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Fjolnir vs Selfoss Result & Analysis

Date: 29/07/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-4
Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Vs
72%
15%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Selfoss
Selfoss
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fjolnir win✗ Miss
72.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
15.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Selfoss win✓ Hit
12.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W21W22D10W11D34L41W11D22D51WH·THO26/05A·IA 01/06H·GRO08/06A·GRI15/06H·VES24/06A·AFT29/06H·LEI06/07A·NJA12/07A·THR16/07H·ÆGI21/07
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.371.532.931.361.881.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)2.791.294.001.252.301.30
vs Weaker (16)2.001.752.501.401.172.33
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-912L31W21W11D12L34L01L24L09L20WH·FJO21/05A·ÆGI26/05H·THR01/06A·NJA08/06A·THO16/06H·IA 23/06A·GRO28/06H·LEI16/07A·AFT21/07H·GRI25/07
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.672.171.731.871.602.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.712.211.711.711.702.90
vs Weaker (6)1.502.002.004.001.401.60
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.2%
Under 1.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
82.3%
Under 2.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.3%
No
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
4-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-1
5.3%
3-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
Fjolnir goals ↓
Selfoss goals →
01234
01.6%1.1%1.0%0.5%0.2%
13.1%5.3%3.3%1.5%0.5%
25.6%7.5%5.1%2.3%0.8%
35.8%7.9%5.3%2.4%0.8%
44.5%6.1%4.1%1.9%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fjolnir goals (down), columns = Selfoss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
Fjolnir is 0.75 points better than Selfoss in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
Fjolnir is 0.65 goals better than Selfoss in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.68).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
Fjolnir is 0.81 goals better than Selfoss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 2.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FjolnirFjolnir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W10W11D10W00D14L10W10W20W20WH·THO26/05A·IA 01/06H·GRO08/06A·GRI15/06H·VES24/06A·AFT29/06H·LEI06/07A·NJA12/07A·THR16/07H·ÆGI21/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.671.360.430.940.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.210.861.750.751.000.90
vs Weaker (16)1.060.501.200.300.830.83
Clean sheet %53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SelfossSelfoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D20W10W01L03L01L11D04L00DH·FJO21/05A·ÆGI26/05H·THR01/06A·NJA08/06A·THO16/06H·IA 23/06A·GRO28/06H·LEI16/07A·AFT21/07H·GRI25/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.070.601.000.671.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.671.040.571.000.801.10
vs Weaker (6)0.501.171.001.000.401.20
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FjolnirFjolnir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D11D00D11D20W31W01L02L31WH·THO26/05A·IA 01/06H·GRO08/06A·GRI15/06H·VES24/06A·AFT29/06H·LEI06/07A·NJA12/07A·THR16/07H·ÆGI21/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.871.570.930.940.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.570.432.250.501.300.40
vs Weaker (16)0.941.251.301.100.331.50
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SelfossSelfoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D20W01L01L11D31W00D13L05L20WH·FJO21/05A·ÆGI26/05H·THR01/06A·NJA08/06A·THO16/06H·IA 23/06A·GRO28/06H·LEI16/07A·AFT21/07H·GRI25/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.101.130.870.931.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.041.171.140.710.901.80
vs Weaker (6)1.000.831.003.001.000.40
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.582.3%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.1%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes71.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
FJO wins
0
Draws
1
SEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fjolnir vs Selfoss · H/A from FJO
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23ASelfoss Vs FJO1-2
27/08/22HFJO Vs Selfoss4-1
24/06/22ASelfoss Vs FJO2-0

FjolnirFjolnir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/23HFJO Vs Ægir5-1
16/07/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs FJO2-2
12/07/23ANjardvik Vs FJO1-1
06/07/23HFJO Vs Leiknir R.4-1
29/06/23AAfturelding Vs FJO4-3
24/06/23HFJO Vs Vestri1-1
15/06/23AGrindavik Vs FJO0-1
08/06/23HFJO Vs Grotta2-2
01/06/23AIA Akranes Vs FJO1-2
26/05/23HFJO Vs Thor Akureyri6-0

SelfossSelfoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/23HSEL Vs Grindavik2-0
21/07/23AAfturelding Vs SEL9-0
16/07/23HSEL Vs Leiknir R.2-4
28/06/23AGrotta Vs SEL1-0
23/06/23HSEL Vs IA Akranes3-4
16/06/23AThor Akureyri Vs SEL2-1
08/06/23ANjardvik Vs SEL1-1
01/06/23HSEL Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-1
26/05/23AÆgir Vs SEL1-3
21/05/23HSEL Vs Fjolnir1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fjolnir
Fjolnir
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.77
HomeWDDWW2.00
AwayWWLDD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%59%44%
AVG goals3.944.183.72
Over 1.5 %89%94%83%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %60%65%56%
Scored2.402.881.94
Conceded1.541.291.78
BTTS74%76%72%
Clean Sheet17%12%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Selfoss
Selfoss
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.32
HomeLWLLW1.47
AwayWDLLL1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%47%29%
AVG goals3.793.594.00
Over 1.5 %91%88%94%
Over 2.5 %71%71%71%
Over 3.5 %47%41%53%
Scored1.761.881.65
Conceded2.031.712.35
BTTS71%65%76%
Clean Sheet15%24%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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