The model favours an away win, with a 45% chance for Admira Wacker, a 29% chance for a draw and a 26% chance for First Vienna to triumph. The expected total of goals is 2.5, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. First Vienna, playing at home against a similarly-sized opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while Admira Wacker, on the road, averages 1.93 scored and 1.00 conceded. The suggested selections are: Over 2.5 cards at 85.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 79.6%, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.6%, Under 3.5 at 75.8% (miss), Over 1.5 at 72.5% (hit), Under 25.5 fouls at 70.3%, and Over 3.5 cards at 70.2%. The match is likely to see a moderate number of goals, with the away side’s stronger offensive output giving them the edge.
Results analysis
The away win of Admira Wacker 3-1 over First Vienna extended their recent form, keeping the win streak alive after a 3-1 victory over WSPG Wels. The model had named the away side as favourite with a 45% probability, and that call proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short, but the 1-3 result still matched the model’s overall expectation of an away win. In the over/under market, the model’s selection of Under 3.5, at 75.8%, missed as the match produced four goals, while its choice of Over 1.5, at 72.5%, hit, reflecting a high-scoring affair. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate, with only the under/over 3.5 pick falling short.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
First Vienna win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker win✓ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.20
1.36
1.07
1.56
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.41
1.26
1.33
1.17
1.47
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.10
2.08
1.31
1.88
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.93
1.19
1.92
1.42
1.93
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
First Vienna goals ↓
Admira Wacker goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
11%
8.6%
4.1%
1.5%
1
7.4%
14%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
2
4.6%
6.6%
4.8%
2.3%
0.8%
3
1.6%
2.3%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = First Vienna goals (down), columns = Admira Wacker goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SKN ST. Polten
1.93
Austria Lustenau
1.90
Admira Wacker
1.76
Floridsdorfer AC
1.71
FC Liefering
1.66
SKU Amstetten
1.57
First Vienna
1.48
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.38
Austria Salzburg
1.32
Austria Klagenfurt
1.24
Rapid Wien II
1.21
WSPG Wels
1.14
SV Kapfenberg
1.07
Stripfing
0.83
Sturm Graz II
0.76
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
0.66
First Vienna is 0.28 points worse than Admira Wacker in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Admira Wacker
1.76
SKN ST. Polten
1.62
FC Liefering
1.62
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
Austria Lustenau
1.48
SKU Amstetten
1.46
WSPG Wels
1.34
Stripfing
1.33
Austria Salzburg
1.29
Rapid Wien II
1.28
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.24
Austria Klagenfurt
1.17
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.17
SV Kapfenberg
1.10
First Vienna
1.10
Sturm Graz II
1.00
First Vienna is 0.66 goals worse than Admira Wacker in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Floridsdorfer AC
0.64
First Vienna
0.86
SKN ST. Polten
0.93
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
SKU Amstetten
1.21
Austria Salzburg
1.32
WSPG Wels
1.41
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.41
FC Liefering
1.41
Austria Klagenfurt
1.52
Rapid Wien II
1.55
Sturm Graz II
1.69
SV Kapfenberg
1.83
Stripfing
1.92
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.07
First Vienna is 0.14 goals better than Admira Wacker in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
53%
Austria Lustenau
47%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
First Vienna
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Admira Wacker
For 4.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.4
2.5
3.1
1.9
26.4
25.6
27.2
vs Stronger (4)
13.7
3.0
19.0
4.2
5.0
3.5
23.0
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (45)
9.0
10.2
7.8
2.4
3.0
1.9
26.8
25.7
28.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
44%
54%
36%
32%
42%
23%
79%
71%
86%
% under line
56%
46%
64%
68%
58%
77%
21%
29%
14%
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
8.1
7.4
2.4
2.6
2.2
22.2
22.9
21.5
vs Stronger (3)
8.3
9.0
7.0
4.7
4.5
5.0
25.7
27.0
23.0
vs Similar (45)
7.8
8.0
7.5
2.3
2.5
2.2
21.8
22.2
21.3
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
30%
40%
17%
36%
38%
35%
68%
73%
62%
% under line
70%
60%
83%
64%
62%
65%
32%
27%
38%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Austria Klagenfurt
9.4
Austria Lustenau
9.3
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
Austria Klagenfurt
5.1
Austria Lustenau
5.0
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Austria Lustenau
23.3
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
Austria Klagenfurt
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.2%
Under 9.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.2%
Under 3.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.6%
Under 21.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.79
0.36
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.93
0.48
0.92
0.33
0.93
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.08
0.69
0.59
0.41
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.56
0.92
0.75
0.67
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.57
0.71
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.78
0.42
0.83
0.53
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.57
1.00
0.62
1.29
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.15
0.63
1.00
0.67
1.27
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
First Vienna and Admira Wacker have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
First Vienna and Admira Wacker have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
First Vienna's midfield is €1m more valuable than Admira Wacker's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
First Vienna and Admira Wacker have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →