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FH hafnarfjordur vs Valur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 12/07/2026
Time: 20:05
Final 2-0
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Vs
48%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FH hafnarfjordur win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D02L44D34L70W00D01L12L42W05LH·BRE27/09A·VIK05/10A·VAL19/10H·FRA25/10A·THR06/02H·IBV12/02A·BRE19/02A·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.701.921.001.942.24
vs Stronger (12)1.671.751.800.801.572.43
vs Similar (17)2.181.652.001.122.332.11
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L32W44D02L20W40W12L15L24LH·BRE22/09A·FRA28/09H·STJ04/10H·FH 19/10A·VIK25/10H·GRO29/01H·AFT21/02A·IA 26/02A·THO10/03A·KR 06/04
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.702.601.331.532.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)2.301.802.801.301.802.30
vs Weaker (10)1.601.502.201.401.001.60
Clean sheet %17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.3%
Under 2.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.6%
Under 3.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-0 ✓
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.5%
FH hafnarfjordur goals ↓
Valur Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.0%3.8%3.5%1.8%0.7%
15.2%10%6.9%3.5%1.3%
26.0%9.1%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.9%5.9%4.5%2.2%0.8%
41.9%2.9%2.2%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FH hafnarfjordur goals (down), columns = Valur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.91 points better than Valur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 0.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.73 goals worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
FH hafnarfjordur is 1.55 goals better than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 2.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L23L11D40W00D00D11D21W03LH·BRE27/09A·VIK05/10A·VAL19/10H·FRA25/10A·THR06/02H·IBV12/02A·BRE19/02A·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.690.460.941.00
vs Stronger (12)0.670.920.800.400.571.29
vs Similar (17)0.940.650.620.501.220.78
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D32W02L10W10W12L12L02LH·BRE22/09A·FRA28/09H·STJ04/10H·FH 19/10A·VIK25/10H·GRO29/01H·AFT21/02A·IA 26/02A·THO10/03A·KR 06/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.871.070.800.800.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.001.001.100.900.901.10
vs Weaker (10)0.800.601.000.600.600.60
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L21W23L30W00D01L01L21W02LH·BRE27/09A·VIK05/10A·VAL19/10H·FRA25/10A·THR06/02H·IBV12/02A·BRE19/02A·LEI03/03A·THO04/04A·FYL14/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.931.230.541.001.24
vs Stronger (12)1.000.831.000.401.001.14
vs Similar (17)1.241.001.380.621.111.33
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L21W12L00D10W30W00D03L22DH·BRE22/09A·FRA28/09H·STJ04/10H·FH 19/10A·VIK25/10H·GRO29/01H·AFT21/02A·IA 26/02A·THO10/03A·KR 06/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.831.530.530.731.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.300.801.700.400.901.20
vs Weaker (10)0.800.901.200.800.401.00
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur's squad is €1m less valuable than Valur Reykjavik's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Valur Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Valur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur and Valur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
FH wins
4
Draws
3
VR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FH hafnarfjordur vs Valur Reykjavik · H/A from FH
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/25AValur Reykjavik Vs FH4-4
27/07/25AValur Reykjavik Vs FH3-1
04/05/25HFH Vs Valur Reykjavik3-0
19/10/24HFH Vs Valur Reykjavik1-1
19/08/24HFH Vs Valur Reykjavik2-2
25/05/24AValur Reykjavik Vs FH2-2
24/04/24AValur Reykjavik Vs FH3-0
01/10/23AValur Reykjavik Vs FH4-1

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/26AFylkir Vs FH5-0
04/04/26AThor Akureyri Vs FH2-4
03/03/26ALeiknir R. Vs FH2-1
19/02/26ABreidablik Vs FH1-0
12/02/26HFH Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-0
06/02/26AThrottur Reykjavik Vs FH0-7
25/10/25HFH Vs Fram Reykjavik3-4
19/10/25AValur Reykjavik Vs FH4-4
05/10/25AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FH2-0
27/09/25HFH Vs Breidablik1-1

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/26AKR Reykjavik Vs VR4-2
10/03/26AThor Akureyri Vs VR5-1
26/02/26AIA Akranes Vs VR2-1
21/02/26HVR Vs Afturelding4-0
29/01/26HVR Vs Grotta2-0
25/10/25AVikingur Reykjavik Vs VR2-0
19/10/25HVR Vs FH hafnarfjordur4-4
04/10/25HVR Vs Stjarnan3-2
28/09/25AFram Reykjavik Vs VR2-0
22/09/25HVR Vs Breidablik1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.06
HomeDDDLD1.19
AwayWLLWL0.97
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals3.543.193.79
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %64%52%72%
Over 3.5 %48%43%52%
Scored1.701.671.72
Conceded1.841.522.07
BTTS58%57%59%
Clean Sheet20%29%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.82
HomeDWDWW2.24
AwayLLLLL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%68%40%
AVG goals3.784.043.52
Over 1.5 %96%96%96%
Over 2.5 %74%80%68%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored2.302.921.68
Conceded1.481.121.84
BTTS74%72%76%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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