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Fiorentino vs Virtus Result & Analysis

Date: 10/02/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Fiorentino
Fiorentino
Vs
23%
24%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Virtus
Virtus
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Fiorentino win✓ Hit
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Virtus win✗ Miss
53.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

FiorentinoFiorentino

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W13L22D12L10W21W40W30W21W24LA·LIB26/11H·LA 03/12A·DOM09/12H·FOL17/12A·FAE06/01H·MUR13/01H·PEN21/01A·CAI24/01H·TRE27/01A·COS04/02
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.931.862.001.121.88
vs Stronger (11)1.003.001.402.600.673.33
vs Similar (12)1.171.421.001.751.251.25
vs Weaker (7)2.711.143.001.602.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VirtusVirtus

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W03L30W21W12L10W41W21W20WA·FOL26/11H·MUR02/12A·COS09/12H·CAI17/12A·SAN07/01H·TRE14/01H·TRE20/01A·PEN24/01H·JUV28/01A·LIB03/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.702.270.471.800.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.881.121.000.750.751.50
vs Weaker (22)2.450.552.730.362.180.73
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
Fiorentino goals ↓
Virtus goals →
01234
05.5%7.6%8.2%5.2%2.5%
14.3%11%9.8%6.2%3.0%
23.2%6.1%5.8%3.7%1.8%
31.3%2.4%2.3%1.5%0.7%
40.4%0.7%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fiorentino goals (down), columns = Virtus goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Virtus
2.63
La Fiorita
2.49
Tre Penne
1.97
Murata
1.91
Cosmos
1.86
Tre Fiori
1.81
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
San Giovanni
1.50
Folgore
1.30
Fiorentino
1.23
Domagnano
1.13
Faetano
0.87
Libertas
0.77
San Marino Academy
0.73
Cailungo
0.47
Pennarossa
0.27
Fiorentino is 1.41 points worse than Virtus in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 2.63).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cosmos
2.37
Tre Penne
2.37
La Fiorita
2.17
Virtus
2.03
Tre Fiori
1.78
San Giovanni
1.78
Murata
1.77
Juvenes / Dogana
1.55
Faetano
1.47
Folgore
1.39
Fiorentino
1.29
San Marino Academy
1.07
Libertas
1.07
Domagnano
1.06
Pennarossa
0.60
Cailungo
0.50
Fiorentino is 0.74 goals worse than Virtus in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
La Fiorita
0.60
Virtus
0.67
Murata
0.74
Cosmos
0.94
Tre Fiori
1.00
Tre Penne
1.03
Folgore
1.15
San Giovanni
1.44
Domagnano
1.45
Juvenes / Dogana
1.64
Fiorentino
1.84
Libertas
1.87
San Marino Academy
2.47
Cailungo
2.57
Faetano
2.63
Pennarossa
3.20
Fiorentino is 1.17 goals worse than Virtus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.84 vs 0.67).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

FiorentinoFiorentino

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

VirtusVirtus

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FiorentinoFiorentino

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (9)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Virtus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VirtusVirtus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (36)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Cosmos
10.0
Tre Fiori
9.0
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Penne
7.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
7.2
La Fiorita
4.5
Cosmos
4.5
Tre Penne
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tre Penne
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FiorentinoFiorentino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L10W12L00D21W40W20W11D23LA·LIB26/11H·LA 03/12A·DOM09/12H·FOL17/12A·FAE06/01H·MUR13/01H·PEN21/01A·CAI24/01H·TRE27/01A·COS04/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.031.211.000.441.06
vs Stronger (11)0.451.730.601.400.332.00
vs Similar (12)0.580.671.000.750.380.62
vs Weaker (7)1.710.572.000.801.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VirtusVirtus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L30W01L11D00D11D10W10WA·FOL26/11H·MUR02/12A·COS09/12H·CAI17/12A·SAN07/01H·TRE14/01H·TRE20/01A·PEN24/01H·JUV28/01A·LIB03/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.270.200.600.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.500.500.250.500.75
vs Weaker (22)1.090.411.550.180.640.64
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fiorentino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FiorentinoFiorentino

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D12L00D10W00D00D10W10W01LA·LIB26/11H·LA 03/12A·DOM09/12H·FOL17/12A·FAE06/01H·MUR13/01H·PEN21/01A·CAI24/01H·TRE27/01A·COS04/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.641.000.690.81
vs Stronger (11)0.551.270.801.200.331.33
vs Similar (12)0.580.750.001.000.880.62
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.000.801.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Virtus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VirtusVirtus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L00D20W01L10W30W11D10WA·FOL26/11H·MUR02/12A·COS09/12H·CAI17/12A·SAN07/01H·TRE14/01H·TRE20/01A·PEN24/01H·JUV28/01A·LIB03/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.271.000.271.200.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.620.500.500.250.75
vs Weaker (22)1.360.141.180.181.550.09
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fiorentino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Virtus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Fiorentino and Virtus have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Fiorentino and Virtus have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Fiorentino and Virtus have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Fiorentino and Virtus have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
FIO wins
1
Draws
2
VIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fiorentino vs Virtus · H/A from FIO
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/23AVirtus Vs FIO4-0
04/02/23AVirtus Vs FIO1-1
17/09/22HFIO Vs Virtus1-2

FiorentinoFiorentino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/24ACosmos Vs FIO4-2
27/01/24HFIO Vs Tre Fiori2-1
24/01/24ACailungo Vs FIO0-3
21/01/24HFIO Vs Pennarossa4-0
13/01/24HFIO Vs Murata2-1
06/01/24AFaetano Vs FIO0-1
17/12/23HFIO Vs Folgore1-2
09/12/23ADomagnano Vs FIO2-2
03/12/23HFIO Vs La Fiorita1-3
26/11/23ALibertas Vs FIO0-1

VirtusVirtus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24ALibertas Vs VIR0-2
28/01/24HVIR Vs Juvenes / Dogana2-1
24/01/24APennarossa Vs VIR1-4
20/01/24HVIR Vs Tre Fiori1-0
14/01/24HVIR Vs Tre Penne1-2
07/01/24ASan Giovanni Vs VIR1-2
17/12/23HVIR Vs Cailungo3-0
09/12/23ACosmos Vs VIR3-0
02/12/23HVIR Vs Murata2-0
26/11/23AFolgore Vs VIR0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fiorentino
Fiorentino
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.04
HomeLLWWW1.04
AwayWDWWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%30%25%
AVG goals3.283.483.08
Over 1.5 %77%74%79%
Over 2.5 %62%70%54%
Over 3.5 %43%48%38%
Scored1.341.481.21
Conceded1.942.001.88
BTTS55%57%54%
Clean Sheet19%17%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Virtus
Virtus
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW2.22
HomeWWLWW2.28
AwayWLWWW2.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%68%64%
AVG goals2.702.642.76
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.922.041.80
Conceded0.780.600.96
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet40%52%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1La FioritaLa Fiorita3587
80%
2.5
7621+55
2.8
74%
57%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.20.6
-
2VirtusVirtus3079
87%
2.6
6120+41
2.7
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.7
-
3Tre PenneTre Penne3569
60%
2.0
8336+47
3.4
89%
69%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.0
-
4MurataMurata3567
60%
1.9
6226+36
2.5
63%
49%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.7
-
5CosmosCosmos3565
54%
1.9
8333+50
3.3
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.40.9
-
6Tre FioriTre Fiori3258
53%
1.8
5732+25
2.8
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.81.0
-
7Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana3351
48%
1.5
5154-3
3.2
76%
70%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
8San GiovanniSan Giovanni3248
47%
1.5
5746+11
3.2
88%
72%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
9FolgoreFolgore3343
36%
1.3
4638+8
2.5
70%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
10FiorentinoFiorentino3138
35%
1.2
4057-17
3.1
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
11DomagnanoDomagnano3135
29%
1.1
3345-12
2.5
68%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12FaetanoFaetano3026
27%
0.9
4479-35
4.1
90%
77%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
13LibertasLibertas3023
20%
0.8
3256-24
2.9
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
14San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy3022
20%
0.7
3274-42
3.5
93%
73%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
15CailungoCailungo3014
13%
0.5
1577-62
3.1
80%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
16PennarossaPennarossa308
7%
0.3
1896-78
3.8
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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