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FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
Vs
77%
15%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
Latvia: Virsliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

FK Liepaja is the clear favourite in this Latvia: Virsliga match against Grobiņa, with a predicted win probability of 77%. The model's pick is a home win, and this confidence is largely due to FK Liepaja's impressive home form, with a perfect record of not conceding any goals. Meanwhile, Grobiņa has struggled away from home, scoring an average of just one goal and conceding nearly two.

The expected total goals is 3.4, with the most likely total goals being 3. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 to FK Liepaja, with a probability of 11.6%. FK Liepaja's home scoring average is 2 goals, while Grobiņa's away scoring average is 1 goal. Grobiņa's away conceding average is 1.8 goals, while FK Liepaja's home conceding average is 0 goals.

The model suggests two selections: Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 86.3%, and Home win, with a probability of 77.1%. The home win percentage is 77%, the draw percentage is 15%, and the away win percentage is 8%.

Results analysis

The model’s forecast proved spot on as FK Liepaja extended a two-game winning streak with a 3-1 victory over Grobiņa. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 77 % probability and the prediction was correct. Every suggested pick hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.2 %, Home +2 handicap at 97.8 %, Under 7.5 at 97.6 %, another Away under 2.5 goals at 95.8 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.9 %, Under 6.5 at 94.0 %, and Home over 0.5 goals at 93.1 %. The match confirmed the model’s confidence, with the favoured result and all selections materialising.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Liepaja win✓ Hit
77.1%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.52
Edge
+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.65
10Bet
1.60
Dafabet
1.56
Unibet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
Draw✗ Miss
15.3%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.95
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.16
BetVictor
4.10
Grobiņa win✗ Miss
7.5%
Avg Implied 17.7% · @ 5.10
Edge
-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.50
Pinnacle
5.47
Dafabet
5.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W22D21W03L40W13L20W13L12L21WA·AUD20/10H·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.301.851.081.411.47
vs Stronger (6)1.172.172.002.000.332.33
vs Similar (11)1.640.911.830.331.401.60
vs Weaker (13)1.771.231.751.501.781.11
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-605L11D22D00D10W31W02L22D04L16LA·RĪG26/10H·RIG02/11H·AUD09/11H·JDF20/11A·JDF23/11H·TUK05/07A·SUP20/07H·OGR27/07A·RIG02/08A·RĪG10/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.801.201.200.602.40
vs Stronger (8)0.503.621.002.000.204.60
vs Similar (14)1.001.501.291.430.711.57
vs Weaker (8)1.120.501.200.401.000.67
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.3%
@ 1.18+8.3%
Under 1.5
13.7%
@ 4.19-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.6%
@ 1.64+10.0%
Under 2.5
33.4%
@ 2.13-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.75
888Sport
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.8%
@ 2.56+8.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
@ 1.44-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
888Sport
2.63
Pinnacle
2.60
BetVictor
2.60
Superbet
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Betfair
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
@ 1.71-3.7%
No
49.8%
@ 2.00+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.74
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
No
10Bet
2.15
888Sport
2.05
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.6%@ 7.20+5.6%
3-0
10.3%@ 10.56+6.2%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.12+2.8%
1-0
8.0%@ 6.96+1.9%
3-1 ✓
7.8%@ 10.67+3.8%
1-1
7.3%@ 7.15+1.3%
4-0
6.9%@ 20.05+4.7%
4-1
5.2%@ 19.68+3.0%
FK Liepaja goals ↓
Grobiņa goals →
01234
03.9%1.8%0.9%0.2%0.0%
18.0%7.3%2.5%0.6%0.1%
212%8.8%3.3%0.8%0.2%
310%7.8%3.0%0.8%0.1%
46.9%5.2%2.0%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Liepaja goals (down), columns = Grobiņa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rīgas FS
2.43
Riga
2.29
Auda
2.00
FK Liepaja
1.88
BFC Daugavpils
1.62
Super Nova
1.33
Grobiņa
1.00
FS Jelgava
0.86
Ogre United
0.57
Tukums
0.38
FK Liepaja is 0.88 points better than Grobiņa in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga
3.00
Rīgas FS
2.57
FK Liepaja
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.50
Super Nova
1.17
Grobiņa
1.14
FS Jelgava
1.14
Auda
1.14
Ogre United
1.00
Tukums
0.75
FK Liepaja is 0.86 goals better than Grobiņa in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Auda
0.57
Rīgas FS
0.86
BFC Daugavpils
0.88
Super Nova
1.00
Riga
1.14
FK Liepaja
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.71
Tukums
2.38
Grobiņa
2.57
Ogre United
3.00
FK Liepaja is 1.32 goals better than Grobiņa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Liepaja or Draw✓ Hit
92.5%
Avg Implied 81.9% · @ 1.12
Edge
+10.5%
77%
15%
8%
covers FK Liepaja + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
FK Liepaja or Grobiņa✓ Hit
84.7%
Avg Implied 77.6% · @ 1.18
Edge
+7.1%
77%
15%
8%
covers FK Liepaja + Grobiņa
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Draw or Grobiņa✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied 40.5% · @ 2.26
Edge
-17.6%
77%
15%
8%
covers Draw + Grobiņa
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.45
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
William Hil
2.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.1%
@ 1.10+9.2%
Under
6.9%
@ 5.75-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
5.50
888Sport
5.50
Bet365
5.50
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
74.5%
@ 1.56+15.6%
Under
25.5%
@ 2.24-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.32
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.15
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
49.8%
@ 2.81+16.9%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.38-16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.00
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.61
Under
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.33
FK Liepaja over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
27.9%
@ 5.63+11.4%
Under
72.1%
@ 1.11-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Under
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Grobiņa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
53.3%
@ 1.49-8.2%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.38+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Unibet
1.46
Under
10Bet
2.60
888Sport
2.50
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.29
Grobiņa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 3.39-9.6%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.27+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
888Sport
3.30
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.00
Under
888Sport
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Grobiņa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 9.28-5.9%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
888Sport
