PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Fiorentino vs Cailungo Result & Analysis

Date: 23/09/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Fiorentino
Fiorentino
Vs
54%
22%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cailungo
Cailungo
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Fiorentino win✗ Miss
54.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cailungo win✓ Hit
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FiorentinoFiorentino

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-633D13L15L01L12L25L12L60W01L10WA·LIB03/03A·LA 08/03H·TRE11/03H·COS18/03A·TRE02/04H·PEN06/04A·MUR11/04H·CAI16/04A·FOL22/04A·PEN15/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.312.001.292.291.331.73
vs Stronger (8)0.752.250.502.751.001.75
vs Similar (16)1.252.001.002.001.502.00
vs Weaker (5)2.401.604.002.501.331.00
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L12L24L24L12L52W15L06L16L02LA·PEN05/03H·LIB08/03A·VIR11/03H·FOL18/03A·MUR02/04H·FAE06/04A·COS12/04A·FIO16/04H·JUV23/04H·FOL16/09
Avg total
4.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
3.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.451.202.130.792.79
vs Stronger (23)0.742.570.582.330.912.82
vs Similar (6)2.002.003.671.330.332.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.0%
Under 1.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.3%
Under 2.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
1-0
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
Fiorentino goals ↓
Cailungo goals →
01234
03.7%3.1%2.8%1.3%0.5%
15.2%9.4%6.0%2.8%1.0%
26.6%9.3%6.5%3.0%1.1%
34.8%6.7%4.7%2.2%0.8%
42.6%3.6%2.6%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fiorentino goals (down), columns = Cailungo goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.63
La Fiorita
2.49
Tre Penne
1.97
Murata
1.91
Cosmos
1.86
Tre Fiori
1.81
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
San Giovanni
1.50
Folgore
1.30
Fiorentino
1.23
Domagnano
1.13
Faetano
0.87
Libertas
0.77
San Marino Academy
0.73
Cailungo
0.47
Pennarossa
0.27
Fiorentino is 0.76 points better than Cailungo in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 0.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.37
Tre Penne
2.37
La Fiorita
2.17
Virtus
2.03
Tre Fiori
1.78
San Giovanni
1.78
Murata
1.77
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
Faetano
1.47
Folgore
1.39
Fiorentino
1.29
San Marino Academy
1.07
Libertas
1.07
Domagnano
1.06
Pennarossa
0.60
Cailungo
0.50
Fiorentino is 0.79 goals better than Cailungo in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 0.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.60
Virtus
0.67
Murata
0.74
Cosmos
0.94
Tre Fiori
1.00
Tre Penne
1.03
Folgore
1.15
San Giovanni
1.44
Domagnano
1.45
Juvenes / Dogana
1.64
Fiorentino
1.84
Libertas
1.87
San Marino Academy
2.47
Cailungo
2.57
Faetano
2.63
Pennarossa
3.20
Fiorentino is 0.73 goals better than Cailungo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.84 vs 2.57).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FiorentinoFiorentino

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

CailungoCailungo

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FiorentinoFiorentino

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FiorentinoFiorentino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L12L00D00D04L01L40W01L00DA·LIB03/03A·LA 08/03H·TRE11/03H·COS18/03A·TRE02/04H·PEN06/04A·MUR11/04H·CAI16/04A·FOL22/04A·PEN15/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.970.641.210.600.73
vs Stronger (8)0.501.000.501.500.500.50
vs Similar (16)0.560.880.380.880.750.88
vs Weaker (5)1.001.202.002.000.330.67
Clean sheet %41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L13L12L10W12L04L04L02L01LA·PEN05/03H·LIB08/03A·VIR11/03H·FOL18/03A·MUR02/04H·FAE06/04A·COS12/04A·FIO16/04H·JUV23/04H·FOL16/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.381.310.271.200.501.43
vs Stronger (23)0.351.430.171.250.551.64
vs Similar (6)0.500.830.671.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %28% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fiorentino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FiorentinoFiorentino

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D11D03L01L12L21W11D20W00D10WA·LIB03/03A·LA 08/03H·TRE11/03H·COS18/03A·TRE02/04H·PEN06/04A·MUR11/04H·CAI16/04A·FOL22/04A·PEN15/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.691.030.641.070.731.00
vs Stronger (8)0.251.250.001.250.501.25
vs Similar (16)0.691.120.621.120.751.12
vs Weaker (5)1.400.402.000.501.000.33
Clean sheet %34% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Cailungo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CailungoCailungo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D11D12L02L40W11D02L14L01LA·PEN05/03H·LIB08/03A·VIR11/03H·FOL18/03A·MUR02/04H·FAE06/04A·COS12/04A·FIO16/04H·JUV23/04H·FOL16/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.621.140.930.930.291.36
vs Stronger (23)0.391.130.421.080.361.18
vs Similar (6)1.501.173.000.330.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fiorentino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cailungo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Fiorentino and Cailungo have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Fiorentino and Cailungo have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Fiorentino and Cailungo have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Fiorentino and Cailungo have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FIO wins
1
Draws
0
CAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fiorentino vs Cailungo · H/A from FIO
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23HFIO Vs Cailungo6-0
07/01/23ACailungo Vs FIO2-2

FiorentinoFiorentino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/23APennarossa Vs FIO0-1
22/04/23AFolgore Vs FIO1-0
16/04/23HFIO Vs Cailungo6-0
11/04/23AMurata Vs FIO2-1
06/04/23HFIO Vs Pennarossa2-5
02/04/23ATre Fiori Vs FIO2-1
18/03/23HFIO Vs Cosmos0-1
11/03/23HFIO Vs Tre Penne1-5
08/03/23ALa Fiorita Vs FIO3-1
03/03/23ALibertas Vs FIO3-3

CailungoCailungo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23HCAI Vs Folgore0-2
23/04/23HCAI Vs Juvenes / Dogana1-6
16/04/23AFiorentino Vs CAI6-0
12/04/23ACosmos Vs CAI5-1
06/04/23HCAI Vs Faetano5-2
02/04/23AMurata Vs CAI2-1
18/03/23HCAI Vs Folgore2-4
11/03/23AVirtus Vs CAI4-2
08/03/23HCAI Vs Libertas1-2
05/03/23APennarossa Vs CAI3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fiorentino
Fiorentino
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW0.90
HomeLLLLW0.79
AwayLLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%21%20%
AVG goals3.313.573.07
Over 1.5 %79%71%87%
Over 2.5 %59%64%53%
Over 3.5 %41%50%33%
Scored1.311.291.33
Conceded2.002.291.73
BTTS62%50%73%
Clean Sheet17%21%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Cailungo
Cailungo
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.62
HomeLLWLL0.80
AwayLLLLL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%20%7%
AVG goals3.453.333.57
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %69%67%71%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored1.001.200.79
Conceded2.452.132.79
BTTS52%53%50%
Clean Sheet10%13%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3587
80%
2.5
7621+55
2.8
74%
57%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3079
87%
2.6
6120+41
2.7
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.7
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne3569
60%
2.0
8336+47
3.4
89%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.0
-
4MurataMurata3567
60%
1.9
6226+36
2.5
63%
49%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.7
-
5CosmosCosmos3565
54%
1.9
8333+50
3.3
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.9
-
6Tre FioriTre Fiori3258
53%
1.8
5732+25
2.8
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.81.0
-
7Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3351
48%
1.5
5154-3
3.2
76%
70%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
8San GiovanniSan Giovanni3248
47%
1.5
5746+11
3.2
88%
72%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
9FolgoreFolgore3343
36%
1.3
4638+8
2.5
70%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
10FiorentinoFiorentino3138
35%
1.2
4057-17
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano3135
29%
1.1
3345-12
2.5
68%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12FaetanoFaetano3026
27%
0.9
4479-35
4.1
90%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
13LibertasLibertas3023
20%
0.8
3256-24
2.9
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
14San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3022
20%
0.7
3274-42
3.5
93%
73%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
15CailungoCailungo3014
13%
0.5
1577-62
3.1
80%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
16PennarossaPennarossa308
7%
0.3
1896-78
3.8
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

← all matches