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FK Liepaja vs Ogre United Result & Analysis

Date: 30/06/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 4-0
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
vs
Ogre United
Ogre United
Latvia: Virsliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

FK Liepaja win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ogre United win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L21W41W10W22D03L21W22D21W03LH·SUP25/08A·MET29/08H·TUK14/09A·GRO21/09H·RÄŖG28/09A·RIG03/10A·AUD20/10H·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.401.641.141.561.62
vs Stronger (6)1.172.172.002.000.332.33
vs Similar (10)1.401.001.400.401.401.60
vs Weaker (14)1.931.361.671.332.121.38
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W70W30W30W10W00D11D12L30W10WH·RĒZ23/08A·TUK31/08H·AUG14/09H·RIG20/09H·SMI27/09H·RÄŖG04/10H·JDF18/10A·RIG25/10H·SKA01/11A·MĀR08/11← 1. LigaVirsliga →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.530.833.000.472.071.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)2.290.793.000.291.571.29
vs Weaker (16)2.750.883.000.622.501.12
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
RÄ«gas FS
2.43
Riga
2.29
Auda
2.00
FK Liepaja
1.88
BFC Daugavpils
1.62
Super Nova
1.33
Grobiņa
1.00
FS Jelgava
0.86
Ogre United
0.57
Tukums
0.38
FK Liepaja is 1.30 points better than Ogre United in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 0.57).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga
3.00
RÄ«gas FS
2.57
FK Liepaja
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.50
Super Nova
1.17
Grobiņa
1.14
FS Jelgava
1.14
Auda
1.14
Ogre United
1.00
Tukums
0.75
FK Liepaja is 1.00 goals better than Ogre United in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Auda
0.57
RÄ«gas FS
0.86
BFC Daugavpils
0.88
Super Nova
1.00
Riga
1.14
FK Liepaja
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.71
Tukums
2.38
Grobiņa
2.57
Ogre United
3.00
FK Liepaja is 1.75 goals better than Ogre United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 3.00).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W21W00D01L01L11D22D00D02LH·SUP25/08A·MET29/08H·TUK14/09A·GRO21/09H·RÄŖG28/09A·RIG03/10A·AUD20/10H·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.790.570.750.62
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.671.330.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.300.300.400.000.200.60
vs Weaker (14)1.290.571.170.671.380.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W20W10W00D00D00D10W10WH·RĒZ23/08A·TUK31/08H·AUG14/09H·RIG20/09H·SMI27/09H·RÄŖG04/10H·JDF18/10A·RIG25/10H·SKA01/11A·MĀR08/11← 1. LigaVirsliga →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.331.530.130.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.070.361.710.000.430.71
vs Weaker (16)1.120.311.380.250.880.38
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L20W10W21W02L10W00D21W01LH·SUP25/08A·MET29/08H·TUK14/09A·GRO21/09H·RÄŖG28/09A·RIG03/10A·AUD20/10H·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.860.570.811.00
vs Stronger (6)0.831.001.330.670.331.33
vs Similar (10)1.100.701.000.401.201.00
vs Weaker (14)0.640.790.500.670.750.88
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ogre United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W40W20W10W00D00D11D12L20W00DH·RĒZ23/08A·TUK31/08H·AUG14/09H·RIG20/09H·SMI27/09H·RÄŖG04/10H·JDF18/10A·RIG25/10H·SKA01/11A·MĀR08/11← 1. LigaVirsliga →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.501.470.331.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.210.431.290.291.140.57
vs Weaker (16)1.620.561.620.381.620.75
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ogre United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
FK Liepaja's squad is €2m more valuable than Ogre United's (€5m vs €3m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
OU (12)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
FK Liepaja and Ogre United have a similar attack value (both €2m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
FK Liepaja and Ogre United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
OU (11)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
FK Liepaja and Ogre United have a similar defence value (both €2m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FL wins
0
Draws
0
OU wins

Head-to-head

FK Liepaja vs Ogre United · H/A from FL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ASuper Nova Vs FL3-0
02/11/25ABFC Daugavpils Vs FL1-2
25/10/25HFL Vs FS Jelgava2-2
20/10/25AAuda Vs FL1-2
03/10/25ARiga Vs FL3-0
28/09/25HFL Vs RÄ«gas FS2-2
21/09/25AGrobiņa Vs FL0-1
14/09/25HFL Vs Tukums4-1
29/08/25AMetta / LU Vs FL1-2
25/08/25HFL Vs Super Nova0-3

Ogre UnitedOgre United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AMārupe Vs OU0-1
01/11/25HOU Vs Skanste3-0
25/10/25ARiga FC II Vs OU2-1
18/10/25HOU Vs JDFS Alberts1-1
04/10/25HOU Vs RÄ«gas FS II0-0
27/09/25HOU Vs Smiltene1-0
20/09/25HOU Vs Riga Mariners3-0
14/09/25HOU Vs AugŔdaugava3-0
31/08/25ATukums II Vs OU0-7
23/08/25HOU Vs Rēzekne FA3-0

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.70
HomeWLWDD1.83
AwayWLWWL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored1.601.831.38
Conceded1.401.171.62
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Ogre United
Ogre United
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.70
HomeWWDDW2.16
AwayLWWLW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%64%36%
AVG goals3.303.243.36
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored2.042.401.68
Conceded1.260.841.68
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RÄ«gas FSRÄ«gas FS717
71%
2.4
186+12
3.4
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
6232.60.9
-
2RigaRiga716
71%
2.3
218+13
4.1
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7363.01.1
-
3FK LiepajaFK Liepaja815
62%
1.9
1610+6
3.2
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.2
-
4AudaAuda714
57%
2.0
84+4
1.7
57%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3031.10.6
-
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils813
50%
1.6
127+5
2.4
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.9
-
6Super NovaSuper Nova68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
7GrobiņaGrobiņa77
29%
1.0
818-10
3.7
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.6
-
8FS JelgavaFS Jelgava76
29%
0.9
812-4
2.9
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.7
-
9Ogre UnitedOgre United74
14%
0.6
721-14
4.0
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.03.0
-
10TukumsTukums83
12%
0.4
619-13
3.1
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.82.4
-
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

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