This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HK Kopavogur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.63
2.50
1.38
1.86
1.93
vs Stronger (5)
2.80
1.80
2.67
0.67
3.00
3.50
vs Similar (24)
2.08
1.62
2.50
1.58
1.67
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
Fjolnir goals ↓
HK Kopavogur goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
8.2%
7.8%
4.4%
1.8%
1
5.7%
12%
9.5%
5.3%
2.2%
2
4.1%
6.9%
5.7%
3.2%
1.3%
3
1.7%
2.8%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fjolnir goals (down), columns = HK Kopavogur goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Fram Reykjavik
2.50
Valur Reykjavik
2.40
Kári
2.25
Keflavik
2.25
Thor Akureyri
2.25
Vestri
2.20
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Afturelding
2.00
Tindastóll
2.00
KFR
2.00
Vikingur Olafsiik
2.00
Skallagrímur
2.00
Haukar
2.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.00
Selfoss
2.00
Stjarnan
1.75
Völsungur
1.67
Fylkir
1.50
IR Reykjavik
1.50
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.50
Grotta
1.50
IA Akranes
1.50
Grindavik
1.50
KA Akureyri
1.50
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1.50
Vídir
1.50
RB
1.50
Reynir
1.50
Höttur / Huginn
1.50
Smári
1.50
BF 108
1.50
Kría
1.50
Hafnir
1.50
ÍH
1.50
Augnablik
1.50
Spyrnir
1.50
Hvíti riddarinn
1.50
Árbær
1.50
Sindri
1.50
Ellidi
1.50
KR Reykjavik
1.50
Breidablik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.33
Úlfarnir
1.33
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
1.33
Reynir Hellissandur
1.10
KB
1.10
Ægir
1.00
Kormákur / Hvöt
1.00
Magni
0.50
KV
0.50
Dalvík / Reynir
0.00
Álftanes
0.00
Álafoss
0.00
ÍBU
0.00
Árborg
0.00
KFG
0.00
SR
0.00
Vængir Júpiters
0.00
Hamar
0.00
KFS
0.00
Afríka
0.00
Léttir
0.00
KF
0.00
Stokkseyri
0.00
Neisti D.
0.00
Thorlákur
0.00
Ýmir
0.00
KH
0.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
0.00
Thróttur Vogar
0.00
FH hafnarfjordur
0.00
Fálkar
0.00
Einherji
0.00
Fjolnir is 0.50 points worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
6.50
Kári
5.00
Vikingur Olafsiik
4.67
Njardvik
4.00
BF 108
4.00
HK Kopavogur
3.50
Fylkir
3.50
Keflavik
3.50
Stjarnan
3.50
Thor Akureyri
3.50
Throttur Reykjavik
3.33
Selfoss
3.33
IR Reykjavik
3.00
Grindavik
3.00
KA Akureyri
3.00
Álafoss
3.00
Tindastóll
3.00
ÍH
3.00
KF
3.00
Hvíti riddarinn
3.00
Ellidi
3.00
Ýmir
3.00
Breidablik
3.00
Leiknir R.
2.50
Smári
2.50
Spyrnir
2.50
Árbær
2.50
Völsungur
2.33
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.33
Fjolnir
2.00
Dalvík / Reynir
2.00
IA Akranes
2.00
Afturelding
2.00
Ægir
2.00
RB
2.00
KFG
2.00
SR
2.00
KFR
2.00
Hafnir
2.00
Skallagrímur
2.00
Kormákur / Hvöt
2.00
Augnablik
2.00
Haukar
2.00
Reynir Hellissandur
1.97
KB
1.97
Valur Reykjavik
1.80
Úlfarnir
1.67
Vestri
1.60
Grotta
1.50
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1.50
Vídir
1.50
Reynir
1.50
KV
1.50
Fram Reykjavik
1.50
Vængir Júpiters
1.00
Kría
1.00
Hamar
1.00
KFS
1.00
Léttir
1.00
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
1.00
Magni
1.00
Sindri
1.00
Thorlákur
1.00
KH
1.00
Höttur / Huginn
0.50
Álftanes
0.00
ÍBU
0.00
Árborg
0.00
Afríka
0.00
Stokkseyri
0.00
Neisti D.
