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FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 2-0
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Vs
50%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

FK Zalgiris Vilnius is expected to win this match, with the team's recent form a storyline to consider. After three consecutive defeats, FK Zalgiris Vilnius will look to bounce back against Dzukija Telšiai. The model predicts a home win, assigning a 50% probability to this outcome, with a 25% draw probability and a 24% away win probability.

The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12%. FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a strong home form, scoring 1.5 goals on average and conceding 0.75 goals, while Dzukija Telšiai's away form shows them scoring 1.25 goals and conceding 1.92 goals against stronger opponents.

The model's selections include Over 1.5 with an 80.5% probability, Home or Draw with a 75.9% probability, and Home or Away with a 74.5% probability. FK Zalgiris Vilnius has a 50% chance of winning, a 25% chance of drawing, and a 24% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The win extends FK Zalgiris Vilnius’s recent run, ending a streak of four games with a 2-0 triumph over Džiugas Telšiai. The model’s favourite, Home win, with a 50 % probability, proved correct, matching the final score of 2-0 and the actual result. The selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99 %, Under 7.5 at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4 %, Under 6.5 at 96.9 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.8 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.6 %, Under 5.5 at 92.0 %, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 91.2 %. Each probability is expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome is recorded. The model’s predictions were largely vindicated.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win✓ Hit
50.5%
Avg Implied 61.8% · @ 1.45
Edge
-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.55
Dafabet
1.49
Bet365
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied 22.2% · @ 4.05
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.40
Pinnacle
4.32
Dafabet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Džiugas Telšiai win✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 16.1% · @ 5.59
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.19
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Pinnacle
5.94
Dafabet
5.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W31W13L12L30W31W32W25L04L23LH·ŠIA26/10H·HEG02/11A·PAN08/11A·ATM21/04A·ŠIA05/07H·TRA19/07A·HEG27/07H·HNK06/08A·HNK13/08H·BAN16/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.331.641.071.751.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.671.871.861.431.502.25
vs Weaker (15)1.730.801.430.712.000.88
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W22D20W00D12L10W01L11D43W02LH·FK 02/11A·ŠIA08/11A·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.430.931.291.441.56
vs Stronger (12)0.831.750.802.000.861.57
vs Similar (18)1.441.221.000.891.891.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zalgiris Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.17+2.7%
Under 1.5
19.5%
@ 4.08-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.7%
@ 1.58-0.9%
Under 2.5
43.3%
@ 2.15+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.59
Under
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
@ 2.43-3.1%
Under 3.5
65.7%
@ 1.45+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Superbet
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.6%
@ 1.70+5.0%
No
41.4%
@ 1.97-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
No
Unibet
2.08
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.96

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 7.43+6.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.22+3.7%
2-0 ✓
8.2%@ 7.12+2.2%
1-0
8.2%@ 7.19+2.2%
1-2
6.4%@ 16.26+3.8%
0-0
6.3%@ 12.79+2.9%
3-1
5.8%@ 10.30+1.6%
2-2
5.7%@ 14.30+2.7%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius goals ↓
Džiugas Telšiai goals →
01234
06.3%5.0%3.6%1.4%0.4%
18.2%12%6.4%2.5%0.7%
28.2%9.7%5.7%2.2%0.7%
34.9%5.8%3.4%1.3%0.4%
42.2%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FK Zalgiris Vilnius goals (down), columns = Džiugas Telšiai goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
FK Zalgiris Vilnius is 0.86 points better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
FK Zalgiris Vilnius is 1.02 goals better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
FK Zalgiris Vilnius is 0.24 goals better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw✓ Hit
76.0%
Avg Implied 83.4% · @ 1.09
Edge
-7.5%
50%
25%
24%
covers FK Zalgiris Vilnius + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Džiugas Telšiai✓ Hit
74.5%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
-4.1%
50%
25%
24%
covers FK Zalgiris Vilnius + Džiugas Telšiai
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Draw or Džiugas Telšiai✗ Miss
49.5%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.40
Edge
+11.6%
50%
25%
24%
covers Draw + Džiugas Telšiai
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
William Hil
2.45
BetVictor
2.45

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
@ 1.08-1.8%
Under
16.8%
@ 6.13+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.80
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.60
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.2%
@ 1.51-7.6%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.35+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.40
Superbet
2.32
Bet365
2.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.4%
@ 2.56-9.6%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.44+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 5.05-7.7%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.13+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.1%
@ 1.51+8.6%
Under
30.9%
@ 2.33-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Under
Unibet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.24
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.9%
@ 3.55+7.0%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.24-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 9.12+1.4%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.02-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
9.30
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Under
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 17.00-96.8%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to FK Zalgiris Vilnius, so a minus line means FK Zalgiris Vilnius give that many goals of a start and Džiugas Telšiai receive them. At -1, FK Zalgiris Vilnius must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FK Zalgiris Vilnius win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)Actual: Draw
FK Zalgiris Vilnius -2
12.8%
@ 3.93-8.9%
Draw -2
15.7%
@ 4.20-4.6%
Džiugas Telšiai +2
71.4%
@ 1.48+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.90
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.37
Handicap -1 (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)Actual: FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius -1
28.6%
@ 2.23-10.1%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.51-2.7%
Džiugas Telšiai +1
49.5%
@ 2.35+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.30
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.10
Away
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.46
Bet365
2.30
Unibet
2.04
Handicap +1 (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)Actual: FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius +1
76.0%
@ 1.11-0.9%
Draw +1
14.1%
@ 6.08+0.0%
Džiugas Telšiai -1
10.0%
@ 9.40+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Handicap +2 (FK Zalgiris Vilnius)Actual: FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius +2
90.0%
@ 1.03-1.6%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 17.00+1.3%
Džiugas Telšiai -2
3.1%
@ 34.00+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
34.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W12L10W00D20W11D12L00D11DH·ŠIA26/10H·HEG02/11A·PAN08/11A·ATM21/04A·ŠIA05/07H·TRA19/07A·HEG27/07H·HNK06/08A·HNK13/08H·BAN16/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.790.430.690.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.671.000.860.570.501.38
vs Weaker (15)0.800.270.710.290.880.25
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W00D00D11D10W00D01L31W00DH·FK 02/11A·ŠIA08/11A·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.290.640.810.62
vs Stronger (12)0.330.920.201.200.430.71
vs Similar (18)0.720.440.330.331.110.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zalgiris Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.0%
@ 1.26+1.4%
Under 0.5
27.0%
@ 3.19-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.3%
@ 2.27-3.7%
Under 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.51+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.36
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 4.78-3.3%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.12+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.70
Under
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
61.2%
@ 1.53+1.0%
Under
38.8%
@ 2.32-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.37
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.13
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.3%
@ 3.49-0.9%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.24+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 9.70-0.6%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.01+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Under
1xBet
1.01
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.1%
@ 2.67-1.4%
Under
66.9%
@ 1.41+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.83
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.63
Superbet
2.57
Under
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 10.03-2.7%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.80
Under
1xBet
1.01
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L02L30W11D21W13L04L12LH·ŠIA26/10H·HEG02/11A·PAN08/11A·ATM21/04A·ŠIA05/07H·TRA19/07A·HEG27/07H·HNK06/08A·HNK13/08H·BAN16/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.700.860.641.060.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.000.871.000.861.000.88
vs Weaker (15)0.930.530.710.431.120.62
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L20W00D01L00D01L10W12L02LH·FK 02/11A·ŠIA08/11A·NEP22/04H·BAN20/05A·ŠIA24/06H·BAN19/07A·TRA26/07A·PAN03/08A·ŠIA09/08H·SUD17/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.640.640.620.94
vs Stronger (12)0.500.830.600.800.430.86
vs Similar (18)0.720.780.670.560.781.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Zalgiris Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.6%
@ 1.17+2.6%
Under 0.5
18.4%
@ 4.39-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.2%
@ 1.83-2.1%
Under 1.5
51.8%
@ 1.85+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Under
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.4%
@ 3.60-4.2%
Under 2.5
78.6%
@ 1.24+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
65.9%
@ 1.36-1.4%
Under
34.1%
@ 2.80+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Under
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.70
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
31.7%
@ 2.64-2.8%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.40+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.63
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.37
FK Zalgiris Vilnius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 6.50-2.6%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.07+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.07
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.3%
@ 2.22+0.9%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.57-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Under
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.54
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 7.80-1.6%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.03+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.80
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.9%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
---+5.3%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+2.7%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.0%1.04
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals91.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+0.6%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap90.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----1.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.9%1.03
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
---+1.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.4%1.13
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
---+7.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals88.5%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+2.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.5%1.02
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
---1.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals84.3%1.12
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+3.3%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals83.2%1.08
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
---1.8%✓ Hit
Under 4.582.2%1.16
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
+4.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals81.6%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-+2.6%✓ Hit
Over 1.580.5%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
+2.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.6%1.24
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
-+4.2%✓ Hit
Home or Draw76.0%1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
-7.5%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap76.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
----0.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals74.7%1.24
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
---+0.9%✓ Hit
Home or Away74.5%1.16
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-4.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals73.6%1.44
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
+9.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals73.0%1.26
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
+1.4%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap71.4%1.48
Marathonbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.37
--+13.6%✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

FK Zalgiris Vilnius · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri Kendysh25%
Edvinas Gertmonas0%
Petar Mamić0%
Mario Pavelić0%
Stipe Vučur0%
Oliver Buff0%
Nicolas Gorobsov0%
Nassim Hnid0%
Paulius Golubickas0%
Ovidijus Verbickas0%
Joel Bopesu0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Yukiyoshi Karashima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde33%
Nassim Hnid25%
Joel Bopesu25%
Edvinas Gertmonas0%
Petar Mamić0%
Mario Pavelić0%
Stipe Vučur0%
Oliver Buff0%
Nicolas Gorobsov0%
Paulius Golubickas0%
Yuri Kendysh0%
Ovidijus Verbickas0%
Yukiyoshi Karashima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Buff33%
Edvinas Gertmonas0%
Petar Mamić0%
Mario Pavelić0%
Stipe Vučur0%
Nicolas Gorobsov0%
Nassim Hnid0%
Paulius Golubickas0%
Yuri Kendysh0%
Ovidijus Verbickas0%
Joel Bopesu0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Yukiyoshi Karashima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde67%
Paulius Golubickas25%
Edvinas Gertmonas0%
Petar Mamić0%
Mario Pavelić0%
Stipe Vučur0%
Oliver Buff0%
Nicolas Gorobsov0%
Nassim Hnid0%
Yuri Kendysh0%
Ovidijus Verbickas0%
Joel Bopesu0%
Yukiyoshi Karashima0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
FK Zalgiris Vilnius's squad is €3m more valuable than Džiugas Telšiai's (€7m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar midfield value (both €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
FZV wins
1
Draws
1
DT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai · H/A from FZV
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25ADžiugas Telšiai Vs FZV1-2
19/07/25HFZV Vs Džiugas Telšiai2-0
31/05/25ADžiugas Telšiai Vs FZV1-1
02/03/25HFZV Vs Džiugas Telšiai2-1
09/11/24ADžiugas Telšiai Vs FZV1-0
18/08/24HFZV Vs Džiugas Telšiai2-1
19/06/24ADžiugas Telšiai Vs FZV0-4
21/04/24HFZV Vs Džiugas Telšiai3-1

FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HFZV Vs Banga2-3
13/08/26AHNK Hajduk Split Vs FZV4-0
06/08/26HFZV Vs HNK Hajduk Split2-5
27/07/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs FZV2-3
19/07/26HFZV Vs TransINVEST Vilnius3-1
05/07/26AŠiauliai Vs FZV0-3
21/04/26AAtmosfera Vs FZV2-1
08/11/25APanevėžys Vs FZV3-1
02/11/25HFZV Vs Hegelmann Litauen3-1
26/10/25HFZV Vs Šiauliai1-0

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26HDT Vs Suduva Marijampole0-2
09/08/26AŠiauliai Vs DT3-4
03/08/26APanevėžys Vs DT1-1
26/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs DT1-0
19/07/26HDT Vs Banga1-0
24/06/26AŠiauliai Vs DT2-1
20/05/26HDT Vs Banga0-0
22/04/26ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs DT0-2
08/11/25AŠiauliai Vs DT2-2
02/11/25HDT Vs FK Trakai4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.58
HomeWWWLL1.79
AwayLLWWL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.862.503.19
Over 1.5 %82%71%92%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.561.501.62
Conceded1.301.001.58
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet30%42%19%
Corners9.507.0012.00
Cards2.004.000.00
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.46
HomeLWDWL1.00
AwayWLLDW1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%22%59%
AVG goals2.301.962.59
Over 1.5 %64%61%67%
Over 2.5 %36%26%44%
Over 3.5 %18%13%22%
Scored1.140.831.41
Conceded1.161.131.19
BTTS44%48%41%
Clean Sheet34%26%41%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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