This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Selfoss
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
2.17
2.00
1.75
1.64
2.64
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.74
2.39
1.92
1.83
1.55
3.00
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.67
2.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
10% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
Fjolnir goals ↓
Selfoss goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
6.4%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.8%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.8%
9.5%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.1%
5.0%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fjolnir goals (down), columns = Selfoss goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KA Akureyri
2.60
Keflavik
2.50
Stjarnan
2.50
Thor Akureyri
2.25
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.00
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
IR Reykjavik
2.00
Afturelding
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Fylkir
2.00
Fjolnir
2.00
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
2.00
Haukar
2.00
Höttur / Huginn
2.00
Augnablik
2.00
Vídir
2.00
Hafnir
2.00
Ýmir
2.00
Valur Reykjavik
1.75
ÍH
1.75
Vestri
1.50
KR Reykjavik
1.50
IA Akranes
1.50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.50
Ægir
1.50
Grotta
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.50
HK Kopavogur
1.50
Selfoss
1.50
Dalvík / Reynir
1.50
KV
1.50
Vikingur Olafsiik
1.50
Kári
1.50
Hvíti riddarinn
1.50
RB
1.50
KFG
1.50
Vængir Júpiters
1.50
KH
1.50
Úlfarnir
1.50
Árborg
1.50
Kormákur / Hvöt
1.50
KFK Kópavogur
1.50
Árbær
1.33
Tindastóll
1.33
Magni
1.00
Smári
1.00
Breidablik
0.00
FH hafnarfjordur
0.00
Leiknir R.
0.00
Njardvik
0.00
Völsungur
0.00
Thróttur Vogar
0.00
KFS
0.00
Skallagrímur
0.00
KF
0.00
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
0.00
Hörður Í.
0.00
Reynir
0.00
ÍBU
0.00
Thorlákur
0.00
Hamar
0.00
Álftanes
0.00
Álafoss
0.00
Ellidi
0.00
KFR
0.00
Spyrnir
0.00
Kría
0.00
Sindri
0.00
SR
0.00
Afríka
0.00
Reynir Hellissandur
0.00
Léttir
0.00
Mídas
0.00
KM
0.00
Samherjar
0.00
Fjolnir is 0.50 points better than Selfoss in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haukar
8.33
Ýmir
7.50
Árborg
6.50
KR Reykjavik
6.00
Hafnir
5.67
Augnablik
4.33
IR Reykjavik
4.00
Throttur Reykjavik
4.00
KFR
4.00
KFK Kópavogur
4.00
ÍH
3.75
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
3.67
KFG
3.50
Vængir Júpiters
3.50
KH
3.50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3.00
Afturelding
3.00
Kári
3.00
RB
3.00
Kormákur / Hvöt
3.00
Fjolnir
2.67
Tindastóll
2.67
Valur Reykjavik
2.50
Vestri
2.50
Thor Akureyri
2.50
Keflavik
2.50
Ægir
2.50
Selfoss
2.50
Vikingur Olafsiik
2.50
Hvíti riddarinn
2.50
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.40
KA Akureyri
2.40
Höttur / Huginn
2.33
Stjarnan
2.25
IA Akranes
2.00
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
KV
2.00
Vídir
2.00
Hörður Í.
2.00
Hamar
2.00
Smári
2.00
SR
2.00
Léttir
2.00
Fylkir
1.67
Grotta
1.50
HK Kopavogur
1.50
Dalvík / Reynir
1.50
Árbær
1.33
Breidablik
1.00
Leiknir R.
1.00
Thróttur Vogar
1.00
Skallagrímur
1.00
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1.00
Úlfarnir
1.00
Reynir
1.00
Álftanes
1.00
Magni
1.00
Kría
1.00
Sindri
1.00
Mídas
1.00
FH hafnarfjordur
0.00
Völsungur
0.00
KFS
0.00
KF
0.00
ÍBU
0.00
Thorlákur
0.00
Álafoss
0.00
Ellidi
0.00
Spyrnir
0.00
Afríka
0.00
Reynir Hellissandur
0.00
KM
0.00
Samherjar
0.00
Fjolnir is 0.17 goals better than Selfoss in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Höttur / Huginn
0.33
Thor Akureyri
0.50
KA Akureyri
0.80
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
IR Reykjavik
1.00
Árborg
1.00
Magni
1.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.20
Stjarnan
1.25
Fylkir
1.33
Tindastóll
1.33
Hafnir
1.33
Valur Reykjavik
1.50
Keflavik
1.50
IA Akranes
1.50
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.50
Vikingur Olafsiik
1.50
Kári
1.50
Afturelding
1.67
Grindavik
1.67
Augnablik
1.67
Vídir
1.67
Breidablik
2.00
Ægir
2.00
Völsungur
2.00
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Fjolnir
2.00
Dalvík / Reynir
2.00
KF
2.00
Haukar
2.00
Árbær
2.00
Úlfarnir
2.00
Kría
2.00
Sindri
2.00
Smári
2.00
Ýmir
2.00
Vestri
2.50
Grotta
2.50
Selfoss
2.50
Hvíti riddarinn
2.50
KFG
2.50
KH
2.50
ÍH
2.75
FH hafnarfjordur
3.00
Njardvik
3.00
Thróttur Vogar
3.00
KFS
3.00
Skallagrímur
3.00
Ellidi
3.00
Mídas
3.00
KR Reykjavik
3.50
KV
3.50
RB
3.50
Kormákur / Hvöt
3.50
KFK Kópavogur
3.50
Leiknir R.
4.00
SR
4.00
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
4.33
Vængir Júpiters
4.50
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
5.00
Reynir
5.00
ÍBU
5.00
Hamar
5.00
Spyrnir
5.00
Hörður Í.
6.00
Álafoss
6.00
Álftanes
7.00
Léttir
7.00
Samherjar
7.00
KFR
8.00
Thorlákur
11.00
Reynir Hellissandur
12.00
KM
12.00
Afríka
20.00
Fjolnir is 0.50 goals better than Selfoss in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fjolnir or Draw✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Fjolnir + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir or Selfoss✓ Hit
72.4%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Fjolnir + Selfoss
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Selfoss✗ Miss
49.6%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Draw + Selfoss
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.4%
Under
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.9%
Under
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.2%
Under
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
7.6%
Under
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.0%
Under
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.3%
Under
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fjolnir, so a minus line means Fjolnir give that many goals of a start and Selfoss receive them. At -1, Fjolnir must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fjolnir win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fjolnir)Actual: Draw
Fjolnir -2
11.3%
Draw -2
15.8%
Selfoss +2
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Fjolnir)Actual: Fjolnir
Fjolnir -1
27.1%
Draw -1
23.4%
Selfoss +1
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Fjolnir)Actual: Fjolnir
Fjolnir +1
78.0%
Draw +1
13.8%
Selfoss -1
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Fjolnir)Actual: Fjolnir
Fjolnir +2
91.9%
Draw +2
5.9%
Selfoss -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fjolnir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.13
0.60
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.08
0.92
1.29
0.86
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.47
1.00
0.38
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Selfoss
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.27
0.50
1.12
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
1.43
0.50
1.33
0.64
1.55
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fjolnir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.80
1.67
1.00
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.15
0.77
1.43
1.29
0.83
0.17
vs Weaker (17)
1.41
0.82
1.88
0.75
1.00
0.89
Clean sheet %
47% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Selfoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Selfoss
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.90
1.50
0.62
1.00
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.17
0.96
1.42
0.50
0.91
1.45
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.83
1.33
1.33
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Fjolnir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fjolnir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fjolnir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Selfoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
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Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →