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Finn Harps vs UCD Result & Analysis

Date: 28/10/2022
Time: 19:00
Final 1-3
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Vs
47%
29%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UCD
UCD
Ireland: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Finn Harps win✗ Miss
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UCD win✓ Hit
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W12L32W12L15L02L11D03L12L22DH·DRO05/08A·UCD12/08H·SLI19/08A·ST 02/09A·SHA11/09H·BOH24/09H·SHE30/09A·DER07/10H·DUN14/10A·BOH21/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.001.001.471.072.53
vs Stronger (30)1.032.001.001.471.072.53
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCDUCD

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W12L03L32W01L01L02L21W11DA·DRO01/08H·FIN12/08H·ST 19/08A·DER02/09H·DUN09/09A·SHA26/09A·BOH30/09H·SLI07/10H·DRO21/10A·SHE24/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.900.931.800.602.00
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.772.000.921.770.622.23
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %7% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
Finn Harps goals ↓
UCD goals →
01234
010%7.4%4.2%1.3%0.3%
112%14%6.0%1.9%0.5%
29.4%9.1%4.4%1.4%0.3%
34.5%4.4%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.6%1.6%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Finn Harps goals (down), columns = UCD goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.19
Derry City
1.83
Dundalk
1.75
St Patrick's Athl.
1.69
Sligo Rovers
1.44
Bohemians
1.28
Shelbourne
1.14
Drogheda United
1.06
UCD
0.78
Finn Harps
0.56
Waterford
0.00
Finn Harps is 0.23 points worse than UCD in terms of average points per game (0.56 vs 0.78).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.58
Derry City
1.47
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Bohemians
1.25
Shelbourne
1.11
Drogheda United
0.94
Finn Harps
0.92
UCD
0.78
Waterford
0.00
Finn Harps is 0.13 goals better than UCD in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 0.78).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shamrock Rovers
0.61
Derry City
0.75
Dundalk
0.89
Waterford
1.00
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Bohemians
1.28
Shelbourne
1.36
Drogheda United
1.61
UCD
1.81
Finn Harps
1.97
Finn Harps is 0.16 goals worse than UCD in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.81).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UCDUCD

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCDUCD

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
10.8
St Patrick's Athl.
10.2
Shamrock Rovers
9.5
Derry City
5.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
7.7
Derry City
6.0
Shamrock Rovers
5.9
Sligo Rovers
4.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Shamrock Rovers
23.4
Sligo Rovers
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D20W12L04L00D00D01L02L00DH·DRO05/08A·UCD12/08H·SLI19/08A·ST 02/09A·SHA11/09H·BOH24/09H·SHE30/09A·DER07/10H·DUN14/10A·BOH21/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.470.530.471.47
vs Stronger (30)0.471.000.470.530.471.47
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCDUCD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D11D01L01L01L01L01L01L11D01LA·DRO01/08H·FIN12/08H·ST 19/08A·DER02/09H·DUN09/09A·SHA26/09A·BOH30/09H·SLI07/10H·DRO21/10A·SHE24/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.900.200.800.131.00
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.150.850.150.620.151.08
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L12L00D11D02L11D02L10W22DH·DRO05/08A·UCD12/08H·SLI19/08A·ST 02/09A·SHA11/09H·BOH24/09H·SHE30/09A·DER07/10H·DUN14/10A·BOH21/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.530.930.601.07
vs Stronger (30)0.571.000.530.930.601.07
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (UCD) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UCDUCD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D02L31W00D00D01L10W10WA·DRO01/08H·FIN12/08H·ST 19/08A·DER02/09H·DUN09/09A·SHA26/09A·BOH30/09H·SLI07/10H·DRO21/10A·SHE24/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.731.000.471.00
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.621.150.771.150.461.15
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UCD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.7%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

UCD · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eanna Clancy57%
Adam Verdon43%
Harvey O'Brien29%
Jesse Dempsey25%
Jack Keaney23%
Sean Brennan23%
Adam Wells23%
Dara Keane18%
Kian Moore17%
Harry Curtis17%
Donal Higgins12%
Mikey Raggett10%
Brendan Barr9%
Danu Kinsella Bishop7%
Evan Osam0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Daniel Norris0%
Daniel Babb0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Gallagher17%
Mikey Raggett10%
Ciaran Behan9%
Daniel Norris9%
Sean Brennan8%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Danu Kinsella Bishop0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danu Kinsella Bishop21%
Brendan Barr0%
Jack Keaney0%
Evan Osam0%
Dara Keane0%
Michael Gallagher0%
Donal Higgins0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ciaran Behan0%
Sean Brennan0%
Adam Wells0%
Adam Verdon0%
Harvey O'Brien0%
Daniel Norris0%
Kian Moore0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mikey Raggett0%
Daniel Babb0%
Harry Curtis0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Jake Doyle0%
Luke O'Regan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
FH (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
FH (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
FH wins
1
Draws
2
UCD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Finn Harps vs UCD · H/A from FH
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/22AUCD Vs FH2-1
13/05/22HFH Vs UCD0-1
25/02/22AUCD Vs FH0-0

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/22ABohemians Vs FH2-2
14/10/22HFH Vs Dundalk1-2
07/10/22ADerry City Vs FH3-0
30/09/22HFH Vs Shelbourne1-1
24/09/22HFH Vs Bohemians0-2
11/09/22AShamrock Rovers Vs FH5-1
02/09/22ASt Patrick's Athl. Vs FH2-1
19/08/22HFH Vs Sligo Rovers3-2
12/08/22AUCD Vs FH2-1
05/08/22HFH Vs Drogheda United3-0

UCDUCD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/22AShelbourne Vs UCD1-1
21/10/22HUCD Vs Drogheda United2-1
07/10/22HUCD Vs Sligo Rovers0-2
30/09/22ABohemians Vs UCD1-0
26/09/22AShamrock Rovers Vs UCD1-0
09/09/22HUCD Vs Dundalk3-2
02/09/22ADerry City Vs UCD3-0
19/08/22HUCD Vs St Patrick's Athl.1-2
12/08/22HUCD Vs Finn Harps2-1
01/08/22ADrogheda United Vs UCD1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD0.59
HomeWWLDL0.76
AwayLLLLD0.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%18%6%
AVG goals2.882.413.35
Over 1.5 %82%71%94%
Over 2.5 %68%47%88%
Over 3.5 %32%18%47%
Scored0.940.940.94
Conceded1.941.472.41
BTTS53%47%59%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners---
Cards---
UCD
UCD
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD0.68
HomeWLWLW0.82
AwayDLLLD0.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%18%12%
AVG goals2.622.412.82
Over 1.5 %82%82%82%
Over 2.5 %47%47%47%
Over 3.5 %18%18%18%
Scored0.740.820.65
Conceded1.881.592.18
BTTS44%53%35%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3679
67%
2.2
6122+39
2.3
58%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.6
-
2Derry CityDerry City3666
50%
1.8
5327+26
2.2
64%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
3DundalkDundalk3663
47%
1.8
5032+18
2.3
64%
47%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.40.9
-
4St PatrickSt Patrick's Athl.3661
50%
1.7
5737+20
2.6
75%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.0
-
5Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3652
39%
1.4
4941+8
2.5
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
6BohemiansBohemians3646
33%
1.3
4546-1
2.5
69%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
7ShelbourneShelbourne3641
28%
1.1
4049-9
2.5
72%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.4
-
8Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3638
25%
1.1
3458-24
2.6
81%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.91.6
-
9UCDUCD3729
19%
0.8
2967-38
2.6
81%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3620
11%
0.6
3371-38
2.9
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11WaterfordWaterford10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.01.0
-
Ireland: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →

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