9.50
Marathonbet
9.20
Bet365
8.50
Under
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Grobiņa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 17.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FK Liepaja, so a minus line means FK Liepaja give that many goals of a start and Grobiņa receive them. At -1, FK Liepaja must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Liepaja win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Liepaja)Actual: Draw
FK Liepaja -2
35.2%
@ 4.30+15.2%
Draw -2
21.6%
@ 4.28+1.5%
Grobiņa +2
43.2%
@ 1.44-16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
3.95
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.37
Handicap -1 (FK Liepaja)Actual: FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja -1
56.8%
@ 2.43+20.9%
Draw -1
20.3%
@ 3.45-4.9%
Grobiņa +1
22.9%
@ 2.24-16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.60
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.00
Away
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.39
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.15
Unibet
2.07
Handicap +1 (FK Liepaja)Actual: FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja +1
92.5%
@ 1.11+17.2%
Draw +1
5.3%
@ 5.58-9.6%
Grobiņa -1
2.2%
@ 8.50-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Handicap +2 (FK Liepaja)Actual: FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja +2
97.8%
@ 1.04+7.3%
Draw +2
1.8%
@ 15.00-4.5%
Grobiņa -2
0.5%
@ 29.00-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D00D02L30W01L20W12L11D01LA·AUD20/10H·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.850.620.760.65
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.671.330.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.640.360.830.000.400.80
vs Weaker (13)1.150.621.001.001.220.44
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L02L00D10W20W00D02L00D04LA·RĪG26/10H·RIG02/11H·AUD09/11H·JDF20/11A·JDF23/11H·TUK05/07A·SUP20/07H·OGR27/07A·RIG02/08A·RĪG10/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.600.800.330.93
vs Stronger (8)0.122.000.331.670.002.20
vs Similar (14)0.570.640.711.000.430.29
vs Weaker (8)0.620.120.600.000.670.33
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.28+4.6%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 3.26-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
William Hil
3.40
10Bet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.4%
@ 2.33+0.1%
Under 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.51-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
Betfair
1.53
William Hil
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 5.53+0.2%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.10-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.45
Under
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
65.9%
@ 1.56+6.4%
Under
34.1%
@ 2.28-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.16
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 3.62+1.0%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.22-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.20
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 10.00-0.6%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.01+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Grobiņa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
28.8%
@ 2.66-6.0%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.42+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
Grobiņa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 9.90-4.1%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.80
Under
1xBet
1.01
Grobiņa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D21W01L10W12L00D01L01L20WA·AUD20/10H·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.671.000.460.650.82
vs Stronger (6)0.831.001.330.670.331.33
vs Similar (11)1.000.551.000.331.000.80
vs Weaker (13)0.620.620.750.500.560.67
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W20W00D00D11D02L20W04L12LA·RĪG26/10H·RIG02/11H·AUD09/11H·JDF20/11A·JDF23/11H·TUK05/07A·SUP20/07H·OGR27/07A·RIG02/08A·RĪG10/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.930.600.400.271.47
vs Stronger (8)0.381.620.670.330.202.40
vs Similar (14)0.430.860.570.430.291.29
vs Weaker (8)0.500.380.600.400.330.33
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap97.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.3%✓ Hit
Under 7.597.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals95.8%1.04
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
--+5.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.1%✓ Hit
Under 6.594.0%1.01
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
---+2.1%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals93.1%1.10
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-+9.2%✓ Hit
Home or Draw92.5%1.12
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+10.5%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap92.5%1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
---+17.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals91.4%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+0.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.586.7%1.04
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-2.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.586.3%1.18
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+8.3%✓ Hit
Home or Away84.7%1.18
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
+7.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals83.2%1.10
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-0.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals82.3%1.27
888Sport
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+9.6%✓ Hit
Home win77.1%1.52
888Sport
1.65
10Bet
1.60
Dafabet
1.56
Unibet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
+17.7%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals76.4%1.28
Pinnacle
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+4.6%✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals74.5%1.56
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.54
+15.6%✓ Hit
Under 4.573.9%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-6.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals73.8%1.22
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.20
----1.0%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals72.1%1.11
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
---11.4%✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals71.2%1.42
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
--+6.0%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
FK Liepaja's squad is €2m more valuable than Grobiņa's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
OU (12)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
FK Liepaja and Grobiņa have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
FK Liepaja and Grobiņa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
OU (11)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
FK Liepaja and Grobiņa have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
FL wins
0
Draws
3
GRO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa · H/A from FL
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25AGrobiņa Vs FL0-1
30/06/25HFL Vs Grobiņa2-0
10/05/25AGrobiņa Vs FL2-0
16/03/25HFL Vs Grobiņa4-1
26/10/24AGrobiņa Vs FL1-3
03/08/24HFL Vs Grobiņa0-1
29/05/24HFL Vs Grobiņa3-0
18/04/24AGrobiņa Vs FL3-2