0.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
0.00
Thróttur Vogar
0.00
FH hafnarfjordur
0.00
Fálkar
0.00
Einherji
0.00
Fjolnir is 1.50 goals worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 3.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Afturelding
0.33
Leiknir R.
0.50
Sindri
0.50
Fram Reykjavik
0.50
Vestri
0.80
Valur Reykjavik
0.80
IA Akranes
1.00
Vídir
1.00
Skallagrímur
1.00
FH hafnarfjordur
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
1.00
Breidablik
1.00
Throttur Reykjavik
1.33
HK Kopavogur
1.50
Fylkir
1.50
IR Reykjavik
1.50
Keflavik
1.50
Njardvik
1.50
Grindavik
1.50
KFR
1.50
Spyrnir
1.50
Haukar
1.67
Völsungur
1.67
Ægir
2.00
KA Akureyri
2.00
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2.00
Vængir Júpiters
2.00
Tindastóll
2.00
Kormákur / Hvöt
2.00
Léttir
2.00
Hvíti riddarinn
2.00
Ellidi
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
Selfoss
2.00
Einherji
2.00
Kári
2.25
Vikingur Olafsiik
2.33
Fjolnir
2.50
Grotta
2.50
Höttur / Huginn
2.50
Smári
2.50
BF 108
2.50
Augnablik
2.50
Reynir Hellissandur
2.65
KB
2.65
Úlfarnir
2.67
Stjarnan
2.75
Álftanes
3.00
KFG
3.00
SR
3.00
Kría
3.00
Hamar
3.00
ÍH
3.00
Stokkseyri
3.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
3.00
RB
3.50
Reynir
3.50
Dalvík / Reynir
4.00
Álafoss
4.00
Árborg
4.00
Thorlákur
4.00
Ýmir
4.00
KH
4.00
KV
4.00
Fálkar
4.00
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
4.33
Magni
4.50
Árbær
4.50
Hafnir
5.00
KF
5.00
Neisti D.
5.00
ÍBU
6.00
Thróttur Vogar
6.00
KFS
7.00
Afríka
8.00
Fjolnir is 1.00 goals worse than HK Kopavogur in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fjolnir or Draw✗ Miss
53.0%
Avg Implied -
27%
26%
47%
covers Fjolnir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir or HK Kopavogur✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied -
27%
26%
47%
covers Fjolnir + HK Kopavogur
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HK Kopavogur✓ Hit
73.4%
Avg Implied -
27%
26%
47%
covers Draw + HK Kopavogur
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.2%
Under
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.1%
Under
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.2%
Under
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.7%
Under
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.5%
Under
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fjolnir, so a minus line means Fjolnir give that many goals of a start and HK Kopavogur receive them. At -1, Fjolnir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fjolnir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fjolnir)Actual: HK Kopavogur
Fjolnir -2
3.6%
Draw -2
7.7%
HK Kopavogur +2
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fjolnir)Actual: HK Kopavogur
Fjolnir -1
11.3%
Draw -1
15.3%
HK Kopavogur +1
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fjolnir)Actual: Draw
Fjolnir +1
53.0%
Draw +1
21.5%
HK Kopavogur -1
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fjolnir)Actual: Fjolnir
Fjolnir +2
74.5%
Draw +2
14.6%
HK Kopavogur -2
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fjolnir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.93
0.47
0.93
1.13
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.15
0.57
1.29
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.65
0.76
0.38
0.62
0.89
0.89
Clean sheet %
37% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HK Kopavogur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.06
0.56
1.00
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
0.80
1.33
0.67
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.58
0.92
0.50
0.92
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fjolnir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.50
0.60
1.73
1.00
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
1.69
0.71
1.71
0.83
1.67
vs Weaker (17)
0.82
1.35
0.50
1.75
1.11
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HK Kopavogur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.00
1.44
0.81
0.86
1.21
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.04
1.58
1.08
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
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✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
73.4%
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✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.2%
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✓ Hit
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Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →