PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

FK Trakai vs Banga Prediction & Stats

Date: 07/09/2026
Time: 16:30
FK Trakai
FK Trakai
Vs
25%
27%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FK Trakai face Banga with the model predicting an away win, the most likely outcome. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at a 12.8% chance. Trakai’s home form shows they average one goal scored and two conceded against similar opposition, while Banga, playing away, averages 1.5 scored and one conceded. The home win probability is 25 %, a draw 27 %, and an away win 48 %. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Under 6.5 (97.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.2 %), Under 5.5 (93.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (91.6 %), Away +2 handicap (89.8 %), Home under 2.5 goals (89.5 %), and Under 4.5 (85.3 %). Trakai come off a win, Banga a draw, setting the stage for a tight contest.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Trakai win
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Banga win
48.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W10W22D14L11D00D21W10W04LH·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10H·BAN26/10A·DŽI02/11A·DAI08/11A·NEP15/11H·NEP22/11A·VIL28/04H·KAU19/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.772.030.932.000.602.07
vs Stronger (6)0.503.500.333.670.673.33
vs Similar (22)0.821.771.001.640.641.91
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D31W01L31W03L32W11D00D03LA·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08H·KAU30/08H·PAN03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.100.851.151.471.06
vs Stronger (12)0.581.250.001.001.001.43
vs Similar (17)1.471.061.381.251.560.89
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
FK Trakai goals ↓
Banga goals →
01234
07.5%9.2%8.4%4.6%1.9%
15.9%13%9.5%5.2%2.1%
24.0%6.6%5.4%2.9%1.2%
31.5%2.5%2.0%1.1%0.5%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Trakai goals (down), columns = Banga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Trakai or Draw
51.9%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers FK Trakai + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai or Banga
73.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers FK Trakai + Banga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Banga
75.0%
Avg Implied -
25%
27%
48%
covers Draw + Banga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5
Over
67.6%
Under
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5
Over
80.6%
Under
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5
Over
48.7%
Under
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5
Over
22.7%
Under
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 3.5
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FK Trakai, so a minus line means FK Trakai give that many goals of a start and Banga receive them. At -1, FK Trakai must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Trakai win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Trakai)
FK Trakai -2
3.1%
Draw -2
7.1%
Banga +2
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (FK Trakai)
FK Trakai -1
10.2%
Draw -1
14.8%
Banga +1
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (FK Trakai)
FK Trakai +1
51.9%
Draw +1
22.1%
Banga -1
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (FK Trakai)
FK Trakai +2
74.0%
Draw +2
15.0%
Banga -2
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D12L01L00D00D11D10W03LH·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10H·BAN26/10A·DŽI02/11A·DAI08/11A·NEP15/11H·NEP22/11A·VIL28/04H·KAU19/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.100.401.200.201.00
vs Stronger (6)0.172.000.002.330.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.320.910.450.910.180.91
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D01L21W02L11D10W00D01LA·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08H·KAU30/08H·PAN03/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.380.620.710.41
vs Stronger (12)0.250.500.000.400.430.57
vs Similar (17)0.710.530.620.750.780.33
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W10W13L11D00D10W00D01LH·SUD04/10H·HEG18/10A·PAN22/10H·BAN26/10A·DŽI02/11A·DAI08/11A·NEP15/11H·NEP22/11A·VIL28/04H·KAU19/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.930.530.800.401.07
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.331.330.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.500.860.550.730.451.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D20W00D10W01L21W01L00D02LA·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08H·KAU30/08H·PAN03/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.460.540.760.65
vs Stronger (12)0.330.750.000.600.570.86
vs Similar (17)0.760.530.750.500.780.56
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Trakai) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Trakai over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Trakai over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Under 6.597.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.2%-------
Under 5.593.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals91.6%-------
Away +2 handicap89.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals89.5%-------
Under 4.585.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals80.6%-------
Over 1.577.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals77.3%-------
Draw or Away75.0%-------
Away +1 handicap75.0%-------
Home +2 handicap74.0%-------
Home or Away73.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FT wins
3
Draws
3
BAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Trakai vs Banga · H/A from FT
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25HFT Vs Banga2-2
10/08/25ABanga Vs FT2-0
14/06/25HFT Vs Banga1-2
12/04/25ABanga Vs FT1-3
07/05/24HFT Vs Banga3-3
21/10/23ABanga Vs FT1-2
05/08/23HFT Vs Banga0-1
03/06/23ABanga Vs FT1-1

FK TrakaiFK Trakai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/26HFT Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-4
28/04/26AVilnius FA Vs FT0-1
22/11/25HFT Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-1
15/11/25ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs FT0-0
08/11/25ADainava Vs FT1-1
02/11/25ADžiugas Telšiai Vs FT4-1
26/10/25HFT Vs Banga2-2
22/10/25APanevėžys Vs FT0-1
18/10/25HFT Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
04/10/25HFT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-0

BangaBanga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26HBAN Vs Panevėžys0-3
30/08/26HBAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-0
23/08/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs BAN1-1
16/08/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs BAN2-3
09/08/26HBAN Vs Suduva Marijampole0-3
03/08/26AŠiauliai Vs BAN1-3
19/07/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN1-0
12/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs BAN1-3
20/05/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN0-0
21/04/26AVilniaus Vytis Vs BAN0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Trakai
FK Trakai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.14
HomeDWDWL1.24
AwayWLDDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.963.162.76
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.261.481.04
Conceded1.701.681.72
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.20
HomeDWLDL0.96
AwayWLWWD1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%26%37%
AVG goals2.202.042.33
Over 1.5 %62%61%63%
Over 2.5 %38%30%44%
Over 3.5 %22%13%30%
Scored1.080.871.26
Conceded1.121.171.07
BTTS32%22%41%
Clean Sheet32%30%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

← all matches