.813.001.502.002.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
@ 1.04-5.1%
Under 1.5
14.7%
@ 9.84+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.01
Under
888Sport
11.00
Betfair
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Bet365
9.00
Betano
7.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.16-14.7%
Under 2.5
35.5%
@ 4.41+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.20
Pinnacle
5.02
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
888Sport
4.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.4%
@ 1.44-21.1%
Under 3.5
57.6%
@ 2.51+21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Superbet
2.55
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.9%
@ 1.20-11.8%
No
35.1%
@ 3.93+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
No
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.28
Marathonbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
888Sport
4.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.6%@ 11.70+6.7%
2-1
9.4%@ 13.80+6.1%
2-0
6.9%@ 31.55+5.4%
1-2
6.6%@ 9.99+1.9%
2-2
6.4%@ 9.98+1.8%
3-1
6.1%@ 20.80+3.9%
1-0
6.1%@ 29.58+4.5%
0-0
4.6%@ 43.32+3.5%
FH hafnarfjordur goals ↓
KR Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.6%4.0%3.4%1.5%0.5%
16.1%11%6.6%3.0%1.0%
26.9%9.4%6.4%2.9%1.0%
34.5%6.1%4.2%1.9%0.7%
42.2%3.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FH hafnarfjordur goals (down), columns = KR Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.52 points worse than KR Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
FH hafnarfjordur is 2.45 goals worse than KR Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 3.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.84 goals better than KR Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D40W00D00D11D21W03L00D00D00DH·FRA25/10A·THR06/02H·IBV12/02A·BRE19/02A·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05H·VAL12/07H·BRE20/07A·FRA26/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.500.430.880.88
vs Stronger (12)0.420.750.330.330.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.880.590.620.501.110.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W23L00D21W20W32W20W12L21W20WH·GRI07/02H·IR 14/02A·VIK19/02H·NJA28/02A·STJ14/03A·FYL21/03H·VAL06/04A·STJ13/05H·IBV12/07H·STJ19/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.971.000.871.131.07
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.004.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.110.851.070.641.151.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L30W00D01L01L21W02L20W00D00DH·FRA25/10A·THR06/02H·IBV12/02A·BRE19/02A·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05H·VAL12/07H·BRE20/07A·FRA26/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.831.210.501.001.12
vs Stronger (12)1.080.751.000.331.171.17
vs Similar (17)1.180.881.380.621.001.11
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W01L30W20W12L22D00D31W30WH·GRI07/02H·IR 14/02A·VIK19/02H·NJA28/02A·STJ14/03A·FYL21/03H·VAL06/04A·STJ13/05H·IBV12/07H·STJ19/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.031.801.000.731.07
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.410.961.930.860.851.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.3%1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.01
-5.1%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur and KR Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and KR Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and KR Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur and KR Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FH wins
2
Draws
4
KR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FH hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik · H/A from FH
DateH/AGameScore
29/06/25AKR Reykjavik Vs FH3-2
23/04/25HFH Vs KR Reykjavik2-2
12/08/24AKR Reykjavik Vs FH1-0
20/05/24HFH Vs KR Reykjavik1-2
07/10/23HFH Vs KR Reykjavik3-1
18/07/23AKR Reykjavik Vs FH1-0
29/04/23HFH Vs KR Reykjavik3-0
28/08/22AKR Reykjavik Vs FH0-0

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26AFram Reykjavik Vs FH0-0
20/07/26HFH Vs Breidablik0-0
12/07/26HFH Vs Valur Reykjavik2-0
14/05/26AFylkir Vs FH5-0
04/04/26AThor Akureyri Vs FH2-4
03/03/26ALeiknir R. Vs FH2-1
19/02/26ABreidablik Vs FH1-0
12/02/26HFH Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-0
06/02/26AThrottur Reykjavik Vs FH0-7
25/10/25HFH Vs Fram Reykjavik3-4

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26HKR Vs Stjarnan5-0
12/07/26HKR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar5-2
13/05/26AStjarnan Vs KR2-1
06/04/26HKR Vs Valur Reykjavik4-2
21/03/26AFylkir Vs KR4-4
14/03/26AStjarnan Vs KR0-4
28/02/26HKR Vs Njardvik5-1
19/02/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KR1-0
14/02/26HKR Vs IR Reykjavik3-3
07/02/26HKR Vs Grindavik6-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.10
HomeDLDWD1.32
AwayLLWLD0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals3.422.913.82
Over 1.5 %80%77%82%
Over 2.5 %62%45%75%
Over 3.5 %46%36%54%
Scored1.661.591.71
Conceded1.761.322.11
BTTS56%50%61%
Clean Sheet24%36%14%
Corners---
Cards---
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.68
HomeDWWWW2.12
AwayWLWDL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%65%33%
AVG goals4.785.354.17
Over 1.5 %92%100%83%
Over 2.5 %84%92%75%
Over 3.5 %68%73%62%
Scored2.963.652.21
Conceded1.821.691.96
BTTS74%77%71%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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