PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FK Trakai vs Banga Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 2-2
FK Trakai
FK Trakai
Vs
23%
29%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Trakai win✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Banga win✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L12L02L21W16L02L12L00D20W10WA·BAN10/08A·FK 17/08H·DŽI22/08H·DAI30/08A·KAU14/09H·FK 19/09A·ŠIA27/09H·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.000.931.800.872.20
vs Stronger (6)0.673.330.503.500.753.25
vs Similar (24)0.961.671.001.540.911.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L50W00D02L01L01L00D22D31WA·SUD17/08A·PAN20/08A·DAI24/08H·KAU30/08H·FK 13/09H·SUD21/09H·DŽI26/09A·HEG05/10H·PAN18/10A·ŠIA22/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.100.671.001.071.20
vs Stronger (11)0.271.360.331.170.201.60
vs Similar (18)1.171.000.890.891.441.11
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
FK Trakai goals ↓
Banga goals →
01234
010%12%9.8%4.8%1.7%
17.3%14%9.1%4.4%1.6%
24.0%5.8%4.2%2.1%0.8%
31.2%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Trakai goals (down), columns = Banga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kauno Žalgiris
2.08
Hegelmann Litauen
1.86
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.72
Suduva Marijampole
1.64
Šiauliai
1.44
Panevėžys
1.36
Džiugas Telšiai
1.28
Banga
1.17
FK Trakai
0.79
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.50
Dainava
0.50
FK Trakai is 0.38 points worse than Banga in terms of average points per game (0.79 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kauno Žalgiris
1.86
Šiauliai
1.64
Hegelmann Litauen
1.56
Panevėžys
1.56
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Suduva Marijampole
1.33
Banga
1.06
Džiugas Telšiai
1.03
FK Trakai
1.03
Dainava
0.75
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.50
FK Trakai is 0.03 goals worse than Banga in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.72
Banga
1.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
1.19
Džiugas Telšiai
1.25
Panevėžys
1.36
Šiauliai
1.47
FK Trakai
1.97
Dainava
2.11
FK Trakai is 0.97 goals worse than Banga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L20W03L01L02L00D00D00DA·BAN10/08A·FK 17/08H·DŽI22/08H·DAI30/08A·KAU14/09H·FK 19/09A·ŠIA27/09H·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.000.330.870.271.13
vs Stronger (6)0.171.670.002.000.251.50
vs Similar (24)0.330.830.380.690.271.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W00D01L01L00D00D12L00DA·SUD17/08A·PAN20/08A·DAI24/08H·KAU30/08H·FK 13/09H·SUD21/09H·DŽI26/09A·HEG05/10H·PAN18/10A·ŠIA22/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.370.330.470.470.27
vs Stronger (11)0.090.360.170.330.000.40
vs Similar (18)0.500.390.440.560.560.22
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L01L13L01L10W00D20W10WA·BAN10/08A·FK 17/08H·DŽI22/08H·DAI30/08A·KAU14/09H·FK 19/09A·ŠIA27/09H·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.600.930.601.07
vs Stronger (6)0.501.670.501.500.501.75
vs Similar (24)0.620.830.620.850.640.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L30W00D01L00D01L00D10W31WA·SUD17/08A·PAN20/08A·DAI24/08H·KAU30/08H·FK 13/09H·SUD21/09H·DŽI26/09A·HEG05/10H·PAN18/10A·ŠIA22/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.330.530.600.93
vs Stronger (11)0.181.000.170.830.201.20
vs Similar (18)0.670.610.440.330.890.89
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
DT (22)
€5m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
NK (1)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
NK (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FT wins
3
Draws
3
BAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Trakai vs Banga · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25ABanga Vs FT2-0
14/06/25HFT Vs Banga1-2
12/04/25ABanga Vs FT1-3
07/05/24HFT Vs Banga3-3
21/10/23ABanga Vs FT1-2
05/08/23HFT Vs Banga0-1
03/06/23ABanga Vs FT1-1
05/04/23HFT Vs Banga0-0

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/25APanevėžys Vs FT0-1
18/10/25HFT Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
04/10/25HFT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-0
27/09/25AŠiauliai Vs FT2-1
19/09/25HFT Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0-2
14/09/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs FT6-1
30/08/25HFT Vs Dainava2-1
22/08/25HFT Vs Džiugas Telšiai0-2
17/08/25AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs FT2-1
10/08/25ABanga Vs FT2-0

BangaBanga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/25AŠiauliai Vs BAN1-3
18/10/25HBAN Vs Panevėžys2-2
05/10/25AHegelmann Litauen Vs BAN0-0
26/09/25HBAN Vs Džiugas Telšiai0-1
21/09/25HBAN Vs Suduva Marijampole0-1
13/09/25HBAN Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0-2
30/08/25HBAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-0
24/08/25ADainava Vs BAN0-5
20/08/25APanevėžys Vs BAN1-0
17/08/25ASuduva Marijampole Vs BAN2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Trakai
FK Trakai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.32
HomeLWLDW1.38
AwayLLLLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.983.152.79
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored1.461.731.17
Conceded1.521.421.62
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.12
HomeDLLLD0.96
AwayLLWDW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%24%36%
AVG goals2.182.082.28
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %34%28%40%
Over 3.5 %16%16%16%
Scored1.000.881.12
Conceded1.181.201.16
BTTS34%36%32%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris3675
61%
2.1
6726+41
2.6
69%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.90.7
-
2Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen3667
58%
1.9
5643+13
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.2
-
3FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius3662
47%
1.7
5441+13
2.6
81%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2331.51.1
-
4Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole3659
42%
1.6
4836+12
2.3
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.0
-
5ŠiauliaiŠiauliai3652
39%
1.4
5953+6
3.1
81%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2231.61.5
-
6PanevėžysPanevėžys3649
39%
1.4
5649+7
2.9
81%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai3646
36%
1.3
3745-8
2.3
64%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.01.2
-
8BangaBanga3642
31%
1.2
3836+2
2.1
58%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.11.0
-
9FK TrakaiFK Trakai3830
18%
0.8
3975-36
3.0
82%
58%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10DainavaDainava3618
8%
0.5
2776-49
2.9
89%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
11Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

← all matches