PythiaFootballBETA
FK Košice is favoured to win at home against AS Trencin, with a storyline of both teams coming off a draw in their last match against each other. The most likely outcome is a draw, but the model predicts a home win. The expected number of goals is 3.1, and the most likely total number of goals is 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.6%.
FK Košice has scored an average of 2 goals at home against similar opponents, conceding 1.83. Against AS Trencin, they have scored 2 goals and conceded 1.75. AS Trencin has scored an average of 1 goal away against similar opponents, conceding 1.75.
The model's selection is the home win, with a 50% probability. The model's selection for Over 1.5 is a 82.2% probability, with a 1% edge. The suggested picks are Over 1.5, with 82.2% probability, and Home win, with 50% probability. The probabilities for the other suggested picks are not available. The home win percentage is 50%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 25%.
A stunning upset in Slovakia's Super Liga as FK Kosice drew 3-3 with AS Trencin, extending their run of four consecutive draws. The model's selection, Home win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 50%. The model's call was wrong, with AS Trencin defying expectations. The model's suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit with a probability of 82.2%, while another selection, Home win, missed with a probability of 50%. The most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 23%. The most likely scores were 1-1, 2-1, and 2-0. The game's expected total goals was 3.1, but the final score was 3-3, resulting in a draw.
FK Košice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.03 | 1.63 | 2.31 | 1.15 | 1.82 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 2.33 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.92 | 1.69 | 2.18 | 1.36 | 1.73 | 1.93 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 4.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
AS Trencin| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.14 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 2.00 | 1.25 | 0.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.96 | 1.58 | 1.25 | 1.08 | 0.67 | 2.08 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.50 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+6pp vs league) | |||||
| AS Trencin goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 12% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
FK KošiceAS TrencinFK Košice| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.7 | 9.7 | 11.8 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 23.0 | 23.6 | 22.2 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 9.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 20.3 | 22.0 | 17.0 |
| vs Similar (41) | 10.9 | 10.2 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 22.7 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 68% | 62% | 75% | 20% | 32% | 11% | 52% | 62% | 42% |
| % under line | 32% | 38% | 25% | 80% | 68% | 89% | 48% | 38% | 58% |
AS Trencin| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 11.8 | 10.2 | 13.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 25.3 | 26.2 | 24.5 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 14.5 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.5 | 22.0 | 17.0 |
| vs Similar (40) | 11.5 | 10.1 | 12.8 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 25.7 | 26.6 | 25.0 |
| vs Weaker (5) | - | - | - | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 68% | 46% | 87% | 30% | 35% | 26% | 68% | 77% | 60% |
| % under line | 32% | 54% | 13% | 70% | 65% | 74% | 32% | 23% | 40% |
FK Košice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.80 | 1.23 | 0.46 | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 0.33 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.04 | 0.85 | 1.18 | 0.55 | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+13pp vs league) | |||||
AS Trencin| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.43 | 0.57 | 0.69 | 0.88 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.50 | 0.79 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+36pp vs league) | |||||
FK Košice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 0.69 | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.88 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.87 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+13pp vs league) | |||||
AS Trencin| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.56 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (24) | 0.46 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.17 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.50 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 83.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.14 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.14 | +0.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 81.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 cards | 72.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 8.5 corners | 71.4% | 1.32 | 1.37 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.28 | - | +1.7% | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 70.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/11/25 | A | 2-0 | |
| 10/08/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 02/11/24 | H | 0-0 | |
| 03/08/24 | A | 2-0 | |
| 19/04/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 09/03/24 | H | 0-0 |
FK Košice| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 | A | 4-4 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 05/05/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 01/05/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 15/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-0 |
AS Trencin| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 4-3 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Spartak Trnava | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 56% |
| 2 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 59% |
| 3 |  Dunajska Streda | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 53% |
| 4 |  Žilina | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 4.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 5 |  Podbrezová | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51% |
| 6 |  Skalica | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 42% |
| 7 | FK Košice | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 5.8 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 49% |
| 8 |  Zemplín Michalovce | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1.8 | 80% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 9 |  Dukla Banská Bystrica | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 10 | AS Trencin | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 51% |
| 11 |  Komárno | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2.6 | 100% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 12 |  Ružomberok | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 43% |