PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FH hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 05/08/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 2-3
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Vs
31%
25%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FH hafnarfjordur win✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Reykjavik win✓ Hit
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D33D24L31W10W11D31W11D20WH·KR 20/05A·VAL25/05H·FRA31/05A·STJ18/06H·FYL23/06H·BRE28/06H·KA 08/07H·HK 15/07H·IA 22/07A·VES28/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.671.801.801.531.53
vs Stronger (13)1.381.921.671.671.302.00
vs Similar (17)1.881.471.831.832.000.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Reykjavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D40W21W11D00D12L01L01L51W20WH·KR 22/06A·STJ27/06H·FRA30/06H·STJ03/07H·SHA09/07A·SHA16/07A·KA 20/07H·EGN25/07H·HK 28/07A·EGN01/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.002.711.062.080.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)2.070.932.330.891.671.00
vs Weaker (15)2.801.073.121.252.430.86
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
FH hafnarfjordur goals ↓
Vikingur Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.9%5.9%6.1%3.6%1.6%
14.8%11%9.0%5.3%2.3%
24.3%7.5%6.6%3.9%1.7%
32.1%3.7%3.3%1.9%0.8%
40.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FH hafnarfjordur goals (down), columns = Vikingur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.30
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.19
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
Stjarnan
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.37
IA Akranes
1.37
FH hafnarfjordur
1.26
KR Reykjavik
1.26
Fram Reykjavik
1.11
HK Kopavogur
0.93
Vestri
0.93
Fylkir
0.78
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.93 points worse than Vikingur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 2.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.52
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Breidablik
2.33
KR Reykjavik
2.07
Stjarnan
1.89
IA Akranes
1.81
KA Akureyri
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.59
Fram Reykjavik
1.41
HK Kopavogur
1.26
Fylkir
1.19
Vestri
1.19
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.93 goals worse than Vikingur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 2.52).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.15
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.22
Valur Reykjavik
1.56
Stjarnan
1.59
IA Akranes
1.74
KA Akureyri
1.78
Fram Reykjavik
1.81
KR Reykjavik
1.81
FH hafnarfjordur
1.85
Vestri
1.96
Fylkir
2.22
HK Kopavogur
2.63
FH hafnarfjordur is 0.63 goals worse than Vikingur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D20W11D10W10W10W11D00D00DH·KR 20/05A·VAL25/05H·FRA31/05A·STJ18/06H·FYL23/06H·BRE28/06H·KA 08/07H·HK 15/07H·IA 22/07A·VES28/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.670.930.600.67
vs Stronger (13)0.540.920.671.330.500.80
vs Similar (17)0.710.710.670.830.800.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Reykjavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W20W10W00D02L00D01L31W10WH·KR 22/06A·STJ27/06H·FRA30/06H·STJ03/07H·SHA09/07A·SHA16/07A·KA 20/07H·EGN25/07H·HK 28/07A·EGN01/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.471.350.590.770.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.471.110.560.670.33
vs Weaker (15)1.270.471.620.620.860.29
Clean sheet %60% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D13L13L21W00D01L20W11D20WH·KR 20/05A·VAL25/05H·FRA31/05A·STJ18/06H·FYL23/06H·BRE28/06H·KA 08/07H·HK 15/07H·IA 22/07A·VES28/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.871.130.870.930.87
vs Stronger (13)0.851.001.000.330.801.20
vs Similar (17)1.180.761.171.001.200.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Reykjavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L01L00D10W01L00D20W10WH·KR 22/06A·STJ27/06H·FRA30/06H·STJ03/07H·SHA09/07A·SHA16/07A·KA 20/07H·EGN25/07H·HK 28/07A·EGN01/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.531.350.471.310.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.130.471.220.331.000.67
vs Weaker (15)1.530.601.500.621.570.57
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Vikingur Reykjavik
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ari Sigurpálsson38%
Gunnar Vatnhamar25%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson20%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson14%
Nikolaj Hansen14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Davíð Örn Atlason12%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Erlingur Agnarsson0%
Oliver Ekroth0%
Aron Elís Þrándarson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Tarik Ibrahimagić0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Gísli Thórdarson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikolaj Hansen57%
Davíð Örn Atlason38%
Tarik Ibrahimagić38%
Oliver Ekroth29%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson20%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson17%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson14%
Aron Elís Þrándarson14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Ari Sigurpálsson12%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Erlingur Agnarsson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Gunnar Vatnhamar0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Gísli Thórdarson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erlingur Agnarsson33%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson17%
Gísli Thórdarson17%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Davíð Örn Atlason0%
Nikolaj Hansen0%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson0%
Oliver Ekroth0%
Aron Elís Þrándarson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Gunnar Vatnhamar0%
Tarik Ibrahimagić0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gísli Thórdarson17%
Nikolaj Hansen14%
Danijel Dejan Djuric14%
Jón Guðni Fjóluson0%
Ingvar Jónsson0%
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson0%
Karl Friðleifur Gunnarsson0%
Viktor Örlygur Andrason0%
Erlingur Agnarsson0%
Davíð Örn Atlason0%
Matthías Vilhjálmsson0%
Oliver Ekroth0%
Aron Elís Þrándarson0%
Helgi Guðjónsson0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Gunnar Vatnhamar0%
Tarik Ibrahimagić0%
Sveinn Gísli Þorkelsson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
FH hafnarfjordur's squad is €4m less valuable than Vikingur Reykjavik's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur's attack is €2m less valuable than Vikingur Reykjavik's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Vikingur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
FH hafnarfjordur and Vikingur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
FH wins
0
Draws
6
VR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FH hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur Reykjavik · H/A from FH
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FH2-0
28/09/23AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FH2-1
08/08/23HFH Vs Vikingur Reykjavik1-3
14/05/23AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FH2-0
16/07/22HFH Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-3
18/04/22AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FH2-1

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/24AVestri Vs FH0-2
22/07/24HFH Vs IA Akranes1-1
15/07/24HFH Vs HK Kopavogur3-1
08/07/24HFH Vs KA Akureyri1-1
28/06/24HFH Vs Breidablik1-0
23/06/24HFH Vs Fylkir3-1
18/06/24AStjarnan Vs FH4-2
31/05/24HFH Vs Fram Reykjavik3-3
25/05/24AValur Reykjavik Vs FH2-2
20/05/24HFH Vs KR Reykjavik1-2

Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/24AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs VR0-2
28/07/24HVR Vs HK Kopavogur5-1
25/07/24HVR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-1
20/07/24AKA Akureyri Vs VR1-0
16/07/24AShamrock Rovers Vs VR2-1
09/07/24HVR Vs Shamrock Rovers0-0
03/07/24HVR Vs Stjarnan1-1
30/06/24HVR Vs Fram Reykjavik2-1
27/06/24AStjarnan Vs VR0-4
22/06/24HVR Vs KR Reykjavik1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.54
HomeWWDWD1.72
AwayWLDLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals3.563.683.44
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %70%80%60%
Over 3.5 %52%56%48%
Scored1.741.961.52
Conceded1.821.721.92
BTTS66%76%56%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW2.08
HomeWDDLW2.31
AwayDWLLW1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%69%54%
AVG goals3.744.003.46
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %68%65%71%
Over 3.5 %60%58%62%
Scored2.562.882.21
Conceded1.181.121.25
BTTS68%73%62%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners10.5011.0010.00
Cards2.503.002.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2762
70%
2.3
6331+32
3.5
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.1
-
2Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2759
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.7
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.51.2
-
3Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2744
44%
1.6
6642+24
4.0
89%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.6
-
4StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5143+8
3.5
89%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.6
-
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2737
41%
1.4
4947+2
3.6
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.7
-
6KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2737
37%
1.4
4448-4
3.4
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.8
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2734
33%
1.3
5649+7
3.9
85%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.11.8
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2734
33%
1.3
4350-7
3.4
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2730
30%
1.1
3849-11
3.2
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.8
-
10VestriVestri2725
22%
0.9
3253-21
3.1
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2725
26%
0.9
3471-37
3.9
93%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.6
-
12FylkirFylkir2721
19%
0.8
3260-28
3.4
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.2
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

← all matches