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26ASuper Nova Vs FL1-2
02/08/26ATukums Vs FL2-1
30/07/26AAustria Vienna Vs FL3-1
26/07/26AFS Jelgava Vs FL0-2
04/07/26ABFC Daugavpils Vs FL3-1
30/06/26HFL Vs Ogre United4-0
09/11/25ASuper Nova Vs FL3-0
02/11/25ABFC Daugavpils Vs FL1-2
25/10/25HFL Vs FS Jelgava2-2
20/10/25AAuda Vs FL1-2

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/26ARīgas FS Vs GRO6-1
02/08/26ARiga Vs GRO4-0
27/07/26HGRO Vs Ogre United2-2
20/07/26ASuper Nova Vs GRO2-0
05/07/26HGRO Vs Tukums3-1
23/11/25AJDFS Alberts Vs GRO0-1
20/11/25HGRO Vs JDFS Alberts0-0
09/11/25HGRO Vs Auda2-2
02/11/25HGRO Vs Riga1-1
26/10/25ARīgas FS Vs GRO5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.68
HomeLWDDW1.90
AwayLWLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals3.163.243.10
Over 1.5 %84%81%86%
Over 2.5 %70%67%72%
Over 3.5 %40%48%34%
Scored1.662.001.41
Conceded1.501.241.69
BTTS60%57%62%
Clean Sheet24%38%14%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards4.00-4.00
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL0.80
HomeDDDWD1.12
AwayLWLLL0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%28%12%
AVG goals2.802.842.76
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored0.881.240.52
Conceded1.921.602.24
BTTS46%60%32%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS717
71%
2.4
186+12
3.4
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
6232.60.9
-
2RigaRiga716
71%
2.3
218+13
4.1
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7363.01.1
-
3FK LiepajaFK Liepaja815
62%
1.9
1610+6
3.2
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.2
-
4AudaAuda714
57%
2.0
84+4
1.7
57%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3031.10.6
-
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils813
50%
1.6
127+5
2.4
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.9
-
6Super NovaSuper Nova68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
7GrobiņaGrobiņa77
29%
1.0
818-10
3.7
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.6
-
8FS JelgavaFS Jelgava76
29%
0.9
812-4
2.9
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.7
-
9Ogre UnitedOgre United74
14%
0.6
721-14
4.0
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.03.0
-
10TukumsTukums83
12%
0.4
619-13
3.1
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.82.4
-
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

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