This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.40
2.14
1.21
2.50
1.56
vs Stronger (3)
2.67
3.33
3.00
3.00
2.50
3.50
vs Similar (15)
2.13
1.20
2.00
1.29
2.25
1.12
vs Weaker (12)
2.50
1.17
2.17
0.83
2.83
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.2%
Under 2.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 3.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.9%
No
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.1%
2-2 ✓
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
2-3
4.4%
FK Košice goals ↓
Žilina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
5.2%
5.9%
3.8%
1.8%
1
3.8%
10%
9.0%
5.8%
2.8%
2
3.6%
7.1%
6.8%
4.4%
2.1%
3
1.8%
3.6%
3.5%
2.2%
1.1%
4
0.7%
1.4%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Košice goals (down), columns = Žilina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.12
Dunajska Streda
1.81
Spartak Trnava
1.75
Žilina
1.62
Zemplín Michalovce
1.38
FK Košice
1.34
Podbrezová
1.31
AS Trencin
1.31
Ružomberok
1.09
Skalica
1.09
Komárno
1.00
Tatran Prešov
0.94
FK Košice is 0.28 points worse than Žilina in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
1.94
Žilina
1.84
Podbrezová
1.72
Dunajska Streda
1.72
FK Košice
1.59
Spartak Trnava
1.59
Zemplín Michalovce
1.38
Komárno
1.06
Ružomberok
1.06
AS Trencin
1.06
Skalica
1.06
Tatran Prešov
0.91
FK Košice is 0.25 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dunajska Streda
1.06
Slovan Bratislava
1.16
Spartak Trnava
1.16
Žilina
1.28
Tatran Prešov
1.34
Skalica
1.41
Komárno
1.44
Ružomberok
1.56
Podbrezová
1.59
AS Trencin
1.59
Zemplín Michalovce
1.62
FK Košice
1.72
FK Košice is 0.44 goals worse than Žilina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slovan Bratislava
59%
Spartak Trnava
56%
Dunajska Streda
53%
Zemplín Michalovce
52%
Podbrezová
51%
AS Trencin
51%
Žilina
50%
FK Košice
49%
Komárno
48%
Tatran Prešov
47%
Ružomberok
43%
Skalica
42%
FK Košice is 1.2 percentage points worse than Žilina in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FK Košice
For 5.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
For 4.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Košice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.1
11.3
2.4
3.1
1.8
24.1
26.5
21.6
vs Stronger (11)
9.7
9.0
13.0
1.7
2.7
0.6
20.7
25.4
9.0
vs Similar (37)
10.9
10.5
11.2
2.7
3.2
2.2
25.1
27.0
23.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
56%
64%
30%
39%
22%
74%
81%
67%
% under line
40%
44%
36%
70%
61%
78%
26%
19%
33%
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.5
9.6
2.6
2.7
2.5
26.4
24.6
28.2
vs Stronger (5)
9.0
10.5
7.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
28.8
28.0
29.5
vs Similar (23)
10.1
9.9
10.6
2.1
2.5
1.7
23.6
22.8
25.2
vs Weaker (22)
9.2
8.7
9.6
3.0
2.8
3.1
28.3
26.3
29.7
% over line
58%
59%
56%
40%
38%
42%
85%
71%
100%
% under line
42%
41%
44%
60%
62%
58%
15%
29%
0%
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slovan Bratislava
10.9
Podbrezová
10.8
AS Trencin
10.8
Zemplín Michalovce
10.3
Dunajska Streda
10.3
Ružomberok
10.2
FK Košice
10.2
Žilina
10.1
Komárno
10.0
Skalica
9.8
Tatran Prešov
9.7
Spartak Trnava
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Trnava
5.0
Slovan Bratislava
4.9
Tatran Prešov
4.9
Dunajska Streda
4.8
Skalica
4.6
Podbrezová
4.5
AS Trencin
4.5
Zemplín Michalovce
4.5
Komárno
4.4
Ružomberok
4.3
FK Košice
4.2
Žilina
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Trnava
28.1
Komárno
27.0
Skalica
26.7
Zemplín Michalovce
26.4
Žilina
26.1
Tatran Prešov
25.8
Dunajska Streda
25.8
Podbrezová
25.3
Slovan Bratislava
25.2
Ružomberok
25.1
AS Trencin
25.1
FK Košice
24.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.5%
Under 3.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.0%
Under 21.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FK Košice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.80
0.92
0.77
1.12
0.82
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.74
1.00
0.73
1.08
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
-
-
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.57
1.14
0.50
1.19
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.67
3.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.93
0.33
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.58
1.17
0.50
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Košice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FK Košice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.00
1.00
1.15
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
1.09
1.09
1.36
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.83
1.00
0.71
1.31
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.87
1.14
0.86
1.25
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.58
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Košice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Košice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Košice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FK Košice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vladimir Perišić29%
Roman Čerepkai28%
Milan Rehuš27%
Mátyás Kovács21%
Filip Lichý20%
Matej Jakúbek18%
Ján Krivák17%
Miroslav Sovič13%
David Gallovic11%
Karlo Miljanić8%
Matej Madleňák6%
Edin Julardžija0%
Osman Kakay0%
Milan Dimun0%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Dominik Kružliak0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Daniel Magda0%
Zyen Jones0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Adam Goljan0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Magda30%
Filip Lichý30%
Dominik Kružliak22%
Sebastian Kóša22%
Vladimir Perišić21%
Juraj Teplan20%
Ján Krivák17%
Emilian Metu14%
Edin Julardžija12%
Milan Dimun11%
Tomas Durko11%
Mátyás Kovács11%
Kevin Dąbrowski9%
Karlo Miljanić8%
Marek Zsigmund7%
Miroslav Sovič7%
Osman Kakay6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Roman Čerepkai6%
David Gallovic6%
Matúš Kira0%
Zyen Jones0%
Matej Jakúbek0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Adam Goljan0%
Milan Rehuš0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mátyás Kovács21%
Milan Rehuš20%
Roman Čerepkai17%
Karlo Miljanić15%
Miroslav Sovič13%
Milan Dimun11%
Leonardo Lukačević11%
David Gallovic11%
Daniel Magda10%
Filip Lichý10%
Osman Kakay6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Edin Julardžija0%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Dominik Kružliak0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Ján Krivák0%
Zyen Jones0%
Matej Jakúbek0%
Adam Goljan0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Vladimir Perišić0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Čerepkai33%
Karlo Miljanić31%
Vladimir Perišić29%
Matej Jakúbek27%
Adam Goljan25%
Edin Julardžija12%
Milan Dimun11%
Milan Rehuš7%
Osman Kakay6%
Dominik Kružliak6%
Matej Madleňák6%
Kevin Dąbrowski0%
Marek Zsigmund0%
Matúš Kira0%
Ján Krivák0%
Daniel Magda0%
Zyen Jones0%
Leonardo Lukačević0%
Filip Lichý0%
David Gallovic0%
Sebastian Kóša0%
Emilian Metu0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Miroslav Sovič0%
Juraj Teplan0%
Tomas Durko0%
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Michal Faško25%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Ďatko18%
Marko Roginić16%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Samuel Kopásek11%
Miroslav Káčer11%
Xavier Adang11%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Regő Szánthó7%
Timotej Hranica7%
Filip Kaša6%
Patrik Iľko5%
Krisztián Bari5%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ridwan Sanusi67%
Miroslav Káčer26%
Filip Kaša25%
Lukas Prokop20%
Tobias Paliscak18%
Frantisek Kosa12%
Andrei Florea12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Xavier Adang11%
Jakub Badzgon10%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Samuel Ďatko6%
Regő Szánthó0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Michal Faško0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrián Kaprálik33%
Dani Homet25%
Samuel Kopásek22%
Michal Faško20%
Patrik Iľko16%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Marko Roginić11%
Krisztián Bari11%
Regő Szánthó7%
Miroslav Káčer5%
Xavier Adang5%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Lukas Prokop0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Fabian Bzdyl0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Roginić21%
Michal Faško20%
Samuel Ďatko12%
Lukas Prokop10%
Fabian Bzdyl8%
Aleksandre Narimanidze6%
Krisztián Bari5%
Xavier Adang5%
Regő Szánthó0%
Filip Kaša0%
Ján Minárik0%
Miroslav Káčer0%
Lukáš Juliš0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Adrián Kaprálik0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Michal Svoboda0%
Jakub Badzgon0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Andrei Florea0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Marek Okal0%
Dani Homet0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
TP (19)
€2m
FK Košice's squad is €6m less valuable than Žilina's (€6m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
FK Košice's attack is €3m less valuable than Žilina's (€1m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
FK Košice and Žilina have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
FK Košice's defence is €4m less valuable than Žilina's (€2m vs €6m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →