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FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik
vs
Chernomorets
Chernomorets
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Neftekhimik win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W00D02L15L22D20W20W21W01L01LA·AKR22/04H·BAL29/04A·DIN06/05H·ROD13/05A·ENI20/05H·FC 27/05A·KAM03/06H·VOL16/07A·ALA24/07H·KHI30/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.071.000.930.931.20
vs Stronger (5)1.001.800.502.501.331.33
vs Similar (25)0.960.921.080.690.831.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChernomoretsChernomorets

Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D11DH·ALA17/07H·ROD23/07A·TOR30/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.500.501.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Khimki
1.94
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.79
Akron
1.74
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Rodina Moskva
1.62
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.44
Tyumen
1.41
Torpedo Moskva
1.38
FK Neftekhimik
1.24
Ska-khabarovsk
1.21
KAMAZ
1.21
FK Sokol Saratov
1.12
Chernomorets
1.03
Leningradets
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Urozhay
0.68
FK Neftekhimik is 0.21 points better than Chernomorets in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Khimki
1.65
Enisey
1.62
Rodina Moskva
1.56
Akron
1.41
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.24
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.15
Arsenal Tula
1.15
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.09
Tyumen
1.06
Ska-khabarovsk
0.97
Torpedo Moskva
0.97
FK Sokol Saratov
0.94
FK Neftekhimik
0.91
KAMAZ
0.88
Chernomorets
0.88
Volgar Astrakhan
0.85
Leningradets
0.79
Urozhay
0.59
FK Neftekhimik is 0.03 goals better than Chernomorets in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.56
Arsenal Tula
0.74
Akron
0.76
Rodina Moskva
0.91
Torpedo Moskva
0.97
Tyumen
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.03
Ska-khabarovsk
1.06
KAMAZ
1.06
Chernomorets
1.12
Khimki
1.15
Enisey
1.18
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.21
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.24
Leningradets
1.29
Volgar Astrakhan
1.29
FK Sokol Saratov
1.56
Urozhay
1.56
FK Neftekhimik is 0.09 goals better than Chernomorets in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

For 4.6 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

190118268114447112431249741981981126151311H·KHIA·ALAH·VOLA·KAMH·FC H·RODA·DINH·BALA·AKRH·KRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

80135343321311242321134875426534H·KHIA·ALAA·KAMA·DINH·BALH·KRAA·SHIH·VOLA·RUBA·URO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ChernomoretsChernomorets

For 2.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

10046153710610A·TORH·RODH·ALA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

50142254H·RODH·ALA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)10.810.910.71.81.71.8---
vs Stronger (6)8.57.711.02.33.71.0---
vs Similar (31)11.512.310.71.71.42.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%50%57%27%26%28%---
% under line47%50%43%73%74%72%---
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChernomoretsChernomorets

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (3)8.78.010.03.04.50.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (3)8.78.010.03.04.50.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line67%50%100%67%100%0%---
% under line33%50%0%33%0%100%---
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tyumen
12.3
FK Neftekhimik
10.8
FK Sokol Saratov
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.4
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.2
Volgar Astrakhan
10.1
Akron
9.9
Enisey
9.7
Urozhay
9.6
Torpedo Moskva
9.2
Khimki
8.9
Leningradets
8.7
Chernomorets
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.4
KAMAZ
8.4
Rodina Moskva
8.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
6.6
Tyumen
6.0
Ska-khabarovsk
5.8
Urozhay
5.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
5.2
Enisey
5.2
Akron
5.2
FK Neftekhimik
5.1
Rodina Moskva
5.0
Leningradets
5.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
5.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.9
Khimki
4.9
Torpedo Moskva
4.6
Arsenal Tula
4.5
Chernomorets
4.5
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Khimki
25.3
Torpedo Moskva
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.2%
Under 9.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.5%
Under 3.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L11D10W10W10W10W01L00DA·AKR22/04H·BAL29/04A·DIN06/05H·ROD13/05A·ENI20/05H·FC 27/05A·KAM03/06H·VOL16/07A·ALA24/07H·KHI30/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.530.200.470.73
vs Stronger (5)0.600.600.500.500.670.67
vs Similar (25)0.480.440.540.150.420.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChernomoretsChernomorets

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10WH·ALA17/07H·ROD23/07A·TOR30/07
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.000.000.001.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.330.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %100% (+66pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D01L04L12L10W10W11D00D01LA·AKR22/04H·BAL29/04A·DIN06/05H·ROD13/05A·ENI20/05H·FC 27/05A·KAM03/06H·VOL16/07A·ALA24/07H·KHI30/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.470.730.470.47
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.002.000.670.67
vs Similar (25)0.480.480.540.540.420.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChernomoretsChernomorets

