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Fjolnir vs Leiknir R. Result & Analysis

Date: 06/07/2023
Time: 18:30
Final 4-1
Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Vs
62%
20%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fjolnir win✓ Hit
62.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. win✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-651W10W33D21W60W21W22D10W11D34LA·AFT17/09A·ÆGI05/05H·THR11/05A·SEL21/05H·THO26/05A·IA 01/06H·GRO08/06A·GRI15/06H·VES24/06A·AFT29/06
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.632.671.331.931.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.761.243.431.142.301.30
vs Weaker (13)1.692.152.001.501.203.20
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L31W23L01L23L15L22D22D01L30WA·IBV29/10A·THR05/05H·SEL12/05A·THO20/05H·IA 26/05A·GRO02/06H·GRI10/06H·AFT23/06A·VES28/06H·NJA02/07← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.372.471.532.331.202.60
vs Stronger (25)1.442.521.462.381.422.67
vs Similar (5)1.002.202.002.000.332.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.3%
Under 2.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
Fjolnir goals ↓
Leiknir R. goals →
01234
03.4%2.5%2.0%0.8%0.3%
15.6%8.6%4.8%2.0%0.6%
27.6%9.4%5.8%2.4%0.7%
36.1%7.5%4.6%1.9%0.6%
43.6%4.5%2.8%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fjolnir goals (down), columns = Leiknir R. goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Fjolnir is 0.33 points better than Leiknir R. in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.46).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Fjolnir is 0.33 goals better than Leiknir R. in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Fjolnir is 0.33 goals better than Leiknir R. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FjolnirFjolnir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D11D21W30W10W11D10W00D14LA·AFT17/09A·ÆGI05/05H·THR11/05A·SEL21/05H·THO26/05A·IA 01/06H·GRO08/06A·GRI15/06H·VES24/06A·AFT29/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.801.330.470.871.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.240.761.570.571.000.90
vs Weaker (13)0.920.851.120.380.601.60
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D01L11D13L01L10W00D00DA·IBV29/10A·THR05/05H·SEL12/05A·THO20/05H·IA 26/05A·GRO02/06H·GRI10/06H·AFT23/06A·VES28/06H·NJA02/07← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.130.471.000.601.27
vs Stronger (25)0.601.160.541.000.671.33
vs Similar (5)0.201.000.001.000.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FjolnirFjolnir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W22D00D30W11D11D00D11D20WA·AFT17/09A·ÆGI05/05H·THR11/05A·SEL21/05H·THO26/05A·IA 01/06H·GRO08/06A·GRI15/06H·VES24/06A·AFT29/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.831.330.871.070.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.530.471.860.571.300.40
vs Weaker (13)0.771.310.881.120.601.60
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W12L00D12L02L21W12L01L30WA·IBV29/10A·THR05/05H·SEL12/05A·THO20/05H·IA 26/05A·GRO02/06H·GRI10/06H·AFT23/06A·VES28/06H·NJA02/07← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.331.071.330.601.33
vs Stronger (25)0.841.360.921.380.751.33
vs Similar (5)0.801.202.001.000.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FJO wins
0
Draws
0
LR wins

Head-to-head

Fjolnir vs Leiknir R. · H/A from FJO
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/06/23AAfturelding Vs FJO4-3
24/06/23HFJO Vs Vestri1-1
15/06/23AGrindavik Vs FJO0-1
08/06/23HFJO Vs Grotta2-2
01/06/23AIA Akranes Vs FJO1-2
26/05/23HFJO Vs Thor Akureyri6-0
21/05/23ASelfoss Vs FJO1-2
11/05/23HFJO Vs Throttur Reykjavik3-3
05/05/23AÆgir Vs FJO0-1
17/09/22AAfturelding Vs FJO1-5

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/07/23HLR Vs Njardvik3-0
28/06/23AVestri Vs LR1-0
23/06/23HLR Vs Afturelding2-2
10/06/23HLR Vs Grindavik2-2
02/06/23AGrotta Vs LR5-1
26/05/23HLR Vs IA Akranes2-3
20/05/23AThor Akureyri Vs LR1-0
12/05/23HLR Vs Selfoss2-3
05/05/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs LR1-3
29/10/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs LR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.74
HomeLDWDD1.87
AwayWWWWL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%53%50%
AVG goals3.904.003.81
Over 1.5 %87%93%81%
Over 2.5 %74%73%75%
Over 3.5 %58%60%56%
Scored2.322.672.00
Conceded1.581.331.81
BTTS71%73%69%
Clean Sheet19%13%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW0.81
HomeLLDDW0.94
AwayLWLLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%22%17%
AVG goals3.533.563.50
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %72%78%67%
Over 3.5 %47%50%44%
Scored1.191.331.06
Conceded2.332.222.44
BTTS58%61%56%
Clean Sheet17%28%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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