Fiorentino vs San Marino Academy Result & Analysis

Fiorentino are the clear favourites, with a 44% chance of victory, 29% for a draw and 27% for San Marino Academy to win. The model expects 2.5 goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.8% chance. Fiorentino, playing at home against a weaker side, normally score 1.67 goals and concede only 0.33, while the Academy, away against a stronger opponent, averages 0.88 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.1%, Over 21.5 fouls at 97.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 93.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 87.7%, Over 25.5 fouls at 87.7%, Under 10.5 corners at 80.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.7% and Under 3.5 at 76.0% (hit). The Academy’s recent form shows a 2-game winning streak for Fiorentino, while the Academy comes off a defeat. The predicted outcome remains a Fiorentino win.

Fiorentino’s 2-game winning streak carried through as they edged San Marino Academy 1-0, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 44% probability and proved correct. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit its mark with a 76% chance, matching the low-scoring outcome. Fiorentino’s recent form, highlighted by a 2-game winning run, contrasted sharply with San Marino Academy’s slump, which ended after a 0-2 loss. The final score of 1-0 matched the most likely scoreline of 1-0, and the match stayed well below the expected 2.5 total goals. Overall, the model’s picks performed strongly.