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D01LH·ALA17/07H·ROD23/07A·TOR30/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Neftekhimik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Neftekhimik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards85.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards70.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
RM (26)
€17m
TM (23)
€11m
AT (26)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (9)
€11m
DM (13)
€9m
RM (11)
€7m
TM (10)
€5m
AT (8)
€3m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (6)
€6m
RM (4)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
TM (9)
€4m
AT (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
FN wins
0
Draws
0
CHE wins

Head-to-head

FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets · H/A from FN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/23HFN Vs Khimki0-1
24/07/23AAlaniya Vladikavkaz Vs FN1-0
16/07/23HFN Vs Volgar Astrakhan2-1
03/06/23AKAMAZ Vs FN0-2
27/05/23HFN Vs FC UFA2-0
20/05/23AEnisey Vs FN2-2
13/05/23HFN Vs Rodina Moskva1-5
06/05/23ADinamo Makhachkala Vs FN2-0
29/04/23HFN Vs Baltika0-0
22/04/23AAkron Vs FN0-3

ChernomoretsChernomorets

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/23ATorpedo Moskva Vs CHE1-1
23/07/23HCHE Vs Rodina Moskva0-0
17/07/23HCHE Vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Neftekhimik
FK Neftekhimik
Russia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.35
HomeDLWWL1.42
AwayWLDWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%37%33%
AVG goals1.951.892.00
Over 1.5 %57%53%61%
Over 2.5 %32%32%33%
Over 3.5 %14%11%17%
Scored0.971.000.94
Conceded0.970.891.06
BTTS30%37%22%
Clean Sheet46%42%50%
Corners10.8210.9010.71
Cards5.084.715.50
Chernomorets
Chernomorets
Russia: First League
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDD1.00
HomeDD1.00
AwayD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals1.331.002.00
Over 1.5 %67%50%100%
Over 2.5 %0%0%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.670.501.00
Conceded0.670.501.00
BTTS67%50%100%
Clean Sheet33%50%0%
Corners8.678.0010.00
Cards4.504.50-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KhimkiKhimki3466
59%
1.9
5639+17
2.8
71%
56%
35%
10.3
58%
4.1
58%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
2Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3461
53%
1.8
3719+18
1.6
53%
21%
6%
8.4
33%
4.3
56%
-
0%
20
9381.10.6
-
3AkronAkron3459
50%
1.7
4826+22
2.2
56%
32%
24%
8.5
30%
3.3
41%
-
0%
25
11681.40.8
-
4Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva3455
44%
1.6
5331+22
2.5
79%
44%
24%
9.1
40%
4.3
53%
-
0%
17
7371.60.9
-
5Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula3455
38%
1.6
3925+14
1.9
62%
24%
12%
-
0%
2.8
24%
-
0%
8
3231.10.7
-
6EniseyEnisey3451
44%
1.5
5540+15
2.8
76%
44%
32%
9.2
50%
3.6
55%
-
0%
6
2221.61.2
-
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3451
41%
1.5
3941-2
2.4
68%
38%
21%
11.7
76%
2.8
28%
-
0%
6
2121.11.2
-
8Alaniya VladikavkazAlaniya Vladikavkaz3449
35%
1.4
4242+0
2.5
71%
44%
18%
8.7
42%
3.3
47%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9TyumenTyumen3448
38%
1.4
3635+1
2.1
71%
38%
12%
8.3
40%
3.7
50%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
10Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva3447
35%
1.4
3333+0
1.9
68%
26%
6%
7.1
29%
4.1
55%
-
0%
11
5141.01.0
-
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik3442
32%
1.2
3135-4
1.9
59%
38%
9%
10.2
29%
3.6
40%
-
0%
5
2120.91.0
-
12Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk3441
32%
1.2
3336-3
2.0
68%
29%
9%
-
0%
3.1
32%
-
0%
6
2231.01.1
-
13KAMAZKAMAZ3441
29%
1.2
3036-6
1.9
62%
29%
15%
9.5
46%
5.4
75%
-
0%
5
2120.91.1
-
14FK Sokol SaratovFK Sokol Saratov3438
29%
1.1
3253-21
2.5
62%
38%
24%
9.1
40%
3.0
35%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
15ChernomoretsChernomorets3435
21%
1.0
3038-8
2.0
59%
35%
15%
9.9
53%
3.8
44%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
16Volgar AstrakhanVolgar Astrakhan3434
21%
1.0
2944-15
2.1
71%
41%
12%
10.1
36%
3.8
38%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
17LeningradetsLeningradets3434
24%
1.0
2744-17
2.1
59%
35%
18%
8.4
21%
3.4
52%
-
0%
5
1120.81.3
-
18UrozhayUrozhay3423
15%
0.7
2053-33
2.1
71%
32%
12%
9.2
58%
3.8
57%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
Russia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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